Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Friday - August 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/1)-(4/1/6/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(4/1/6/5)-(4/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
PEN-2   WIN (4/1/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/6/5)-(4/1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/6/5)-(4/1/6/5)-(4/1/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/6/5)-(4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6/5)-(4/5/2)-(2/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PEN-3   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/2)-(2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(2/1/5)-(5/4/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
PEN-4   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(5/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(5/4/2)-(3/6/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
PEN-5   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(3/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(3/6/7)-(5/3/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
PEN-6   WIN (3/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/7)-(3/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/7)-(3/6/7)-(3/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/7)-(5/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7)-(5/3/6)-(3/1/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
PEN-7   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(3/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-8   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   08/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHEN YOUR STRANGE Jul23 Jun27 Jun07 May21 May08 (albright r)CHIAPPE R 125 5.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  SONADORA GIRL Jul23 Jul15 Jun30 Jun10 May03 (castillo miche)AGUILAR JEAN 121 6.00    
SCR  LADRO DI FICHI Jul25 Jul03 Jun07 May21 May01 (o'callahan carl)CORA D 121 4.50    
PERIDOT PENDANT Aug06 Jul24 Jul03 Mar07 Feb27 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 125 1.80 30% 2.40    
GOLDEN EIB MICRPHN Jul25 Jul05 Jul18 Jul03 May30 (kreiser t)RODRIGUEZ R 121 2.00    
PRUSSIAN BLUE Jul25 Jul16 Jul03 Jun18 Jun06 (harigeorgiou kons)AGUILAR M 121 12.00    
 
PEN-2   08/15/2025 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CORRECTED PEDIGREE Jul19 Jun06 Nov03 Oct17 Aug23 (perri gin)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 123 2.50 24% 3.20    
BIG DOSSER Jul22 Jun29 Jun18 Jun03 May20 (williams abdul)CORREA JULIO 122 10.00    
RUN HELWIG RUN Jul31 Jun07 May22 Mar26 Mar06 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
GENTLE BREEZE Jul31 Jul05 Jun08 Nov03 Oct05 (allard edwa)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 2.00 48% 1.10    
WIZARDOFEZ Jul31 Jul05 Jun12 May30 May03 (rozell ron)AGUILAR M 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
Z BOGDAN Jul23 Jun27 Jun06 May11 Apr26 (milosev)ORTIZ ORLANDO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
THICK AND JUICY Jul31 Jul10 Jun19 May30 May01 (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 120 5.00    
MIRACLE TRIP Jun19 May23 May12 Apr25 Apr01 (flores-coba)RAMOS O 121 15.00    
 
PEN-3   08/15/2025 3300ft TURF RC11 FIRM Marshall Jenney Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOOTH B Jul16 Jun15 May04 Nov02 Sep21 (reid e)RUIZ ELISEO 121 4.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of KATARICA DISCO by DISCO RICO)
FACTOR U AND ME IN Jul25 Jun18 Jun10 Apr21 Apr02 (padilla hugo)HERNANDEZ ANDY 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of YOU BETCHA BABE by YES IT'S TRUE)
SCR  HONORABLE WIN Jul07 Dec30 Oct14 Sep21   (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 113 12.00    
  (by WINCHILL out of HONORABLE PARTNER by CONGRESSIONALHONOR)
FIERCE AND STRONG Jul19 Jun27 May16 Nov02 Oct13 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 125 2.00 50% 1.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of DOUBLECLICKDAMOUSE by POINT OF ENTRY)
FORE HARP Jul19 Jun06 May17 Apr19 Nov02 (reid e)ADORNO ABNER 125 3.50 11% 7.70    
  (by WEIGELIA out of KATARICA DISCO by DISCO RICO)
TARSUS WARRIOR Aug01 Jul22 Jun25 May19 Feb28 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 5.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of VALENTINE'S PEARL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
HECTOR Jul28 Jun25 Jun11 Apr30 Mar15 (potts g)TORRES JOMAR 119 12.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of AMY FARAH FOWLER by ASTROLOGY)
SCR  SHOSHANAH Jul31 Jul11 Jun27 Jun13 May16 (horlache)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 10.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of DANCINGWITHDEBBIE by GREEN DANCER)
 
PEN-4   08/15/2025 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM PA Governor's Cup Purse ($150K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPELLCAST Jul15 Jun06 May05 Oct03 Sep03 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 124 6.00 25% 3.00    
  (by TOURIST out of ORIENTATE TO LUV by ORIENTATE)
EMMANUEL Jun28 May03 Jan25 Dec21 Nov09 (maker michael )TORRES JOMAR 120 1.80 32% 2.20    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of HARD CLOTH by HARD SPUN)
BOLTAGE Jun11 May04 Apr09 Feb01 Dec07 (trombetta)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.50    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of ULTIMATE PRIZE by WALTER WILLY (IRE))
BOAT'S A ROCKIN Aug02 Jul05 Nov15 Oct25 Oct05 (kulp l)RUIZ ELISEO 120 3.00    
  (by RED ROCKS out of CHARMING LEGACY by DANEHILL)
POINT DUME Jul25 Jul04 May31 May16 Apr18 (kreiser c)CORA D 124 6.00 13% 6.90    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MAYA MALIBU by MALIBU MOON)
UNCLE CAESAR Jul25 Jul04 Jun13 May16 Apr23 (mcclellan)HERNANDEZ A 124 5.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of MOONDANCE by MALIBU MOON)
 
PEN-5   08/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IRACEBETH Jul23 Jul09 Jun26 Jun07 May22 (murillo ric)CORUJO LEONARDO 118 5.00    
LET'S GO MO Jul24 Jul03 Jun19 Jun05 Oct25 (carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
PHABULOUS PHOEBE Jul23 Jun07 May17 Mar28 Mar07 (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.00    
WARRIORS JEWEL Jul23 Jul11 Jun18 May16 May03 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 123 2.50 17% 4.80    
CASA JUANITA Aug01 Feb20 Jan26 Dec20 Nov20 (kravets m)CORA D 118 3.00 45% 1.20    
SADIE'S GRACE Jul09 Jun18 May30 May09 Dec19 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 120 4.00    
 
PEN-6   08/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IT'S A SHORE THING Nov16 Oct13       (servis tyler)PENNINGTON F 118 12.00    
SCR  DAKOTA SPRINGS Jul25 Jul03 Jun06 May01 Mar27 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 125 2.00    
JUMP A FOX Jul24 Jul15 Jul02 Jun17 Jun09 (gallimore trevor)CASTILLO A 123 5.00 25% 2.90    
MUSIC CLARIFCATION Jul10 Jun12 May23 Apr14 Mar24 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 8.00    
LEFTOVER SUSHI Jul23 Jun16 May27 Apr29 Mar31 (kirby joh)HERNANDEZ A 121 3.00    
GILDA'S GIRL Jul23 Jul03 Jun13 May29 Apr26 (geralis emanue)CHUAN MARTIN 125 4.50 20% 3.90    
AURORALINNA Jul30 Jul10 Jun12 May17   (synnefias dimitrios)CORA D 118 6.00 20% 4.10    
 
PEN-7   08/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FIRE DOWN BELOW Jul30 Jun27 Jun13 May30 Jan02 (albright am)RAMOS O 125 2.50    
RIDLEY PARK Jul18 Jul03 May30 Aug23 Aug16 (kulp l)RUIZ ELISEO 125 3.00    
RAGING BEAR Jul09 Jun13 May30 May16 Mar27 (albright amy)CHIAPPE R 121 6.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  WHY STOP THERE Jul23 Jun10 May30 Mar27 Feb25 (flores-c)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 121 6.00    
CARGO SHIP Aug01 Jun20 Jun05 May16 Apr24 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 1.80 60% 0.70    
MISCHIEF WARRIOR Jul25 Jun13 Jun06 May23 May07 (bobadilla f)CORA D 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-8   08/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN WIGGY Jul13 Jul04 Jun20 Jun13 May11 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.00 26% 2.90    
PRETTY LILY Aug08 Jul23 Jun25 Jun11 May29 (bobadilla f)TORRES JOMAR 123 5.00    
SHINELIKEADIAMOND Aug08 Jul05 Jun19 May01 Mar20 (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 123 3.00 46% 1.20    
BETCHA BOOTS BABE Aug01 Jul18 May15 Feb20 Feb06 (johnson m)FLORES E 123 6.00    
UPTOWN SERAPHINA Aug08 Jun27 Jun13 May21 Apr25 (houghton thomas)CORA D 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
BONITA LASSIE Aug01 Jul18 Jun05 May23 May01 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 125 3.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.