Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Emerald Downs
Friday - July 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EMD-1   WIN (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/7)-(4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/7)-(5/7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7)-(5/7/4/2)-(7/2/3/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-2   WIN (5/7/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/4/2)-(5/7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/4/2)-(5/7/4/2)-(5/7/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/4/2)-(7/2/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/4/2)-(7/2/3/8)-(7/3/5/9) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
EMD-3   WIN (7/2/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/3/8)-(7/2/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/3/8)-(7/2/3/8)-(7/2/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/3/8)-(7/3/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3/8)-(7/3/5/9)-(1/3/6/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
EMD-4   WIN (7/3/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/9)-(7/3/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/9)-(7/3/5/9)-(7/3/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/5/9)-(1/3/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5/9)-(1/3/6/2)-(9/2/3/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
EMD-5   WIN (1/3/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/6/2)-(1/3/6/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/3/6/2)-(1/3/6/4/2)-(1/3/6/4/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/3/6/2)-(9/2/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6/2)-(9/2/3/1)-(1/7/2/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
EMD-6   WIN (9/2/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/3/1)-(9/2/3/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/2/3/1)-(9/2/3/1/8)-(9/2/3/1/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/2/3/1)-(1/7/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
EMD-7   WIN (1/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/2/4)-(1/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/2/4)-(1/7/2/4)-(1/7/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EMD-1   07/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIGHT HAND RYDER Jun27 May17 May11 Mar29 Mar02 (tamayo i)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 3.00    
SCR  LIGHT THE BEAM Jul03 Jun20 Jun06 May18 Mar17 (rosales jo)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 5.00    
DANGEROUS GAME Jun27 Dec01 Nov24 Oct20 Oct05 (trujillo vic)OROZCO E 122 12.00 11% 8.30    
MONGOLIAN SPRING Jun27 Jun14 May24 Apr15 Mar19 (toye joe)MONTALVO C 125 2.50 52% 0.90    
SENOR DEL CAMPO Jun27 Jun14 Jun06 Mar08 Feb18 (puentes )AMADOR RUIZ 122 4.00    
LAURA'S KIDOUGH Jun27 Jun07 May24 May03 Mar15 (markle dan)KRIGGER K 125 4.50    
BLUES RAPPER Jun27 Jun06 May24 Apr30 Apr09 (hernandez mi)MARTIN A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-2   07/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT-10:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATMOSPHERIC RIVER         (essex charles)ALVARADO T 121 6.00    
GET DOWN Jun15 May18 Oct06     (harwood m)MONTALVO C 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
JAZZY BULL HORN Jun15 Sep29 Jul21 Jun23   (perez se)AMADOR RUIZ 121 30.00    
CALMCOOLNCOLLECTED Jun14 May18 May03 Dec04 Sep01 (bullock steve)CRUZ M 121 4.50 12% 7.20    
KLINKERBRICK Jun14 May26 Apr01 Mar17 Feb03 (bean rober)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 3.00 43% 1.30    
LORD STERLING Mar06 Feb18       (essex charles)KRIGGER K 121 12.00    
TIZ GRAZEN Aug25 Aug11 Jul13     (wright blain)OROZCO E 121 2.50 24% 3.10    
SUMMERS CHOICE         (wright bla)MONROY FRANCISCO 125 5.00    
 
EMD-3   07/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAPE NUTS WARRIOR Jun08 May24 Apr22 Jan30 Dec30 (peery debbie)ALVARADO T 125 6.00    
MOVE OVER (GB) Jun21 Jun06 Apr30 Apr09 Mar27 (hernande)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 5.00 21% 3.70    
HAPPY DOES May17 Apr06 Mar07 Feb22 Jan26 (tamayo isidro)KRIGGER K 122 4.00 12% 7.10    
J T'S WATCH Jun08 May24 Apr27 Mar09 Nov20 (maravilla jo)HALDAR J 122 4.50    
ORTH Jul03 Jun08 May10 Mar26 Mar12 (silva-marti)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 125 10.00    
CLAYTON DELANEY Jun08 May24 Apr22 Mar17 Feb11 (peery debbie)CRUZ M 125 15.00    
ARTEMUS GORDON Jun29 Jun21 Jun01 May18 Sep21 (rosales jo)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 2.50 24% 3.10    
ROYAL HALO Jun13 May25 Mar17 Feb27 Feb05 (pirone e)MONTALVO C 122 8.00 12% 7.40    
 
EMD-4   07/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-11:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKET RIBBON Jun08 Jun01 May18 Mar31 Feb04 (bean a)KRIGGER K 125 10.00    
SUNNY SPOT Jun28 Jun21 May25 Apr28 Apr19 (perez hilario)MONTALVO C 122 12.00    
SUMMANUS Jun21 Jun08 May18 Apr27 Nov30 (rosales jorge)BAILEY CHEL-C 125 10.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  NATION OF FAITH Jun13 Mar10 Feb11 Jan23 Dec30 (silva-marti)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 8.00    
MIRROR IMAGE Jun27 Feb04 Jan07 Dec04 Nov13 (garcia val)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SURPRISE FASHION Jun21 Jun08 May17 Apr27 Mar31 (rosales )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 8.00    
CANDY'S WILDCAT Jun28 Jun13 May25 May10 Apr16 (cryderman )AMERICANO MANUEL 120 3.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  MARS ON FIRE Jun27 May17 May12 Apr14 Apr07 (tamayo isidr)OROZCO E 122 2.50    
TAINO HOUSE Jun27 Sep13 Aug24 Aug03 Jul20 (essex charles)CRUZ M 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  BERTACCHI Jun15 May31 May17 Feb09 Dec15 (trujillo vic)HALDAR J 122 6.00    
 
EMD-5   07/11/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT-11:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR LYLA GRACE Jun29 Jun13 May31 May10 Jul21 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 122 3.50 28% 2.60    
BOURBON GLAZE Jun13 Mar09 Feb14 Dec18 Nov23 (trujillo vic)HALDAR J 122 12.00 5% 18.10    
ENGLISH DANGER Jun07 May24 May03 Apr09 Mar26 (rosales jorg)OROZCO E 125 10.00 18% 4.40    
STATEFOREST Dec08 Nov30 Nov03 Oct27 Oct11 (garcia serj)TOMITA AKATSUKI 122 5.00    
POKER ALICE Jun07 May10 Apr27 Apr10 Mar31 (essex charles)CRUZ M 125 6.00    
OH ANGEL Jun01 May24 Apr29 Apr09 Mar10 (tubbs scott)COUTON JULIEN 125 12.00 14% 6.40    
AFTER MY OWN HEART Jun22 Jun06 May11 Feb09 Nov30 (bean a)GUTIERREZ M 125 8.00    
PROOF OF JAZZ Jun08 May24 Feb23 Jan26 Jan03 (trujillo)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 20.00    
SCR  VHAGAR Jun22 Jun01 May11 Apr22 Mar31 (bean a)MONTALVO C 122 10.00    
10  CLASS CODE Jun07 May24 Apr27 Apr12 Mar16 (jewell ian)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 4.00    
 
EMD-6   07/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT-12:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STREET MOGUL Jun27 Jun15 Aug11 Jul27 Jul13 (morris m)AMADOR RUIZ 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
BOURBON DANCER Jun27 May18 Mar16 Mar01 Feb02 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 122 3.00 21% 3.70    
SPECTACULAR TIGER Jun27 May31 Apr27 Apr06 Mar17 (lenzini mi)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 3.50 17% 4.80    
FRUIT LUTES Jun13 May18 Jul27 Jul03 May11 (simkins rosi)OROZCO E 122 8.00    
KISS THE TIGER Jun14 May26 Oct13 Oct06 Sep01 (dronen sam)CRUZ M 118 8.00    
CONRAD MEADOWS Jun21 May26 May18 Sep06 Jul26 (navarro jose)MONTALVO C 122 5.00    
THREE PLUS ONE Jan22 Jan09       (navarre jacqui)ALVARADO T 121 15.00    
LITTLE BOY LUTE Jun14 May18       (simkins rosie)GUTIERREZ M 121 15.00    
RED LEADER Jun27 Jun14 May26 May18 Aug23 (gibson howa)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 4.00 40% 1.50    
 
EMD-7   07/11/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DADDY'S QUEST Jun20 May17 Apr27 Mar09 May07 (wright bla)MONROY FRANCISCO 125 1.60 35% 1.90    
GATE GUARD         (thomas ruby)KRIGGER K 121 8.00 8% 11.50    
SMILE DONT WINK May03 Mar31 Mar10     (peery debbie)CRUZ M 121 10.00    
SPEND IT ALL Mar24 Feb11       (peery debbie)ALVARADO T 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
WHISKEYONTHEROCKS Jun20 Jun06 May25 Aug24 Aug02 (simkins )AMADOR RUIZ 125 4.50    
FURYS GIFT Jun06 May11 Aug23 Jul27   (gibson how)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 20.00    
LUCKY'S SNIPER Jun01 May18 Apr27 Feb28   (tamayo i)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 121 4.00 32% 2.20    
SCR  BEAR ENCOUNTER Nov30 Nov16 Oct19 Aug16 Jul26 (villamar cande)MORENO JAIRO 120 10.00    
COUSIN THEO Jun01 Feb09 Oct27     (koch a)BAILEY CHEL-C 121 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.