Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Wednesday - October 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(10/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(10/4/3)-(3/4/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-2   WIN (10/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/4/3)-(10/4/3/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/4/3)-(10/4/3/6/9)-(10/4/3/6/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (10/4/3)-(3/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (10/4/3)-(3/4/6)-(6/4/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(6/4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(6/4/5/1)-(4/8/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TDN-4   WIN (6/4/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/1)-(6/4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/5/1)-(6/4/5/1)-(6/4/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/5/1)-(4/8/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5/1)-(4/8/3/7)-(7/2) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
TDN-5   WIN (4/8/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/3/7)-(4/8/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/3/7)-(4/8/3/7)-(4/8/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/3/7)-(7/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/8/3/7)-(7/2)-(4/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TDN-6   WIN (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/2)-(7/1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/2)-(7/1/2)-(7/1/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/2)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/2)-(4/6/1)-(6/5/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TDN-7   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(6/5/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (6/5/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/7/8)-(6/5/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/7/8)-(6/5/7/8)-(6/5/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   10/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($40.1K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BELLE BOTTOMS Oct02 Aug21 Aug04 Jul14 Apr28 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 6.00    
GOOSEBUMPS Aug29 Aug01 Jun06 May22 Apr28 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 115 3.00    
IMA MOM Sep25 May05 Apr02 Mar18 Dec19 (va)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
TOASTMASTER Sep24 Aug29 Aug04 Jul14 Jun23 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
MIESHA Sep24 Aug21 Aug04 Jul14 Jun03 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 2.50 34% 2.00    
DRIVEN FOR SUCCESS Aug19 Jul07 Jun11 May19 Apr29 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 3.50 19% 4.20    
SHANGHAI DELIGHT Sep23 Jun24 Jun07 Mar05 Feb04 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 119 5.00    
 
TDN-2   10/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33.9K) 2 F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO NAPPING         (bernardini jay)DIAZ I 118 8.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of SCATNAP by SCAT DADDY)
MSHAWISH'GIRL Jul03         (cl)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 6.00    
  (by MSHAWISH out of CANDYS GIRL by BERTOLINI)
CATPUCCINO Sep22         (wolochuk davi)CEDILLO MAURO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of THEDOCTORSCAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
LANCES ROMANCE         (dacosta ja)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 118 2.50 18% 4.40    
  (by ENGAGE out of DISCREETLY ROCKIN by DISCREETLY MINE)
THEBEESENVYME Sep22 Sep04       (rone mike)AVILES YAN 118 20.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of OHIO GOLD by WILBURN)
INDIA BRAVA Sep22         (genoves)PILARES P 118 20.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of ORBITAL FLAG by FLAGSHIP)
ELECTRIC EDEN Sep04 Aug25       (mendieta ale)HALDAR J 118 5.00    
  (by CUPID out of EDEN by CURLIN)
SEYVAL BLANC Sep22 Aug06       (rone mike)RIVERA R 118 30.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of PINOTAGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
MO THUNDER Sep22 Aug25       (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 118 15.00    
  (by THUNDER RUMBLE out of MARIONA (CHI) by MOCITO GUAPO (ARG))
10  ECHO VALLEY Sep22 Aug25       (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 2.00 55% 0.80    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of WAKEETA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
 
TDN-3   10/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL FAITE Sep17 Sep01 Aug12 Jul12 Jun20 (genoves)PILARES P 115 3.00    
PREDECESSOR Sep26 Aug04 Jul12 Jun19 May26 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 115 10.00    
BISCOTTI Sep03 Aug13 Jul16 Jun24 Jun01 (hetrick n)AVILES YAN 115 1.80 44% 1.30    
BOLT'S TREASURE Sep09 Aug19 Aug04 Jun23 May29 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 5.00 22% 3.60    
BIG LUCKY Sep26 Jun12       (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.00    
MARAVICH Sep26 Sep09 Aug27 Aug13 May13 (szczepanski emily)PEREZ A 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-4   10/15/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.9K) 2 ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREIDEL COLLECTOR May24         (riefenberg )FIGUEROA SERGIO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
KING OF SWORDS Sep16 Aug26 Aug14 Jul09   (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 4.50    
THIRTY THIRTY Sep26 Sep03 Aug23     (holsapple hut)BARBARAN ERIK 119 3.50    
PUPIL Sep29 Sep13 Aug30 Aug06 Jun01 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 2.00 18% 4.50    
STRIKE BREAKER         (rettele r)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 116 12.00 17% 4.90    
STAR ELLA Sep26 Sep10 Aug19     (rivera r)RIVERA R 116 2.50 35% 1.80    
SHUKRAN Sep26 Sep12       (urieta johanna)PARKER L 119 8.00    
 
TDN-5   10/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHLOES ANGEL Oct02 Sep16 Aug07 Jul01 Jun16 (rivera r)BOWEN ROCCO 119 12.00    
HIGH FIRE Sep29 Sep08 Aug18 May08 Apr05 (johnson g)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 121 5.00    
EXPRESS FASHION Oct08 Sep25 Sep10 Aug19 Jul16 (meyers sha)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 3.00 12% 7.40    
LADY JASPER Oct02 Jun26 Apr05 Mar10 Jan23 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 2.50 52% 0.90    
THE KID'S PRAYER Sep29 Sep16 Aug28 Aug07 Jul16 (re)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 10.00    
POWER BANKER Sep29 Sep08 Aug07 Jun23 Jun02 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 6.00    
ANGEL WINGS Sep22 Aug29 Jul09 Jun18 May21 (calderon ivan)AVILES YAN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
KETTLE KISS Sep17 Aug28 Aug14 Aug07 Jul16 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 4.00 13% 7.00    
 
TDN-6   10/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SON OF A G Q Sep25 Aug12       (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 3.50    
MY BUDDY MICAH Sep25 Sep04 Aug24 Sep16 Aug19 (pappada julie )HOUGHTON D 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BOLD WINDSOR Oct06         (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00    
BANK ON FRANK Sep25 Sep17 Aug28 Aug12   (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 4.00    
LUCKY KATER Mar12 Jan28       (casalinov)MARTINEZ L 123 10.00    
STRIKING LAD Sep25 Aug28 Aug05 Aug19 Aug01 (flores christi)DIAZ I 123 4.50    
DRILL EM Aug12 Mar04 Feb08 Jan15 Dec28 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 1.60 79% 0.30    
 
TDN-7   10/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SECRET VALENTINE Jul05 May22 May08 Nov26 Nov13 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 6.00 5% 19.00    
SUNNY LION Aug08 Jul12 Jun07 May08 Feb27 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 115 5.00    
CREDIT CHECK Sep24 Sep09 Aug21 Aug04 Jun24 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 8.00    
PARLAY CHARLIE Oct01 Sep11 Aug26 Jul15 Jun18 (meyers shane)FELICIANO R 119 2.00 58% 0.70    
FLASHY N Oct01 Sep09 Aug21 Mar27 Mar20 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 3.00    
SALTMAKESHERSWEET Oct01 Aug18 Jul08 Jun10 May28 (johnson l)AVILES YAN 119 4.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  WILD MARIAH Sep30 Aug19 Aug07 Jun30 Jun09 (johnson g)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 15.00    
 
TDN-8   10/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALICED Oct01 Aug20 Jun11 May22 May03 (urieta johanna)PARKER L 119 2.00    
SPECIAL BEACH Oct01 Sep10 Aug26 Aug05 Jun18 (mahan joseph )BRACHO A 119 4.50    
CALENDULA Jul09 Jun18 May19 Apr29 Apr06 (lopez enrique )GONZALEZ A 119 6.00    
THELMA LUCILLE Sep25 Sep16 Aug26 Aug05 Jul08 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 119 10.00    
BATTLE TESTED Aug28 Apr29 Apr12 Mar10 Feb28 (crumley jevon)DIAZ I 119 12.00 16% 5.30    
DIOSA CATRINA Sep16 Sep01 Aug18 Aug05 Jul09 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 2.50 41% 1.50    
PRINCESS HALIME Sep26 Jun16 Feb26 Feb04 Dec27 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 14% 6.00    
GORMLEY GIRL Aug25 Aug05 Jul09 Jun23 May13 (faulkner r)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.