Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Louisiana Downs
Monday - May 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LAD-1   WIN (2/1/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/8)-(2/1/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/8)-(2/1/3/8)-(2/1/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/3/8)-(4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3/8)-(4/5/3)-(2/5/3/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-2   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(2/5/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(2/5/3/8)-(3/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-3   WIN (2/5/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/3/8)-(2/5/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/3/8)-(2/5/3/8)-(2/5/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/3/8)-(3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3/8)-(3/2/4)-(1/5/2/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-4   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(1/5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(1/5/2/4)-(7/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-5   WIN (1/5/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/2/4)-(1/5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/2/4)-(1/5/2/4)-(1/5/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/2/4)-(7/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2/4)-(7/3/4)-(9/5/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-6   WIN (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/4)-(7/6/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/3/4)-(7/6/3/4)-(7/6/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/3/4)-(9/5/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LAD-7   WIN (9/5/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/5/3/1)-(9/5/4/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/5/3/1)-(9/5/4/3/1)-(9/5/4/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LAD-1   05/19/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEAT LIGHTNING May05 Feb14 Apr05 Mar02 Feb10 (camejo jos)BATISTA X 125 2.00 13% 6.80    
CASTLE GAP May03 Feb08 Dec29     (prather )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 2.50 65% 0.50    
RAINBOW MAN Feb03 Apr14 Mar28 Feb29   (wilson melto)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CLASSIC SENSATION Sep19 Sep05 Aug10     (camejo jos)RAMIREZ JR 113 4.00    
HERCULES N LOVE Mar14 Feb12 Jan18 Aug12 Jul18 (tillis e)DAVID J 125 20.00    
NELLE TUE MANI May05 Apr19 Feb20     (pedigo randy)MUNOZ SERGIO 115 30.00    
CRUE'S N CONTROL May05 Apr26 Mar16 Feb16 Feb02 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 125 4.50    
SWEET PRESENT Sep03 Aug20 Aug05 Jul02 Jun12 (gomez jorge)PENA JONUELLE 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-2   05/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOWNOWDANCER Feb21 Feb06 Jan16 Dec12 Mar15 (nelson r)PENA JONUELLE 118 3.50    
MO DIXIE DIVA Apr17 Feb14 Jan31 Oct19 Sep18 (gomez davi)RAMIREZ JR 118 10.00    
STEAL ME OVER May05 Mar12 Jan27 Jan01 Nov28 (schmidt denise)SINGH R 123 6.00 17% 5.00    
GUITAR WOMAN Feb22 Jan09 Dec08 Sep04 Feb29 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 1.20 37% 1.70    
GAP DADDY Feb08 Jan16 Dec13 Mar09 Feb21 (nelson)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 4.50 19% 4.30    
LA DEAL Feb21 Feb06 Jan24 Dec19 Nov13 (ramirez jul)RODRIQUEZ JARIO 123 5.00    
 
LAD-3   05/19/2025 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OOEY GOOEY CHEWY Mar25 Mar10 Feb23 Feb16 Jan29 (ramirez ju)BATISTA X 123 10.00    
ONLY A DREAM Aug27 Aug05 Jun19 May14   (gonzalez jaim)PENA JONUELLE 118 2.50 55% 0.80    
TREATY May03 Mar14 Feb14 Feb16 Jan15 (munoz yovani)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 3.00 9% 10.30    
GET RIPPED May11 Apr27 Mar07 Feb16 Jan24 (jacks ka)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 123 4.50    
TIZ FABULOUS Mar16 Feb22 Jan19 Oct02 Aug29 (jacks karen )NIEVES EMANUEL 123 5.00 12% 7.50    
GATSBY'S FORTUNE Feb08 Jan24 Jan09 Aug23 Aug03 (jackson dwayne)MUNOZ SERGIO 120 20.00    
TRIPLE RED ACES Jan24 Dec11 Nov29 Nov07 Oct26 (landry all)RAMIREZ JR 116 6.00    
CREME DE BALI Feb28 Aug28 Aug06 May24 Feb08 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-4   05/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RANDY DAYTONA Apr25 Mar19 Feb20 Jan30 Dec28 (melancon don)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 5.00    
AWESOME WILLIAM         (nelson eric )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 10.00 22% 3.50    
CRIGLER         (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 1.50 37% 1.70    
CIEL Apr26         (nixon thom)RAMIREZ JR 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
LINCOLN PRODUCTION May05 Apr11 Dec17 Dec01 Sep11 (gomez rafael )PENA JONUELLE 119 12.00    
BLAME ME SERIOUSLY Mar13 Feb27 Feb16 Jan31 Dec27 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 1.20    
 
LAD-5   05/19/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ICE'M UP BOYS Mar21 Mar01 Jan11 Dec08 Jun25 (felks joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 2.00 64% 0.60    
READY SHOES May03 Mar30 Mar09 Jan26 Sep18 (wilson m)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 126 3.00 6% 15.60    
BEN DREAMING Apr06 Mar02 Jan17 Sep14 Jul17 (cates al)LOZADA CARLOS 124 8.00    
PEGASO (PER) Mar04 Feb12 Jan24 Jan04 Dec12 (turner patti)PENA JONUELLE 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
BRITTANY'S DREAM May03 Mar18 Mar01 Jan24 Jan10 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 4.00 7% 13.10    
LEGITIMATE TARGET (GB) Mar07 Jan17 Dec20 Nov24 Oct19 (wong jonatha)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 126 3.50    
ALLIGATOR CRAWL Mar07 Feb15 Jan04 Dec18 Sep14 (gomez davi)BATISTA X 124 30.00    
SUMMER LOVER May11 May03 Apr04 Mar16 Mar07 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 126 20.00    
 
LAD-6   05/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAM TOWN Apr09 Feb07 Jan19 Dec04 Sep25 (rangel r)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 8.00    
CRAFTROOM May07 Apr09 Mar20 Feb15 Feb06 (govea cesa)BATISTA X 123 15.00    
PAYTON'S INDIAN Dec18 Dec04 Oct19 Sep23 Aug26 (borel renay)BOREL H 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
OURS AND THEIRS Mar20 Feb13 Jan20 Dec27 Dec05 (schmidt deni)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
GYPSYROSELEE May11 Mar20 Feb27 Feb15 Feb01 (roberson k)RAMIREZ JR 118 6.00    
TWO JET Feb13 Nov13 Oct17 Sep25 Aug20 (gibson jonas)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 2.00    
EMILYHASHERTURN Apr05 Feb17 Jan01 Dec19 Nov28 (wong j)GUERRERO ANDRES 123 1.20 75% 0.30    
 
LAD-7   05/19/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAT HAND GIRL May03 Mar16 Feb17 Jan26 Jan05 (hargrave kenne)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
TENSAS CANDY Mar23 Feb20 Feb01 Dec14 Nov26 (lara jorge)LOZADA CARLOS 124 4.00    
SIKARA SIKARA May09 Apr16 Mar20 Feb27 Feb07 (delhomme j)ALBERT S 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
BIRDIE CALL Jan05 Dec27 Dec14 Nov29 Oct18 (turner patti)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 5.00    
DADDY HEY DADDY May02 Apr10 Jan25 Aug19 Jul01 (garcia lui)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 3.00 20% 4.10    
PLUM WINE May01 Apr05 Mar16 Feb06 Feb24 (johnson he)BATISTA X 124 20.00    
CLEARLY CREEPS Mar30 Mar02 Jan31 Jan17 Dec15 (wilson melton)PENA JONUELLE 119 15.00    
BACK STREET BABY Feb20 Dec27 Nov29 Aug31 Aug19 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 6.00    
FRONT AND SILVER Apr16 Mar20 Feb20 Feb01 Jan12 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 126 4.50 59% 0.70    
10  JUS EVELYN Feb22 Jan12 Jul15 Jun02 Mar02 (duhon o)BOREL H 124 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.