Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Great Falls
Saturday - July 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
GF-1   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/1/2) 4 $3.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
GF-5   WIN (2) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (2)-(2/1) 1 $3.00 $3.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
GF-7   WIN (7/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/2)-(7/1/5/2) 9 $3.00 $27.00 
    TRI (7/1/2)-(7/1/5/2)-(7/1/5/2) 18 $2.00 $36.00 
GF-8   WIN (4/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/3)-(4/2/3) 4 $3.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
GF-1   07/12/2025 3465ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.2K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DONTTESTYOURLUCK Jun13 May31 May10 Apr20 Apr06 (nordlund pat)ANDROS CORRINE 126 2.00 ★    
2  SPEEDY PIEDY Sep22 Aug31 Aug09 Jul24 Jul05 (calfrobe kay)JOURNET JARRED 126 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  STAR OF STARS Jun15 Aug31 Aug18 Jul20 Jul13 (gibbs tyl)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 2.50    
4  SILENT DECLARATION May31 May17 Oct12 Sep22 Sep08 (birdrat)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 4.00    
5  KEENEYE GEORGE Sep01 Aug23 Aug03 Jul06 Jun23 (theurer josh)BANDA F 126 7.00 39% 1.60    
 
GF-5   07/12/2025 3465ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVERS LAST DANCE Oct13 Jul13 Jun29 Apr21 Apr13 (birdrat)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 121 3.00 ★    
2  MEAN SHARON Jun08 May30 May04 Apr03 Mar18 (warren kayla)JOURNET JARRED 121 1.60 43% 1.30    
3  FOREST SONG Sep22 Sep01 Jul20 Jul13 Jun15 (schmitt bill)ANDROS CORRINE 121 2.00    
 
GF-7   07/12/2025 3465ft DIRT RC11 FAST TB Princess Purse ($7.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMA TROUBLE MAKER May31 May18 May11 May04 Apr08 (nelson bucks)ANDROS CORRINE 126 4.00 25% 3.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of R LA PATRONA by BENCHMARK)
2  MINNIE'S READY Jun15 Jun08 Jul28 Jul13 Jun29 (oliver d)GAMEZ M 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of BERTIE'S IMAGE by READY'S IMAGE)
3  LUCY TREASURE Jun21 Jun07 May26 Apr29 Mar11 (birdrattle)BAD JOSSIAH 126 5.00    
  (by BOOS out of STREET FAIR by STREET CRY (IRE))
4  KLOE'S LADYBUG Jun21 Jun06 Nov05 Feb10 Jan15 (mccracken ro)BANDA F 126 10.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of BANNER ELK LADY by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
5  ABRAA JABRAA Jun29 Jun07 Jun01 May18 May04 (birdrat)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 1.60 ★    
  (by ABRAAJ out of HOLY MAMA by HOLY BULL)
6  SMILINGATTHEMOON Jun06 May25 May17 Aug02 Jun29 (nordlund )KELLENBERGER KODY 126 10.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of MOONSTONE MAGIC by MALIBU MOON)
7  STARDUST DREAMS Jun13 May16 May04 Mar24 Jan07 (warren kayla)JOURNET JARRED 126 3.50 28% 2.50    
  (by DADS CAPS out of WHISPERS OF WAR by WAR FRONT)
 
GF-8   07/12/2025 3465ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALEB CAT Jun20 Jun01 Jul28 Jul14 Jun30 (oliver d)ANDROS CORRINE 126 3.50    
2  SHARP WARNING Jun20 May18 May04 Mar31 Feb19 (warren kayla)JOURNET JARRED 126 2.50 ★    
3  THIRSTY THURSDAY Jun01 May18 Mar17 Feb27 Feb04 (birdrat)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  NEW EVERY MORNING Jun20 May31 May16 Apr10 Feb27 (gibbs tyl)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 1.60 49% 1.10    
5  LIL ZAPPER Oct26 Oct12 Oct06 Sep21 Sep07 (calfrobe kay)BANDA F 126 12.00    
SCR  NIPAWIN Jul27 Jul20 Jul13 Jul30 Jul15 (schmitt bill)GAMEZ M 126 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.