Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Friday - September 26, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(2/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(2/4/3)-(4/2/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-2   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(4/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(4/2/1)-(3/1/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-3   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(3/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(3/1/5)-(3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-4   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(3/5)-(3/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-5   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/5)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(3/2/4)-(3/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
TDN-6   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(3/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(3/4/1)-(1/5/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-7   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(1/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
TDN-8   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   09/26/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THISISRIDICULOUS Sep02 Aug13 Jul02 Jun11 May22 (skerrett jeffrey)PEREZ A 119 12.00    
MO SNOW Jul01 May26 May11 Apr08 Sep24 (casalinov)MARTINEZ L 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
TIZ RUDDY BEN Sep17 Jul02 Dec06 Nov28 Nov09 (skerrett jeffrey)VIGIL NOEL 119 3.50 27% 2.70    
LAST U TURN Sep15 Aug26 Aug13 Feb21 Feb09 (at)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 4.00    
SCR  VIVA VICTORY Sep02 Jul17 Jul02 Jun07 Jan11 (reust megan)JIMENEZ S 119 15.00    
STREETS OF WAR Sep15 Aug26 Aug13 May03 Apr05 (rivera nes)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 2.00 46% 1.20    
ROYAL DECADENCE Sep17 Aug20 Aug05 Jun03 May20 (schuster )RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 2.50    
 
TDN-2   09/26/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TATTERED HEART Aug31 Jul30 Jul06 May25 May12 (juarez-m)FERNANDEZ R 119 2.50    
PRINCESS HALIME Jun16 Feb26 Feb04 Dec27 Dec03 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 54% 0.80    
THEODOROPOULOS Sep10 Aug26 Aug14 Jul17 Jun30 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
TIZZY JOJO Sep10 Jul17 Jun03 May05 Apr22 (johnson g)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 2.00 12% 7.40    
RIGHT TRAPPE Sep01 May29 May19 Apr22 Apr12 (rone mike)RIVERA R 119 8.00    
SCR  LILAC LACE Jun24 May21 May06 Apr23 Mar26 (yoder d)VIGIL NOEL 119 4.00    
 
TDN-3   09/26/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 2 ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUNNINGONHIGHLEVEL         (swan kirsten)SWAN KIRSTEN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of LEVEL WITH ME by ROCK SLIDE)
GAME PERFORMER Sep12 Aug26       (rone mike)AVILES YAN 118 3.00 20% 3.90    
  (by GAME WINNER out of SWEETNESS 'N LIGHT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SUPERSONIC AGENDA Sep18         (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 115 5.00    
  (by KNOWN AGENDA out of CONCORD ECLIPSE by TIZNOW)
STAR ELLA Sep10 Aug19       (rivera r)RIVERA R 115 1.60 38% 1.60    
  (by UPSTART out of SWEET ELLA by SCAT DADDY)
SHUKRAN Sep12         (urieta jo)MARTINEZ L 118 2.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of VERDULA by MIZZEN MAST)
 
TDN-4   09/26/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUBU Sep09 Aug21 Aug05 Jun23 Jun03 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 121 2.00 25% 3.00    
SACRED CONNECTION Sep09 Aug20 Aug05 Jul15 Jul02 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 119 4.00    
DREAMING OF AUDREY Aug21 Aug05 Jul15 Jun23 May21 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.50 48% 1.10    
WICCA WISDOM Sep01 Aug21 Aug05 Jul02 Jun11 (urieta jo)MARTINEZ L 119 8.00    
BEAUTIFUL MANDATE Aug18 Jul14 Jun23 Jun03 May17 (er)SALAZAR FERNANDO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
LATE NITE LIZZIE Sep09 Aug05 Jul15 Jun23 Jun03 (juarez-mendoz)BRACHO A 123 3.00    
 
TDN-5   09/26/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HIDDEN ACCESS May14 May03 Apr07 Dec03 Nov12 (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 119 5.00    
MISSION CONTROL Aug27 Jul08 Jun16 May16 Oct08 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 123 3.00    
WE NEED A FAVOR Sep03 Aug25 Jul08 Jun09 May08 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 115 2.00 38% 1.60    
MY BROTHER CAM Sep03 Jul08 Jun16 Oct03 Sep11 (ray kevin)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 1.80    
ONLY GET'N BETTER Sep03 Aug18 Jul08 Jun16 Jun02 (urieta johan)HALDAR J 121 6.00 12% 7.40    
 
TDN-6   09/26/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PREDECESSOR Aug04 Jul12 Jun19 May26 Mar28 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 119 10.00    
BIG LUCKY Jun12         (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 119 2.50 24% 3.10    
BOUND TO SUCCEED Aug24 Aug04 Jun26 May03 Feb15 (trevino stephen)BOWEN ROCCO 123 1.80 49% 1.10    
MARAVICH Sep09 Aug27 Aug13 May13 Apr29 (szczepanski emily)PEREZ A 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
DAYTONA GOLD Sep09 Aug25 Aug04 Jun30 Jun10 (rivera r)RIVERA R 119 2.00    
SCR  NOBLE HERO Sep10 Aug16 Aug03 Jun21 May25 (reust megan)JIMENEZ S 123 12.00    
 
TDN-7   09/26/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL MUCHACHO ALEGRE Aug16 Jul20 Jul05 Jun01 Feb15 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
KNICKS GATE Aug25 Jul10 May03 Apr09   (colebrook ben)BRACHO A 121 1.60    
DON CORLEONE Sep10 Aug25 Aug04 Jul16 May08 (szczepanski em)DIAZ I 123 1.80 25% 3.00    
PICARO Aug13 Jul10 Jun23 Jun10 May20 (juarez-men)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 6.00 21% 3.90    
IT'S LAST CALL Sep09 Aug19 Aug04 Jun23 May29 (juarez-m)FERNANDEZ R 123 3.00    
 
TDN-8   09/26/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST BE QUIET Aug08 Jul05 Jun21 May15 Apr23 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 2.00 52% 0.90    
SCR  HIGH FIRE Sep08 Aug18 May08 Apr05 Mar10 (johnson g)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 123 4.50    
VESPERA Sep04 Aug19 Jul16 Jun09 May13 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.50    
SCR  HERE KITTY KITTY Aug12 Jul17 Jun26 Jun07 May22 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 119 6.00    
CHANEL SPIRIT Sep02 Aug21 Aug09 Oct26 Sep17 (cline c)GONZALEZ A 119 2.50 14% 6.20    
TIERNEY Sep19 Aug27 Aug11 Jun21 Jun03 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 7% 13.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.