Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Thursday - August 14, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (1/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/7/5)-(1/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/7/5)-(1/4/7/5)-(1/4/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/7/5)-(1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7/5)-(1/4/5)-(2/6/5/4/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PEN-2   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(2/6/5/4/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(2/6/5/4/7)-(5/8/1/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PEN-3   WIN (2/6/5/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/5/4/7)-(2/6/5/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/6/5/4/7)-(2/6/5/4/7)-(2/6/5/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/6/5/4/7)-(5/8/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/6/5/4/7)-(5/8/1/7)-(2/4) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
PEN-4   WIN (5/8/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/1/7)-(5/8/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/1/7)-(5/8/1/7)-(5/8/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/1/7)-(2/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/8/1/7)-(2/4)-(7/5/8/2) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PEN-5   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/4)-(7/5/8/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(7/5/8/2)-(6/2/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-6   WIN (7/5/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/8/2)-(7/5/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/8/2)-(7/5/8/2)-(7/5/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/8/2)-(6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-7   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   08/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PALM ISLAND May07 Apr14 Mar14 Jan24 Dec04 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 1.80 36% 1.70    
TRY HARDER Jun15 May26 Apr29 Apr14 Mar04 (vega ric)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 6.00    
WITHOUT PRETENCE Jun21 May31 Apr25 Mar27 Feb02 (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 121 10.00    
ELLIE'S BOYFRIEND Jul30 Jun27 May31 May17 May10 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.00 26% 2.90    
BANGKOK BOB Apr23 Mar30 Feb01 Dec27 Oct16 (geist w)FLORES E 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
BACKSIDE BUZZ Jul16 Feb12 Jan19 Nov15 Oct19 (catalano l)AGUILAR JEAN 121 8.00    
BRONX BOYS Jun26 Jun06 May23 Apr24 Mar21 (kulp l)RUIZ ELISEO 121 2.50 15% 5.60    
 
PEN-2   08/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAKE BRAKE ALLEY Jun30 Jun02 May05 Apr14 Feb25 (kirby t)RUIZ ELISEO 121 2.00 47% 1.10    
GENGHIS Jul10 Jun12 May08 Mar20 Jan03 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 3.00    
GOING AT IT Jul10 May23 May07 Feb28 Feb06 (wolfe jr)TORRES JOMAR 123 4.00    
SIR MI TOLEE Jul14 Oct22 Oct01 Sep04 Aug03 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 1.80 15% 5.70    
EAGLES CRY Jul24 Jul10 Jun19 Jun10 May06 (stites flin)INIRIO J 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-3   08/14/2025 7920ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRAZY KATER Jul30 Jun26 Jun13 Oct22 Sep30 (salvaggio jr)CORA D 121 4.50    
MAJOR THOMAS Jul30 Jun27 May15 Oct21 Sep25 (houghton thoma)TORRES JOMAR 125 2.50 34% 2.00    
CALL ON CLARA Jul30 Sep27 Sep07 Aug16 Jul18 (reck christop)DIAZ VLADIMIR 116 15.00    
SACHMO Jul30 Jul11 Jun26 Jun13 Nov10 (salvaggio m)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 10.00 9% 9.90    
SAKETUMI Jul11 Jun27 May25 Aug01 Jun11 (dowling wil)RAMOS O 121 3.50 11% 8.10    
BODE'S MAKER Jul30 Jun20 May26 May09 Apr07 (ness jamie)CHUAN MARTIN 119 5.00 23% 3.40    
BARLEEWON Jul30 Jul11 Jun25 Jun06 Sep22 (harigeorgiou kons)AGUILAR M 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
WHISKEYMAC Jul30 Jun26 Mar26 Jul25 Jul05 (betancourt e)TORRES L 112 15.00    
VON HOFF Jul17 Oct10 Sep15 Aug29 May04 (wyatt tod)RODRIGUEZ R 121 10.00    
 
PEN-4   08/14/2025 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
APPLE SHAKE SHAKE Jul30 Jun14 Dec28 Oct21 Sep30 (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 123 3.00 16% 5.10    
AVRIL Jul17 Jul03 May21 May03 Feb20 (carpio erin)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00    
TESORO ROSSA Aug01 Jul19 Jul04 May22 Apr23 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 120 3.50    
BYEBYEJEALOUSEYE Jul14 Jul02 Jun16     (smith ev)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 5.00    
WHISKEY LULLABY Jul24 Feb18 Nov17 Oct11 Sep03 (shea lydee)FLORES E 123 4.50 29% 2.50    
SCR  FIRST PEARL Jul05 May15 Apr12 Mar29 Feb21 (perri gin)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 120 6.00    
ECLIPTICAL GINA Aug07 Jul09 Jun25 May30 Apr27 (stites w)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00 9% 10.20    
PRINCESS CLEMMIE Jun22 Jun08 May15 Nov10   (stettinius )BURNHAM MATILDA 113 4.00 16% 5.10    
 
PEN-5   08/14/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROADTRIPTONOWHERE Jul23 Jul04 Jun18 May22 May09 (kravets bru)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 2.00    
TALLAHATCHIEBRIDGE Jul05 Jun19 May29 May01 Mar28 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 3.50 32% 2.20    
COPPERHEAD CREEK Jul31 Jul09 Jun16 May15 Apr24 (stites flin)INIRIO J 121 3.00    
CAERUS Jul05 Jun15 May26 Apr23 Mar02 (mcmahon d)HERNANDEZ F 121 5.00 6% 15.80    
RUSTYS GFIVEFIFTY Aug01 Jun27 Jun05 May08 Apr24 (mcclellan c)FLORES E 123 2.50    
 
PEN-6   08/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARROGANTE Jul21 Jul07 May21 Mar27 Mar08 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 4.00    
LITTLE COCOA BEAN Jul25 Mar13 Mar01 Jan30 Dec30 (servis c)ADORNO ABNER 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
LADY AHAVA Jul25 Jul09 Jul10 Jun18 May29 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 30.00    
WARRIOR'S MISS Feb12 Jan09 Dec27 Dec04 May15 (kulp brando)RAMOS O 121 4.50    
MORE RANSOM Jul25 Jun14 Jun07 May07 Apr14 (ness jamie)CHUAN MARTIN 121 3.50 15% 5.80    
DADOO Jul08 May20 May06 Apr02 Feb26 (reid e)RUIZ ELISEO 120 5.00    
DOUBLE AIRO Jul08 May20 May07 Apr18 Mar14 (bailes rober)TORREALBA JG 118 3.00 46% 1.20    
CORONA CAMPIONE Jun15 May21 Sep03 Aug21 Jul22 (catalano)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 10.00 13% 6.70    
 
PEN-7   08/14/2025 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUMP FOR THE WIN Jun26 May29 Apr24 Mar13 Feb21 (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 121 5.00    
WISH FOR PEACE Jul25 Jul10 Jun20 Jun06 May17 (kreiser c)CORA D 123 2.00 26% 2.80    
THIRSTY PAPPY Jul31 Jul08 Jun09 Jun02 May12 (gallimore trevor)CASTILLO A 121 10.00    
MAJESTIC TIGER Jul24 Jul09 Jun12 May28 May17 (ness jamie)CHUAN MARTIN 121 3.00    
KBCYA LATER Jul30 Jul03 Jun20 Jun05 May16 (demario charles)BEATO INOEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
CURLINGTON Jul31 Jul11 May01 Mar13 Jan08 (rathman eli)RAMOS O 125 2.50 51% 1.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.