Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Presque Isle Downs
Tuesday - September 30, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PID-1   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(5/6/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(5/6/1)-(5/4/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PID-2   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(5/4/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(5/4/3)-(8/1/9/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PID-3   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(8/1/9/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(8/1/9/7)-(7/4/1/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-4   WIN (8/1/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/9/7)-(8/1/9/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/1/9/7)-(8/1/9/7)-(8/1/9/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/9/7)-(7/4/1/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (8/1/9/7)-(7/4/1/5)-(6/4/7/1/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PID-5   WIN (7/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/5)-(7/4/1/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/5)-(7/4/1/5)-(7/4/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/1/5)-(6/4/7/1/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1/5)-(6/4/7/1/9)-(2/6/1/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PID-6   WIN (6/4/7/1/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/7/1/9)-(6/4/7/1/9) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (6/4/7/1/9)-(6/4/7/1/9)-(6/4/7/1/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/4/7/1/9)-(2/6/1/7) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7/1/9)-(2/6/1/7)-(5/6/1/8/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
PID-7   WIN (2/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/1/7)-(2/6/1/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/6/1/7)-(2/6/1/7)-(2/6/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/1/7)-(5/6/1/8/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
PID-8   WIN (5/6/1/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/1/8/3)-(5/6/1/8/3) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (5/6/1/8/3)-(5/6/1/8/3)-(5/6/1/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PID-1   09/30/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOHO LADY Aug10 Jul28 Jun29 May31   (guciardo john)BAYS BROOKE 118 3.00 35% 1.90    
2  THAT'S ME Sep10 Sep01 Aug25     (fennessy john)DELGADO DAVID 121 15.00    
3  PROBLEM KID Sep22 Aug25 Jul28 Jul14 May14 (schaber )MARTINEZ A 121 10.00    
4  NUN GIMEL HAY PO Sep08 Aug25 Aug11 Jul14 Jun30 (potts g)AYALA J 125 1.80 40% 1.50    
5  KUKU Sep01 Aug12 Dec15 Nov29 Nov07 (morrell ju)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  CHANNEL ME IN Sep16 Sep03 Aug18 Aug04 Jul04 (hoffman mark)MARTINEZ W 125 4.00    
SCR  FILLYRULES Sep01 Aug25 Aug15 Jul28 Jul04 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 125 4.50    
 
PID-2   09/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THUNDER CANE Sep01 Aug13 Jul29 Apr18 Mar19 (russell )MARTINEZ A 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  KUNOOZ Sep11 Aug30 Aug13 Jul30 Jun21 (stokes l)GALLARDO A 119 8.00    
3  VALIANT EXCHANGE Sep10 Jul08 Jun10 Apr14 Feb16 (guciardo john)BAYS BROOKE 118 2.50    
4  J R JONE Z Sep10 Aug12 Jul22 Jun25 Apr26 (mcclellan eri)ROJAS MARTINA 123 5.00    
5  VENIK Sep17 Sep03 Aug19 Jul30 Jul16 (rice linda)SPIETH S 119 1.60 53% 0.90    
6  CAMILO Sep08 Aug12 Jul22 Jul09 Jun16 (cheeks katy)MORALES PABLO 123 4.00 22% 3.60    
 
PID-3   09/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COURAGEOUS ARI Sep08 Aug25 Aug06 Jul23 Jul14 (skawinski car)DELGADO DAVID 119 4.00    
2  MARGO'S MARGARITA Sep17 Sep04 Aug08 Jul25 Jun18 (fields kevin)BEATO INOEL 119 8.00    
3  AURORA'S MUSIC Aug04 Jun29 May20 May04 Mar30 (zook jef)MARTINEZ A 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  ON RESERVE Sep16 Aug19 Aug04 Jul22 Jul03 (cobb marga)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 119 1.80 30% 2.30    
5  BUCCHINI Sep09 Aug19 Jul28 Jul14 Oct19 (guciardo)GALLARDO A 119 1.40 48% 1.10    
 
PID-4   09/30/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOUISIANIMAL Sep10 Sep03 Aug13 Jul21 Jul05 (rojas murray )ROJAS MARTINA 123 2.50 25% 3.00    
2  CRAZY KATER Sep15 Aug28 Aug14 Jul30 Jun26 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 4.50    
SCR  UNCLE JOCK Sep24 Sep03 Aug18 Aug04 Nov22 (boyer j)VILLA-GOMEZ H 123 20.00    
SCR  BEAR CREEK Sep17 Sep02 Aug15 Aug04 Jul16 (hoffman mark)BAYS BROOKE 116 8.00    
5  FROZEN FOUR Sep15 Sep03 Aug12 Jul29 Jul03 (barron rory)AYALA J 125 12.00    
6  BUCK WILD Sep17 Aug22 Aug02 Jul24 Jul01 (wadams dewigh)MORALES PABLO 123 15.00    
7  ROUND OF APPLAUSE Sep15 Sep01 Aug06 Jul21 Jun30 (vargas anto)MARTINEZ W 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  NIGHT RIDE Sep03 Aug25 Jul28 Jul08 Jun17 (stokes l)GALLARDO A 123 4.00 27% 2.70    
9  RUNAWAY HARRY Sep23 Aug25 Aug04 Jul03 May28 (pappada mic)SEVERINO VICTOR 123 3.00 19% 4.30    
 
PID-5   09/30/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($41K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MEAN EILEEN Aug30 Jun14 May17 Nov06 Oct11 (sharp joe)TORRES JOMAR 119 4.00 13% 6.90    
2  REIGERT GIRLS Aug28 Jul17 May17 Feb07 Jan08 (kulp bra)MARTINEZ A 123 4.50    
3  TIME FOR AN ANGEL Sep17 Sep02 Aug12 Jul31 Jun27 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 125 5.00    
4  ZO LEE Aug08 Jul17 Jun14 May17 Apr10 (danner k)GALLARDO A 123 3.00 17% 4.80    
5  COME TO MAMA Aug30 Aug13 Jul28 Jul08 Jun10 (brooks e)SPIETH S 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  NEEDED Sep17 Sep10 Aug18 Jul22 Jul04 (gilmartin brend)JIMENEZ S 123 12.00    
7  MILLIAT (IRE) Aug30 Jul26 Jun07 Sep14 Jun28 (walsh brendan)MORALES PABLO 123 2.50 48% 1.10    
 
PID-6   09/30/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUSTICE IS SWEET Sep17         (connelly tere)MORALES PABLO 119 10.00 7% 12.80    
2  BENGAL CAT Sep09 Sep02 Aug06 Jul23 Jul08 (antus lawre)SEVERINO VICTOR 125 15.00    
3  T REX Sep18 Sep08 Aug23 Jul30 Jun26 (rogers ronald)ROJAS MARTINA 123 6.00    
4  LETS GET IT ON Sep08 Aug19 Aug06     (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 119 4.50 16% 5.20    
5  SACHMO Sep18 Aug28 Aug14 Jul30 Jul11 (salvaggi)GALLARDO A 123 5.00    
6  KING MENDELSSOHN Aug19 Jul30 Jul11 Jun13 May02 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 3.50 42% 1.40    
7  ATWORK Aug16 Jun28 Jun14 May18   (russell randall)ALLEN M 119 2.50 8% 11.40    
8  DECLARATION TIME Sep18 Aug27 Jul30 Jul18 Jun25 (smith lawrenc)DELGADO DAVID 123 6.00    
9  REVERSE THE CURSE Aug22 Jul25 Jun18 May29   (crook-demasi k)TORRES JOMAR 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-7   09/30/2025 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEAVY POUR Aug30 Jul21 Jun16 Apr24 Mar14 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 123 6.00 11% 8.30    
2  IMPACTO Sep09 Jul22 Jun26 May21 Apr27 (arriagada juan)MARTINEZ W 123 4.50 29% 2.40    
3  CALVIN'S RIDE Sep15 Sep02 Aug12 Jul22 Jul08 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 121 6.00    
4  HE'S A MESS Sep19 Aug11 Jul21 Jul09 Jun16 (davis scoo)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 123 3.00    
SCR  LINO'S KID Jul03 Jun17 May29 May14 Feb12 (baez ralph )SEVERINO VICTOR 123 20.00    
6  MCCULLOUGH Mar19 Feb15 Oct19 Aug31 Jun30 (russell )GALLARDO A 123 2.50 26% 2.80    
7  EXTRASEXYBIGDADDEE Sep19 Aug29 Aug20 Jul21 Jun23 (davis scooter)SPIETH S 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  WOW WHATA PARTY Sep08 Aug13 Jul18 Jul10 Jun13 (lawrence james)TORRES JOMAR 125 15.00    
9  ALEMAN Sep15 Aug13 Jul28 Jul09 Jun17 (jarvis kathy)ASHTON GAVIN 123 20.00    
SCR  PANTHOR Sep22 Sep01 Aug12 Apr16 Mar29 (winters mich)TAPARA BRANDON 123 12.00    
 
PID-8   09/30/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WATERMELON CRUSH Sep06 Aug13 Jul30 Jul19 Jul02 (wadams d)GALLARDO A 125 3.00 13% 6.40    
2  SPECTACULAR LUCK Sep10 Sep01 Aug12 Jul23 Jul08 (ccamaque marc)VILLA-GOMEZ H 123 8.00    
3  TWELVETWO Sep15 Sep01 Aug13 Jul29 Jul15 (gilmartin brend)JIMENEZ S 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  PALACE REVOLT Aug13 Jul14 Jul03 Jun04 Apr12 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 119 6.00    
5  CHILL BOSS Sep15 Sep01 Aug19 Jul04 Jun10 (rojas murray )ROJAS MARTINA 119 1.80 38% 1.70    
6  BREATH DEEPLY Sep01 Aug12 Jul23 Jun24 Apr16 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 123 4.00 26% 2.90    
7  DR. DARBY Sep16 Sep02 Apr23 Mar01 Feb15 (gutterson ka)BERRIOS C 123 50.00    
8  SNOVEMBER Sep10 Jul23 Jul02 Jun16 May28 (schaber debb)AYALA J 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  NOBLE STAR Sep02 Aug16 Aug02 Jun21 Jun01 (reust megan)JIMENEZ S 123 15.00    
10  BRADY Sep01 Aug12 Jun25 Jun16 May26 (antus lawrence)GARCIA F 123 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.