Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Monmouth Park
Saturday - July 26, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MTH-1   WIN (6/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/5)-(6/3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/5)-(6/3/1/5)-(6/3/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/1/5)-(1/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1/5)-(1/2)-(2/5/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
MTH-2   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/2)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(2/5/4)-(4/10/5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
MTH-3   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(4/10/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(4/10/5/2)-(5/2/6/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-4   WIN (4/10/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/10/5/2)-(4/10/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/10/5/2)-(4/10/5/2)-(4/10/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/10/5/2)-(5/2/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/10/5/2)-(5/2/6/1)-(4/5/2/3) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
MTH-5   WIN (5/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/6/1)-(5/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/6/1)-(5/2/6/1)-(5/2/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/6/1)-(4/5/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6/1)-(4/5/2/3)-(2/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-6   WIN (4/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/2/3)-(4/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/2/3)-(4/5/2/3)-(4/5/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/2/3)-(2/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2/3)-(2/3/1)-(4/8/1/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
MTH-7   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/1)-(4/8/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(4/8/1/7)-(8/2/6/3/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
MTH-8   WIN (4/8/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/1/7)-(4/8/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/1/7)-(4/8/1/7)-(4/8/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/1/7)-(8/2/6/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
MTH-9   WIN (8/2/6/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/2/6/3/1)-(8/2/6/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/2/6/3/1)-(8/2/6/3/1)-(8/2/6/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MTH-1   07/26/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PARK AVENUE BETTY Jul05 Apr11 Mar19 Jan10 Dec15 (volk scott)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 2.00 11% 8.50    
LADY CATALINA Jul05 Jun20 May24 Oct19 Oct04 (rabadan)GONZALEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
JAM'S PAPER MOON Jul05 Jun22 Jun01 Feb19 Jan02 (wilson faith)MARIN SAMUEL 123 3.00 14% 5.90    
LADY MCSPARKLES Jul03 Apr18       (handal ra)VARGAS A 119 8.00    
PRETTY GEISHA Jul16 Feb08 Jan17 Nov03 Oct19 (boniface ke)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
PRINCESS IRENE Jul04 Jan30 Dec12 Aug29   (delgado jorge)JARA FERNANDO 119 5.00 47% 1.10    
MICHAELA Jul05 Jun20 May04 Apr17 Mar30 (pompay terri)LEON SONNY 119 5.00    
LIL MISS LOLLIPOP Jul05 Jun21 May03 Apr06   (yanez reyn)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 114 4.50    
 
MTH-2   07/26/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($22K) 2 ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRONTI O MENO         (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 3.00 68% 0.50    
SCULCOS FOLLY Jul06         (dutrow richard)PENNINGTON F 118 6.00 10% 9.00    
SCR  FAME CHASER         (ward a)ESPINOZA V 118 2.00    
SCR  SANTINNI         (weaver george)MARIN SAMUEL 118 3.50    
SCR  GRANDE FELINO         (breen kelly )CASTILLO ISAAC 118 3.50    
MANOAH'S GLORY Jun08         (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 118 12.00    
SCR  COMPLICATION Jul03 Jun22       (delgado jorge)JARA FERNANDO 118 8.00    
 
MTH-3   07/26/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YODEL E. A. WHO Jul07 Jun15 May29 Apr08 Mar22 (ness jamie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 2.50    
CUPID'S DUDE Jul19 Jun28 Jun14 May29 Apr06 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 124 1.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  WYNN GIANT Jun09 May17 Apr29 Apr08 Mar25 (aristone phili)MARIN SAMUEL 121 8.00    
REAL SENSATION Jun28 Aug24 Jul20 Jul05 Jun23 (poalucci fran)IORIO MELISSA 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
KING OF HOLLYWOOD Jul06 Jun28 May31 May02 Dec31 (siculie)GONZALEZ LUIS 122 3.00 15% 5.50    
DENYING Jun29 Jun14 May18 May10 Apr19 (mcburney patrick)LEON SONNY 121 12.00    
 
MTH-4   07/26/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65.625K) 2 ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ AWESOME Jul04         (huston k)OLVER MADISON 114 20.00    
  (by CEE'S TIZZY out of HOOJI by MOSCOW BALLET (IRE))
JERSEY'S THE BOSS         (huston ro)VARGAS A 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of THIS IS NICE by EXCEED AND EXCEL)
WILDNCRAZYGUY         (lucas anthony)MARIN SAMUEL 117 8.00    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of IN MID HEIR by WILDCAT HEIR)
J J PACHECO Jul04         (sanchez jose)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.00 34% 1.90    
  (by ENGAGE out of LOST PRINCESS by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
PARTY GUEST         (motion g)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 110 4.00 22% 3.60    
  (by THE FACTOR out of PARTY BOAT by INTO MISCHIEF)
SUPERFRACTOR Jul04         (perkins j)IORIO MELISSA 117 6.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of DUMTADUMTADUM by MINESHAFT)
LA RESOLANA         (sanchez loz)LEON SONNY 114 12.00    
  (by ENGAGE out of SWEETEST YET by DROSSELMEYER)
SCR  LAST FLAG FLYING         (spina charle)BARBOSA JEIRON 114 8.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of HIGH FLYING FLAG by OUR EMBLEM)
SCR  SAILOR JOE         (spina charles)CAMACHO SAMY 117 6.00    
  (by JOEVIA out of LADY OVERBOARD by MIDSHIPMAN)
10  CLEVER CHARLIE Jul04         (ward dan)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 6.00 23% 3.30    
  (by TEJABO out of CLEVER WHITNEY by CLEVER SHOT)
 
MTH-5   07/26/2025 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUESUP GREENSDOWN Jul05 Jun20 Jun29 Jun15 May14 (dougherty )MARAGH CHRISTIAN 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
BLUE FOR YOU (IRE) Jul06 May26 Apr24     (handal ra)VARGAS A 123 3.50 21% 3.80    
KHOZANALL May24         (pompay terri)IORIO MELISSA 119 4.50    
SCR  PRETTY SHY Oct04 Sep14 Jul28 Jul14   (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 119 3.00    
LANDOFHOPEANDREAMS Jun26 Jun06 Aug12 Jul10 Jun15 (crook-demasi k)CAMACHO SAMY 123 3.50 35% 1.90    
SAVANNAH GEORGIA         (perez )GONZALEZ JR 119 8.00 14% 6.40    
LOOKIE HERE May25         (levine bruce)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 6.00    
THAT THING YOU DO Aug31         (dini mike)LEON SONNY 119 8.00    
SCR  TRUMPS GIRL Jun21         (alvarado dia)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 8.00    
 
MTH-6   07/26/2025 5610ft DIRT RC12 FAST Monmouth Oaks Purse ($250K) 3 F PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAKED EYE Jul06 Jun07 Jun01 May02 Mar29 (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 116 12.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of ROLL YOUR EYES by POPULAR (SAF))
RUTH Jul06 May31 May01 Apr06 Mar06 (pletcher a)NO RIDER 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of PEPPY RAFAELA by BERNARDINI)
ROSIEONTHERIVER Jun21 May18 May09 Mar15 Mar02 (gonzalez a)NO RIDER 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of DARK ARTIST by PAYNTER)
PARIS LILY Jun14 May16 Apr06 Feb07 Dec21 (walsh brenda)LOPEZ PASCACIO 116 2.50 47% 1.10    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of STORM LILY by STORM CAT)
RUNNING AWAY May14 Apr07 Jan18 Nov30 Oct19 (ward a)ESPINOZA V 120 2.00 22% 3.40    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of ALLEZ MARIE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
PINK RUBY Jun22 May18 Apr18 Mar09 Dec29 (schultz linds)JARA FERNANDO 118 5.00    
  (by CONNECT out of GEMINI R N by MINESHAFT)
FONDLY Jun14 May02 Mar15 Feb14   (motion graha)MARIN SAMUEL 122 2.50    
  (by UPSTART out of LIFETIME MEMORY by ISTAN)
 
MTH-7   07/26/2025 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIP LINE Jun29 Jun21 Dec30 Dec07 Nov02 (st uriah)LEON SONNY 117 8.00 10% 8.70    
PEONY Apr24 Feb08 Dec07 Nov03 Apr06 (clement miguel)CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.50 44% 1.20    
RISADITA Jun29 May25 Dec26 Nov23 Oct04 (o'connell kath)MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.00 20% 4.00    
DESIGNER BAG Jul13 Jun08 Apr13 Feb21 Feb08 (breen kell)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 110 20.00    
SCR  SECURITYLIGHTNING Jun14 May17 Apr19 Mar16 Feb09 (breen kelly )CASTILLO ISAAC 117 10.00    
SCR  CAMILA T (IRE) Jul13 Jun29 May25 Mar29 Feb28 (avila jua)VARGAS A 121 3.00    
STORMY DISCO Jul13 Jun21 May25 Apr25 Apr05 (dini mike)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 5.00    
SCR  MISSPENT Jun15 Jun01 Apr25 Apr05 Feb28 (pantaleo jose)OLVER MADISON 117 15.00    
SCR  MY VANILLA Jun27 May25 Feb07 Jan17 Nov07 (ramirez)GONZALEZ LUIS 117 8.00    
 
MTH-8   07/26/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALIBLUE Jul15 May17 Apr23 Apr15 Mar12 (penaloza miguel)BOWMAN ADAM 121 15.00 7% 12.90    
BLUE MARBLE Jul06 Jun15 May25 May10 Apr13 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 121 6.00    
HELLO SUNSHINE Jul03 Jun08 May11 Mar30 Mar17 (pecoraro ant)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 4.50    
NOSTALGIA'S SMILE Jul13 Jun22 Jun01 May01 Apr04 (david carl)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 110 3.00 55% 0.80    
PRIME MOTIVE Jul18 Jun21 Jun08 May29 May18 (rabadan sergio)LEON SONNY 120 6.00    
SCR  THAT SUN OF A GUN Jul27 Jun22 May26 May12 Mar16 (mcburne)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 8.00    
SUPERNESS Jul15 Jun28 May28 May12 Apr07 (arce josue)RIVERA D 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
KING FREUD Jun28 May25 Mar21 Feb22 Feb07 (rodriguez rudy)CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.00 10% 9.10    
 
MTH-9   07/26/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECIAL AFFAIR Jul04 Jun20 Jun07 May24 Apr16 (hernand)GONZALEZ LUIS 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SHAKREVENGE Jun27 Jun14 May17 Apr02 Mar02 (avila car)SUTHERLAND C 124 6.00 7% 12.60    
ROSE OF SHARON Jul15 Jun15 May28 Mar05 Feb12 (king clarence )AGUILAR JEAN 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
WOW LUCKY Jul04 Jun07 May11 Mar28 Feb27 (brown r)CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.00    
DAME CATHERINE Jul04 Jun14 Apr02 Mar14 Feb19 (wilson ton)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 114 6.00    
TARIBA DREAM Jul08 Jun17 May03 Apr18 Dec21 (rodriguez irving)BRACHO A 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
TELL ME SOME LIES Jun07 Nov30 Nov03 Oct06 Sep08 (orseno joseph)IORIO MELISSA 121 5.00    
THE GODDESS FACTOR Jul04 May31 Apr23 Feb19 Jan19 (o'connell kathle)LEON SONNY 121 3.50 59% 0.70    
KOBE'S SMILE Jul16 Jun29 May17 Nov10 Nov01 (boniface kev)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.00    
SCR  UMBRAL Jul05 Jun22 May18 May10 Apr12 (gonzalez clau)OCASIO M 119 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.