Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Lone Star Park
Thursday - July 03, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LS-1   WIN (7/1/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/4/8)-(7/1/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/4/8)-(7/1/4/8)-(7/1/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/4/8)-(7/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LS-2   WIN (7/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/1)-(7/2/1)-(7/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1)-(2/8/7/6/5)-(10/11/5/2/4) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LS-3   WIN (2/8/7/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/7/6/5)-(2/8/7/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/7/6/5)-(2/8/7/6/5)-(2/8/7/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (2/8/7/6/5)-(10/11/5/2/4)-(8/7/5/4) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LS-4   WIN (10/11/5/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/11/5/2/4)-(10/11/5/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/11/5/2/4)-(10/11/5/2/4)-(10/11/5/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (10/11/5/2/4)-(8/7/5/4)-(7/1/6/2) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LS-5   WIN (8/7/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/7/5/4)-(8/7/5/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/7/5/4)-(8/7/5/4/6)-(8/7/5/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LS-6   WIN (7/1/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/6/2)-(7/1/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/6/2)-(7/1/6/2)-(7/1/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-7   WIN (8/9/4/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/9/4/3/6)-(8/9/4/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/9/4/3/6)-(8/9/4/3/6)-(8/9/4/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (8/9/4/3/6)-(2/8/3/10/1)-(11/7/3/12/10) 125 $0.50 $62.50 
LS-8   WIN (2/8/3/10/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/3/10/1)-(2/8/3/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/3/10/1)-(2/8/3/10/1)-(2/8/3/10/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/8/3/10/1)-(11/7/3/12/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
LS-9   WIN (11/7/3/12/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/7/3/12/10)-(11/7/3/12/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/7/3/12/10)-(11/7/3/12/10)-(11/7/3/12/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LS-1   07/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($33.5K) 3 ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAR MULE Apr19 Apr06 Mar16 Dec29   (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 122 3.50 19% 4.30    
SCR  KNOCK KNOCK JOKE Jun22 May24 May04 Apr17 Apr06 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 122 4.00    
THIRSTY VISION May11 Apr29 Apr17 Mar25 Feb19 (green greg)RIVERA SANTOS 122 20.00    
INDIAN CAT Jun06 Apr05 Jan19 Dec21 Nov23 (gelner jayde)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 8.00 6% 16.80    
SMARTIER Jun06 May04 Mar27 Mar06 Feb06 (fincher w)ELLIOTT S 122 4.50    
COUNTTHEBRAVE May26 Mar22 Feb21 Dec21 Oct17 (gustafson austin)DIEGO V 122 4.50    
GOLDEN GRIT Jun20 Jun08 Apr20 Mar16 Feb15 (ramirez-rodrigu)VAZQUEZ A 122 2.50 53% 0.90    
SHIP THE MONEY May13 Apr08 Oct18 Aug16 Jun15 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
LS-2   07/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAJUN EDDIE Jun13 May11 Apr26 Mar28 Feb14 (gourneau jerr)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 10.00 18% 4.50    
MAGIC CASTLE May03 Apr14 Apr01 Jan15 Dec28 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 8.00 20% 3.90    
AXTON Jun01 May24 May02 Apr13 Mar08 (cappellucci dic)VAZQUEZ A 124 1.60    
SCR  DARING REASON May24 Mar23 Nov23 Oct12 Sep21 (sauceda jesse)FUENTES MARIO 122 8.00    
SCR  B MINOR Jun14 May25 Jan22 Dec30 Nov19 (diodoro robert)REYES R 122 3.50    
WEIRD YEAR May16 Apr18 Mar08 Feb21 Jan24 (rossi j)DIEGO V 124 10.00    
SWEET RIVER BAINES May31 Mar28 Feb20 Jan24 Nov19 (cappellucci dick)ELLIOTT S 122 3.00 31% 2.20    
 
LS-3   07/03/2025 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLYING CAESAR Jun22 Jun01 May16 Apr25 Mar30 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 8.00    
LAST ATTACK Jun20 May24 May11 Feb17 Jan17 (gelner jayde )RIVERA SANTOS 124 3.00 30% 2.30    
GABARRA Jun22 Jun07 May24 Apr27 Mar07 (jacks e)DIEGO V 124 5.00    
CASH FOLLOWS ME May25 Apr18 Mar13 Jan23 Dec10 (marr h)CABRERA DAVID 124 15.00    
PINEHURST (IRE) Jun01 May03 Apr04 Feb28 Jan24 (roubion steve)FUENTES MARIO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
FLOTATION STATION Jun21 May24 Nov10 Sep28 Aug27 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 12.00 7% 12.90    
TURQUOISE BLUE Jun22 May11 Apr04 Mar21 Feb16 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 124 3.50 10% 8.90    
PRIORITY LANE Jun14 Jun06 May11 Mar29 Feb02 (ramirez-rodrigu)VAZQUEZ A 124 4.50 18% 4.60    
BLAZING TO GOLD May04 Mar13 Feb28 Jan17 Nov26 (valdez-cabral)JUAREZ J 120 20.00    
10  CLASSY SOCKS May25 Apr18 Apr06 Mar01 Feb02 (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 124 15.00    
 
LS-4   07/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOO MUCH GUITAR Jun17 Jun03 Apr09 Feb09 Jun16 (govea cesar)REYES R 124 30.00    
I'M ON EDGE Jun22 Apr25 Apr05 Feb07 Jul13 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 120 12.00 8% 11.30    
RON'S LAVENDER May26 Apr26 Apr18 Mar28 Mar01 (kota)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 30.00    
LIGHT A SHUCK Jun22 Jun06 May02 Mar29   (peek kevin)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
GOLD MIRACLE May30 May09       (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 15.00 13% 7.00    
CITYCITYBLINGBLING Jun22 May11 Apr05 Feb15 Jan31 (gustafson austin)DIAZ RENE 120 12.00    
SCR  ITTY BITTY BABY Jun15 May09 Feb28 Feb15 Jan03 (dupuy allen)JUAREZ J 120 8.00    
JUST TICKLED Jun21 May09 Mar08 Jan24 Jul07 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 120 4.00    
SCOOTER'S HONOR May25 May02 Oct30 Oct10 Sep04 (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 124 10.00    
10  MOON CRATER Jun21 May25 May04 Apr20 Mar08 (ramirez-rodrigu)VAZQUEZ A 120 2.50 35% 1.90    
11  FRANNY Jun21 May25 May02 Apr05 Mar14 (gustafson austin)DIEGO V 120 3.50 18% 4.60    
 
LS-5   07/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GUN TWIRL Jun06 Mar30 Feb08 Jan19 Apr27 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 10.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of BELLA RAFAELA by SMART STRIKE)
CLOSDATGATE Apr04 Mar07 Feb17 Jan31   (durham danele)CASTILLO AMIN 120 30.00    
  (by CUTTING HUMOR out of THATBOSSANOVASOUND by BLAME)
GRAND CIRCLE         (craddock k)ERAMIA E 120 12.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of MIZ K by TAPIT)
SURELY SWIFT         (bravo francisco)DIAZ RENE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WILBURN out of STAR SEARCHING by CHITOZ)
PRETTY IN PEARLS Mar28 Feb23 Jan18 Oct28   (davis h)VAZQUEZ A 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of MOYNE ABBEY by CHARISMATIC)
BUZZWORTHY Apr26 Apr04 Mar15 Feb15   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 3.50    
  (by UNION RAGS out of BELLA'S WAY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
MATILDA'S MARK Jun06         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 120 2.50 29% 2.40    
  (by MARKING out of ROLL ON MATILDA by ROLL HENNESSY ROLL)
MYSIDEHUSTLE Oct12 Sep16       (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 2.00 47% 1.10    
  (by UNION RAGS out of CROWNING AFFAIR by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SANOVIV Nov30 Nov02 Sep29     (castellanos j)CABRERA DAVID 120 30.00    
  (by WILBURN out of DAME FORTUNE by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
LS-6   07/03/2025 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIVAKO Jun27 Jun07 May26 Feb21 Jan30 (ramirez-rodrig)REYES R 124 4.00 24% 3.10    
FROM THE HEART May11 Apr06 Mar02 Feb09 Jan25 (davidson sar)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
HAYES STRIKE Jun14 Apr11 Mar23 Feb17 Jan05 (ramirez-rodrigu)VAZQUEZ A 124 3.00    
SPOILER Jun07 May11 May03 Mar15 Feb23 (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 124 5.00    
KENNEL CLUB Jun07 May11 Dec28 Oct04 Aug23 (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 124 15.00    
WHISKEY NOT WINE Jun07 May11 Feb09 Jan11 Nov15 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 6.00 21% 3.90    
CARLEA'S DREAM Jun07 May04 Apr18 Mar02 Jan03 (jacks e)DIEGO V 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
BRUCELEA May04 Mar21 Mar01 Feb01 Nov15 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 124 12.00    
 
LS-7   07/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DARYLS TRUMP CARD Jun01 May03 Apr17 Mar30 Feb07 (castellanos j)RIVERA SANTOS 124 12.00    
GHOST COWBOY Apr19 Mar29 Mar07 Feb14 Jan17 (pish danny)FUENTES MARIO 124 8.00    
ROAD RACER Jun21 Jun08 May16 May26   (ashford ray)DIEGO V 120 8.00 8% 11.40    
HARD GOLD May17 Apr18 Apr06 Mar07 Feb23 (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 124 6.00 9% 10.10    
I'M A COWBOY Jun08 May11 Apr06 Mar07 Feb21 (pish )MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 5.00    
BLINGO Jun14 May24 May03 Apr20 Apr03 (triana alfred)CASTILLO AMIN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
CARBON STRYKER Jun08 May11 Apr18 Mar07 Feb14 (ashf)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 4.00    
ESSAY Jun07 May11 Apr20 Mar30 Feb21 (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 120 3.00 30% 2.40    
SUNDAY BLING Jun08 May03 Mar22 Jul13 Jun01 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 4.50 17% 4.80    
 
LS-8   07/03/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MACHO GRANDE Jun14 May09 Apr18 Feb23 Feb02 (eoff terry)WETHEY JR 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
HEIR TO GREATNESS Jun14 Jun01 May16 Apr17 Apr05 (ramirez-rodrigu)VAZQUEZ A 123 2.50 30% 2.40    
BAREFOOT SAMURAI Jun07 Apr25 Apr06 Mar02 Feb22 (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 123 4.50 17% 4.80    
IMA BIG BOPPER Jun07 Mar07 Feb21 Feb02 Jan10 (pa)PEREZ ESCALERA 123 20.00    
LOVE CANDY May31 Apr06 Mar30 Mar09 Feb09 (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 123 30.00    
CAJUN MISCHIEF Jun21 May09 Feb22 Feb06 Jan25 (bryant georg)WISEMAN ISAIAH 123 12.00    
TIGERS 'N BEARS Jun14 May17 Apr18 Mar30 Mar15 (pish danny)FUENTES MARIO 123 5.00    
WARTIME HERO Jun07 May03 Apr24 Dec27 Dec06 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 123 3.00 29% 2.50    
ZACH WHO May10 Apr20 Mar27 Mar14 Jan30 (valdez-cabral mar)ELLIOTT S 123 15.00    
10  TWELVE VOLT Jun21 May31 May10 Apr26 Mar08 (rami)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
LS-9   07/03/2025 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DUDE RANCH May18 May02 Mar27 Mar06 Jan22 (davidson sar)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 12.00    
CAYMAN HOT Jun21 May31 May02 Apr05 Mar23 (morgan kevin)ASMUSSEN ERIK 124 10.00    
OGALLALA May30 Mar14 Jan19 Dec19 Dec14 (green greg)CABRERA DAVID 124 12.00 12% 7.20    
DIAMOND EMPRESS Jun15 May02 Mar29 Feb28 Feb15 (clar)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 12.00    
SCR  CONTESSA'S SONG Jun27 May11 Apr18 Apr05 Mar14 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 124 15.00    
DONT BE SHY SAY HI May17 Apr18 Mar21 Jan30 Jan09 (marr jo)FUENTES T 124 20.00    
HONOR AND FIRE Jun22 May30 May02 Nov19 Oct16 (whitton mark)REYES R 124 5.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  SALTWATER TAFFY Jun29 Feb02 Dec21 Nov29 Feb14 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 1.60    
TRUE LOVIN Jun15 Nov26 Oct20     (green greg)JUAREZ J 120 20.00    
10  TAPITSGOTAPISTOL Jun22 Jun06 May11 Apr25 Mar28 (davidson m)ERAMIA E 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  PRAIRIE BRAT Jun15 Mar14 Feb14 Feb01 Jan10 (padilla a)DIEGO V 120 4.50 33% 2.00    
12  SUMMERTIMEE May26 Mar29 Feb23 Jan11 Nov02 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 10.00 6% 15.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.