Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Hawthorne
Thursday - August 14, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HAW-1   WIN (7/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/1)-(7/4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/4/1)-(7/4/5/1)-(7/4/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/4/1)-(4/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1)-(4/2/5)-(4/1/7) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-2   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(4/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(4/1/7)-(5/2/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-3   WIN (4/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/7)-(4/1/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/7)-(4/1/7/6)-(4/1/7/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/1/7)-(5/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7)-(5/2/4)-(3/5/1/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-4   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(3/5/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(3/5/1/8)-(8/7/6/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-5   WIN (3/5/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/8)-(3/5/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/8)-(3/5/1/8)-(3/5/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/1/8)-(8/7/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1/8)-(8/7/6/1)-(1/6/8/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
HAW-6   WIN (8/7/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/6/1)-(8/7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/7/6/1)-(8/7/6/1)-(8/7/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/7/6/1)-(1/6/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HAW-7   WIN (1/6/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/8/7)-(1/6/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/8/7)-(1/6/8/7)-(1/6/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HAW-1   08/14/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I BE GONE Jul26 Jun24 Dec15 Oct16 Aug30 (higgins denn)GILES EMMANUEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
ROYAL LAUGHTER Jul27 Jun12 May19 Apr12 Mar30 (rosin coty)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 5.00    
WHAT'S TO DO Jun19 Jun12 May29 May18 Apr25 (haran john)TAVARES JAVIER 122 6.00    
DEAL'EM AND WEEP Jul13 Jun01 Oct06 Sep15 Aug25 (block chris)MOJICA O 122 2.50 12% 7.30    
TWO LUCYS Jul31 Jul16 Jul03 Jun08 May27 (donjuan sergi)HERNANDEZ K 124 4.50    
OH MACARENA Aug03 Jun29 May29 Jan01 Nov11 (bigelow c)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 4.00    
SPICY ITALIAN Jun29 May13 Mar08 Jan29 Dec27 (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.50 61% 0.60    
SCR  END OF INNOCENCE Jun26 May29 Apr27 Mar02 Feb14 (haran john)TAVARES JAVIER 122 3.00    
 
HAW-2   08/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JERSEY GOLD Jul27 Jul08 May27 May13 Apr29 (nesbitt am)SIMPSON M 122 12.00    
A REAL HERO Jul22 Jun24 May25 May04 Apr13 (watkins ja)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 4.50 18% 4.50    
RUNNERS HEAT Jul31 Jun26 May29 May04 Apr17 (wilson l)FELIX E 122 6.00    
RACETOTHEFINISH Jul19 Jun28 May31 May10 Apr22 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 0.60 52% 0.90    
LOST SUNSET Jul31 Jul13 Jul03 Jun05 May04 (kirby frank )TAVARES JAVIER 122 5.00 9% 10.10    
 
HAW-3   08/14/2025 4950ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMMISSIONER GULCH Jun26 May27 Apr22 Sep29 Aug17 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 5.00 26% 2.80    
MY LADY SLEW May18 Apr13 Mar27 Feb01 Jan05 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 122 12.00    
MY BUDDY BROOKS Jul13 Jun01 Apr12 Mar20 Dec11 (watkins james)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 6.00    
JOURNEYIST Jun15 May18 Feb14 Oct10 Sep22 (boyce michele)COLON H 122 3.00 31% 2.20    
EMPIRICAL VIEW Jun26 May22 May01 Jun16 May30 (divito p)MOJICA O 122 4.50    
R KATIEBUG Jun15 May08 Oct10 Sep08 Aug01 (boyce michele)FELIX E 122 4.00    
ROAR OF SILENCE Jun01 Oct16 Sep08 Aug11 Jun30 (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.50 10% 8.90    
 
HAW-4   08/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CAMP DADDY Jul31 Jul03 Jul14 Jun07 Apr28 (hernandez armando)FELIX E 122 4.00    
WILDWOOD SICILIAN Jul20 Jul03 May26 Oct06 Sep12 (becker sc)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 3.00 22% 3.60    
TWIRLING ROSES Jul20 Jul03 Jun05 May25 Apr27 (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 6.00    
CORTESE Jul20 May31 Apr06 Jan30 Jan05 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
LUNDBERG Jul10 Jun19 May25 May04 Apr06 (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 122 2.50 51% 0.90    
FAST JACK Jul10 Jun19 May25 Aug13 Jun11 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 3.50    
 
HAW-5   08/14/2025 4950ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($17.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POLSKA SUE Aug07 Jun26 Jun01 May15 May08 (simonovic)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 10.00 7% 13.20    
CATNIP HILL Jul20 Jun12 May15 Apr27 Apr06 (horvath f)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 115 30.00    
GLAMORA (IRE) May03 Mar01 Nov08 May27   (rosin coty)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 1.60 38% 1.60    
WW BEST OF TIMES Jun26 Apr10 Oct19 Sep01 Aug08 (becker scott)FELIX E 124 12.00    
SHE'S FIERCE         (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  THINK FAST Jun12         (clay pat)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 3.50    
HELEN OF C'VILLE Jul15 Jun14 May31     (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 10.00    
TRINITYTHREEINONE Jul20 Jun26 Jun05 May15 Apr27 (spagnola )ULLOA JOAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-6   08/14/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLAIN OR PEANUT Jul27 Apr13 Mar30 Nov25 Nov17 (rosas rig)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
MR. UNIVERSE Jul27 Jun29 Jun08 May22 May08 (perez manny)GILES EMMANUEL 122 12.00    
U S HONOUR NAP Jul20 Jun29 Jun17 Jun08 May18 (dizeo din)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 15.00    
SCR  READTHECLIFFNOTES Jul03 Jun05 Apr20 Oct06 Sep15 (boyce michele)MOJICA O 122 2.50    
GLOBAL EMPIRE Jul31 Jul17 Jul06 Jun21 Jun05 (haran john)REYES FRANK 122 3.50    
BLURT Jul10 Jun29 Jun15 Oct19 Sep29 (dizeo dino)TAVARES JAVIER 122 5.00 11% 8.50    
LOOKIN FOR REVENGE Jul20 Dec18 Dec04 Nov04 Oct10 (simonovic)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 8.00 18% 4.70    
SIXWILLBERICH Jul20 Jul12 Jun08 Apr30 Apr06 (watkins m)FELIX E 122 4.50 45% 1.20    
 
HAW-7   08/14/2025 3630ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($20K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHATDOYOUTHINKMARK Jul17 Jun29 May25 May11 Apr24 (dizeo dino)MOJICA O 122 3.00 57% 0.80    
RED RIZZLER Jul31 Jul06 Jun05 May11 May04 (rosas rig)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 15.00    
DINOS DIXIE Aug03 Jul06 May11 Mar15 Jan30 (simonovich d)GILES EMMANUEL 122 4.50    
SEVERANCE Jul26 Apr13 Mar22 Feb05 Jan15 (thurman rhonda)DIEGO JAVIER 122 30.00    
SCR  SAWYER FOX Jul13 Jun12 Sep04 Aug06 Dec10 (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 1.60    
CODE NAME Oct06 Sep01 Jul25 Jul06 Jun08 (campbell )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 8.00 12% 7.50    
NAGY AND DA BEARS Aug03 Jul27 Jun26 May25 Oct10 (alonso fernando)REYES FRANK 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
RAVIN'S TOWN Feb28 Feb02 Jan18 Dec14 Oct13 (haran john)TAVARES JAVIER 122 6.00 6% 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.