Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - September 09, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(4/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(4/3/1)-(2/6/3/4) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
FE-2   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(2/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(2/6/3/4)-(5/4/1/7) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
FE-3   WIN (2/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/3/4)-(2/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/3/4)-(2/6/3/4)-(2/6/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/3/4)-(5/4/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3/4)-(5/4/1/7)-(2/4) 32 $0.20 $6.40 
FE-4   WIN (5/4/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/1/7)-(5/4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/1/7)-(5/4/1/7)-(5/4/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/1/7)-(2/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1/7)-(2/4)-(6/5/9/4/1) 40 $0.20 $8.00 
FE-5   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/4)-(6/5/9/4/1) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(6/5/9/4/1)-(2/7/3/1) 40 $0.20 $8.00 
FE-6   WIN (6/5/9/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/5/9/4/1)-(6/5/9/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/5/9/4/1)-(6/5/9/4/1)-(6/5/9/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/5/9/4/1)-(2/7/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/5/9/4/1)-(2/7/3/1)-(6/7/5/4) 80 $0.20 $16.00 
FE-7   WIN (2/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/3/1)-(2/7/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/3/1)-(2/7/3/1)-(2/7/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/3/1)-(6/7/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/3/1)-(6/7/5/4)-(3/7/6/5) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
FE-8   WIN (6/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/5/4)-(6/7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/5/4)-(6/7/5/4)-(6/7/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/5/4)-(3/7/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5/4)-(3/7/6/5)-(6/1/2/4) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
FE-9   WIN (3/7/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/6/5)-(3/7/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/6/5)-(3/7/6/5)-(3/7/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/6/5)-(6/1/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FE-10   WIN (6/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/2/4)-(6/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/2/4)-(6/1/2/4)-(6/1/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   09/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($15.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NICOLE'S SONG Aug18 Aug05 Jul21 Jul01 Jun24 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  CREATIVPERFORMANCE Aug26 Aug05 Jul21 Jun24 Jun10 (simms c)MAILHOT P 124 8.00    
3  CRIMSON NIGHTS Aug12 Jul20 May27 May04 Dec12 (adamo anthony)FORDE XAREL 119 1.80 36% 1.80    
4  RIFLING Aug05 Jul21 Jul01 Jun15 Oct14 (mileni nick)ZENTENO EDGAR 124 3.50    
5  SILVER BULLET LADY Aug05 Jul07 Jun24 May10 Nov01 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 124 4.00 25% 2.90    
6  CEFALO Aug11 Jul24 Jun20 Jun05 May16 (smith r)SALLES LEO 124 2.50    
 
FE-2   09/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($21.15K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADDI BUG Aug05 May18 May10 Apr26 Apr11 (cathca)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 8.00 5% 18.40    
2  TAMANA Aug05 Jul21 Jun24 May27 Nov22 (robillard julie)MAILHOT P 120 5.00    
3  MO TWILIGHT Aug26 Aug05 Jul27 Jun15 May11 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 12.00 20% 4.00    
4  GETTING AHEAD Sep01 Jul22 Jun24 Jun10 Oct22 (voyc)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 1.80 47% 1.10    
5  HOT OMELET Aug18 Jul14 Jun24 Jun10 May16 (robillard jos)KERR CHEYENNE 117 4.50    
6  JULIE'S MIST Aug18 Aug04 Jul07 Jun24 May27 (alders)ALDERSON IAN 120 2.00    
 
FE-3   09/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22.05K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROLL THE CREDITS Aug12         (humber joseph)CRAWFORD J 120 4.00    
  (by CATIENUS out of WINNING ACTRESS by ACADEMY AWARD)
2  MYMATHES CORRECT Aug18 Aug04 Jul07 Jun23   (robillard julie)MAILHOT P 120 2.50 21% 3.70    
  (by FRAC DADDY out of LADY SARAH by WHYWHYWHY)
3  MARIACHI LOCO         (machesney )ANDERSON JODEIEN 120 12.00 17% 4.70    
  (by BILLY'S STAR out of BITS AND BYTES by BERNSTEIN)
4  ILIKEITWHENITSNOWS Aug18 Aug04       (carter)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SEATTLE SERENADE out of LUCKY MELISSA by MOBIL)
5  EMPOWER Jul25 Jun01 Sep07 Aug18 Jul19 (flint stev)CAMPOS LUIS 120 2.00    
  (by HIGHER POWER out of CHANNEL THE GREEN by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
6  VINDICATED         (agostino geo)SALLES LEO 120 6.00 19% 4.20    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of CLARKSTON HOPE by STRUT THE STAGE)
7  TEAM TALABAAT Sep01 Aug18 Aug04 Jul06   (maches)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 8.00    
  (by BAHJATTY out of TALABAAT by MORE THAN READY)
 
FE-4   09/09/2025 4620ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17.55K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS BU CHERRO Aug25 Aug04 Jul22 Jun30 Jun03 (bailey j)SALLES LEO 120 8.00 10% 8.80    
2  SADIE MY LADY Aug25 Aug07 Jun28 Jun13 May24 (loescher paula)CRAWFORD J 120 20.00    
3  INITTOWINIT Aug26 Jul14 Jul07 Jun20 May23 (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 124 2.50    
4  TAPROOM Aug26 Jul14 Jun23 Jun10 Oct07 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00 23% 3.40    
5  HOLIDAY IN JAIL Aug17 Jul22 Jul07 Jun23 Dec06 (humber joseph)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 3.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  THE FIERY ONE (GB) Aug17 Jul05 Jun19 May22 May10 (chircop st)CAMPOS LUIS 120 3.50    
7  FIXYURHAIRUPRETTY Aug25 Aug12 Jul14 Jun30 Jun15 (newl)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  GHOSTLY PERFECTION Aug25 Jul25 Jul14 Jun19 May27 (agosti)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 122 10.00    
 
FE-5   09/09/2025 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Le Cinquieme Essai Cup Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STYLISH GENT Aug26 Aug05 Jun30 Jun13 May04 (adamo anthon)SAMUEL L 122 2.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of SIMPLY STYLISH by STORMY ATLANTIC)
2  VICTORY MARCH Jul08 Jun15 Jun03 Nov17 Oct27 (simms c)ZENTENO EDGAR 122 1.40 62% 0.60    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of VICTORY ON TAP by PLEASANT TAP)
3  KIDDIE HOLIDAY Aug26 Aug05 Jul13 Jun30 Jun15 (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 10.00    
  (by AMI'S HOLIDAY out of KID'S COLLECTION by LEMON DROP KID)
4  TRULY MISCHIEF Aug12 Jul27 Jun30 Jun03 Oct22 (williams a)SALLES LEO 122 4.50 10% 8.80    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of TRULY BLUSHED by YES IT'S TRUE)
5  MIA AND ME Aug17 Aug04 Jul21 Jun30 Jun10 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 122 4.00    
  (by FRAC DADDY out of ALPHA MOOD by ALPHABET SOUP)
 
FE-6   09/09/2025 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Rondeau Bay Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZIPPY GAMBLE Jul27 Jun22 May24 May03 Dec05 (attard kevin)MORAN PIETRO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GAMBLE'S EXCHANGE out of AVIE'S ZIP by CITY ZIP)
2  RUTHLESS ACTION Aug09 Jul19 Jun14 May29 Nov23 (thompson ran)SAMUEL L 118 15.00    
  (by PASSION FOR ACTION out of SHE'S A RINGER by WHERE'S THE RING)
3  MISS PIERRE Aug21 Jul26 Jun07 May24 May11 (coryat)ALDERSON IAN 118 15.00    
  (by SOUPER SPEEDY out of PRADO GIRL by RAHY)
4  TAKEMYBOURBONNEAT Aug30 Jul05 Jun14 May17 Dec14 (adamo anthon)CONTRERAS LUIS 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SOUPER SPEEDY out of BOURBONSTRAIGHTUP by OLD FORESTER)
5  SWEET PASSIONS Jul27 Jul05 Jun14 May24 May03 (hayashi richard)MUNGER RYAN 122 3.50 16% 5.20    
  (by PASSION FOR ACTION out of SWEET SUPER SIX by PHILANTHROPIST)
6  BRENGUNGIRL Jul27 Jun14 Nov30 Oct20 Sep28 (attard kevin)CIVACI SAHIN 122 2.50 39% 1.60    
  (by POINT OF ENTRY out of SILENT SISTER by SILENT NAME (JPN))
7  SILENT STRIKE Aug30 Aug09 Jul27 Jul05 May31 (coryat)ALDERSON IAN 118 12.00    
  (by SILENT NAME out of MAYA STRIKE by SMART STRIKE)
8  FORESTERS EXEC Aug07 Jul05 Jun14 May25 May04 (dixon patrick)AEBLY FRASER 118 20.00    
  (by OLD FORESTER out of KRZ EXEC by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
9  RHAENYRA Aug15 Jul27 Jun22 May22 Apr27 (attard kevin)MORAN PIETRO 122 4.50 15% 5.70    
  (by RELOAD out of STARMALINE by STAR GUITAR)
10  WOZNIACKI Jul27 Jun28 Jun07     (att)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 118 6.00    
  (by RELOAD out of BLONDE BREEZE by POSSE)
 
FE-7   09/09/2025 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Lake Erie Purse ($100K) 3 C/G PT- 4:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VIDEO EVIDENCE Aug17 Aug04 Jul21 Jun23 Jun08 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BIG SCREEN out of MY SWEET EMILY by ROMAN RULER)
2  GO KART MOZART Jul27 Jun22 May18 Apr26 Sep29 (tiller p)VIVES SOFIA 122 1.60 43% 1.30    
  (by SOUPER SPEEDY out of STORMY ADIEU by SILIC (FR))
3  DEPUTY DADDY Aug15 Jun15 May24 May11 Apr26 (hayashi rich)NICHOLLS KEVEH 118 5.00 16% 5.40    
  (by FRAC DADDY out of DEPUTY SONG by FRENCH DEPUTY)
4  BACK RIVER Aug18 Aug05 Jul19 Jun27 Jun13 (maynar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 20.00    
  (by RELOAD out of FORGOTTEN LIAISON by LIAISON)
5  GLINTINDADDYSEYE Aug18 Jul27 Jul07 Jun26 May30 (willia)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 15.00    
  (by FRAC DADDY out of MOONLITE GLINT by BOLD N' FLASHY)
6  SUNDAY'S WELL Aug24 Jul20 Jun29     (brooker te)CAMPOS LUIS 118 15.00    
  (by GAMBLE'S EXCHANGE out of MRS. MONTY by HENNY HUGHES)
7  DARK SCREEN Jul27 Jun22 May25 Nov24 Nov16 (chubb beverley)CRAWFORD J 122 2.00 21% 3.80    
  (by BIG SCREEN out of LADY ELENA by ELAJJUD)
8  AWESOME RAINBOW Aug16 Jul27 Jul06 Jun22 Jun08 (mcknight norman)FORDE XAREL 118 6.00    
  (by OLD FORESTER out of AWESOMEENDSWITHME by OVERANALYZE)
 
FE-8   09/09/2025 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Molson Cup Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MORAL TURPITUDE Aug25 Aug12 Jul22 Jul04 May29 (simms )ALDERSON IAN 122 6.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of JADE PRINCESS by TAPIT)
2  MENAGERIE Aug18 Jul22 Jun24 Jun03 Oct15 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 122 10.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of HOLY FLAME by PULPIT)
3  HEBRIDEAN MISS Sep02 Aug04 Jul24 Jun29   (loesch)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 20.00    
  (by AMIS GIZMO out of GOOD AS GOLD by PETIONVILLE)
4  GAMBLER'S POSE Aug18 Jul22 Jun30 Jun03 Sep17 (albu)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GAMBLE'S EXCHANGE out of TREE POSE by OLD FORESTER)
5  TURF AND SURF Aug18 Jul22 Jul14 Jun30 May27 (blake michael)PINTO MELANIE 122 2.50 15% 5.60    
  (by WE MISS ARTIE out of WEEKEND IN MALIBU by OLD FORESTER)
6  KID GIZMO Aug21 Jul22 Jul07 Jun21 May27 (agostino geo)CRAWFORD J 122 4.00 40% 1.50    
  (by AMIS GIZMO out of KID'S COLLECTION by LEMON DROP KID)
7  EMERALD LAKE Aug18 Jul22 Jun20 Dec07 Nov16 (agostino geo)SALLES LEO 122 3.50 19% 4.20    
  (by BLUEGRASS CAT out of KIAMIKA by WITH APPROVAL)
8  THUNDERHEAVYRAIN Aug18 Jul22 Jun10 Jun03 Oct03 (husban)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 5.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of THAT'S ALL by MARIA'S MON)
 
FE-9   09/09/2025 6270ft DIRT RC11 FAST Prince Purse ($400K) 3 ALL PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FABER Aug16 Jul13 May31 Mar06 Jan24 (attard kevin)CIVACI SAHIN 126 5.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of DISOBEDIENT by INTO MISCHIEF)
2  RUNAWAY AGAIN Aug16 Jul13       (attard c)MUNGER RYAN 126 10.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of GOLDEN VENUS by STORM CAT)
3  MANSETTI Aug16 Jun28 Jun08 Apr27 Jan04 (attard kevin)MORAN PIETRO 126 2.00 35% 1.80    
  (by COLLECTED out of GIDGET GIRL by SKY MESA)
4  SCORCHING Aug16 Jul20 Jun28 Oct06 Aug25 (charalambous jo)DAVIS DYLAN 126 3.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of SAMSAL by CONSOLIDATOR)
5  ASHLEY'S ARCHER Aug16 Jul13 Apr09 Mar02 Nov30 (casse mark)HUSBANDS P 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of CERTAINLY SPECIAL by DISTORTED HUMOR)
6  HUMBER RIVER Aug03 Jun21 May18 Dec13 Nov24 (tiller p)VIVES SOFIA 126 12.00 13% 6.80    
  (by FRAC DADDY out of MISS SEA by MARCHFIELD)
7  DEWOLF Aug16 Jul20 Jun08 Nov30 Nov03 (att)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 126 3.50 21% 3.80    
  (by SILENT NAME out of HOLY CARGO by HOLY BULL)
 
FE-10   09/09/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.05K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRILLIANT DISGUISE Aug25 Aug11 Jul27 Jul07 Jun10 (humber joseph)ZENTENO EDGAR 120 10.00 11% 8.00    
2  SPEEDY LADY Aug25 Aug11 Jul22 Jul13 Jul01 (albu k)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 12.00 9% 9.70    
3  OLIVIA'S MELODY Aug11 Jul10 Jun26 Jun07 May10 (smith r)SALLES LEO 122 5.00    
4  MAIKEN THE VIKING Aug25 Aug11 Jul27 Jul07 Jun23 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  LITTLE ALEXA Jun29 May23       (cohen michael)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.50    
6  MORE GALILADY Aug25 Jul13       (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.00 36% 1.80    
7  TOWN'S A BREEZE Aug25 Aug04 Jul27 Jul07 Jun15 (agostino geo)CRAWFORD J 122 3.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.