Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Century Mile
Saturday - July 05, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CTM-3   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(4/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTM-4   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-5   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-6   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(5/6/3)-(2/3/7/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CTM-7   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(2/3/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CTM-8   WIN (2/3/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/7/1)-(2/3/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/7/1)-(2/3/7/1)-(2/3/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CTM-3   07/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SQUALOTORO Jun15 Jan16 Dec08 Nov02 Oct19 (brown r)NELSON DANE 123 1.40 34% 2.00    
HOLY EMPEROR Jun07 May17 May17 Mar13 Feb28 (vanovers)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 123 4.50    
JOKER MATT Jun28 Jun13 May30 Oct26 Oct12 (brown r)CARTER KYLE 123 2.00    
MENDELJOHN (IRE) Jun06 Oct26 Oct06 Sep21 Aug30 (heggie rod)HUGHES RASHEED 123 3.50 29% 2.40    
SNAP COUNT May31 Oct26 Oct13 Sep28 Sep06 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CTM-4   07/05/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BARAK Jun15 Nov03 Oct27 Oct06 Sep21 (ward anderson)CARTER KYLE 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
VIATURE Jun06 May24 May03 Oct27 Oct19 (rycroft tim)HUGHES RASHEED 123 4.00    
ERLICH Nov03 Sep22 Sep07 Aug02 Jul20 (and)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 3.00 22% 3.50    
CREDIBILITY Jun24 May16 Oct19 Sep28 Sep07 (robertson je)NATERA KEIHTON 123 2.50 33% 2.00    
WHERE'S THE GOLD Nov03 Oct19 Oct06 Sep21 Sep07 (g)GRIFFITH DELANE 123 4.50    
 
CTM-5   07/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17K) Purse ($21K) 3 ALL PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WRIT IN STONE Jun13 Oct26 Oct05 Sep14 Aug31 (kingston kar)HUGHES RASHEED 122 3.50    
WHO IS Jun07 May23 Oct12 Sep28 Sep14 (henson rober)NATERA KEIHTON 124 2.50    
BILLS BILLS BILLS Jun13 May30 May03     (robertson je)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
THATSWHATIMHEREFOR Jun13 May30 May03 Apr09 Oct27 (anderson gon)FOSTER R 124 2.00 41% 1.40    
G T RAY SIR Jun13 May16 Sep14 Aug31   (grieves ron)NELSON DANE 122 4.50 24% 3.10    
 
CTM-6   07/05/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUDDENLY FAMOUS Jun24 May23 Apr17 Apr04 Mar05 (hedge rick)TROTMAN KEIMAR 125 3.50    
CASSANO Jun06 May16 Apr02 Mar11 Feb26 (hedge rick)HUGHES RASHEED 125 4.50    
ALBERTA BERBON Jun06 May10 Oct26 May25 May04 (robertson je)NATERA KEIHTON 125 2.50    
DERECHO DANDY May30 May16 Jul17 Jun29 Jun08 (frey carson)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 10.00 28% 2.60    
VANTASTICCANAVERAL Jun15 May09 Oct06 Sep07 Aug30 (russell mo)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
WHATWOMENWANT May23 May09 Sep14 Aug23 Aug03 (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 120 3.00 35% 1.90    
 
CTM-7   07/05/2025 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($21.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HANDSOME HENRY May30 Nov03 Oct20 Oct13 Sep22 (grieves ron)FOSTER R 123 15.00    
CONCRETE COWBOY Jun06 May23       (rycroft tim)WILLIAMS SCOTT 118 3.50    
STRATEGIC DECISION Jun14 Oct20 Oct06 Sep21 Mar14 (rycrof)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
GINGERS GIANT Jun24 Oct27       (anderson gonzal)NELSON DANE 118 4.50    
BORDER SONG (FR) Jun13 May24       (vanovers)BOODRAMSINGH BRIAN 118 2.50 44% 1.30    
J DUTTON May30 May16 Jan16 Dec07 Nov16 (and)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 2.00 17% 4.70    
TENNESSEE MOSES Jun14 May30 Oct20 Sep22 Aug30 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 10.00    
 
CTM-8   07/05/2025 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($21.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MYSTIC SALLY Jun24 Jun06 Sep29 Sep13 Jul17 (nicholson da)NATERA KEIHTON 118 10.00 12% 7.60    
RISING STRONG Jun15 May16 Sep21 Aug02 Jul19 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 3.50 30% 2.40    
NASAS PRINCESS Jun13 May30 May16 Oct26 Sep14 (grieves ron)NELSON DANE 118 2.50 15% 5.70    
DREAMING D'ORO Jun13 May30 May03 Sep14 Aug26 (vanove)ASENCIO MARIANO 123 12.00    
NO REJOYCE Jun12 May24 Aug23 Aug10 Jul17 (kettleson to)HUGHES RASHEED 118 4.00    
WE THE FRINGE Jun13 May30 May16 May03 Oct20 (biggs seymou)FOSTER R 123 8.00    
EYES OF BEAUTY May30 Sep14 Aug10 Jun07 May25 (and)GONZALEZ ALONZO 123 6.00 15% 5.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.