Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Assiniboia Downs
Wednesday - July 30, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-1   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.20 $0.00 
    DD (5/2)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(2/5/3)-(3/4/5/6) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
ASD-2   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (2/5/3)-(3/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(3/4/5/6)-(2/5/4) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-3   WIN (3/4/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/5/6)-(3/4/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/5/6)-(3/4/5/6)-(3/4/5/6) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (3/4/5/6)-(2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5/6)-(2/5/4)-(3/6/2/5) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-4   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (2/5/4)-(3/6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(3/6/2/5)-(4/6/2/3) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-5   WIN (3/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/2/5)-(3/6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/2/5)-(3/6/2/5)-(3/6/2/5) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (3/6/2/5)-(4/6/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2/5)-(4/6/2/3)-(2/1/6/4) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
ASD-6   WIN (4/6/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/2/3)-(4/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/2/3)-(4/6/2/3)-(4/6/2/3) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (4/6/2/3)-(2/1/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/2/3)-(2/1/6/4)-(7/6/5/2) 64 $0.20 $12.80 
ASD-7   WIN (2/1/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/6/4)-(2/1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/6/4)-(2/1/6/4)-(2/1/6/4) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (2/1/6/4)-(7/6/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ASD-8   WIN (7/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/5/2)-(7/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/5/2)-(7/6/5/2)-(7/6/5/2) 24 $0.20 $4.80 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ASD-1   07/30/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BROWN LITE Jul16         (gittens dev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 1.60    
  (by VENGEFUL WILDCAT out of PLAIN BROWN by SIGHTSEEING)
SCR  ODD MAN RUSH         (brown jared)ALI RONALD 122 4.50 13% 7.00    
  (by SPECULATING out of SWEET TIZZY LIZZY by TIZNOW)
SISTER FRANCIS         (gaskin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 12.00    
  (by NONIOS out of FRANCHESCA by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
MIGHTY MIKEE         (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 122 3.00    
  (by MITOLE out of PICCADILLY LINE by AIR FORCE BLUE)
SILVER SPICED         (brown ja)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 2.00 38% 1.60    
  (by SPECULATING out of PILLOW BOOK by MARIA'S MON)
 
ASD-2   07/30/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO BARB WIRE Jul09 Jun23 Jun11 Jun03 Sep09 (johnson marion)BELLE SHAVON 119 25.00    
NO SHOW NO CALL Jul09 Jun11 May28 May14 Sep24 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 122 0.80 64% 0.60    
THIRSTY BABY Jul23 Jul09 Jun24 May27 May13 (mooney bill)DALRYMPLE DARIO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
GREEN AMAZON Jul15 Jun25 May28 May13 Nov29 (gaskin steven)BALROOP SVEN 122 3.50    
BIG WALK Jul15 Jun25 Jun17 Jun02 May20 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 3.00 10% 9.30    
SMACKOVER LIME Jul15 Jun25 Jun10 Jun04 May27 (pruitt lise)PRUITT CIERA 119 12.00    
 
ASD-3   07/30/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ENANO CARO Jul14 Jul02 Jun24 Jun11 Oct13 (mooney bill)DALRYMPLE DARIO 122 12.00    
FAR BEYOND Jul16 Jun23 Jun03 May21 Nov03 (ellis andre)ALI RONALD 122 20.00    
SCR  WAR ECHO Jul09 Jun25 Jun03 May27 Apr29 (nault mic)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 6.00 24% 3.10    
OLYMPIC LEGEND Jul16 Jun04 Apr18 Jun21 Sep09 (homer jason)TOWNSEND SHAVON 122 4.00 23% 3.30    
MAGNOLIA SPEED Jul16 Jun23 Jun04 May21 Sep02 (dickey elton)CUMBERBATCH R 122 8.00 22% 3.50    
WICKEDBLACKBULLET Jul14 Jun18 May21 Sep24 Sep17 (dickey elto)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 122 10.00 7% 13.30    
ITWASTHISBIG Jul16 Jun30 Jun22 Jun06 May23 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 122 0.80    
 
ASD-4   07/30/2025 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST Debutante Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MS LATTE         (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 114 6.00    
  (by TAPWRIT out of LADY MOCHA by TALE OF THE CAT)
WECANONLYIMAGINE Jul16         (brown ja)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 1.20 48% 1.10    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of SWIMSUIT ISSUE by SCAT DADDY)
BIG BAD BERTHA Jul16         (brown jared)ALI RONALD 114 12.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of KAT O MINE by MINESHAFT)
THE WRIGHT WAY Jul16         (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BASIN out of HIDYGO by INDYGO SHINER)
HIGH MILER         (nault mic)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 3.00 16% 5.20    
  (by TAPITURE out of KODIAK KOCKTAIL by KODIAK KOWBOY)
NEYTIRI Jul16         (pruitt lise)PRUITT CIERA 114 4.00    
  (by TRAJECTORY out of AVATARI by UNION RAGS)
 
ASD-5   07/30/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BUTTONSARENOTTOYS Jul09 Jun04 Apr11 Sep02 Jun29 (homer jason)TOWNSEND SHAVON 122 7.00    
NOIWONTBACKDOWN Jul15 Jul08 Jun24 May27 May13 (ross cou)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 6.00 9% 9.70    
DIRTY FLIRT Jul09 Jun11 May27 Sep16 Aug27 (duncan mu)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 4.00 38% 1.60    
HAPPY BIRTHDAY Jul23 Jul09 Jun24 Jun11 Sep24 (stanford )SEECHARAN A 117 30.00    
DASHING D'ARTAGNAN Jul15 Nov27 Sep27 Aug24 Jun15 (laing sherry)PARRIS SACHIN 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
COUNTER COMMAND Jul09 Jun18 Jun02 May21 Sep18 (dickey elton)HEWITT ROGER 119 3.00 21% 3.80    
ZEN STATE Jul15 Jun10 May02 Apr19 Apr06 (homer jason)PRUITT CIERA 117 1.60    
CAVORE Jul15 Jul09 Jun24 Jun11 May27 (stanford mar)BENNETT MATHEW 117 12.00    
 
ASD-6   07/30/2025 4950ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONFUSING Jul14 Jun29 May23 Apr27 Nov24 (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 124 2.00    
TIZ LORD Jul14 Jun25 Jun02 May13 Mar19 (dickey el)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 3.50 12% 7.70    
BOSSY HOLIDAY Jun23 Jun10 May27 Sep24 Sep04 (goulet moniqu)BYNOE DAMARIO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
UPSTRIKER Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 Apr19 Apr05 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
LUKA GRAZIE Jul15 Jul09 Apr19 Mar19 Feb26 (homer jason)PRUITT CIERA 119 15.00    
MCKAGUE Jul09 Jun18 Aug13 Jul30 Jul16 (anderson car)BENNETT MATHEW 122 4.00 27% 2.60    
SHOCKING MALICE Jul08 Jun24 Jun03 May14 Mar28 (pruitt lise)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 20.00    
PRINCEOFTHEPRAIRIE Jul22 Jun17 Jun02 Sep17 Aug27 (anderson carl)ALI RONALD 117 30.00    
 
ASD-7   07/30/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAJUN EDDIE Jul16 Jul03 Jun13 May11 Apr26 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 3.00 14% 6.30    
BIG TICKET Jul16 Jul02 Jun18 Jun03 May21 (delaronde lee)BALROOP SVEN 124 2.00 53% 0.90    
BLUE SKYE JADE Jul16 Jun24 Jun10 May28 Nov17 (williams )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 2.50    
WHISKEY WEDNESDAY Jul16 Jun28 Jun06 May25 Dec27 (brown jared)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
DIAMOND CONCERTO Jul16 Jul02 Jun18 Jun04 May20 (duncan murr)DALRYMPLE DARIO 122 12.00    
WRONG DIRECTION Jul22 Jul09 Jun24 Jun11 Jun03 (gardipy j)PARRIS SACHIN 117 10.00 7% 13.20    
IN FORM Jul09 Jun25 Jun02 May13 Nov06 (goulet moni)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 124 6.00    
 
ASD-8   07/30/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-11:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GIDDY UP ZOEY Jun17 Jun02 Sep23 Sep03 Aug20 (desjarlais r)BENNETT MATHEW 123 30.00    
OTTER POP Jul02 Jun17 Jun02 Jul16 Jul08 (mustard car)TOWNSEND SHAVON 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
MERMAID KISSES Sep22 Oct07 Sep30 Aug22 Jul30 (constant )SEECHARAN A 123 30.00    
JJ'S AMERICAN DIVA Jul15 Jun23 May21 Sep18 Aug26 (laing sherry)PARRIS SACHIN 118 2.00    
AYY LADIES Jun17 Jun02 Sep23 Sep09 Aug21 (brown jared)BUDHU ARTHUR 123 8.00 17% 4.90    
DAZZLING GOLD Jul16 Sep11 Sep03 Aug20 Aug06 (nault michael)BYNOE DAMARIO 123 3.50 21% 3.90    
AUNT IRENE Jul15 Jul08 May10 Apr18 Apr06 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 2.50 29% 2.50    
DONNAS FINAL WORD Jul22 Jul02 Jun15 May18 Apr11 (ellis andre)BELLE SHAVON 123 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.