Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Saturday - July 05, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(3/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
LS-2   WIN (3/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/1)-(3/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/1)-(3/7/1)-(3/7/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/7/1)-(1/2/3/7)-(4/3/2/9/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-3   WIN (1/2/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/3/7)-(1/2/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/3/7)-(1/2/3/7)-(1/2/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3/7)-(4/3/2/9/6)-(3/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-4   WIN (4/3/2/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/9/6)-(4/3/2/9/6/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/9/6)-(4/3/2/9/6/5)-(4/3/2/9/6/5) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2/9/6)-(3/7/6)-(5/2/7) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LS-5   WIN (3/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/6)-(3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LS-6   WIN (5/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/7)-(5/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/7)-(5/2/7)-(5/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
LS-7   WIN (1/7/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/8)-(1/7/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/8)-(1/7/8)-(1/7/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/7/8)-(3/4/12/8/1)-(4/5/9/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-8   WIN (3/4/12/8/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/4/12/8/1)-(3/4/12/8/1/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    TRI (3/4/12/8/1)-(3/4/12/8/1/7)-(3/4/12/8/1/7) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
    DD (3/4/12/8/1)-(4/5/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
LS-9   WIN (4/5/9/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/9/10)-(4/5/9/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/9/10)-(4/5/9/10)-(4/5/9/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   07/05/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TURN NORTH Jun08 May09 Apr27 Mar30 Mar22 (ramirez-rodrigu)VAZQUEZ A 124 6.00 10% 9.40    
2  GOLD PILOT Jun14 Mar22 Feb15 Oct19 Sep28 (calhoun b)ELLIOTT S 122 8.00    
3  VICTORY FOR VETS Jun08 Apr26 Mar22 Feb15 Jan26 (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 122 1.60 38% 1.60    
4  SON OF A BLING Apr27 Mar22 Feb21 Jan04 Jun28 (caldwell r)REYES R 122 20.00    
5  TOO MUCH ACTION Jun08 May17 Apr19 Mar22 Feb15 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 1.20 27% 2.70    
6  DUST EM Jun08 Mar22 Feb15 Aug24 Jul21 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 122 8.00    
 
LS-2   07/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRAND LOYALTY May24 May03 Apr06 Mar21 Feb13 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  PROMISES TO DANCE May03 Apr19 Jan17 Sep12 Aug29 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 3.00    
3  OKLAHOMA LOGIC Apr25 Feb07 Oct28 Sep24 Aug25 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
4  ARR PIRATETREASURE Jun07 Apr27 Apr04 Mar01 Feb14 (durham danele)CASTILLO AMIN 124 15.00    
SCR  COURAGEOUS CAPPEN Jun20 May16 Apr25 Mar15 Feb03 (durham danel)FINCHER TANNER 124 20.00    
6  ADOGATE May24 Aug11 Jul04 Nov09   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 1.60    
7  SHOW ME THE CANDY Jun15 May17 Apr20 Feb28 Feb05 (bryant georg)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 6.00 28% 2.60    
 
LS-3   07/05/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPER ENTICING Jun07 May01 Apr12 Mar07 Feb07 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 3.00 28% 2.60    
2  PRINCESS MITOLE Jun27 Jun15 May10 Apr17 Mar26 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 2.00 27% 2.70    
3  SABRES May26 May03 Apr12 Feb21 Jan24 (williams sean)VAZQUEZ A 124 2.50 11% 7.80    
4  SPUNOUTOFCONTROL Jun17 Jun01 May11 Apr05 Mar15 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 20.00    
5  STEALTHESPOTLIGHT Jun20 May30 May01 Jul06 Jun20 (williams ma)WETHEY JR 124 4.50    
6  BOSSADUSU Jun20 May16 Apr26 Mar28 Feb07 (ashford tristan)DIEGO V 124 10.00    
7  DULCE AMANECER YG Jun20 May31 May02 Apr19 Mar29 (mendoza edgar)RIVERA SANTOS 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  CAT TALE SKY Jun20 May14 Apr09 Mar25 Dec11 (young e)SANCHEZ OBED 124 20.00    
 
LS-4   07/05/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 2 F PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLA BLU MOON May24         (ramirez rosa )RIVERA SANTOS 120 20.00    
  (by DELHOMME out of TIME FOR DECEPTION by DESERT GOD)
2  LOVEREIGNORME Jun08         (marr jo)FUENTES T 120 6.00 12% 7.60    
  (by ARCHWARRIOR out of MONONOKE by ORIENTATE (GB))
3  QUIXX Jun08         (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 120 8.00 26% 2.90    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of RAZORBACK HONEY by CITY ZIP)
4  DOUBLEBARRELVINNY Jun22 Jun08       (ramirez-rodrigu)VAZQUEZ A 120 2.00 33% 2.00    
  (by UNCLE VINNY out of DOUBLE AXEL by ORB)
5  AUNT PENNY         (pish danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 12.00 ★    
  (by UNCLE VINNY out of MOUNTAINOFMUNNY by MUNNINGS)
6  SWIFTLIKETAYLOR Jun08 May24 May15     (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of SWIFTERTHANTAYLOR by MY GOLDEN SONG)
7  JUDY GEMSTONE Jun22 Jun08       (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 120 8.00    
  (by HIGHWAY TO FAME out of CAT IN DE NILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
8  MISCHIEVOUS TIZZY         (caldwell r)REYES R 120 20.00    
  (by TIZ MISCHIEF out of HERE'S THE DEAL by HALF OURS)
9  SHORT SPEECH Jun08         (ashford ray)CABRERA DAVID 120 5.00 6% 14.90    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of LIFE IS SHORT by OLD FASHIONED)
10  SMARTCENTS         (ashford ray)DIEGO V 120 12.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SMARTY MO by SMARTY JONES)
11  THOUSAND WINS         (gelner j)MCMAHON J 120 20.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of REALLY CHARMING by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
12  SCATTERED MISCHIEF Jun22         (chacaltana dom)SANCHEZ OBED 120 15.00    
  (by TIZ MISCHIEF out of SCATTERED MIST by SCAT DADDY)
 
LS-5   07/05/2025 3630ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Texas Thoroughbred Association Futurity Purse ($150K) 2 C/G PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WALKERS CREEK Jun15         (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 120 5.00    
  (by STRAIGHT FIRE out of JUMANAH by GRAND REWARD)
2  MOST PROBABLE Jun15         (hebert matt)WETHEY JR 120 20.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of KITTEN'S FINEST by KITTEN'S JOY)
3  MOR FORCE May30         (gelner j)VAZQUEZ A 120 1.80 52% 0.90    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of READY WITTED by MORE THAN READY)
4  IT'S ALL RIGHT Jun15         (ashford ray)DIEGO V 120 3.50    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of RUDITA by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
SCR  STRETCH Jun15         (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 120 3.00    
  (by SWISS YODELER out of JEANIE'S GAME by GAME PLAN)
6  THEBABESLAYER Jun20 May23       (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of CANDY BAY by CANDY RIDE)
7  GOLDEN MANE Jun07         (gelner j)MCMAHON J 120 10.00 21% 3.70    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of WOLFBLADE by MIDSHIPMAN)
 
LS-6   07/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Valor Farm Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PEEK FACTOR Jun15 Mar22 Mar01 Feb09 Dec04 (peek kevin)ERAMIA E 119 20.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of SLIM'S SECRET by DESERT SECRET (IRE))
2  BLING BABY Jun08 May10 Apr17 Mar29 Mar16 (jacks e)DIEGO V 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of GLOW GIRL by GOLDEN SHINE)
3  IZATIZ Jun08 Apr17 Mar22 Mar01 Dec13 (hebert matt)WETHEY JR 121 2.50    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of TIZ TIZ by TIZNOW)
4  RECLUSIVE Jun15 May26 Apr17 Mar22 Mar01 (hurley tina )WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 5.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of ROCKINTOTHERHYTHM by BROAD BRUSH)
5  TOO MUCH KIKI May26 Apr17 Mar22 Feb09 Jul13 (calhoun b)ELLIOTT S 123 1.00 70% 0.40    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of SOFT MUSIC by ACTION THIS DAY)
6  OOH LA DA STOOPS Jun08 May02 Mar30 Feb07 Jan12 (schne)MANRRIQUE JOSE 121 20.00    
  (by DA STOOPS out of CORNELIUS SPRINGS by MENHAL)
7  BLUSHING BELLE Jun08 May26 May17 May03 Apr17 (love alan)FUENTES MARIO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONNECT out of BLUSHING BEAUTY by BLUSHING JOHN)
 
LS-7   07/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Fiesta Mile Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLEE (GB) Apr17 Mar22 Jan25 Dec29 Dec13 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 116 12.00 31% 2.30    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of RED TABBY by BLUEGRASS CAT)
SCR  CAFEZINHO Jun08 May30 Mar14 Feb21 Jan26 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 119 15.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of SENORA ACERO by THE FACTOR)
3  RUBY CANTU Jun08 May02 Mar14 Jul14 Jun22 (hebert matt)DIEGO V 119 15.00    
  (by KEEP UP out of SWEET AVA JANE by EARLY FLYER)
SCR  SKY ROCKER Jun08 May02 Mar22 Mar07 Feb15 (willis mindy)JUAREZ J 123 2.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of SPECIAL ROCKSTAR by SPECIAL RATE)
5  OPTIMISTIC COWGIRL Jun08 Feb15 Jan24 Jun16 May25 (cruz eduardo)VAZQUEZ A 123 4.00    
  (by OPTIMIZER out of DYNAMIC COWGIRL by DYNAMEAUX)
SCR  BLOOD ORANGE Jun08 Mar22 Feb28 Feb15 Jan24 (hurley tina )WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 8.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of CITRUS PAD by LEMON DROP KID)
7  TAPS MISTRESS Jun14 May17 May03 Mar23 Feb08 (gelner j)MCMAHON J 123 15.00 19% 4.20    
  (by TAPWRIT out of ROMAN MISTRESS by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
8  BLUE HEAVENLY Jun08 May30 May02 Apr17 Mar29 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 119 8.00 11% 8.00    
  (by ENTICED out of CANNONBALLCUPCAKE by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  WILD STEEL Jun01 May17 Apr18 Mar23 Feb23 (cruz eduardo)PEREZ A 116 20.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of NEEDS NO ICE by POLAR COORDINATE)
10  SWEET KARAT CAKE Jun08 Apr05 Mar14 Feb07 Jan17 (padilla carlo)FUENTES MARIO 123 30.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of APPLE STRUDEL by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  IMALUCKYCHARM Jun08 Mar22 Mar07 Jan24 Sep29 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 3.50    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of FOXY BOSS by STREET BOSS)
 
LS-8   07/05/2025 3630ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Texas Thoroughbred Association Futurity Purse ($150K) 2 F PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPPER CLUB Jun14         (gelner j)MCMAHON J 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOODBYE DOENY out of INFLATION'S STAR by BEAT INFLATION)
2  WOODALL PASS Jun14 May25 May08 Apr30   (pomier chasey)JUAREZ J 120 30.00    
  (by PASS THE BUCK out of WOODALL LANE by BROKEN VOW)
3  LITEUPTHENITE May30         (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 120 3.50 29% 2.40    
  (by AURELIUS MAXIMUS out of CITY GONE WILD by CITY ZIP)
4  LATE NIGHT TEXT Jun11         (ramsey nolan)VAZQUEZ A 120 3.00 22% 3.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ARRIFANA by CURLIN)
SCR  HELENE'S POWER Jun14 May18       (pish danny)ASMUSSEN ERIK 120 6.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of ORIOLE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
6  HIDDEN MAP Jun15         (gelner jayde)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 15.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of HIDDEN by CAPOTE)
7  KISS MY DICE Jun22 Jun08 May24     (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 120 10.00 ★    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of LUCKY DICE by MECKE)
8  I LOVE MANGO'S May18         (rami)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 5.00 7% 13.00    
  (by AURELIUS MAXIMUS out of FASTHAPPY by RUNHAPPY)
9  GOLDEN KEEN May31 May09 Apr30     (pomier dev)ELLIOTT S 120 20.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of ISLAND QUEEN by SUPER SAVER)
SCR  CLOSING SPEAKER Jun08         (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 120 15.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of CLOSING REPORT by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
11  VARINISI Jun05 May15       (pomier chase)MAGNON H 120 20.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of PEARL BAY by RUSH BAY)
12  LANALUAH Jun14         (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 120 6.00 21% 3.70    
  (by BEAU LIAM out of STELLA GRACE by BERNARDINI)
13  BELARSEN Jun07         (gelner jayde )RIVERA SANTOS 120 20.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of CHANGING VISTA by CHANGEINTHEWEATHER)
14  HOT PINK Jun14         (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 120 8.00    
  (by HOLD ME BACK out of GO GO PINK by FOREST CAMP)
 
LS-9   07/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC11 MUDDY Assault Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NIGHTWIND Jun08 May25 Apr25 Mar07 Feb23 (young e)RIVERA SANTOS 120 30.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of NOW HOPE by TIZNOW)
2  REGAL TERKA Jun08 May04 Mar22 Feb22 Feb02 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 4.00    
  (by EAGLE out of PINETOP by SUMMER BIRD)
SCR  CINCO RICHIE Jun01 May25 Apr06 Mar15 Mar01 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 10.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of PRETTY N FAST TOO by SILENT PICTURE)
4  PROVEN ADVOCATE Jun08 May25 May03 Apr17 Mar22 (gelner j)MCMAHON J 122 3.00 39% 1.60    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SONG OF MELODY by FLAT OUT)
5  TX CODE Jun08 May24 Apr25 Mar30 Feb21 (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 122 12.00 35% 1.90    
  (by HONOR CODE out of ACADEMY ROAD by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  MOR VICTORY Jun08 May04 Mar22 Jan24 Oct23 (gelner jayde)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 1.40    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of DEPUTY SARAH by DEPUTY COMMANDER)
7  TI CAILLOU Jun13 Apr19 Mar23 Mar02 Feb16 (willis mindy)JUAREZ J 122 15.00    
  (by STONESIDER out of CAJUN FRENCH by DYNAMEAUX)
SCR  SUPERSECRETWEAPON Jun08 May25 Apr25 Mar22 Jan24 (hurley tin)ERAMIA E 120 20.00    
  (by SPELLBINDER out of ARTIE'S GIRL by ARTIE SCHILLER)
9  SILVER ASSASSIN Jun08 May25 Apr17 Mar30 Mar16 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EARLY FLYER out of ARCHER CITY by SILVER CITY)
10  RAROTONGA Jun07 Mar22 Feb28 Feb15 Feb01 (hurley re)SANCHEZ OBED 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of CITRUS PAD by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  STANS HOME RUN May17 Apr06 Feb28 Feb15 Feb05 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 120 20.00    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of MAZZY by YES IT'S TRUE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.