Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Saturday - September 20, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-3   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (4/3)-(3/2)-(3/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
ARP-4   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(3/4)-(2/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
ARP-5   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(2/3)-(5/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ARP-6   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/3)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
ARP-7   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-3   09/20/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP C/G PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  BIG JACK Aug31 Jul27 Apr24 Mar22 Feb05 (martinez a)RAMOS B 124 2.50    
3  FERRARI RED Aug22 Jul27 Oct13 Oct04 Sep22 (martinez a)CARRENO J 121 3.50 13% 6.60    
4  SUBSIDIZE Aug31 Jul04 Jun08 May18 Apr26 (rushton t)MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  LOOKOUT PASS Aug16 Jul26 Jul19 May18 Mar05 ( )TBA null      
 
ARP-4   09/20/2025 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($6.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHARP WARNING Sep06 Aug31 Aug17 Jul27 Jul19 (warren kayla)DELORME L 124 2.50    
2  GROOVY HUEY Aug16 Aug02 Jul12 Jun08 May31 (kemper kasey)RAMEY CASH 124 5.00 24% 3.20    
3  TIMEHASCOME Aug25 Aug11 Jul18 Jul12 Jul05 (ramaekers)MEDINA ANGEL 124 4.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  DAD BOD Aug31 Aug17 Aug03 Jul20 Jul06 (dominguez)IRONEYES R 124 3.50    
5  MUCHO GIFTED Aug02 Jul05 Jun13 Jun01 May17 (rushton stacy)RAMOS B 121 10.00    
 
ARP-5   09/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NUMERO SIETE Sep08 Aug25 Aug12 Jul16 Jul04 (hibdon ma)MEDINA ANGEL 124 2.50    
2  TULSA TIME Aug30 Aug09 Jul20 Jul06 Jun28 (vicchrilli russel)RAMOS B 121 3.50    
3  SCRATCHY APACHE Sep06 Aug31 Aug10 Aug02 Jul12 (lavanway days)CARDOSO DAVID 124 5.00 33% 2.10    
4  SOUTH COAST ROUTE Sep01 Aug16 Aug10 Jul20 Jun22 (mitchell )IRONEYES R 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  MISTER CHAIRMAN Sep01 Aug06 Jul04 Jun13 May16 (ramaekers eric)DELORME L 124 3.50    
 
ARP-6   09/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Arapahoe County Commissioner's Purse ($21K) 3 ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRODY'S TREASURE Sep13 Sep01 May10 Apr27 Apr19 (hibdon n)CARRENO J 120 3.50    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of TUT'S TREASURE by UNTUTTABLE)
2  KOSARI Sep08 Aug17 Aug02 Jul04 Jun15 (parsons riley)HAAR NATHAN 120 2.00 46% 1.20    
  (by AUDIBLE out of CONJURESS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
3  BORDER VIGIL Sep13 Aug17 Apr23 Apr15 Mar25 (kemper ke)MEDINA ANGEL 120 4.00 26% 2.80    
  (by AUDIBLE out of WAR TWEET by DATA LINK)
4  FORTHELONGHAUL Sep01 Aug08 Jun14 May31 May09 (rushton stets)CARDOSO DAVID 120 2.50    
  (by CAJUN BREEZE out of FLORA FANTASY by COWTOWN CAT)
 
ARP-7   09/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DYIN A THIRST Aug30 Aug23 Aug17 Jul26 Jul13 (dominguez)IRONEYES R 120 3.50    
2  GOLDEN BEAUTY Jul26 Jul13 Nov17 Oct26 Sep28 (martinez a)CARRENO J 120 2.50 18% 4.60    
3  FLY FREE Nov15 Nov02 Oct13 Oct05 Sep20 (kemper kerry)RAMOS B 121 8.00    
4  DEVIL D' ORO Aug25 Jul25 Jul12 Jun14 Nov03 (rushton stetson)HAAR NATHAN 124 6.00    
5  SO THRILLING Aug27 Aug16 Jul03 Jun07 May01 (rushton t)MEDINA ANGEL 120 4.50 43% 1.30    
6  SHE'S SO TRUE Aug31 Aug16 Jul26 Jul19 Jul05 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 120 10.00 10% 9.00    
7  MASTER JANE Aug24 Jul25 Jun27 May25 May17 (rushton stetson)DELORME L 124 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.