Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Thursday - July 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/5)-(2/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
BTP-2   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(3/4)-(2/3) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
BTP-3   WIN (3/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/4)-(3/5/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (3/4)-(2/3)-(6/9/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-4   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(6/9/4)-(3/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-5   WIN (6/9/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/9/4)-(6/9/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/9/4)-(6/9/3/4)-(6/9/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-6   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(1/5)-(4/8/6) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
BTP-7   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/6/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/5)-(1/6/5)-(1/6/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/5)-(4/8/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BTP-8   WIN (4/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/6)-(4/8/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/8/6)-(4/8/1/6)-(4/8/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   07/17/2025 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY KATIE Jul02 Sep13 Aug31 Aug21 Aug07 (pinzon maria)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 125 3.00 47% 1.10    
2  OLE RED WING Jun26 Jun14 Jun04 Mar13 Feb19 (pinzon maria)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 1.80    
3  ENDLESS FASHION Jul09 Jun25 Jun13 May16 Apr23 (mendieta aleja)PAULY SUMMER 116 2.00    
SCR  STAGE RIGHT Jun18 May19 Oct22 Oct10 Sep27 (douglass d)VILLARREAL OSCAR 120 6.00    
5  SATIS Jun25 Jun04 May21 May03 Mar26 (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 125 8.00 6% 14.90    
 
BTP-2   07/17/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LYLA'S LUCKY BOY Jul05 Jun20 Jun05 Mar26 Feb23 (curto beve)VILLARREAL OSCAR 120 3.00    
2  STAND UP CHARLIE         (beckman alice)BOCACHICA O 125 8.00 37% 1.70    
3  TUFF HEART Nov02 Oct10 Sep21 Sep03   (eubanks richar)PAULY SUMMER 120 2.00    
4  KING HAZELTON Jun11 May06 Apr15 Sep23 Aug27 (dixon j)PILARES P 125 5.00 5% 19.00    
5  CAN'T YOU SEE Jun28 Jul11 Jun12 Apr25 Feb09 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 1.40 ★    
 
BTP-3   07/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PUTTHEGLASSDOWN May14 Mar06 Jan23 Dec27 Dec11 (moreno ti)CORREA L 125 4.50    
2  HUNTERTOWN Jun13 May24 May16 Apr15 Mar15 (andrade hu)VILLARREAL OSCAR 120 3.00    
3  MY GRASS IS BLUE Jun11 Mar07 Feb07 Oct14 Sep13 (west m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 1.60 36% 1.70    
4  HINDOSTAIN FALLS Jun29 Jun10 May29 May14 Nov26 (woodbury judy)CANUTO THIAGO 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  K W CAPTAIN HOOK Jun13 May23 Nov02 Oct03 Sep13 (smith larry)OUZTS W 125 2.00 ★    
 
BTP-4   07/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BENET Jun25 Feb09 Nov28 Sep19 Aug30 (meredith charle)MOJICA JR 125 6.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of ITS A FORD by SHACKLEFORD)
2  LOW MOON Jul03 May28 Mar07     (waltz brian)LEBRON VICTOR 121 2.50 39% 1.60    
  (by LAOBAN out of E MOON by MALIBU MOON)
3  EVALINA Jun25 May22 May05 Mar26 Mar12 (guerrero sa)JIMENEZ J 121 4.50 7% 14.20    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of ELUSIVE BITCOIN by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
4  MIGHTY RISKY Jun04 Apr24 Mar20 Feb20   (forster t)MCKEE J 121 1.60    
  (by MITOLE out of RISKY BEHAVIOR by DAREDEVIL)
SCR  TOOLBELT Jul03 Jun11 Jun04 May11   (caramor)PILARES P 121 3.50    
  (by RAISON D'ETAT out of CABLEKNIT by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
BTP-5   07/17/2025 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RABBLE May24 May16 May03 Feb26 Feb12 (caramori c)HERNANDEZ N 119 6.00    
2  GALENE Jun26 Nov04 Oct09     (wojczynski justin)MURGIA A 119 15.00    
3  CHICA LINDA Jun27 Dec29 Dec13 Nov23 Oct28 (orantes yoni )SOSA LAUREANO 123 5.00 ★    
4  MIRAGE CODE Jun27 Jun05 Apr29 Apr15 Mar25 (childs russel)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  POINT OF REFUGE Jun27 Jun05 May21 May07 Feb12 (ortiz-ruiz )FIGUEROA SERGIO 119 2.50    
6  SERENE WATERS Jun27 May22 May10 Mar20 Feb21 (hester hale)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 3.50 66% 0.50    
SCR  BIA BOLT RUNNER Jun27 Oct10 Sep19 Sep05 Aug20 (gonzalez ag)ROMERO M 118 20.00    
8  FLATTER ME ZEN Jul04 Jun21 Jun06 May13 Apr15 (childs g)MCKEE J 123 10.00    
9  OUTRAGE Jun27 Jun05 May14 Feb26 Feb07 (baez sergio)OUZTS W 119 4.50 12% 7.70    
 
BTP-6   07/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FIERCE ASSAULT Jun07 Apr30 Feb12 Jan28 Jan07 (eggleston)CORREA L 123 2.00    
SCR  BAMBY BOOM Jun24 Jun01 May20 May13 Mar22 (cambray andres)HERMAN NOEL 114 3.00    
3  MIDNITESTATEOFMIND Jun27 Apr29 Apr02 Dec09 Aug26 (west m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 2.50 61% 0.60    
4  MAN'S CHOICE Jul01 Jun20 Mar19 Mar03 Dec09 (orantes yo)VILLARREAL OSCAR 118 4.00    
5  V MART Jul02 Jun14 May24 Jan30 Jan04 (adams nancy)FIGUEROA SERGIO 123 8.00 11% 8.00    
6  MOON CHARGER Jul04 Jun24 Jun08 May27 May06 (cambray andres)DIAZ CESAR 118 10.00    
 
BTP-7   07/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WATCH ME DADDY Jul05 Jun18 Jun06 Dec26 Dec09 (smith larry)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 3.00 36% 1.80    
  (by FLAGSHIP out of PLEASE DADDY by THE DADDY)
2  ROW OF FAME Oct04         (donjuan ser)JIMENEZ J 125 10.00    
  (by BIG ATLANTIC out of WAHL OF FAME by SILVER DEPUTY)
3  MON MINOU May08 Apr21       (cline c)MURGIA A 121 2.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of HOT FRENCH FRIES by UNUSUAL HEAT)
SCR  LATE BLOOMBOPPER Jul05 Jun18 Sep27 Sep11 Aug21 (barker w)PAULY SUMMER 120 12.00    
  (by INDY WIND out of OCTOBER SONG by BERNSTEIN)
5  PIRINOLA Jul05 Jun18 Mar20 Feb26   (donjuan sergio)DIAZ CESAR 116 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of WHAT A TWIT by UNBRIDLED MAN)
6  WILLOWBEE Jun18         (overholt )CORREA L 121 4.00 ★    
  (by WILLIAM'S KITTEN out of KATIEAFTERDARK by JUMP START)
SCR  TRANSCENDENCE Jul01         (hester hale)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 6.00    
  (by ARCANO (IRE) out of ONE LOVELY STORM by GET STORMY)
 
BTP-8   07/17/2025 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CABERNEIGH Jun12 Mar22 Dec04 Oct16 Aug10 (barker w)MCKEE J 123 3.50 ★    
2  LARKSONG Jun21 Jun05 May24 May10 Mar06 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 119 10.00    
SCR  SARISSA Jun27 Jun05 May14 Mar28 Feb27 (sandy ste)CORREA L 123 6.00    
4  ULTIMA GRACE Jun21 May17 Apr06 Mar06 Sep08 (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 119 2.50 66% 0.50    
5  ELLE'S DANCER Jun05 May11 Apr23 Mar22 Feb23 (brownfield cl)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 5.00    
6  CAUSE IMA ROSE Feb27 Oct05 Aug29 Aug09 Jul12 (guida antho)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SUNY YINA (FR) Mar01 Nov14       (ramos rafael)FLACO ARCELIO 123 12.00    
8  TIMBAVATI Jul01 May17 Apr25 Mar15 Feb03 (estvanko ri)FIGUEROA SERGIO 123 4.50 8% 11.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.