Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Friday - July 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (8/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/1)-(8/5/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/5/1)-(8/5/6/1)-(8/5/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/5/1)-(4/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/5/1)-(4/3/5)-(7/2/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
MTH-2   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(7/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(7/2/5)-(5/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
MTH-3   WIN (7/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/5)-(7/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/5)-(7/2/5)-(7/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/5)-(5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5)-(5/6)-(5/7/3/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
MTH-4   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/6)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/6)-(5/7/3/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(5/7/3/4)-(2/1/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
MTH-5   WIN (5/7/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/4)-(5/7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/4)-(5/7/3/4)-(5/7/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/3/4)-(2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3/4)-(2/1/4)-(6/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
MTH-6   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(6/5)-(1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MTH-7   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5/8/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5)-(6/5/8/3)-(6/5/8/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (6/5)-(1/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
MTH-8   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/5)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   07/11/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($59.375K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT MILLIE Jun07 May10 Sep14     (frangella jam)JARA FERNANDO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of PURRFECT CRIME by CAT THIEF)
SCR  HAVE A HAPPY Jun27 May26 May10 Oct31 Oct03 (delgado jorge)SUTHERLAND C 119 12.00    
  (by CURLIN'S HONOR out of RATE CHANGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
3  DIAMONDINTHESAND Jun21 Apr16       (sacco gregory )MARIN SAMUEL 119 1.80    
  (by HANDSOME MIKE out of AWESOME MARQ by AWESOME AGAIN)
4  GOLDEN RING Jun07 May26 May10 Aug25   (huston ro)VARGAS A 123 3.50    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of TALKIN ABOUT LOVE by NOT FOR LOVE)
5  MO VITA Jun27 Jun07       (milne joan)OLVER MADISON 119 8.00 30% 2.30    
  (by MO TOWN out of RIGHTFUL TIME by BODEMEISTER)
6  GOONIE Jun07 May26 Mar30 Feb16 Jan12 (clark a)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00 ★    
  (by WAR DANCER out of ELARA by MALIBU MOON)
7  GYPSY STYLE Jun27 Jun21 Jun07 Oct22 Aug25 (marquez cesare)AGUILAR JEAN 123 30.00    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of HITCHIN by DIXIE UNION)
8  BET ON BETH Jun27 May26 May10 Sep20 Sep14 (dini mike)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 3.50 41% 1.40    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of PADRINONEVERQUITS by EL PADRINO)
 
MTH-2   07/11/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEZA BERNARDINI Jun20 May09 Apr03 Mar07 Nov12 (breen j)SUTHERLAND C 121 3.50    
2  SHINING SKYE Jun20 Jun07 May24 Apr16 Mar28 (hernandez enri)AGUILAR JEAN 121 4.00    
3  VIOLETS SMILE Jun22 Jun15 May24 Jan18 Dec28 (ness jamie)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 114 3.00 24% 3.20    
4  THEARCHERORTHEPREY Jun27 May24 Apr21 Apr08 Mar25 (ramirez silvin)MARIN SAMUEL 121 3.50 39% 1.50    
5  KITTY'S PRETTY Jun13 Feb01 Dec29 Nov29 Oct24 (gonzalez clau)OCASIO M 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  LAST GLORY Jun20 Jun07 May23 Apr26 Mar28 (gonzalez cla)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 2.50    
 
MTH-3   07/11/2025 3300ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($47.5K) 2 F PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUGAR PRINCESS Jun01         (sanchez jose)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 15.00    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of SUGAR QUEEN by GEMOLOGIST)
2  SUSHI Jun21 May15       (delgado jorge)JARA FERNANDO 117 3.00 18% 4.60    
  (by PROUD BIRDIE out of SAKURA by KNOWN FACT)
3  CRITICAL MAGIC Jun01         (delgado jose)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 4.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of MY BEST TEN by HARD SPUN)
SCR  LADY OF TROY         (dini mike)LEON SONNY 117 6.00    
  (by NINEELEVEN out of HI RYTHM by BERTRANDO)
5  GOLDEN BEACH         (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of TATY'S GOLD by TOUCH GOLD)
6  MIAMI STYLE May22         (orseno joseph)IORIO MELISSA 117 3.50    
  (by COMBATANT out of LEXINGTON PEARL by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
7  CALL THE BULLPEN Jun21         (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 117 2.50 57% 0.70    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of HEY NIKI by INCLUDE)
SCR  ONLY YOU         (delgado jorge)JARA FERNANDO 117 3.50    
  (by BELONG TO ME out of JE T'AIME by GOLD TOKEN)
SCR  BETTER WITH VINO         (margotta antho)MOYA F 117 3.50    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of ORBS BABY GIRL by ORB)
 
MTH-4   07/11/2025 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VINO VIDI VICI Jun21 Jun07 May02 Mar22 Mar08 (ward dan)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 3.00    
2  THE ELUSIVE DRWONG Jun21 May18 Apr26 Apr02 Sep08 (mcburne)GONZALEZ LUIS 123 4.00    
3  ZHU DADDY Jun09 May17 Mar08 Jan24 Dec22 (avila juan)ORDONEZ R 123 4.00 ★    
4  TAP TAP RUSS Jun15 Jun05 May08 Apr23 Mar28 (dini mike)LEON SONNY 119 3.50    
5  VERY SATISFACTORY Jun29 Jun07 May09 Apr03 Mar16 (ward dan)MARAGH CHRISTIAN 116 3.50 44% 1.30    
6  EMIRATES HONOR Jun21 Jun07 May25 May10 Apr30 (siculietano )BARBOSA JEIRON 119 8.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  REAL TALENTED Jun07 May09 Mar21 Feb21 Feb01 (gonzalez claud)CAMACHO SAMY 119 6.00    
 
MTH-5   07/11/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($59.375K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SALT AND LIGHT Jun27 Jun07 Jul06     (harris )GONZALEZ LUIS 123 6.00    
  (by IL POSTINO out of SPA SUNRISE by EDDINGTON)
2  EASTER MILLIE Jun07 May26 May10 Sep14 Aug25 (frangella ja)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 5.00    
  (by KING FOR A DAY out of HONKY TONK LADY by LION HEART)
3  GARDEN GAL         (milne joan)MARIN SAMUEL 119 8.00 8% 12.20    
  (by MO TOWN out of LILAC LILLY by BLUEGRASS CAT)
4  THEGANGSALLHERE Jun07         (huston k)OLVER MADISON 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of AMANDA'S ANTIK by GOLD TOKEN)
5  AUTUMN'S TURN Jun20 Jun01 May17 Mar05 Jan25 (ramirez ricard)COTTO L 123 1.80 40% 1.50    
  (by TONALIST out of HANA J by PEAKS AND VALLEYS)
6  YES MY LADY LINO Jun27 Jun07 May10 Mar18 Mar11 (ramirez silvi)JARA FERNANDO 123 4.50    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of YES MY LADY by WAVERING MONARCH)
7  AIR MASQUE Jun07 Sep07 Aug25 Jul06 Jun08 (perkins j)IORIO MELISSA 123 3.00 23% 3.40    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of MASQUE D'OISEAU by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
8  PURPLE LADY VERA Jun27         (servis tyler)ADORNO ABNER 119 20.00    
  (by GUNNEVERA out of EXAGGERATOR'S GIRL by EXAGGERATOR)
 
MTH-6   07/11/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL SEAMSTRESS Jun01 May11 Apr05 Feb09 Jan25 (gonzalez clau)OCASIO M 121 8.00 15% 5.90    
2  UNSOLVED MYSTERY Nov24 Sep21 Aug31 Nov22 Mar18 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 121 1.60 59% 0.70    
3  MO'S VINO MESA May11 Apr11 Mar16 Feb19 Jan25 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 121 4.00    
4  ROAD TO DREAMS Jul01 Jun03 May26 May01 Apr16 (penaloza migue)AGUILAR JEAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  SOFSTER Jun14 Jun07 Aug24 Jul21 Jul13 (ramirez silv)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 3.00    
SCR  SUMMARY JUDGMENT Jun07 May25 May11 Apr09 Mar17 (ramirez silv)HADDOCK DEXTER 121 6.00    
7  POPTHECHAMPAGNE RO Jun17 May21 May05 Dec09 Nov11 (brown howard )RIVERA D 121 4.50    
 
MTH-7   07/11/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($40K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEVIL ANSE Jun06 Apr29 Mar07 Feb12 Dec19 (stidham mich)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 6.00    
2  WILD JAIME Jun15 May31 May11 Oct05 Aug31 (synnefias pana)PENNINGTON F 122 6.00    
3  KING MENDELSSOHN Jun13 May02 Jun06 Mar20 Feb10 (hendriks ric)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 5.00 ★    
SCR  VIRGINIA CITY Jul04 May25 Apr26 Mar15 Feb22 (alvarado diane)AGUILAR JEAN 121 8.00    
5  FERAL'S JOY Jun29 Jun09 Sep09 Jul08 Jun17 (duarte jorge )JARA FERNANDO 121 3.50 17% 4.70    
6  DUAL INCOME Jun08 Apr04 Mar08 Feb08 Jan11 (orseno joseph )MARIN SAMUEL 117 3.00 57% 0.70    
7  DERZ SMART Jun14 Apr26 Mar23 Feb01 Dec07 (trombetta michae)LEON SONNY 117 6.00    
8  FULLY AUTHORIZED Jun14 Jun01 Apr27 Apr09 Mar26 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 117 5.00 ★    
SCR  PRIME MOTIVE Jun21 Jun08 May29 May18 Aug04 (rabadan sergio)MARIN SAMUEL 115 8.00    
SCR  TAVERN TIME May11 Apr11 Mar05 Nov07 Oct06 (pino michael)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 5.00    
 
MTH-8   07/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRIDOZA Jun01 Apr26 Mar30 Mar08 Feb09 (pompay terri)LEON SONNY 119 4.00 35% 1.90    
  (by KHOZAN out of BRIDLED HEIRESS by WILDCAT HEIR)
2  ATROCIOUS May12 Mar23 Feb27 Feb10 Dec02 (linder louis )OCASIO M 123 4.50    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of FIFTYSHADESOFHAY by PULPIT)
3  BOOTED UP Jun01         (duarte jorge )JARA FERNANDO 119 4.00 ★    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of SWEET CORINE by PULPIT)
SCR  MISTER CHILL Jun22         (popovich jam)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 30.00    
  (by LONG RIVER out of AVA AGAIN by BOWMAN'S BAND)
5  NEW MAGIC         (brown c)MARIN SAMUEL 119 2.50 26% 2.80    
  (by CURLIN out of MAGIC DANCE by MORE THAN READY)
6  MYSTICAL MERLIN         (schultz l)VARGAS A 119 5.00    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of ALL HER GLORY by BLUEGRASS CAT)
7  FISCAL DRAG Jun22         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00    
  (by GUNNEVERA out of TACKAROUS by KANTHAROS)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.