Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fairmount Park
Saturday - May 24, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FP-1   WIN (5/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/3)-(5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/3)-(3/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3)-(3/1/6)-(4/3/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FP-2   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(4/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(4/3/2)-(2/1/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
FP-3   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(2/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(2/1/5)-(3/8/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FP-4   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(3/8/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(3/8/2/4)-(6/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FP-5   WIN (3/8/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/2/4)-(3/8/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/2/4)-(3/8/2/4)-(3/8/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/2/4)-(6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/8/2/4)-(6/2/1)-(4/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FP-6   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/1)-(4/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1)-(4/5/3)-(3/2/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FP-7   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(3/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FP-8   WIN (3/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/5/1)-(3/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/5/1)-(3/2/5/1)-(3/2/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FP-1   05/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CHICA CON SUERTE         (schlenk j)ULLOA JOAN 118 10.00    
STEAL PROUD Oct19 Oct08 Sep21     (retana ga)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 126 12.00    
SPIRIT SMOKE May06 Apr22 Oct31 Oct08 Sep17 (durham mike)SANTOS ADEMAR 126 6.00 6% 15.40    
DERBY DAY GOLD May10 Oct31 Oct22 Oct08 Sep17 (retana gabe)LOPEZ A 126 10.00    
UNBEATABLE IRENE May10         (nesbit)ORTEGA JOSEPH 118 3.00 41% 1.40    
GOUVERNATRICE Mar30 Feb16 Jan03 Dec06   (lopez eli)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 2.00    
BOGGALITA May10 Apr26       (lynch e)DIEGO JAVIER 118 4.00 31% 2.20    
 
FP-2   05/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOVE IN SILENCE May01 Apr17 Oct24 Oct15 Sep29 (lynch e)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 1.80 14% 6.00    
OSCAR NOMINEE May13 Oct24 Aug24 Jul18 Jun01 (retana gabe)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 6.00    
CROWN ROYAL KID May13 Apr26 Dec04 Oct17 Sep14 (higgins denn)GILES EMMANUEL 124 2.50 42% 1.40    
SPOONMAN May13 Apr24 Mar16 Mar08 Feb16 (burdess terry)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 5.00    
DURANGO CHROME May13 Apr26 Apr10 Jul02 Jun15 (blea tony)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 3.50    
CUTADAY May13 Nov02 Oct24 Oct08 Sep24 (burdess te)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
FP-3   05/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REDBIRD NATION Apr12 Mar16 Feb07 Jan26 Dec29 (becker scott)MOJICA O 116 1.80    
BRAHMS JR. Nov02 Oct17 Sep03 Aug03 Jul20 (retana gabe)DIEGO JAVIER 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SPEIGHTIEMAN Nov02 Oct17 Oct01 Sep14 Sep03 (retana gabe)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 6.00 28% 2.60    
HOBBS Sep23 Aug31 Aug03     (wainwright )ARRIETA REYNIER 124 10.00 36% 1.80    
GOVENOR HANK Dec29 Aug24 Jul15 Jun24 Jun01 (manley steve)FELIX E 116 4.00    
SCR  XAVI May10 Apr19 Dec27 Dec07 Oct15 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 116 1.20    
 
FP-4   05/24/2025 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT'S GIRL May10 Oct26 Oct05 Sep12 Aug20 (randazzo frank )ORTIZ ALVIN 124 8.00 26% 2.80    
BE MY BESTIE Apr22 Mar27 Feb16 Dec21 Sep05 (hernandez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 1.20 29% 2.40    
HOT DAME Apr27 Apr13 Jan02 Oct26 Oct08 (lynch harry)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 6.00    
LILY'S WOOFY Apr22 Aug25 Jul28 Jun30 Jun15 (randazzo )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 4.00    
JAMAICAN TRAFFIC Nov21 Oct24 Oct15 Sep28 Sep07 (martinez-)ULLOA JOAN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
LIL BIT TIPSEY Oct01 Sep07 Aug20 Jul30 Jun29 (mcewen j)DIEGO JAVIER 124 1.80    
 
FP-5   05/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IDEA MAN May03 Apr03 Oct31 Oct17 Sep24 (martinez a)MOJICA O 126 6.00    
SONNYISNOTSOFUNNY Apr26 Apr03 Oct19 Sep30 Aug27 (bentler don)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
TROY OUNCE Sep28 Sep10 Aug17 Jul30 Jul09 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 124 2.50 44% 1.30    
SWISS GUARD May10 Apr26 Oct31 Oct22 Oct05 (plasters lori)FELIX E 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCOTCH NO ROCKS Sep12 Aug22 Jul19 Jun07 May17 (delong ben)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 10.00    
COMFORT ME NOW May10 Oct26 Oct12 Sep28 Sep07 (plasters lori)DIEGO JAVIER 124 8.00    
SCR  STUD LOVIN May10 Jun15 May25 Feb10 Jan01 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 3.50    
SANTINO'S FANTASY May10 Apr26 Nov30 Oct22 Oct05 (martinez a)LOPEZ A 124 4.50 18% 4.60    
 
FP-6   05/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET LA CREMA May10 Apr18 Feb26 Dec29 Dec07 (wilborn kevi)GILES EMMANUEL 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
LARRY THE POET May10 Jan26 Oct19 Sep01 Aug04 (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 2.00 16% 5.40    
SKYLANE May10 Apr26 Nov02 Oct24 Oct06 (randazzo frank )ORTIZ ALVIN 124 6.00    
MISTER SHARPIE May10 Apr26 Oct05 Sep16 Aug05 (durham mike)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 5.00    
ICONICUS May10 Jul20 Jun22 May28 May14 (pompel)BAILON JADHIR 124 4.00    
BROWN RESERVE May13 Apr21 Apr07 Mar24 Nov26 (durham mike)FELIX E 124 3.00 41% 1.40    
 
FP-7   05/24/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COME ON LADY Oct15 Sep12 Aug03 Jul11 Jun23 (delong ben)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 6.00    
SCR  TRY Apr29 Oct29 Oct12 Sep28 Sep08 (wainwright j)GILES EMMANUEL 116 10.00    
HALO HONEY Apr29 Oct29 Oct15 Sep28 Jul09 (essenpreis edward)FELIX E 116 10.00 7% 12.70    
MADI'S CIRCLE Sep07 Aug10 Jul13     (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 2.00 51% 1.00    
WIN WITH COLOR Apr29 Oct29 Oct15 Sep21 Aug10 (becker scott)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 3.00 12% 7.50    
COALY Apr22 Oct31 Oct12 Sep28 Sep10 (wainwright )ARRIETA REYNIER 118 4.00    
COWGIRL FRANKIE Apr29 Oct29 Oct10 Sep19 Aug20 (rednour j)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 12.00    
 
FP-8   05/24/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHEF RAY WILEY May10 Apr26 Jun15 May18 Apr20 (rednour john )SANTOS ADEMAR 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of BROWN EYED BANDITA by BIG BROWN)
SHAMELESS GLAMOUR Oct29 Oct12       (fridley stev)GILES EMMANUEL 113 3.50 28% 2.60    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of GREY STARK by TAPIT)
CENZONTLE         (hernandez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 4.50 32% 2.10    
  (by SMART STRIKE out of TRUTH ABOVE ALL by FAR NORTH)
PLAYGROUND WARRIOR May10 Apr26 Mar30     (blea t)BAILON JADHIR 118 6.00    
  (by DRILL SERGEANT out of LEGACY TYPE by WILDCAT HEIR)
ROAD BLUE         (wilborn kevin)ORTIZ ALVIN 126 8.00 13% 6.50    
  (by ROAD RULER out of CONGRATS IN BLUE by CONGRATS)
SOMETHINTOBELIEVEN May10 Apr26 Oct31 Sep10 Aug24 (pompell robert)DIEGO JAVIER 118 2.50    
  (by WELL POSITIONED out of MAGIC CHAPEL by CHAPEL ROYAL)
HANG TUFF Apr26 Nov02 Jun23     (pompell rob)ARRIETA REYNIER 118 10.00    
  (by WELL POSITIONED out of SASSY BUCK by KUGELIS)
HARLEY'SRUNAWAYKID Apr26 Oct31 Aug06 Jul09 Jun23 (lynch harr)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 118 12.00    
  (by DURANGO KID out of RUN AWAY GAL by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.