Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Hawthorne
Sunday - August 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HAW-1   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(4/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(4/6/1)-(1/3/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-2   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(1/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1)-(1/3/5)-(3/5/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-3   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(3/5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/5)-(3/5/1/4)-(5/4/6/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-4   WIN (3/5/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/4)-(3/5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/4)-(3/5/1/4)-(3/5/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/1/4)-(5/4/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1/4)-(5/4/6/1)-(8/2/3/6) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
HAW-5   WIN (5/4/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/1)-(5/4/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/1)-(5/4/6/1)-(5/4/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/6/1)-(8/2/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6/1)-(8/2/3/6)-(2/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-6   WIN (8/2/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/3/6)-(8/2/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/3/6)-(8/2/3/6)-(8/2/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/3/6)-(2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/2/3/6)-(2/6/4)-(7/5/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-7   WIN (2/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/4)-(7/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
HAW-8   WIN (7/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/2/3)-(7/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/2/3)-(7/5/2/3)-(7/5/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HAW-1   08/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATRAXA Aug02         (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 3.50    
WILD DREAMS Jul13 Jun29 May22 May08   (campbell )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 2.00    
CAME UP ROSES Jul10 May26 May06 Apr11 Mar25 (simonovich d)GILES EMMANUEL 124 6.00 16% 5.30    
WAVE OF MEMORIES Aug03 Jul13 Jun26 Jun03 May10 (lindsay rick)TAVARES JAVIER 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
HOLY DAWN Aug22         (rosin cot)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 119 10.00    
LIL CARRIE D Aug03 Jul13 Feb29 Jan25 Oct30 (slager mike)FELIX E 124 1.60 46% 1.20    
 
HAW-2   08/17/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAWAIIAN HIDE AWAY Jul24 Jul08 May08 Jun01 May11 (young r)REYES FRANK 122 6.00 5% 17.70    
VINO COURAGIO Aug10 Jul24 Jul06 Jun15 Apr27 (campbell j)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 118 8.00    
BYWORD Jul24 Jul06 May29 May11 Apr27 (hughes w)HERNANDEZ K 118 5.00    
MOONRISE DRIVE Jul06 May29 Apr17 Mar30 Mar08 (winebaugh )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.00 50% 1.00    
ZEE FIRE Jul26 Jun24 Jun07 May10 Apr26 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 4.50    
BOONE'S PATH Jul24 May11 May01 Mar14 Feb21 (young r)MOJICA O 122 2.50 18% 4.60    
 
HAW-3   08/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSE'S WISH Jul31 Jul13 Jun26 Jun12 May08 (meraz antonio)REYES FRANK 118 6.00 42% 1.40    
JOYZELLA Aug03 Jul24 Jun26 Jun12 Jun01 (spagnola id)BLANCHE RISHAWN 122 8.00    
RUMBRANDT Aug03 Jul06 Jun19 Jun01 Sep12 (slager mi)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 3.50 23% 3.30    
TWO TIMER Jul31 Jul13 Jun26 Jun01 May01 (winebaugh che)HERNANDEZ K 118 4.50    
REDHEADEDSTRANGER Jul15 Jul04 Mar28 Mar13 Feb28 (nesbitt a)ULLOA JOAN 122 10.00 7% 12.60    
BABE IN THE WOODS Jul31 Jul10 Jun26 Jun01 Mar21 (haran john)TAVARES JAVIER 122 5.00    
SCR  CALLAS Jul31 Jun26 Jun01 May01 Mar27 (slager mike)LOPEZ A 122 2.50    
 
HAW-4   08/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LINE TO GAIN Jul31 Jul20 Jun29 Jun08 May22 (villalobos heri)REYES FRANK 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
GABAGOOL Aug03 Jul17 Jun19 May29 May15 (campbell joe)TAVARES JAVIER 122 4.50    
BERNIE LOMAX Jul01 Jun07 May17 Oct31 Oct12 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 1.40 67% 0.50    
MALIGATOR Aug03 Jul17 Jul03 May29 May15 (reid david)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
HATCHET CREEK Jul17 Jun26 May29 May15 Apr27 (dizeo dino)HERNANDEZ K 122 3.00 9% 10.00    
STORM'S REFLECTION Jul20 Jun29 Jun08 Apr23 Mar05 (banks chr)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 117 12.00    
CHAMPAGNE MIKE Jul31 Jul20 Jul03 Jun12 May22 (rosas rigo)COLON H 122 10.00    
 
HAW-5   08/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WOLF HUNTER Jul24 Jun08 Sep22 Sep05 Aug08 (perez manny)COLON H 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
ALADANTE Aug10 Jul17 Jul03 May11 Apr17 (hughes earl)BLANCHE RISHAWN 122 8.00    
SCR  LONE RETURN Jul24 Jul13 Jun26 Jun12 May18 (alonso fe)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
I O FEDRO Jul24 Oct06 Sep22 Sep05 Aug15 (block chris)MOJICA O 122 3.50 21% 3.90    
JR'S GIFT Jun05 Apr24 Mar29 Feb15 Jan25 (wiggins lon)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00 41% 1.40    
PROFESSOR HIGGINS Jul06 Jun29 Jun15 May18 May04 (poulos dee)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 5.00 9% 9.60    
SCR  KINGSBURRY ATTACK Jul06 Oct06 Sep29 Sep08 Jul21 (childers sha)TAVARES JAVIER 122 8.00    
CRECENCIO Jun23 Jun10 May18 May11   (lopez elia)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 118 20.00    
LICENSE TO STEAL Jul13 Jun08 Oct10 Sep19 Aug08 (rodriguez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 6.00    
 
HAW-6   08/17/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29K) 2 F PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAST CANDY Jul27         (young r)MOJICA O 119 15.00    
  (by MODERNIST out of ALBANY CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
ZEE         (boyce michele)FELIX E 119 2.50 16% 5.20    
  (by MINESHAFT out of KATIE THE LADY by LOST SOLDIER)
PROMESA DIVINA         (lopez elia)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MITOLE out of OUR WHISKEY GIRLS by FORESTRY)
ALROSA Jul10         (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 119 10.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of MIDPOINT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SHE'S TOPS Jul27         (perez manny)COLON H 119 12.00    
  (by CAPOTE out of SUMMERLAND by HE'S TOPS)
THEN NOW 'N ALWAYS         (reavis mi)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of NORA IN THE SKY by SKY MESA)
COOSA         (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 5.00    
  (by KNICKS GO out of DOTING by FLATTER)
TIZ CHINA Jul27         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 1.80 59% 0.70    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of CHINASMOKE by SMOKE GLACKEN)
 
HAW-7   08/17/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANYON STREAK Aug07 Jul13 Jun28 May16 Apr17 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 1.60    
HARD TO FATHOM Aug07 Jul24 Jun29 Mar23 Jan19 (simonovic)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 3.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  MAN ON ATTACK Jul20 May25 Mar09 Feb14 Dec21 (childers sha)TAVARES JAVIER 122 10.00    
ICONICUS Jul26 Jul08 Jun21 May24 May10 (pompell r)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HAWKS CREEK Jul03 May29 Oct06 Aug26 Jul20 (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 122 3.50    
BOURBON LIFE Aug07 Jul24 Jun26 May03 Mar23 (hernandez ar)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.50 26% 2.80    
BIGFOOT SIGHTING Jul08 Jun15 May25 May11 Apr24 (rodriguez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 8.00    
 
HAW-8   08/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLACK GINGER Jun21 May10 Apr12 Mar03 Feb06 (lopez eli)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 4.00    
AUTISM COMPASSION Jul13 Jun12 Apr27 Apr10 Jan23 (dizeo dino)REYES FRANK 122 6.00 13% 6.90    
SECRET OPERATION Aug03 Jun26 May22 May01 Apr10 (slager mike)FELIX E 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
THERDGOESONFOREVER Aug02 May22 Apr03 Mar21 Feb24 (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 5.00    
CANTOO Aug02 Jul08 Jun03 May06 Oct31 (wainwright jo)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 4.50 27% 2.60    
OMAHA STAMP Jul13 Jun05 May22 Sep07 Aug22 (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 118 15.00    
SHE'S INTHEARMYNOW Jul03 Jun05 May18 May01 Apr06 (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 1.80 29% 2.50    
SCR  SHE STOPPED SHORT Aug03 May04 Apr09 Mar26 Mar09 (campbell joel)MOJICA O 118 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.