Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Arapahoe Park
Sunday - September 14, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ARP-1   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
ARP-3   WIN (3/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/7)-(3/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/7)-(3/6/7)-(3/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7)-(2/4)-(2/1/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
ARP-4   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/4)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
ARP-5   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ARP-1   09/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  REQUISITION Aug31 Aug09 Jun01 May18 Apr19 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 124 3.50    
2  HOLD TIGHT Apr13 Mar09 Oct13 Sep10 Aug20 (long vaughn)MCNEIL BRYAN 124 10.00 11% 8.50    
3  EURO TRACKING Sep06 Aug30 Aug09 Jul27 Jul13 (scudder jr)RAMOS B 124 4.00    
4  DESOTO'S WAR Aug16 Jun25 Jun12 Apr28 Mar31 (schindler)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.00 66% 0.50    
 
ARP-3   09/14/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PAYTON'S INDIAN Aug19 Jul21 Jul04 Jun22 Jun07 (hibdon n)CARRENO J 124 8.00    
2  LOTTA PRADA Nov17 Oct25 Oct04 Sep27 Sep06 (kemper kerry)HAAR NATHAN 121 6.00    
3  DODGEBALL Aug10 May23 May03 Apr25 Mar23 (rushton t)MEDINA ANGEL 124 3.50 51% 1.00    
SCR  IRON LOTUS Aug16 Aug03 Jul12 Jul05 Jun13 (ness john)RAMOS B 124 2.50    
5  ANCHORS AND SPURS Sep01 Aug11 Jul05 Jun15 Jun01 (arceo lui)IRONEYES R 124 4.50    
6  STAND BY TIME Aug19 Jul26 Jul13 Jul06 Jun28 (hibdon n)CARDOSO DAVID 124 12.00 19% 4.10    
7  GRACIE'S A TIGER Aug03 Jul05 Nov17 Oct18 Sep29 (martinez a)COUTON JULIEN 124 10.00 6% 14.80    
 
ARP-4   09/14/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOU HAVE NO IDEA Aug20 Mar29 Mar15 Feb20 Feb08 (hibdon n)HAAR NATHAN 121 3.50    
2  HOLDEN THE LUTE Aug22 Aug02 Feb13 Dec02 Nov13 (kemper kerry)CARDOSO DAVID 124 4.50 50% 1.00    
3  JUST PLAIN ORNERY Jun29 Jun20 May17 Apr26 Apr05 (rushton stetson)DELORME L 124 2.50    
4  AMY D Aug22 Jul27 Jun08 May24 May09 (hibdon ma)MEDINA ANGEL 121 4.00 13% 7.00    
 
ARP-5   09/14/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($7.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STATE SCHOOL SMART Sep05 Aug23 Aug10 Jul04 Jun13 (schindler)MEDINA ANGEL 124 6.00 23% 3.30    
2  CHUCK NAZTY Aug09 Jul13 Oct20 Sep14 Jul21 (martinez a)COUTON JULIEN 121 2.50 36% 1.80    
3  WEBCAM Aug23 Aug09 Jul12 Jun15 May31 (rushton templ)CARDOSO DAVID 124 8.00 6% 15.00    
4  MOON SHINE TIME Aug09 Jul13 Jun29 May18 Apr06 (long vaughn)CARRENO J 124 4.50    
5  THIRTYMINUTEMASS Aug10 Jul12 Feb19 Jan23 Dec30 (martinez a)RAMOS B 124 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.