Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Saturday - November 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-3   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ARP-4   WIN (8/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/6/2)-(8/3/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/6/2)-(8/3/6/2)-(8/3/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/3/6/2)-(1/4/7/6)-(3/7/2/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
ARP-5   WIN (1/4/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/6)-(1/4/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/6)-(1/4/7/6)-(1/4/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7/6)-(3/7/2/8)-(2/6/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
ARP-6   WIN (3/7/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/2/8)-(3/7/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/2/8)-(3/7/2/8)-(3/7/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/2/8)-(2/6/3)-(6/7/11/12) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
ARP-7   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ARP-8   WIN (6/7/11/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/11/12)-(6/7/9/11/12) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/7/11/12)-(6/7/9/11/12)-(6/7/9/11/12) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/7/11/12)-(4/3/5)-(4/1/2/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
ARP-9   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(4/1/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ARP-10   WIN (4/1/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/2/8)-(4/1/2/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/1/2/8)-(4/1/2/7/8)-(4/1/2/7/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-3   11/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($12.84K) 2 ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLEEP Oct25 Sep21       (kemper ke)IRONEYES R 120 2.50    
  (by ASSAGAI out of CHERRY PICKER by CAPE BLANCO)
2  HIDDEN FEES Oct25 Sep28       (kemper ke)MEDINA ANGEL 120 6.00 6% 17.00    
  (by MAJESTIC HUSSAR out of LADY POSSE by POSSE)
3  THREE DRINKS Oct25 Sep28       (kemper kerry)RAMEY CASH 120 5.00    
  (by MAJESTIC HUSSAR out of SUPER ONE by NO STORMS)
4  CASTING CUPID Oct25         (vicchrilli russ)ARANA MINOR 117 4.50 45% 1.20    
  (by CUPID out of MISS CASTELLI by INDIAN CHARLIE)
5  CELEE'S LEGACY Oct25 Sep21 Jul12     (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 117 3.50 17% 5.10    
  (by KEEN ICE out of CELEE by CONGAREE)
 
ARP-4   11/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  J'S LITTLE MAN Nov07 Oct25 Oct05 Sep21 Sep07 (ibanez alber)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 10.00    
2  BRON AND THE BROW Oct18 Sep12 Aug30 Aug16 Jul26 (lavanway days)COUTON JULIEN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  CALCULATED LUV Nov07 Apr26 Apr05 Mar22 Mar08 (arceo an)CARDOSO DAVID 124 5.00 22% 3.70    
4  RIDIN SOLO Nov09 Nov02 Sep27 Sep06 Aug31 (mitchell )IRONEYES R 124 6.00    
SCR  GRACE'S HANK Nov07 Oct17 Sep27 Sep01 Aug06 (esquibel mar)CARILLO DANIEL 124 20.00    
6  PAY RAISE Oct24 Jul26 Jul13 Jun27 May25 (schindler jeff)DELORME L 124 15.00 7% 12.50    
7  LEAP DAY Oct04 Sep21 Aug30 Aug10 Jul20 (gray kirk)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 4.50    
8  MY BUDDY MEL Oct11 Aug29 Aug23 Aug17 Jul26 (hibdon ma)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 49% 1.00    
9  NACHO GRANDE Nov07 Oct25 Aug31 May11 Jul28 (carlson jayc)BANDA F 124 3.50    
 
ARP-5   11/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.16K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRAYBRAY Oct26 Oct05 Sep19 Sep06 Aug09 (martinez a)COUTON JULIEN 124 4.00 33% 2.00    
2  STATE SCHOOL SMART Oct24 Oct05 Sep14 Sep05 Aug23 (rushton stetson)DELORME L 124 4.50    
3  KAELY'S BROTHER Nov08 Oct04 Sep08 Aug25 Aug15 (schindler)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00    
4  PARTY FOUL Oct25 Oct05 Sep06 Aug17 Aug02 (kemper ke)IRONEYES R 124 2.50 22% 3.60    
5  CUCINA Oct26 Oct11 Sep28 Sep13 Sep01 (scudder rick)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 10.00    
6  BRILLIANT COLORS Nov08 Oct25 Jul18 Jul05 Jun27 (ibanez alberto)RAMEY CASH 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  MOON SHINE TIME Oct03 Sep14 Aug09 Jul13 Jun29 (long vaughn)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50 17% 4.80    
SCR  RED FROST Nov01 Oct18 Sep28 Aug09 Jul06 (long vaughn)RAMOS B 124 2.00    
 
ARP-6   11/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($8.64K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JACKIE FLASH Nov09 Oct24 Oct05 Aug04 Jul19 (schindler jeff)RAMEY CASH 124 6.00    
2  POP CHART Nov09 Oct25 Oct03 Sep07 Aug30 (kemper kerry)HAAR NATHAN 124 5.00 11% 7.70    
3  POPS REWARD Oct24 Oct11 Sep20 Aug24 Aug03 (gleason tyrone)RAMOS B 120 2.00 30% 2.40    
5  ACTIN' UP Nov09 Nov02 Sep20 Sep08 Jul31 (gleason tyro)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 3.50    
6  GUARDING ELK CAMP Nov02 Oct19 Sep06 Sep01 Aug16 (leon alex)IRONEYES R 124 12.00    
7  MASTER JANE Oct10 Sep20 Aug24 Jul25 Jun27 (rushton stetson)DELORME L 124 2.50 14% 6.30    
8  HOT JAMMIES Nov02 Oct11 Sep21 Aug09 Aug02 (lavanway days)COUTON JULIEN 124 10.00 8% 11.40    
9  BRING THE POSSE Nov02 Oct24 Sep27 Sep13 Nov03 (kemper ke)MEDINA ANGEL 121 4.50    
SCR  STAND BY TIME Nov09 Oct24 Oct05 Sep14 Aug19 ( )TBA null      
 
ARP-7   11/15/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHILD PROOF Oct25 Oct11 Aug10 Jul24 May31 (rushton s)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00    
2  YOU HAVE NO IDEA Nov08 Oct05 Sep21 Sep14 Aug20 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50 47% 1.10    
3  COMMUNICATIONISKEY Oct03 Sep13 Aug24 Aug04 Jul17 (vargas jose )CARILLO DANIEL 124 12.00 9% 9.80    
4  Q BOND Nov02 Oct03 Sep24 Sep10 Apr08 (cambray andres)BAEZ M 124 8.00    
5  SATIN HEART Nov08 Oct19 Aug29 Jul26 Jul05 (scudder jr)HAAR NATHAN 124 5.00    
6  VIRTUALLY Nov01 Oct19 Oct05 Sep10 Aug13 (rushton temple)RAMOS B 124 2.50 16% 5.30    
 
ARP-8   11/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($11.64K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRACEY'S KITCHEN Oct17 Sep27 Jul05 Aug30 Aug24 (gray kirk)ARANA MINOR 124 6.00    
  (by NORTHERN CAUSEWAY out of COMMANDRESS by TOP COMMAND)
2  SILENCE'S NATION Nov09 Oct17 Nov16 Oct18 Sep09 (chavez veroni)CARDOSO DAVID 121 4.50    
  (by TROJAN NATION out of CUPCAKE'S SURPRISE by EISHIN MASAMUNE (JPN))
SCR  QUEEN COIN Oct19 Oct03 Oct18     (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 121 15.00    
  (by CO FERMENT out of QUEEN LILLY KAY by INDY KING)
4  STEEL SPUN Oct24 Oct10 Sep26 Sep08 Aug04 (gleason tyrone)RAMOS B 117 12.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of STEEL CUT by CACTUS RIDGE)
5  SUNTASTIC Nov02 Oct17 Sep27     (cornia andee)CARILLO DANIEL 124 10.00    
  (by POTOMAC RIVER out of WONDROUS CAT by TENGA CAT)
6  MR. THIRSTY Oct17 Aug17 Jul05 Apr22 Apr02 (mckinney )IRONEYES R 120 3.50 55% 0.80    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of MS. HALE by BOISTEROUS)
7  DELIGHTFUL RESERVE Nov02 Oct17 Sep20 Sep05 Aug03 (quezada z)MEDINA ANGEL 120 2.50 19% 4.20    
  (by LA RESERVE out of TRIBAL DELIGHT by TRIBAL RULE)
8  HIGHER PATH Sep12 Aug09 Jul11     (carlson jayce)RAMEY CASH 117 6.00    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of PATHOLOGIST by GONE WEST)
9  WARREN'S C J Nov02 Feb02 Jan19 Dec07   (lavanway days)COUTON JULIEN 120 5.00 ★    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of WARREN'S AMBER by BROADWAY MOON)
SCR  ACE DIAMOND Oct17         (rushton stetson)DELORME L 121 12.00    
  (by APACHE PARK out of PARTY WEST by GONE WEST)
SCR  NAUTICAL MILE Nov02 Sep01 Jul27 Jul20 Jun14 (carlson jayce)MCNEIL BRYAN 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of GIPOIA by MEDICEAN)
12  MY DANCING BEAR Oct18 Oct20       (loftin linda)GONZALEZ PEDRO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of MY SUGAR CAT by KITTEN'S JOY)
 
ARP-9   11/15/2025 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST CTBA Spicy Purse ($23.357K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MELODITY Nov08 Oct18 Aug18 Jul23 Jul01 (vicchrilli ru)CARDOSO DAVID 120 4.50    
  (by TONALIST out of KIT KAT JO by JOHANNESBURG)
2  LONG MAY SHE RUN Nov01 Oct18 Oct05 Sep27 Aug29 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 3.50    
  (by KLIMT out of RATE OF EXCHANGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
3  FLO TIME Oct19 Sep27 Sep12 Jul27 Nov03 (martinez a)COUTON JULIEN 124 6.00 21% 3.80    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CATS LEGEND by GOLD LEGEND)
4  CELEE'S LAST TE Nov01 Oct19 Sep27 Jul26 Jul05 (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 124 2.00 41% 1.40    
  (by TULSA TE out of CELEE by CONGAREE)
5  ROCKIN MARIE Nov02 Oct19 Sep27 Aug22 Aug09 (long vaughn)DELORME L 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ROCKY BAR out of YELLOW CHUMARINE by CHUMAREE)
6  FLYING LADY Nov02 Oct11 Sep27 Jul27 Nov01 (martinez a)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 8.00    
  (by BIRDSTONE out of SANDHILL LADY by OLIVER'S TWIST)
 
ARP-10   11/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.68K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST PLAIN ORNERY Nov02 Oct26 Oct12 Sep28 Sep14 (rushton stetson)DELORME L 124 3.50 27% 2.70    
2  THREE GOLD PIECES Nov08 Oct19 Aug10 Jul27 Jul06 (chavez veroni)CARDOSO DAVID 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  JACHA Nov02 Oct19 Sep27 Sep10 Aug23 (scudder jr)HAAR NATHAN 124 8.00    
4  ROSIE'S BOY Nov02 Oct26 Oct12 Sep28 Aug25 (schindler)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50 48% 1.10    
5  DAX A DREAMING Nov02 Sep28 Aug24 Aug07 Jul26 (jensen mark)RAMOS B 124 6.00    
6  BAMBY BOOM Nov02 Oct18 Oct06 Sep27 Sep17 (cambray andres)ARANA MINOR 120 15.00    
SCR  MONGOLIAN MOON Nov02 Oct17 Aug02 Jun28 Jun13 (graber jessi)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 6.00 ★    
8  CHICKNFINGERFRIDAY Nov08 Oct26 Oct17 Sep27 Sep06 (stubblefi)IRONEYES R 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  HARBOR THUNDER Nov08 Oct26 Oct19 Sep27 Sep12 (lavanway days)COUTON JULIEN 124 12.00    
SCR  TOMBI Oct26 Sep27 Aug10 Jul18 Jul06 ( )TBA null      
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.