Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Great Falls
Sunday - July 20, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GF-2   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/3) 4 $3.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    DD (2/1)-(1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
GF-3   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/2) 1 $3.00 $3.00 
GF-4   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/1) 1 $3.00 $3.00 
GF-5   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/3) 1 $3.00 $3.00 
GF-7   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $3.00 $6.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
GF-8   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $3.00 $6.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GF-2   07/20/2025 3465ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAUTICAL MILE Jun14 May26 May11 Dec06 Nov15 (birdrattler )BANDA F 126 5.00 18% 4.60    
  (by ANIMAL KINGDOM out of GIPOIA by MEDICEAN)
TIZ A SNEAKY LINK         (gibbs tyl)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 7.00 38% 1.60    
  (by OM out of TIZ GOLDILUX by TIZDEJAVU)
SHE'S ON FIRE Jul13 Oct19 Sep17 Aug28 Aug04 (wippert)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 2.00    
  (by TEXAS WILDCATTER out of PIKE PLACE MARKET by AFTER MARKET)
NEW WEST Mar06 Feb26 Feb11 Jan21 Dec12 (birdrattler)MEINEKE SHELDON 121 2.50    
  (by CODE WEST out of SEPHORA by NEWFOUNDLAND (IRE))
PHARAONIC PHOENIX Jul13 Jun22 Jun06 May17   (nelson bucks)ANDROS CORRINE 122 4.00    
  (by PROTONICO out of PHARAONIC PRINCESS by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
 
GF-3   07/20/2025 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL OCHO Jul13 Mar27 Mar13 Feb18 Jan21 (birdrat)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 3.00 34% 1.90    
AMERICAN TANGO Jul13 Jun15 May17 Mar26 Mar17 (fitzpatric)BAD JOSSIAH 122 2.00    
PARADISE POKER Jul13 Jun15       (gibbs tyl)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 1.60    
 
GF-4   07/20/2025 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP C/G PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRIVATE TRAX Jul13 Jul28 Jul20 Jun14 May27 (dennis g)GAMEZ M 126 3.00    
BIG SWAG Jul13 Jun22 Jun13 May30 Apr19 (oliver d)ANDROS CORRINE 122 1.60 52% 0.90    
HENNING Jul13 Jul22 Jul15 May20 Feb11 (schmitt)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 2.00    
 
GF-5   07/20/2025 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INZAWAY Jul13 Jun28 Apr02 Mar25 Mar13 (dennis g)GAMEZ M 126 3.00    
HINT OF FRIPPERY Jul13 Jun22 May17 May11 Feb26 (nelson bu)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 1.60 73% 0.40    
KLOE'S LADYBUG Jul12 Jun21 Jun06 Nov05 Feb10 (mccracken ro)JOURNET JARRED 126 2.00    
 
GF-7   07/20/2025 3465ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEVEL Jun27 Jun13 May18 May03 Apr11 (birdrat)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 4.00 33% 2.10    
SILENT DECLARATION Jul12 May31 May17 Oct12 Sep22 (birdrattler terra)GAMEZ M 126 7.00    
THIRSTY THURSDAY Jul12 Jun01 May18 Mar17 Feb27 (birdrattle)CARLSON J 121 2.00 36% 1.70    
SCR  QUICK INTRO Jul19 May31 Mar23 Mar08 Feb23 (carlson er)BAD JOSSIAH 126 5.00    
DEO Jul13 Jun22 Jun14 Dec29 Nov23 (gibbs tyl)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 2.50    
 
GF-8   07/20/2025 2640ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ZHIVAGO Jul19 Dec09 Nov25 Nov10 Oct15 (carlson er)BAD JOSSIAH 126 5.00    
ABRAA JABRAA Jul12 Jun29 Jun07 Jun01 May18 (birdrat)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 121 2.50 57% 0.80    
MONARCHOS DREAM May17 May03 Apr03 Mar21 Jan23 (jones dar)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 4.00 13% 6.90    
CONNECTER Jun01 May18 May04 Jan13 Dec27 (birdrattler shain)GAMEZ M 126 7.00    
BIG BLUE NOTE May26 May17 May11 Jan29 Dec27 (warren kayla)JOURNET JARRED 121 2.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.