Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Grants Pass
Saturday - July 05, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GRP-2   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/2) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
GRP-4   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
GRP-6   WIN (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/1)-(7/6/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/6/1)-(7/6/5/1)-(7/6/5/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
GRP-8   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
GRP-9   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/5)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GRP-2   07/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MARINI'S STAR May31 Nov03       (perez ser)MARTINEZ HUMBERTO 124 4.50    
FOOLISH FLASH Jun21         (harshman loegan)ELLIS DEVON 126 3.00    
BEDOWNTOMESSAROUND Jun28 Jun21 May17 May03 Jul28 (beckner l)SAMUELS JAKE 124 2.50    
GOOLAWAY Jun28 Dec13 Nov23 Nov10   (daley)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 126 3.50    
GORMLEY GAL Jun21 Oct07 Sep16 Sep07 Aug31 (daley chris)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 3.00 49% 1.00    
 
GRP-4   07/05/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAN ANDRES Jun20 May24 Apr29 Apr02 Mar24 (perkinson c)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 2.00 24% 3.20    
IN WITHOUT KNOCKIN Jun29 Jun22 May09 Mar30 Feb09 (lyons s)SAMUELS JAKE 121 2.50 37% 1.70    
CHELSIESDANZIGLITE Jun22 Oct06 Sep23 Sep16 Sep08 (lyons )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 3.00    
TIZ CURLY JOE Jun22 Jun08 Aug30 Aug24 Aug09 (stewart s)JENSEN P 126 4.00    
DAME LORRAINE Jun15 May24 May17 Apr28 Apr17 (perkinson cc)LOPEZ E 121 4.50    
 
GRP-6   07/05/2025 3300ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYSTIC WOOD FORCE Jun28 Jun06 Oct13 Sep29 Sep16 (rodriguez m)GUERRERO C 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
FORDY G Jun22 Oct13 Oct06 Jul06 Mar02 (lyons kendr)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 5.00    
WITHEE Jun07 Oct14 Oct06 Sep30 Aug17 (abrahamso)JENSEN P 126 6.00    
TOO TALL TO CALL Jun08 May04 Apr19 Apr06 Oct13 (magall)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 4.50    
SPEEDY TOM Jun28 Oct13 Oct07 Sep29 Sep15 (lyons kendra)SMITH E 126 3.50    
AIN'T NO SISSY Jun28 Jun14 Sep13 Sep06 Aug03 (crystal dusti)LOPEZ E 126 3.00 8% 11.80    
GENERAL THAYER Jun22 Oct06 Sep15 Sep02 Aug25 (harris john)SAMUELS JAKE 126 4.00 56% 0.80    
 
GRP-8   07/05/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMOKENSILVER Jun29 Jun14 Oct14 Sep30 Aug25 (beckner l)SAMUELS JAKE 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
THE LAIR Oct13 Sep15 Sep07 Aug23 Jul27 (boyle mary)LOPEZ E 124 4.50    
LOVE LYON Jun29 Jun15       (lyons s)ELLIS DEVON 126 1.20 58% 0.70    
WESTERN SIERRA Jun14 Oct14 Sep30 Sep08 Aug24 (daley chris)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 126 3.00 12% 7.40    
BIG TIME DUDE Jun29 Jun15       (beckne)RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 4.00    
 
GRP-9   07/05/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUTE'S DIAMOND Jun29 Jun14 Oct14 Oct06 Sep22 (beckner l)SAMUELS JAKE 126 2.00    
SASSY EINSTEIN Jun22 Oct07 Sep22 Sep09 Aug25 (lewis )RODRIGUEZ ELIAS 126 4.00 34% 1.90    
GOOD JOB JACKIE Oct14 Oct06 Sep30 Sep15 Aug09 (hoover cindy)SMITH E 126 4.50    
VISION OF THE KAT Jun29 Jun21 Oct13 Sep30 Sep16 (beckner t)JENSEN P 126 3.00    
FANTASTIC SECRET Jun22 Oct14 Oct07 Sep15 Jun30 (kowalsky ha)GARCIA EPIFANIO 126 3.50 19% 4.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.