Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Sunday - November 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-1   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(2/7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ARP-2   WIN (2/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/5/4)-(2/7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/5/4)-(2/7/5/4)-(2/7/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/5/4)-(3/9/7/2)-(1/3/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
ARP-3   WIN (3/9/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/7/2)-(3/9/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/7/2)-(3/9/7/2)-(3/9/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/9/7/2)-(1/3/5)-(3/4/1/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
ARP-4   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5/2)-(1/3/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(3/4/1/5)-(2/3/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
ARP-5   WIN (3/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/5)-(3/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/5)-(3/4/1/5)-(3/4/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
ARP-6   WIN (2/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/7)-(2/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/7)-(2/3/7)-(2/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/3/7)-(3/4/7/8)-(4/6/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
ARP-7   WIN (3/4/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/7/8)-(3/4/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/7/8)-(3/4/7/8)-(3/4/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7/8)-(4/6/2)-(6/10/9/5/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
ARP-8   WIN (4/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/2)-(4/5/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/6/2)-(4/5/6/2)-(4/5/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
ARP-9   WIN (6/10/9/5/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/10/9/5/1)-(6/10/9/5/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/10/9/5/1)-(6/10/9/5/1)-(6/10/9/5/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-1   11/16/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($11.64K) 2 ALL PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOPHIE'S HEART Oct25         (jensen ma)MEDINA ANGEL 120 2.50 55% 0.80    
  (by KNICKS GO out of LOVE ABROAD by NOT FOR LOVE)
2  LET'S RACE UHH HUH         (gleason tyrone)RAMOS B 117 4.50 21% 3.80    
  (by STREET STRATEGY out of AMOUR by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
3  ARIZONA ROSE Jun21 Apr30       (ortega joe)CARILLO DANIEL 117 6.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of HONEY CANDY by DESPERATELY)
4  CLARKE'S BOMBER Oct25         (long vaughn)DELORME L 117 8.00    
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of KAPPA GAMA by ORIENTATE (GB))
5  MAJESTIC LACE Sep13 Jul13 Jun28     (ortega joe)BAEZ M 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TYPHOON SLEW out of SANTA HELENA by STREET BOSS)
6  SPEAK THE TRUTH Oct25 Oct10 Sep27 Jun13   (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 120 3.50    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of GOLDEN GLASS by GOLDENCENTS)
 
ARP-2   11/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($16.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAN CHICO Nov08 Oct18 Oct03 Sep28 Sep12 (hibdon ma)MEDINA ANGEL 124 15.00    
2  CHERRY RIVER Oct26 Oct11 Sep19 Aug22 Jul27 (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 121 4.50 35% 1.80    
3  OLD FASHION TIME Oct12 Sep19 Nov01 Oct18 Sep21 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 121 5.00    
4  HAIL STATE Nov07 Jun21 Jun15 Nov17 Nov02 (lavanway dayson)ARANA MINOR 124 12.00 6% 16.50    
5  KAE GAE Oct17 Dec04 Nov12 Oct18 Sep29 (long vaughn)DELORME L 124 2.50 14% 6.30    
6  TAPITBOY Nov08 Oct17 Sep13 May24 May16 (rushton s)TRIANA JR 124 4.00    
7  BRODY'S TREASURE Nov01 Oct12 Sep20 Sep13 Sep01 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 120 3.50 19% 4.40    
8  STORMY DAME May17 Apr19 Apr03 Mar14 Jan17 (gonzalez )IRONEYES R 121 12.00    
 
ARP-3   11/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($7.44K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOSS DOWN Oct25 Oct17 Sep28 Sep13 Aug30 (rushton t)IRONEYES R 120 4.50    
2  ONEPARTICULRHARBOR Aug15 Jul30 May11 Apr04 Mar08 (kemper kerry)COUTON JULIEN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  BORDER VIGIL Nov01 Oct17 Sep20 Sep13 Aug17 (kemper ke)MEDINA ANGEL 120 3.50 35% 1.90    
4  NOBLE LAKER Nov07 Oct24 Oct10 Sep07 Aug29 (cornia andee)CARILLO DANIEL 120 15.00    
SCR  BETTER EDGE Oct24 Oct10 Sep28 Sep13 Jul18 (arceo an)CARDOSO DAVID 120 12.00    
6  FACTUALITY Nov07 Nov02 Sep11 Aug14 Jul10 (ramaekers eric)RAMEY CASH 117 6.00    
7  BIGPARTY NOWHISKEY Oct24 Mar01 Nov17 Nov01 Oct18 (rushton stetson)DELORME L 121 8.00 17% 4.80    
8  TIME TO SKIP TOWN Oct25 Oct17 Sep28 Nov01 Oct18 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 121 10.00    
9  PERSCRIPTURE Oct24 Oct12 Sep26 Sep12 Aug22 (stortzum cady)RAMOS B 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
 
ARP-4   11/16/2025 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Ballys Arapahoe Park Derby Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KOSARI Oct18 Sep20 Sep08 Aug17 Aug02 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 2.00 41% 1.40    
  (by AUDIBLE out of CONJURESS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
2  WEDDING GIFT Nov08 Oct26 Oct03 Sep19 Sep02 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 120 6.00 ★    
  (by GIFT BOX out of WEDDING BLUSH by PURE PRIZE)
3  MAP THIS OUT Nov01 Sep28 Sep14 Aug17 Aug03 (scudder jr)RAMOS B 120 4.50 19% 4.40    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of QUINTILE by LANGFUHR)
4  FLEXIBLE TERMS Nov08 Oct26 Oct18 Aug29 Aug03 (rushton s)TRIANA JR 120 3.50    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of TRY YOUR LUCK by TELLA FIB)
5  THREE ECHOES Oct03 Sep02 Jul26 Jun18 May04 (rushton stetson)DELORME L 120 8.00 18% 4.40    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of BAYOU MISS by DARING GROOM)
6  SHANKAPOTAMUS Oct11 Sep06 Aug20 Aug09 Jul03 (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 120 10.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of STELLABRINI by ADDED EDGE)
SCR  MA KONA KII Oct19 Sep27 Aug16 Jul19 Jun08 (crump anthony)RAMEY CASH 120 15.00    
  (by LAUGH TRACK out of WINGS OF IRIS by GRAND MINSTREL)
8  JUST PICKLES Nov08 Oct25 Aug09 Jul27 Jul14 (carlson jayc)CARILLO DANIEL 120 20.00    
  (by ENTICED out of BUGLE ANN by BIRDSTONE)
9  THUNDERMOUNTAINMAN Nov08 Oct18 Sep28 Jul19 Apr17 (martinez a)COUTON JULIEN 120 2.50    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of PINK FREUD LIVE by FREUD)
 
ARP-5   11/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FULL SPIRIT Nov01 Oct19 Oct05 Sep21 Sep01 (arceo lui)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.00 6% 15.40    
2  SHESACINCH Nov02 Oct10 Sep20 Sep07 Aug24 (gleason tyrone)RAMOS B 120 4.50    
3  RUNNIN ON PROMISES Oct11 Apr19 Mar16 Mar01 Dec13 (rushton s)TRIANA JR 120 3.50 45% 1.20    
4  SARAH'S COURT Nov01 Oct18 Oct03 Sep12 Jul12 (rushton temple)DELORME L 124 2.50 25% 3.00    
5  CRIMSON LADY Nov09 Oct18 Sep20 Sep01 Aug30 (scudder rick)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  CLAY'S RUBY LOVE Oct19 Aug30 Aug16 Jul26 Jun13 (mckinney kyn)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 8.00    
7  JOYFUL JOSEPHINE Nov07 Oct19 Oct11 Sep12 Aug17 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 120 12.00    
 
ARP-6   11/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOOMANYNAMES Oct18 Sep28 Aug21 Apr05 Mar22 (rushton stacy)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50    
2  COLLUSIONIST Nov01 Oct11 Sep27 Sep06 Aug10 (martinez a)RAMOS B 121 2.50 44% 1.30    
3  UNDER OATH Oct11 Sep13 May16 Apr26 Apr13 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  DEFENSE WINS Oct25 Oct11 Aug31 Aug17 Aug02 (mckinney )IRONEYES R 124 12.00    
SCR  VICTORIOUS VANDA Nov01 Oct18 Oct04 Sep03 Aug21 (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50    
6  HOYA PARANOYA Oct18 Sep27 Mar15 Feb18 Jan05 (martinez a)COUTON JULIEN 121 4.00    
7  TAG ME Nov07 Oct11 Sep20 Sep06 Aug31 (scudder rick)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
ARP-7   11/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Gold Rush Futurity Purse ($37.4K) 2 ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S NEVER WRONG Oct25 Aug16 Aug01     (parsons riley)CARDOSO DAVID 120 6.00    
  (by INDEPENDENCE HALL out of CONJURESS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
2  TALL COOL ONE Oct25 Oct12 Sep22 Sep05   (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 4.50    
  (by WHISKEY WISDOM out of WHISPERED WISHES by WITH APPROVAL)
3  BRIGGS ARMYPOWER Nov02 Oct12 Sep28     (jensen ma)MEDINA ANGEL 120 3.50 38% 1.60    
  (by ARMY MULE out of POWERTAP by TAPIT)
4  MY DREAM ZAPPER Oct12 Sep12 Aug18 Aug03   (rushton stetson)DELORME L 120 2.50 35% 1.90    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of SINCERITY by MUCHO MACHO MAN)
5  LION THRONE         (scudder rick)GONZALEZ PEDRO 120 10.00    
  (by BEAU LIAM out of TAPTIME by TAPITURE)
6  CHOCOLATE WASTED Nov02 Oct25 Sep28 Sep12   (rushton s)TRIANA JR 120 5.00    
  (by ROWAYTON out of EXTREME CAUTION by VALUE PLUS)
7  MISTLETOLEE Oct25 Sep26 Sep13 Aug31 Aug01 (parsons r)IRONEYES R 120 8.00 5% 18.00    
  (by MITOLE out of RATE OF EXCHANGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
8  SUBTLE HOOLIGAN Nov02 Oct12 Aug31 Jul26 Jul12 (martinez a)COUTON JULIEN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of SUBTLE QUALITY by QUALITY ROAD)
 
ARP-8   11/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.52K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AUNT ALEX Nov01 Feb14 Jan26 Jan05 Sep12 (stortzum )MEDINA ANGEL 121 3.50    
2  SHOOTIN' DICE Nov07 Oct12 Sep28 Sep12 Aug29 (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  BIG JIMMY Oct19 Oct03 Aug03 Jul19   (martinez a)COUTON JULIEN 120 4.50    
4  FORTHELONGHAUL Nov01 Oct17 Sep20 Sep01 Aug08 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 120 6.00 66% 0.50    
5  LAUGHING STORM May12 Apr07 Mar29 Dec05 Oct25 (gonzalez )IRONEYES R 124 4.50 ★    
6  UKRAINE STRONG Nov08 Nov01 Oct24 Oct10 Sep27 (lavanway dayson)ARANA MINOR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  RUNNIN BUFFALO Oct24 Oct18 Sep13 Jul13 Apr19 (rushton temple)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 10.00    
SCR  SO THRILLING Oct26 Oct11 Sep20 Aug27 Aug16 ( )TBA null      
 
ARP-9   11/16/2025 5940ft DIRT RC11 FAST Butch Gleason Classic Purse ($22.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONOS MAN Sep28 Sep12 Aug31 Aug10 Nov01 (gurnick e)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by AFLEET ALEX out of SHARONS SONG by BADGER LAND)
2  EZ FITZ Nov01 Oct12 Aug31 Aug12 Aug02 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 124 10.00    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of SNICKEL FITZ by SEATTLE FITZ (ARG))
3  BIG JACK Oct04 Sep20 Aug31 Jul27 Apr24 (martinez a)RAMOS B 124 3.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of BROOKTON by TRUST N LUCK)
4  SUBSIDIZE Nov01 Oct18 Oct04 Sep20 Aug31 (rushton temp)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 4.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of DIVA STAR by AMERICAN CHAMP)
5  CLUB MESQUITE Oct26 Oct12 Sep07 Aug24 Aug10 (schindler)MEDINA ANGEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of MESQUITE by HUDDLE UP)
6  PALACE GUARD Oct11 Sep27 Aug22 Aug03 Jul11 (gleason t)IRONEYES R 124 4.50 58% 0.70    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of ADDY ANNIE by POSSE)
7  TULSA TIME Nov01 Oct11 Sep20 Aug30 Aug09 (vicchrilli ru)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50    
  (by TULSA TE out of MISS CASTELLI by INDIAN CHARLIE)
8  LORD WIMBORNE (IRE) Nov07 Oct26 Oct11 Sep20 Sep07 (quezada zacha)COUTON JULIEN 124 15.00    
  (by CANFORD CLIFFS out of ARCTIC FREEDOM by WAR CHANT)
9  HOLD TIGHT Nov07 Oct26 Sep28 Sep14 Apr13 (long vaughn)DELORME L 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of SECURELY by UNCLE MO)
10  LUCYS MAJOR MIRCLE Nov01 Oct12 Sep27 Aug30 Aug10 (rushton s)TRIANA JR 124 2.50 12% 7.20    
  (by MAJOR BIG TIME out of LUCY LOVES NANA by INCLUDE)
11  BOUGIE JOE Nov08 Oct18 Sep15 Aug30 Aug12 (gleason tyro)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 15.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of APPEALING CAT by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.