Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Thursday - August 07, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PEN-1   WIN (9/1/5/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/5/8/7)-(9/1/5/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/5/8/7)-(9/1/5/8/7)-(9/1/5/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/1/5/8/7)-(5/2/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (9/1/5/8/7)-(5/2/1)-(1/3/8/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PEN-2   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(1/3/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(1/3/8/7)-(7/4/9/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-3   WIN (1/3/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/8/7)-(1/3/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/8/7)-(1/3/8/7)-(1/3/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/8/7)-(7/4/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/8/7)-(7/4/9/1)-(5/1/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-4   WIN (7/4/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/9/1)-(7/4/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/9/1)-(7/4/9/1)-(7/4/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/9/1)-(5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/4/9/1)-(5/1/2)-(6/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-5   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(6/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(6/3/4)-(1/4/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PEN-6   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(1/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PEN-7   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   08/07/2025 3300ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MS. LAOBANNIANG Jul16 Jun26 Jun05 Jan02   (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 122 3.00 24% 3.10    
NEED A MIRACLE Jun29 May02 Apr05 Mar13 Feb26 (leaf jr)HESS SARA 120 15.00    
SANDY GIRL (ARG) Jul09 Jun26 Jun12 May29 May21 (gallim)GONZALEZ JR 122 15.00    
FAHNEE Jun22 Jun14 May09     (stettinius )BURNHAM MATILDA 115 3.50    
HUMORESQUE         (lynch cat)MALDONADO GABRIEL 117 5.00 15% 5.90    
AMELIORATE Jul16 Jun16 May28 May15   (pattersh)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 120 6.00    
COLLECTED MIST Jul05         (monday kevin)FLORES E 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
GOLDEN DANCER         (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 8.00 13% 6.40    
BEACH QUEEN         (beattie tod)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 4.00 26% 2.90    
 
PEN-2   08/07/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY PRINCE Jun27 Jun16 Mar28 Mar20 Jan08 (galligan ge)CORUJO LEONARDO 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
CARCHAROTH May27 May17 Apr23 Apr14 Mar12 (penaloza miguel)BOWMAN ADAM 123 8.00 26% 2.80    
MODICA Jul22 Jul02 Jun01 May17 Apr07 (wyner harold)PENNINGTON F 123 3.00    
COMANCHE PEAK (GB) Jul30 Jul19 Dec14 Nov21 Oct25 (neilson kathy)CORA D 123 5.00    
WORK FROM HOME Aug01 Jul11 Jun19 Nov08 Oct23 (salvaggio mich)TORRES JOMAR 123 4.50 28% 2.60    
SCR  THE MAN TO SEE Aug01 Jul11 Mar21 Oct31 Sep16 (dowling wil)RAMOS O 123 3.50    
TWIST 'N TWIRL Jul10 Jun14 May02 Dec12 Nov28 (capuano philli)CHUAN MARTIN 123 4.50    
SCR  DONNELLY'S HOLLOW Jul11 Jun26 Jun12 May03 Apr16 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 4.00    
 
PEN-3   08/07/2025 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KALAHARI NOT SORRY Jul18 Jun11 May22 Mar13 Feb07 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 121 3.50 57% 0.70    
SCR  KISSTHEMOON Jul18 Jun26 Sep08 Aug22 Jul19 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 6.00    
BOOK RUNNER Jul09 Jun02 May03 Apr14 Jan27 (dandy rona)SANCHEZ J 121 6.00 9% 10.40    
CAUGHTANDCOLLECTED Jul17 Jun19 Jun06 May09 Oct23 (kreiser timoth)TORRES JOMAR 121 6.00    
MAGNIFICENT MILE Jul09 Apr26 Mar14 Feb09 Jan24 (ness jamie)CHUAN MARTIN 121 5.00    
PERSISTEN Jul18 Jul04 Jun21 May26 Apr26 (avila juan)ORDONEZ R 118 20.00    
HEY PORTER Jul24 Jun02 May07 Mar04 Feb05 (castillo miche)ADORNO ABNER 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
COME PRIMA Jul17 Jun26 Jun11 May23 May09 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 8.00 8% 12.30    
SCR  BRONX BOYS Jun26 Jun06 May23 Apr24 Mar21 (kulp l)RUIZ ELISEO 121 4.50    
10  SKIMBLE SHANKS Jul18 Jun26 Jun11 May15 Apr24 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 121 12.00    
 
PEN-4   08/07/2025 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUERY Jul09 Dec19 Nov27 Nov14 Oct23 (mcclellan e)RAMOS O 118 15.00 6% 16.90    
SCR  RAINAS ROLLIN May20 Sep14 Aug16 Jul24 Jul03 (rogers ronald)ROJAS MARTINA 121 8.00    
MOONBOOTS Jun17 May07 Mar25 Mar12 Jan27 (flores g)ADORNO ABNER 121 8.00    
MADE TO HUSTLE Jun25 May20 Oct18 Aug29 Aug15 (rogers r)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 116 3.00 10% 9.10    
SCR  LADY AHAVA Jul25 Jul09 Jul10 Jun18 May29 (ippolito mark)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 30.00    
SCR  ARROGANTE Jul21 Jul07 May21 Mar27 Mar08 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 121 6.00    
QUEEN'S WREATH Jul28 Jul07 Nov10 Sep28 Sep13 (mcclellan erin )BEATO INOEL 118 2.50 48% 1.10    
WINNING PLAY Jun20 Jun06 Nov20 Oct22 Aug26 (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 118 5.00    
COMBAT HOOFS Jul25 Jul18 Jul05 Jun27 Jun13 (harigeorgiou kons)AGUILAR M 121 10.00 7% 12.90    
10  CRUZIN ANNA Jul24 Jul09 Jun12 May21 May01 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 121 12.00    
 
PEN-5   08/07/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 2 F PT- 7:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SONG TO REMEMBER (IRE)         (beattie m)TORRES JOMAR 118 4.50 29% 2.50    
  (by SONG (GB) out of BLAME IT ONTHESONG by BLAME)
PUNCH AND JUDY Jul24         (albright ge)CORUJO LEONARDO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of PUNCH MARYLAND by TWO PUNCH)
TUSH PUSH Jul18         (arce jos)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 113 5.00    
  (by MODERNIST out of IF I WAS A BOY by JUMP START)
ALYVIA'S LIL GIRL Jul26         (gallimore trevor)CASTILLO A 118 3.50    
  (by COMBATANT out of HIGH FLYING ADORE by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
DIVINE INTENTIONS         (servis tyler)PENNINGTON F 118 2.00 45% 1.20    
  (by DIVINING ROD out of SHYZA by CAIRO PRINCE)
SCR  TIK OR TAK Jul24         (albright r)CHIAPPE R 118 2.50    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of JESSICA'S TAK by MUTAKDDIM)
 
PEN-6   08/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAP THE DEVIL Jul23 Jul09       (chacon gustav)OCASIO M 122 12.00    
  (by TIGHT TEN out of MISS AL DILA by GIO PONTI)
QUASI WARRIOR         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50    
  (by WEIGELIA out of AWESOME ANGIE by AWESOME AGAIN)
MO SAYS         (beattie m)TORRES JOMAR 122 2.50 14% 6.30    
  (by MO TOWN out of RESTLESS ANGEL by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
RIP MY HEART Apr23 Feb28 Feb07     (stites flin)INIRIO J 125 6.00 8% 11.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of MS. GOOD HEART by LION HEART)
DIXIELAND CHILL         (crook-de)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 4.00    
  (by WINCHILL out of DIXIELAND KNOCKOUT by TWO PUNCH)
JESTER SANG Jul18 Jun28 Jun20 May29 Apr27 (robertson mcle)EVANS CECILY 125 2.00 56% 0.80    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of TAPIT HOME by TAPIT)
 
PEN-7   08/07/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MI BELLA GENIO Jul05 Jul27       (avila juan)ORDONEZ R 120 2.00 37% 1.70    
KASHMIR WITCH Jun12 May21 May01 Mar13 Feb07 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
CHARISSE Jul17 Feb27 Jan03 Nov02 Jun27 (wolfe j)INIRIO J 123 12.00    
HONEY FUN Jun12 May23 Apr25 Mar21   (shea lydee)CORA D 123 2.50 35% 1.80    
VIXENZHYPNOTKHONEY Jul05 Jun05 May16 Apr25   (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.00    
ECLIPTICAL GINA Jul09 Jun25 May30 Apr27 Mar21 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.