Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Arapahoe Park
Friday - October 24, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ARP-1   WIN (5/6/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/4/3)-(5/6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/4/3)-(5/6/4/3)-(5/6/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/4/3)-(1/3/8/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ARP-2   WIN (1/3/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/8/4)-(1/3/8/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/8/4)-(1/3/8/4)-(1/3/8/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
ARP-3   WIN (1/5/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/8/6)-(1/5/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/8/6)-(1/5/8/6)-(1/5/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/8/6)-(7/3/6/1)-(8/2/7/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
ARP-4   WIN (7/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/6/1)-(7/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/6/1)-(7/3/6/1)-(7/3/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
ARP-5   WIN (8/2/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/7/5)-(8/2/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/7/5)-(8/2/7/5)-(8/2/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ARP-1   10/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESTINED TO DANCE Sep17 Sep02 Aug19 Aug06 Jul23 (kemper kerry)COUTON JULIEN 124 4.50    
O'NEILL'S LEGACY Oct11 Sep27 Aug30 Aug09 Jul19 (quezada zach)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 10.00    
JACKIE FLASH Oct05 Aug04 Jul19 Jul06 Jun28 (schindler jeff)DELORME L 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SQUARE FOOTAGE Oct04 Aug30 Aug09 Jul19 Jun29 (villamar can)GONZALEZ PEDRO 124 15.00 8% 10.90    
STAND BY TIME Oct05 Sep14 Aug19 Jul26 Jul13 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 2.50 53% 0.90    
TRIBAL SPIRIT Oct05 Sep01 Aug04 Jul06 Jun28 (arceo lui)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 14% 6.30    
MILLIGANMIKEANDME Oct05 Sep12 Aug17 Aug04 Jul14 (stortzum cady)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00    
 
ARP-2   10/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($4.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEEL SPUN Oct10 Sep26 Sep08 Aug04 Jul21 (gleason tyrone)RAMOS B 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
EYES ON GLADIATOR Sep19 Nov17 Oct25 Oct13   (rushton stetson)DELORME L 121 4.50    
SCR  CARO'S GLADIATOR         (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 121 8.00 20% 4.00    
AUNT DEE Oct10 Sep19       (esquibel mark)CARRENO J 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
ESSIE'S EDGE Oct18 Oct04 Sep17 Sep03   (graber jessic)CARDOSO DAVID 120 12.00    
TALL TALE Oct04 Aug18 Aug04 Jun28 May26 (arceo lui)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00    
SCR  HIGHER PATH Sep12 Aug09 Jul11     (carlson jayc)BANDA F 120 3.50    
NEON WRANGLER Sep19 Aug30 Jul13 Jun22 Jun06 (kemper kasey)RAMEY CASH 120 5.00 11% 8.50    
 
ARP-3   10/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLOUD BLITZ Sep28 Aug03 Jul19 Feb03 Jan16 (martinez a)COUTON JULIEN 120 2.50 32% 2.10    
ORO Oct10 Sep27 Aug17 Aug03 Jul02 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00    
PERSCRIPTURE Oct12 Sep26 Sep12 Aug22 Aug01 (stortzum cady)CARRENO J 124 4.50    
UKRAINE STRONG Oct10 Sep27 Sep19 Sep07 Aug29 (lavanway days)CARDOSO DAVID 124 8.00    
BIGPARTY NOWHISKEY Mar01 Nov17 Nov01 Oct18 Oct05 (rushton stetson)DELORME L 121 5.00 30% 2.30    
BETTER EDGE Oct10 Sep28 Sep13 Jul18 Jun21 (arceo lui)MEDINA ANGEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
NOBLE LAKER Oct10 Sep07 Aug29 Aug16 Jul19 (cornia andee)CARILLO DANIEL 120 12.00    
RUNNIN BUFFALO Oct18 Sep13 Jul13 Apr19 Nov15 (rushton temple)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50 6% 14.90    
 
ARP-4   10/24/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($6.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOOGE Oct04 Aug31 Aug23 Aug17 Aug02 (mckinney kyn)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
WATER TESTER Sep28 Sep13 Aug17 Jul27 Jul05 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 120 2.50    
MUCHO GIFTED Sep20 Aug02 Jul05 Jun13 Jun01 (rushton stacy)HAAR NATHAN 121 6.00 27% 2.80    
EMPEROR'S CHOICE Sep06 Aug29 Aug23 Aug15 Aug03 (leon alexis)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 3.50    
SCR  JIMMY Oct10 Aug24 Aug01 Jul06 Jun20 (gleason tyrone)RAMOS B 124 10.00    
PAY RAISE Jul26 Jul13 Jun27 May25 May09 (schindler)MEDINA ANGEL 124 12.00 11% 8.20    
STATE SCHOOL SMART Oct05 Sep14 Sep05 Aug23 Aug10 (rushton stetson)CARRENO J 124 4.50 31% 2.20    
TIMEHASCOME Oct04 Sep20 Aug25 Aug11 Jul18 (ramaekers eric)DELORME L 124 6.00    
 
ARP-5   10/24/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($8.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCREAMING VIRGINIA Sep27 Sep12 Aug30 Aug16 Jul26 (cornia andee)CARILLO DANIEL 124 6.00    
BAILEY'S MIRACLE Sep19         (martinez a)CARRENO J 120 5.00 15% 5.50    
STAR STUDDED BANNA Oct10 Aug30 Aug17 Aug03 Jul19 (mckinney kyndra)HAAR NATHAN 120 12.00    
POPS REWARD Oct11 Sep20 Aug24 Aug03 May10 (gleason tyrone)RAMOS B 120 2.50    
BRING THE POSSE Sep27 Sep13 Nov03 Oct20 Oct04 (kemper ke)MEDINA ANGEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
TIZ A SNEAKY LINK Sep20 Aug31 Aug16 Jul20   (warren ka)IRONEYES R 120 20.00    
GLITTERS ANDIE Oct10 Sep28 Sep19 Sep02 May10 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 120 3.50 9% 10.50    
KAUFYS REWARD Oct10 Oct17       (ramaekers eric)DELORME L 124 4.50 47% 1.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.