Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Wednesday - August 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (4/8) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/8)-(4/8) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/8)-(1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/8)-(1/2)-(7/9) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
PEN-2   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/2)-(7/9) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(7/9)-(9/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
PEN-3   WIN (7/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/9)-(7/9) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (7/9)-(9/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (7/9)-(9/3)-(4/1/5/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PEN-4   WIN (9/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/3)-(9/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (9/3)-(4/1/5/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (9/3)-(4/1/5/7)-(2/4/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PEN-5   WIN (4/1/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/5/7)-(4/1/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/5/7)-(4/1/5/7)-(4/1/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/5/7)-(2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5/7)-(2/4/3)-(1/9/7/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-6   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(1/9/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-7   WIN (1/9/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/7/4)-(1/9/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/7/4)-(1/9/7/4)-(1/9/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   08/13/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  INSTPARTY Aug08 Jul05 Jun13 Apr27 Nov15 (allen ferris)CORA D 121 4.00    
ROAD TO DREAMS Aug01 Jul11 Jul01 Jun03 May26 (penaloza miguel)BOWMAN ADAM 121 15.00    
SCR  BEST KISS YET Jul24 Jul05 Mar29 Feb14 Dec05 (beattie m)TORRES JOMAR 125 4.00    
SOCIAL WHIRL (IRE) Jul24 Apr27 Oct31 Oct10 Jul23 (woolley t)RODRIGUEZ A 121 5.00 64% 0.60    
BELLA PRIMA Jul25 Jun07 May08 Mar20 Feb20 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 125 5.00    
SCR  LULLABY LAND Jul23 Jun19 Nov25 Oct17 Sep20 (abrams jack)FLORES E 121 15.00    
SCR  MADE TO HUSTLE Aug07 Jun25 May20 Oct18 Aug29 (rogers ronald)ROJAS MARTINA 123 2.00    
NUWANDA Aug03 Jun29 Jun13 Apr27 Nov08 (diaz jorge)WILLIAMS AJHARI 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-2   08/13/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXPRESSO BAY         (beattie tod)CORUJO LEONARDO 118 1.60 40% 1.50    
  (by METFIELD out of CAPPUCINO BAY by BAILJUMPER)
CONSTANTINE         (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 118 6.00 15% 5.60    
  (by GENTLEMEN (ARG) out of SHISENDO PALACE by THEATRICAL (IRE))
PERGAMON         (albright r)CHIAPPE R 118 10.00    
  (by LORD SHANAKILL out of NAUT A GIVER by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
EL PAPACITO Jul16 Jun14       (singh somra)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 118 1.20    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of HARDRAINSGONNAFALL by HARD SPUN)
SCR  IRISH DUDE         (beattie tod)RAMOS O 118 5.00    
  (by STANFORD out of HER IRISH EYES by GALILEO)
 
PEN-3   08/13/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DECLARATION TIME Jul30 Jul18 Jun25 Oct21 Sep07 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 6.00    
HOT ROD KITTY Jul18 Jul03 Jun07 May23 May09 (stites w)CORA D 118 15.00    
SCR  T REX Jul30 Jun26 Oct19 Sep07 Aug16 (rogers rona)INIRIO J 121 8.00    
SCR  ET'S MAGIC MAN Jul25 Jun26 Jun13 May17 Apr23 (agnew naois)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 4.50    
SCR  BOLD HOPPERTUNITY Jul30 Jul17 Jun19 May03 Apr15 (abrams j)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 10.00    
COMMINGLING Jul18 Jul03 May07 Apr29 Apr07 (beattie cody)ROJAS MARTINA 121 8.00    
WOW WHATA PARTY Jul18 Jul10 Jun13 Apr25 Oct21 (lawrence james)TORRES JOMAR 121 3.50 39% 1.60    
SCR  HARBOR OF GOLD Jul23 Jun22 Oct04 Sep09 Aug02 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 8.00    
MALIBU WARRIOR Jun19 Jun07 May29 May02 Mar14 (kulp l)RUIZ ELISEO 118 10.00 25% 3.10    
SCR  MYCROFT Jul31 Jun28 Nov22 Nov01   (mcclellan erin )BEATO INOEL 122 5.00    
SCR  SOCIAL ACCEPTANCE Jul31 Jul01 Oct29 Oct12 Oct05 (aristone phi)HERNANDEZ ANDY 121 10.00    
SCR  RENARD (BRZ) Mar04 Feb10       (aristone philip )CASTILLO A 121 6.00    
 
PEN-4   08/13/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NORTHERN CARDINAL Nov16 Oct11 Sep15 Sep04 Jul27 (mcmahon d)RODRIGUEZ R 125 4.50    
SCR  CAYUGA Jul31 Feb27 Jan18 Jan10   (smith lawre)CORUJO LEONARDO 115 30.00    
WIFFLEBALL         (kreiser c)CORA D 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GOLLUM Mar14 Feb27 Feb05     (smith lawre)INIRIO J 120 50.00    
OLLIE BOY Jul18 Jun20 Jun12 May22 May07 (demario charles)BEATO INOEL 125 15.00    
SCR  QUAMASH Jul31 Jun20 May30 May22 Apr09 (mcclellan e)RAMOS O 120 2.50    
SCR  QUALITY BOLT         (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 6.00    
SAMS AFTER PARTY Jul24 Jul09 Jun07 May17 May03 (padilla o)RUIZ ELISEO 122 3.00    
SHOWTIME MATINEE Jun20 May23 May09 Apr15   (kravets bruce )ADORNO ABNER 122 5.00 53% 0.90    
 
PEN-5   08/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LILY'S TIME Jul30 Jul03 Jun11 May21 May07 (kulp l)RUIZ ELISEO 120 2.50 20% 4.10    
CASTASPELLA Feb20 Dec27 Aug15     (kravets bru)CORUJO LEONARDO 123 4.50    
WIN FOR LAILA Jul24 Jul11 May04 Mar22 Mar13 (zalalas michael)BEATO INOEL 123 30.00    
MARY'S REWARD Jul23 Jul16 Jul03 May20 Nov06 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 2.00 44% 1.30    
KENTUCKY REIGN Jul24 Jul18 Jun25 May07 Apr23 (bobadilla f)CORA D 123 15.00 8% 10.80    
COWGIRL NATION Jul24 Jul03 Jun19 May30 May09 (stites flin)INIRIO J 123 3.00    
MISS CASELLA Jul08 May28 May12 Mar12   (arce jos)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-6   08/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEVERN RUN Jul24 Jun21 Jun01 May17 Apr13 (beecher mark)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00    
WILD NUGGET Jul25 Jul03 Jun11 May22 May07 (synnefias dim)TUNON JORDANO 123 2.00 39% 1.60    
KEVIN MAC Jul31 Jul03 Jun11 May03 Apr23 (kravets bruce )ADORNO ABNER 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
KAZ CREED Jul16 Jun19 Jun11 May17 Apr25 (kravets m)CORA D 123 2.50 36% 1.80    
WARRIOR'S WAY OUT Jul25 Jul05 Jun11 Jun06 May23 (bobadilla j)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 20.00    
PRIVATE CABANA Jul03 May30 May03 Apr24 Apr02 (marquez cesare)AGUILAR JEAN 123 10.00    
SCR  MILO Jul30 Jul13 Feb14 Jan08 Oct11 (alvarado dia)BATISTA A 123 12.00    
 
PEN-7   08/13/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UTTERLY ENCHANTING Jul24 Jun25 May23 May04 Apr05 (mancilla a)CHIAPPE R 125 3.00 43% 1.30    
SCR  SULTRY SALLY H Aug02 Jul11 Jun25 May30 May23 (vick timoth)CORUJO LEONARDO 125 20.00    
FOREST MAIDEN Aug01 Jul14 Jun17 May26 Apr22 (bullock jorda)RIVERA D 125 4.00    
MY BOSS LADY Aug01 Jul04 Jun13 May15 Apr25 (rodriguez fra)DIAZ VLADIMIR 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
CONFIRMED GENIUS Aug04 Jun26 May12 Apr21 Apr01 (albright am)INIRIO J 125 6.00    
SCR  SMOOTH JUSTICE Jul11 Jun27 Jun11 Mar01 Feb12 (agostini a)MITCHELL RICHARD 125 3.50    
LA LIMA Jul18 Jun19 Jun06 May23 May01 (ippolito mark)TUNON JORDANO 125 6.00 12% 7.40    
STEPHANIE MY LOVE Jul18 Jun19 May23 Apr25 Mar28 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 125 20.00    
HIGH VIBES Aug01 Oct01 Sep17 Aug21 Aug01 (miller a)BEATO INOEL 125 10.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  EARLY FROST Jul18 Jul04 Jun19 Jun06 May15 (ippolito mark)CORA D 125 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.