Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Miles City
Sunday - May 18, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

MC-2   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/1)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    DD (5/1)-(5/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MC-3   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MC-7   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
MC-11   WIN (5/7/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/6)-(5/7/3/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/6)-(5/7/3/6)-(5/7/3/6) 24 $2.00 $48.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
MC-2   05/18/2025 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DISCOVERY PEAK Jul20 May18 May04 Mar25 Feb25 (sandoval i)GAMEZ M 124 7.00 19% 4.20    
MACHO STRIKER May16 Mar28 Mar14 Sep08 May25 (brewer stanley)BEETEM BRIAN 124 2.50    
LASSIE CAT May04 Oct06 Sep29 Sep22 Sep08 (birdrattler)MCKENZIE CONNIE 119 4.00    
JUDGE JENNINGS May16 May04 Apr12 Mar29 Mar14 (brewer jr)DELORME L 119 2.00    
STEALING HEARTS May11 Oct09 Sep24 Jul30 Jul16 (conway laura)BANDA F 124 5.00 33% 2.10    
 
MC-3   05/18/2025 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GONEWITHTHEBREEZE May16 May11 May04 Aug03 Jul27 (brewer stanley)BEETEM BRIAN 124 7.00    
FESSY May17 May11 May04 Apr06 Mar23 (brewer j)MARTINEZ R 124 4.00    
BIG TIPPA May11 Apr25 Apr13 Mar30 Mar02 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 124 5.00 13% 6.50    
ABRAA JABRAA May04 Oct14 Sep29 Jul27 Jul21 (birdrattler)MCKENZIE CONNIE 124 1.60 32% 2.10    
IMA TROUBLE MAKER May11 May04 Apr08 Mar11 Feb22 (nelson buckshot)WOOD DAKOTA 124 2.00 34% 2.00    
 
MC-7   05/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NACHO GRANDE May11 Jul28 Jun09 Mar14 Mar07 (conway laura)BANDA F 126 7.00 5% 19.00    
DANCE FOR RANSOM May17 May11 May04 Nov16 Oct27 (brewer stanley)BEETEM BRIAN 126 4.00 12% 7.40    
EPIC DRAMA May04 Apr06 Mar21 Mar07 Jan28 (warren )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 2.00    
CONNECTER May04 Jan13 Dec27 Dec04 Nov20 (birdrattler)MCKENZIE CONNIE 126 5.00    
SOUTH SEA May11 Jul28 Jul21 Jun23 Jun02 (nelson buckshot)WOOD DAKOTA 126 2.50 62% 0.60    
 
MC-11   05/18/2025 3465ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GREY POINT Oct27 Oct18 Sep28 Sep15 Sep06 (hadley to)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 12.00    
CURVY CURLS May17 Mar16 Nov03 Mar25 Mar04 (conway laura)BANDA F 126 10.00    
DARNQUICK May04 Apr19 Apr05 Mar21 Mar08 (cavanaugh perry)DELORME L 126 8.00 19% 4.30    
TOOLITTLETOOLATE May04 Apr19 Apr01 Mar05 Feb12 (nelson buckshot)WOOD DAKOTA 126 3.00    
SHARP WARNING May04 Mar31 Feb19 Feb04 Jan21 (warren )BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 126 1.40 29% 2.50    
DELTA DELTA May04 Jan14 Dec31 Dec10 Nov19 (birdrattler)MCKENZIE CONNIE 126 9.00 5% 19.00    
SERENDIP RULER May11 May02 Apr12 Mar30 Feb22 (brewer stanley)BEETEM BRIAN 126 3.50 26% 2.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.