Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Wednesday - September 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BTP-2   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(6/3/5)-(5/1/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-3   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5)-(5/1/3)-(2/8/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-4   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(2/8/1/3)-(3/2/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-5   WIN (2/8/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/1/3)-(2/8/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/1/3)-(2/8/1/3)-(2/8/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-6   WIN (3/2/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/4/6)-(3/2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/4/6)-(3/2/4/6)-(3/2/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4/6)-(2/7/4/5)-(12/7/9/11/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
BTP-7   WIN (2/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/5)-(2/7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/5)-(2/7/4/5)-(2/7/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/4/5)-(12/7/9/11/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
BTP-8   WIN (12/7/9/11/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (12/7/9/11/8)-(12/7/9/11/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (12/7/9/11/8)-(12/7/9/11/8)-(12/7/9/11/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   09/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($19.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M LEGIT Aug29 Aug06 Jul10 Sep28 Sep07 (melancon paul)MOJICA JR 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
FEELING EASY Jul16 Jun25 Jun03 May22 Nov04 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 123 1.80    
SCR  BETTER HALF Aug28 Aug07 Jul16 Mar10 Jan23 (hamm timoth)NUNEZ Y 123 6.00    
DANCEHALL JUSTICE Jun27 Apr10 Mar11 Feb06 Jan25 (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 119 1.40 37% 1.70    
DANZANITEAWAY Aug29 Aug06 Jul10 Jun21 May24 (barker sco)HERNANDEZ A 123 3.50    
 
BTP-2   09/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KARA GIN K Sep28         (norris mike)MURGIA A 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
ALTERNATIVE GRACE Aug30 Jul05 Jun07 Nov02 Oct08 (wells duane)MOJICA JR 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
DARING HOPE Aug09 Jul19 May30 Mar16 Feb21 (bahena is)CORREA L 125 1.60    
CLASSIC TIRAMISU Sep02 Aug08 Jul19 Jul01 May30 (estvanko rich)LEBRON VICTOR 121 2.00    
SLYBOOTS Aug02 Feb26       (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 121 3.00 61% 0.60    
NIGHT BIRDIE Aug21         (fernandez edwar)BOCACHICA O 121 5.00    
 
BTP-3   09/17/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHOW ME THE LIGHT Aug31 Aug20 Aug06 Jul05 Jun07 (wells duane)LEBRON VICTOR 121 4.50    
ENDLESS FASHION Aug29 Aug20 Aug06 Jul30 Jul17 (mendieta aleja)PAULY SUMMER 116 3.00    
TONE OF SILENCE Aug29 Aug16 Jul30 Jul12 Jun25 (childs russ)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
WILLFUL ROSE Sep02 Aug16 Aug02 Jul25 Jul09 (kutt donna )FIGUEROA SERGIO 121 3.50    
CARLISLE KITTEN Sep02 Aug01 Jul23 Jul05 Aug09 (helmbrecht)HERNANDEZ A 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
BENET Aug16 Aug02 Jul17 Jun25 Feb09 (meredith charle)MOJICA JR 125 2.00 57% 0.80    
 
BTP-4   09/17/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE CHARGE D'ORO Aug28 Aug15 Aug01 Jul16 Jun19 (smith larry)OUZTS W 122 5.00 6% 15.60    
SCR  MIDNITESTATEOFMIND Jul17 Jun27 Apr29 Apr02 Dec09 (west aaro)BERMUDEZ E 122 3.00    
REAPPLY Aug28 Aug01 Jul02 Jun13 May22 (barker sco)HERNANDEZ A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
BASSCOAT Sep05 Aug15 Jul26 Jul08 Jun19 (lauer michael)ELLIOTT JANE 122 3.50    
MOTOR CITY MENACE Aug13 Jul24 Jul11 Jun27 Jun12 (heath dest)VILLARREAL OSCAR 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
BIG PAPER Aug29 Aug01 May18 Feb24 Dec06 (van thom)LEBRON VICTOR 124 4.00    
 
BTP-5   09/17/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRES FRANCAIS Sep05 Jul06 Mar15 Feb27 Jan26 (hancock dana)SOSA LAUREANO 123 12.00 16% 5.30    
KING'S LEGACY Aug25 Aug05 Jun18 May29 May13 (chavez man)VILLARREAL OSCAR 123 3.00 27% 2.70    
KAIYAS SONG Aug24 Jul23 Jul13 Jun20 May31 (acevedo i)CORREA L 123 8.00 9% 10.20    
SECOND EXCHANGE Sep03 Aug21 Jul30 Jul17 Jun19 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 123 10.00    
KICK OUT THE JAMS Aug22 Aug13 Jul16 Jul02 Jun04 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 123 6.00    
SCR  SO FAR SO GOOD Sep03 Aug08 Jul26 Jun21 May14 (decker ann)HERNANDEZ N 123 5.00    
BLOSSOMING Aug22 Jul16 Jul02 Mar21 Feb09 (alessi james)JURADO EDDIE 123 15.00    
LUCKY SHORE Aug22 Jul16 Jul02 Jun19 May03 (sturgeon rober)ELLIOTT JANE 123 3.50 18% 4.70    
YAREE D TAT Sep02 Aug21 Aug06 Jul24 Jul16 (adams nancy)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 4.50    
 
BTP-6   09/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THRACIAN Aug28 May28 May21 Mar27 Feb14 (fletcher )CORREA L 121 8.00    
UTOPIAN TREASURE Sep02 Aug23 Aug14 Jul23 Jul10 (guerrero sa)JIMENEZ J 125 15.00 23% 3.30    
FORT BLING Sep04 Aug14 Aug01 Jun28 May23 (tsirigotis )BLANCHE RISHAWN 125 2.00 45% 1.20    
MR. MAC MIDNIGHT Aug20 Aug07 Jul23 Jul02 Jun20 (garcia amalio)HERMAN NOEL 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ENDOW Sep03 Aug20 Aug07 Jul23 Jul09 (thornbury jeff)MCKEE J 125 3.00    
SUNDAY SURPRIZE Sep04 Mar13 Feb12 Jan04 Oct15 (gorostieta)HERNANDEZ N 125 20.00 5% 19.00    
STAND UP CHARLIE Aug18 Aug07 Jul17     (beckman alice)BOCACHICA O 125 6.00    
LAVERNS LAD Aug15 Mar28       (greenhill )VILLARREAL OSCAR 121 4.00    
 
BTP-7   09/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAYNTER CITY Aug14 Jun25 May23 May09 Feb22 (hale jr)MURGIA A 123 3.00    
ILLINI Aug27 Aug14 Apr30 Mar22 Feb15 (alvarez yimi)MCKEE J 123 4.00 36% 1.70    
TUSCALOOSA Sep03 Jul02 Jun11 Jan29 Dec07 (nocero ca)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 114 6.00    
FIRE WIRE Aug27 Aug06 Jul23 Jul04 Jun27 (ware debra)HERNANDEZ A 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
FOLLOW YOUR DREAM Aug06 Jul23 Jul04 Aug16 Jul27 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
MISTER ROSSO Aug28 Aug16 Jul29 Jul05 May30 (evans mic)CORREA L 121 3.50    
LOBO SALVAJE Feb12 Jan24 Dec14 Nov17 Nov06 (salas marce)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 8.00 13% 6.70    
SCR  ITZCOATL Jul23 Jun18 May28 May16 May05 (radosevich )NUNEZ Y 123 5.00    
BAMBY BOOM Sep04 Aug21 Jul30 Jun24 Jun01 (cambray an)VILLARREAL OSCAR 119 20.00    
 
BTP-8   09/17/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BETO'S BIRDIE Aug29 Aug02 Jul05 Jun12 Apr29 (heath dest)VILLARREAL OSCAR 121 4.00    
LORIS STILL CURLIN Aug23 Aug09       (wittek karyn)ELLIOTT JANE 121 12.00    
SCR  PARTLY SUNNY Aug16 Jun25 Jun14 Apr05 Mar15 (anderson susan)JURADO EDDIE 121 5.00    
GAMBI Sep02 Aug06 Jul23 Jul05 Apr05 (alessi james)PAULY SUMMER 120 10.00    
VEE'S REASON Jul26         (frazier matt)CANUTO THIAGO 125 20.00    
DYNAMO'S CODE Sep02 Aug16 Aug02 Jul25   (conto kevin)MURGIA A 125 15.00    
ELICIT         (caramori ca)FIGUEROA SERGIO 121 8.00 25% 3.00    
RACHEL'S KID Aug16 Jul30 Jul02 Jun02 May10 (lopez a)MCKEE J 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
MALICE MAMA Sep08 Aug18 Jun11 May29 May18 (gorostieta)HERNANDEZ N 125 6.00 10% 9.10    
10  GIFTBOX SURPRISE Aug28 Jun04 Apr30 Apr05 Mar19 (kutt donna )BLANCHE RISHAWN 121 12.00    
11  RAISON D'AMOUR Sep02 Aug01 Jun25 Jun05 Oct05 (conto kev)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
12  I STAND COLLECTED Aug02 Jul23 Jun25 Jun05 Mar22 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 121 3.00 43% 1.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.