Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Louisiana Downs
Monday - July 14, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LAD-1   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/6/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/4)-(2/6/4)-(2/6/4) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/4)-(2/7/5/8) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(2/7/5/8)-(4) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
LAD-2   WIN (2/7/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/5/8)-(2/7/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/5/8)-(2/7/5/8)-(2/7/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/5/8)-(4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (2/7/5/8)-(4)-(4/3/1/5) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
LAD-3   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/3) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4)-(4/3/1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4)-(4/3/1/5)-(3/8/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
LAD-4   WIN (4/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/1/5)-(4/3/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/1/5)-(4/3/1/5)-(4/3/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/1/5)-(3/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1/5)-(3/8/7)-(9/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-5   WIN (3/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/8/7)-(3/1/8/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/8/7)-(3/1/8/7)-(3/1/8/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/8/7)-(9/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/8/7)-(9/5/4)-(6/11/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LAD-6   WIN (9/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/5/4)-(9/5/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/5/4)-(9/5/6/4)-(9/5/6/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/5/4)-(6/11/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
LAD-7   WIN (6/11/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/11/4)-(6/11/4/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/11/4)-(6/11/4/8)-(6/11/4/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LAD-1   07/14/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REESE'S WORLD Jun26 May22 Feb23 Jan16 Dec29 (zenon shelton)MUNOZ SERGIO 118 20.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of CASANOVA KIDDO by LANGFUHR)
LADY STAR Jun27 May20 Mar03     (wilson shane)MCMAHON J 124 1.00 54% 0.80    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of FLOWER LADY by FLOWER ALLEY)
MALLORY UNBRIDLED Jun27 May14 Feb22 Dec20 Nov21 (zenon shel)BATISTA X 124 12.00    
  (by TIME BANDIT out of UNBRIDLED ACTION by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
TOOMUSH Jun09         (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SILENT PLEASURE out of TINCAN TOO by BARKERVILLE)
SCR  PERFECT DIXIE LADY Jun27 Jun16 May03 Mar20 Feb22 (duhon joseph)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 2.50    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of PERFECT SOUTHERNER by DIXIELAND BAND)
JUS MAKES CENTS May20 Mar19 Feb22 Feb06 Jan12 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of GIMME YO NUMBER by YONAGUSKA)
 
LAD-2   07/14/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TARKINGTON GIRL Jun30 Jun15 May26 May13 Apr04 (ramirez ro)GONZALEZ NICASIO 124 6.00    
GOLDEN CITY Jun30 May26 Mar07 Jan17 Dec20 (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 1.40 44% 1.20    
LONG SHOT LOUISE May27 Jan31 Jan04 Dec06 Nov22 (ramirez jul)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 10.00    
LITTLE Z Jun16 Mar13 Feb05 Jan17 Dec21 (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 122 15.00    
EAGLEOVERTHEMOON Feb24 Jan11 May26 May08 Feb17 (de beauvil)BATISTA X 122 3.50 8% 10.90    
GRACE'S SOLDIER Jun12 May23 Apr30 Feb05 Jan18 (zenon shelton)MECHE COLE 117 30.00    
MOION Jun30 Jun12 May23 Apr26 Apr04 (broussar)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 4.00 15% 5.70    
GAP DADDY Jun28 May19 Feb08 Jan16 Dec13 (nelson eric )NIEVES EMANUEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-3   07/14/2025 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BIRDIE CALL May19 Jan05 Dec27 Dec14 Nov29 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 125 1.00    
SCR  SIKARA SIKARA Jul01 May19 May09 Apr16 Mar20 (delhomme j)ALBERT S 123 2.50    
DEROUTANTE Jun22 May12 Mar16 Nov29 Sep23 (meaux h)LOZADA CARLOS 123 12.00    
BACK STREET BABY Jun03 May19 Feb20 Dec27 Nov29 (wilson shane)MCMAHON J 123 4.00 45% 1.20    
SMART IZZY Jun10 May26 May12 Mar20 Mar03 (hatcher nath)HEBERT LINDSEY 123 20.00    
SCR  CLEARSUGAR Jun07 May20 Feb23 Feb15 Jan10 (camejo jos)BATISTA X 120 5.00    
 
LAD-4   07/14/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAD BRAD Jun10 Jan24 Dec20 Nov26 Nov14 (hernandez )RAMIREZ JR 122 4.00 9% 10.00    
HALF A BUCK Jun23 Jun01 May17 May01 Jan31 (pedigo randy)BOREL H 122 5.00    
JEB'S LUCKY EIGHT May23 Apr17 Mar23 Feb23 Feb02 (thompson kevin)MUNOZ SERGIO 122 6.00 16% 5.20    
HEARTTHROB HALO Jun30 Jun13 May16 Apr04 Aug02 (zeno benjamin)MECHE COLE 117 3.50 41% 1.40    
G'S STORM Feb15 Jan17 Nov13 Oct18 Sep02 (dixon tim)SANTIAGO EDWARD 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
HEZA SEXY ZONG Jun10 May17 Feb13 Jan31 Jan17 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 2.50    
SILKY'S DANCE Jun01 May12 Sep02 Jul16 Jun24 (lara jorge)PENA JONUELLE 117 10.00    
THE THREE KS Jun01 Sep02 Apr10 Jan15 Dec14 (burkes bobb)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 20.00    
 
LAD-5   07/14/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROADWAY PEARL Jun16 May26 May12 Apr18 Mar03 (balderas)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 3.00    
SCR  KENYA STRIKE Jul01 Sep24 Aug12 Jul16 Jun18 (romero dal)BOREL H 117 8.00    
CAJUN ACES Jul01 Jun17 Jun03 May13 Apr12 (wilson melton)LOZADA CARLOS 117 3.50 66% 0.50    
SCR  LIL ASHLEY B. Jun24 Jun03 May13 Sep11 Sep03 (foster josep)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 4.50    
MARIAH'S CANDY Jun29 May31 May09 Apr20 Apr07 (broussard jer)PENA JONUELLE 115 10.00    
SERIOUSLY SASSY Jun07 May21 May12 Jan26 Jan05 (singh s)SINGH R 120 15.00    
RUBY THE DESTROYER Jun16 Jun06 May12 Apr29 Apr14 (broussard jervo)MCMAHON J 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
BOLD EXAGGERATION Jun16 Jun07 Feb21 Feb06 Jan16 (wong jonath)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 120 8.00 5% 18.20    
SISTER SAINT Jun22 May26 Apr26 Mar23 Feb27 (burkes bobb)SANTIAGO EDWARD 120 30.00    
SCR  MAGIC GLASS Jun07 Apr26 Mar01 Feb05 Jan18 (morris rowdy)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00    
 
LAD-6   07/14/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M AN OAK Jun10 Jun01 May02 Apr18 Mar30 (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 2.50    
MR. TEXAS CHARM Jun09 Jun01 May16 Feb07 Jan08 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 124 20.00    
SCR  OVER CALENDARED Jun24 Jun10 Jun01 May12 Mar13 (husak gary)BATISTA X 122 30.00    
ROULETTE Jun07 May20 Feb22 Jan17 Dec18 (bruno dona)GONZALEZ NICASIO 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
TRIPLE TREA Jun01 May12 Mar21 Mar06 Jan17 (wilson shane)MCMAHON J 122 4.50 23% 3.30    
STAY ON THE FENCE Dec29 Nov29 Nov08 Oct27 Sep21 (diodoro robe)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 1.80    
SCR  TRUST FUND BABY Jul05 Jun16 Jun03 May11 Feb21 (wong jonath)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 117 30.00    
LITTLE RANDY Jun01 May14 Apr28 Apr02 Feb07 (dixon tim)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 20.00    
GUCCI BOY May04 Apr19 Apr04 Mar19 Feb23 (wong jonathan)PENA JONUELLE 117 3.00 26% 2.90    
 
LAD-7   07/14/2025 4950ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GET THE BOSS Jun26 May25 Apr26 Apr04 Mar07 (wilson melto)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 12.00    
SCR  METRONOME Jun23 Jun09 May24 Apr04 Feb21 (ramirez julio)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 30.00    
SCR  DR. NIKO Jun01 May11 Apr13 Mar18 Oct27 (claire alexi)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 1.40    
PERFECTO Jan23         (balderas alfo)PENA JONUELLE 114 15.00 5% 17.90    
COPESTHEBOMB Jun29 Jun09 May17 Mar23 Feb19 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 119 50.00    
SAFE BET Jun15 May03 Apr06 Mar09 Mar01 (govea cesa)BATISTA X 124 4.50 61% 0.60    
LITTLE DITTY Jun29 May03 Mar16 Feb15   (wong jonathan)MCMAHON J 119 4.50    
CRUE'S N CONTROL Jun30 Jun09 May19 May05 Apr26 (dixon tim)SANTIAGO EDWARD 124 10.00    
SCR  KYE Jun23 Jun09 May25 May02 Apr13 (hewitt m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 12.00    
10  HERCULES N LOVE Jun29 Jun02 May19 Mar14 Feb12 (tillis jerry )VARGAS P 124 50.00    
11  ROYAL IRISH Jun09 May25 Sep26 Sep14   (cates al)LOZADA CARLOS 124 8.00 6% 16.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.