Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Thursday - October 09, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(6/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(6/2/4)-(7/3/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-2   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/4)-(7/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/4)-(7/3/2/1)-(2/1/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-3   WIN (7/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/2/1)-(7/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/2/1)-(7/3/2/1)-(7/3/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/2/1)-(2/1/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/3/2/1)-(2/1/7/3)-(9/3/5/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
HAW-4   WIN (2/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/7/3)-(2/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/7/3)-(2/1/7/3)-(2/1/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/7/3)-(9/3/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/7/3)-(9/3/5/6)-(3/4/7/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
HAW-5   WIN (9/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/5/6)-(9/3/5/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/3/5/6)-(9/3/5/6/1)-(9/3/5/6/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/3/5/6)-(3/4/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (9/3/5/6)-(3/4/7/6)-(3/1/2/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
HAW-6   WIN (3/4/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/7/6)-(3/4/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/7/6)-(3/4/7/6)-(3/4/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/7/6)-(3/1/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7/6)-(3/1/2/8)-(5/6/7/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
HAW-7   WIN (3/1/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/2/8)-(3/1/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2/8)-(3/1/2/8)-(3/1/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/2/8)-(5/6/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HAW-8   WIN (5/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/2)-(5/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/2)-(5/6/7/2)-(5/6/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   10/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TONKA TROUBLE Apr11         (rosin coty)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 4.50    
2  BEAR RILLA         (anthony da)HERRERA C 124 10.00 18% 4.40    
3  SMITHY         (ramirez c)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 116 8.00 18% 4.40    
4  MY LAST ESCAPADE Sep14 Aug21 Jul10 Jun19 May29 (slager mike)FELIX E 124 2.50    
5  CHARLEY PRIDE Sep21 Jun28 May09 Apr06 Mar07 (rosin coty)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 1.80 23% 3.30    
6  LUCKY SEVEN Jun14 May22 May07 Dec21 Nov24 (hughes earl )TAVARES JAVIER 124 5.00    
 
HAW-2   10/09/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.75K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAND MARK DEAL Sep21 Aug31 Aug10 Jul20 Jul10 (meraz ant)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 4.50    
2  POLTERER Oct02 Sep18 Aug30 Jul31 Feb24 (hernandez arma)COLON H 122 3.50 26% 2.80    
3  ICE AXE Aug28 Aug07 Jul20 Jul03 Jun26 (villalobos)HERRERA C 122 8.00    
4  EUCLID AVENUE Sep27 Aug09 Jul20 Jul03 Jun19 (mosier harold)REYES FRANK 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  STRONGER TOGETHER Sep11 Jul31 Jul05 Jun19 Jun08 (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 122 2.50    
6  MCMONEY Sep18 Aug28 Jul10 Jun29 May29 (banks chris)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 1.80 36% 1.80    
 
HAW-3   10/09/2025 3300ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAELI (FR) Aug08         (vaccarezza ni)CASTILLO AMIN 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ROMANISED out of VEZINA by PRIZED)
2  D' ARGONAUT Aug30 Jul20 Jul10 Oct13   (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 121 4.00 7% 13.10    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of D'ARGENT DE MIEL by UNION RAGS)
3  TRIPLE MOON Aug28 Aug07       (block chris)COLON H 121 3.00 11% 8.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of SPLIT TALLY by TWO PUNCH)
4  BRIENNE OF SKYE         (cowans d)MOJICA O 121 5.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of BOLD BREANNA by ARCH)
5  PHILLEEISRAEL Jan03         (robertson )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 10.00    
  (by IRONICUS out of MANILLE by NORTHERN AFLEET)
6  DAISY MAE ATTACK Sep14 Aug10 Jul17 Jun14 May10 (childers shane)REYES FRANK 121 8.00    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of SECOND HAND ROSY by MILITARY)
7  YE OLE JOKER Aug30 Aug06       (robertson)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 121 2.00 57% 0.70    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of THISOLEHEARTOFMINE by POINT OF ENTRY)
SCR  LADY ELISE Oct29 Oct03       (cristel j)REYES FRANK 121 6.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of EXQUISITE LADY by POSSE)
 
HAW-4   10/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  XPRESSIR Sep16 Jul06 Jun19 Apr26 Oct29 (quinonez maximino)FELIX E 122 8.00 36% 1.80    
2  BREAKING NEWS (GB) Sep25 Sep02 Jul27 Jun01 May01 (rodriguez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 1.80 39% 1.60    
3  COOLTHING Sep30 Sep09 Aug26 Jul26 Jul12 (lynch har)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  CHAMPAGNE MIKE Sep18 Aug28 Aug17 Jul31 Jul20 (rosas rigo)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 10.00    
5  SHAMAN SEZ Sep04 Jul06 Jun15 Jun01 May08 (robertson hugh)MOJICA O 122 2.50    
6  GOT GHOSTED Sep13 Aug24 Aug09 Jul27 Jul02 (escobar ma)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 5.00    
7  LAVENDER EARL Sep14 Aug31 Aug24 Jul31 Jul06 (ramirez c)ULLOA JOAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-5   10/09/2025 4950ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11.25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL ABOUT TONITE Aug31 Jun01 May04 Apr20 Mar30 (rodriguez edua)COLON H 122 12.00 ★    
2  CRECENCIO Sep02 Aug17 Jun23 Jun10 May18 (lopez eli)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 119 15.00    
3  GRAND ILLUSION Sep21 Sep11 Aug28 Jul01 May29 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 4.00 33% 2.00    
4  STORM'S REFLECTION Sep18 Sep04 Aug17 Jul20 Jun29 (reyes martin)FELIX E 122 20.00    
5  PAPA'S NICO BOY Sep20 Sep03 Aug02 Jul12 Jun28 (berndt joe)GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  SHARP STICK Sep21 Sep07 Aug03 Jul20 Jun29 (hernandez ar)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BRIT BLITZ Sep17 Aug21 Aug07 Jul13 Jun01 (berndt joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 4.50    
8  TIE BREAKER LENNIE Sep06 Aug23 Jul24 Jul06 May18 (meraz ant)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 20.00    
9  CANYON STREAK Sep21 Sep07 Aug17 Aug07 Jul13 (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 119 3.50 42% 1.40    
10  NEW YEAR SURPRISE Sep28 Sep11 Aug28 Aug10 Jul20 (rosas rigo)REYES FRANK 122 15.00    
11  CANYON SHADOWS Aug21 Aug03 Jul17 Jul06 Oct13 (kirby frank )TAVARES JAVIER 122 30.00    
12  HAY MOON Sep13 Aug17 Aug06 Jul02 Jun08 (escobar mar)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 6.00    
 
HAW-6   10/09/2025 5280ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATMIDNIGHT Sep13 Aug28 Jul09 Jun01 May18 (campbell mi)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 6.00    
2  SPICY DELIGHT Sep19 Aug23 Jun14 May27 May02 (fridley st)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 15.00    
3  MO PICS PLEASE Aug28 Jan26 Dec04 Oct25 Oct12 (morey e)FELIX E 119 3.00 34% 2.00    
4  SUPRISE ME AGAIN Sep14 Aug28 Aug03 Jul13 Jun12 (block chris)COLON H 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
5  LADY BLAKE Sep14 Aug16 Jul03 May29 Apr16 (baker james)MOJICA O 119 4.50    
6  OH MACARENA Sep25 Sep07 Aug14 Aug03 Jun29 (bigelow c)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  STAR BLESSING (IRE) Sep14 Aug07 Jul03 Jun14   (catalano )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 119 5.00 9% 9.90    
8  KAIA'S CHOICE Sep25 Aug31 Sep26     (berndt joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 121 15.00    
 
HAW-7   10/09/2025 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCE RAMA Sep20 Aug31 Aug17 Aug09 Jul13 (rengstorf tony)MOJICA O 122 4.00 25% 3.00    
2  HOLIDAY FANTASY Aug27 Aug13 Jul30 Jul13 Jul05 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 6.00 13% 6.70    
3  GENERAL ISSUE (FR) Sep18 Aug31 Aug10 Jul17 Jun29 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 124 4.50 30% 2.40    
SCR  JUSTICE ONCE Aug18 May09 Apr03 Sep23 Sep06 (rosin coty)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 8.00    
5  DOUBLE THUNDER Sep13 Aug19 Jul31 Jul17 Jun01 (young r)REYES FRANK 122 6.00    
6  CONI'S COUP Aug24 Jul17 Jun05 Sep15 Aug11 (block chris)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 10.00    
7  WORDS OF WISDOM Sep10 Aug31 Aug13 Jul27 Jul04 (rengstorf )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 2.50    
8  JET FLIGHT Aug24 Aug07 Jul20 Jul10 Jun26 (rosas rigo)COLON H 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-8   10/09/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON LIFE Sep21 Sep06 Aug17 Aug07 Jul24 (hernandez ar)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00    
2  REDFIELD Aug30 Aug02 Jul19 Jun21 May25 (watkins james )DIEGO JAVIER 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  WOODCOCK FLIGHT (IRE) Sep11 Aug24 Aug07 Jul14 Mar14 (banks chris)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 8.00    
4  HARD TO FATHOM Sep21 Sep07 Aug17 Aug07 Jul24 (simonovich)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 4.00    
5  EVEN THE WIND Sep21 Aug07 Jul13 Jun15 May29 (block chris)MOJICA O 122 3.00 37% 1.70    
6  RIVER REDEMPTION Sep21 Aug24 Jul02 May07 Mar15 (young r)COLON H 122 6.00 31% 2.30    
7  SONIC SPEED Sep20 Sep13 Aug20 Aug06 Jul04 (escobar m)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 4.50 8% 12.00    
8  CAUGHT OFF GUARD Sep20 Aug27 Aug06 Jul13 Jul04 (berndt joel)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.