Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Century Mile
Saturday - August 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CTM-3   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(2/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTM-4   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(6/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTM-5   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(5/1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTM-6   WIN (5/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/7/6)-(5/1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/7/6)-(5/1/7/6)-(5/1/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/1/7/6)-(4/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/7/6)-(4/5/1)-(1/4/3/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CTM-7   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(1/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTM-8   WIN (1/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/3/2)-(1/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/3/2)-(1/4/3/2)-(1/4/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CTM-3   08/16/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILENT O'PRADO Jun24         (rycroft tim)NATERA KEIHTON 120 2.50 70% 0.40    
MARRYMEINGEORGIA Aug02 Jul12 Jun24 Jun06 May23 (frey carson)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
BRIAR'S ROSE Jul25 Jul13       (coney jason)FOSTER R 120 4.50    
ITSNOTABOUTHEMONEY Jul18 Jun24       (henson rober)WILLIAMS SCOTT 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
HOPE SHINES Aug04 Jul04 Jun24 Oct20 Oct12 (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 120 3.50    
 
CTM-4   08/16/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHICKOUTTHEBIZZ Aug01         (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 120 6.00    
BET ON WHITE Aug01 Jul07 Jun06 May23 May10 (robertso)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 120 4.00 51% 1.00    
JUSTINFLATION Aug08 Jul25 Jul11     (biggs s)CHASE RICHARD 125 15.00    
GRAZED BY LOVE Jul19 Jun27 Jun06 May23 Mar19 (buf)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 2.50    
I KNOW SOMEONE Jul07 Jun24       (henson rober)WILLIAMS SCOTT 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DARK PASSENGER Jul25 Jul07 Jun24 Jun07 Mar26 (buffal)ASENCIO MARIANO 120 3.00 15% 5.60    
 
CTM-5   08/16/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASSANO Aug04 Jul18 Jul05 Jun06 May16 (hedge rick)NATERA KEIHTON 125 3.50    
DERECHO DANDY Aug01 Jul25 Jul05 May30 May16 (frey carson)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
GO SPEED RACER GO Aug04 Apr08 Mar07 Jan30 Dec16 (wyness james)MUIR SHAMAREE 125 8.00 16% 5.40    
ARISTOCRACY Aug02 Jul26 Jul12 Jun28 Dec16 (humbke cher)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 2.00    
MOUNT ASGARD May31 Oct13 Sep21 Aug24 Aug09 (rycroft )BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 125 4.50    
SELF SERVING Jul18 Jul04 Jun07 May17 Oct13 (henson rober)WILLIAMS SCOTT 125 3.00 31% 2.20    
 
CTM-6   08/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J J'S CAPER Aug04 Jul18 May16 Oct20 Sep14 (rycroft tim)NATERA KEIHTON 123 2.50 20% 4.10    
BROWNING ISLAND Aug04 Jul18 Jul04 May30 Nov03 (heggie rod)FOSTER R 125 3.50    
OUR BOLD PRINCE Aug02 Jul18 Jul04 Jun15 May31 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 123 4.50    
MUCHO MAGIC Aug02 Jul18 Jun13 May23 May09 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 6.00    
SQUALOTORO Aug04 Jul19 Jul05 Jun15 Jan16 (frey carson)MARTI ALEXANDER 123 4.00 21% 3.80    
SINGING BELL Aug01 Jun27 Jun06 May17 Aug30 (hedge )ASENCIO MARIANO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
MOHAYMEN DAY Jul26 Jun27 Jun06 May23 May09 (robertson je)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 10.00 18% 4.60    
 
CTM-7   08/16/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALI CONQUEST Jul26 Jul12 Jun27 Jun13 May30 (cone ro)CHASE RICHARD 125 6.00 13% 6.90    
SCR  JUMEIRAH COAST Jul26 Jun27 Jun07 May16 Oct27 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 3.50    
FRANKIE MACHINE Jul18 Jun27 May30 Oct05 Sep22 (henson rober)WILLIAMS SCOTT 125 8.00    
WILL IS CHILL Jul26 Jul02 Jun18 May28 Sep16 (o'hagan coll)TROTMAN KEIMAR 125 4.50 48% 1.10    
VICTORIA'S CHIEF Jul18 Jul04 Jun07 May24 May03 (rycroft )BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 125 3.00 16% 5.20    
MAGNIFICENT MARIO Jul26 Jul12 Jun27 Jun13 May23 (cone r)STEADMAN LEON 125 2.50    
THE BEAT Aug03 Jul20 Jul06 Jun15 May23 (con)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 12.00    
 
CTM-8   08/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST KEN Aug01 Jun27 Jun07 May24 May10 (o'hagan coll)NATERA KEIHTON 120 2.50 29% 2.40    
QUEENS OVER JACK'S Jul04 May16 May03 Jun22 Aug13 (vanovers)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 120 8.00 8% 11.50    
SUDDENLY FAMOUS Aug01 Jul05 Jun24 May23 Apr17 (hedge rick)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 10.00 10% 8.70    
DREAMING D'ORO Jul26 Jul05 Jun13 May30 May03 (vanove)ASENCIO MARIANO 118 3.50 25% 3.00    
BRI'S BOY Aug01 Jul19 Jun24 May23   (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 120 4.50    
VANTASTICCANAVERAL Aug01 Jul05 Jun15 May09 Oct06 (russell moni)WILLIAMS SCOTT 123 12.00    
DEMAND Jul11 Jun28 May24 Apr26 Mar29 (a)GRIFFITH DELANE 120 1.60    
HANDSOME HENRY Aug01 May30 Nov03 Oct20 Oct13 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.