Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Evangeline Downs
Saturday - May 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EVD-1   WIN (6/4/1/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/4/1/9/5)-(6/4/1/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/4/1/9/5)-(6/4/1/9/5)-(6/4/1/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/4/1/9/5)-(6/3/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1/9/5)-(6/3/4)-(4/3/2/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
EVD-2   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(4/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4)-(4/3/2/1)-(2/6/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-3   WIN (4/3/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/2/1)-(4/3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/2/1)-(4/3/2/1)-(4/3/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/2/1)-(2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2/1)-(2/6/1)-(1/7/6/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-4   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(1/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1)-(1/7/6/2)-(5/2/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-5   WIN (1/7/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/6/2)-(1/7/6/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/7/6/2)-(1/7/6/2/4)-(1/7/6/2/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/7/6/2)-(5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6/2)-(5/2/4)-(8/4/2/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-6   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(8/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(8/4/2/7)-(2/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-7   WIN (8/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/2/7)-(8/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/2/7)-(8/4/2/7)-(8/4/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/2/7)-(2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/4/2/7)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-8   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(2/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
EVD-9   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/5)-(2/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EVD-1   05/17/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PESO PESADO Apr17 Mar09 Feb23 Jan01 Dec05 (schwandt emile)THORNTON G 117 4.00 5% 19.00    
2  RED IDOL Feb13 Jan29 Dec28 Dec12 Oct17 (thomas )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 12.00    
3  MR. FOUR SEVENS May03 Apr23 Mar09 Feb14 Feb01 (dison phillip )ARANA KELVIN 110 10.00    
4  ALL WEST Apr11 Mar13 Feb07 Jan24 Dec18 (sanchez c)MCMAHON J 120 2.00 16% 5.40    
5  VENN Apr17 Mar09 Feb13 Dec19 Nov27 (breaux samue)BARRERA J 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  LIFE IS A BANQUET Apr12 Feb13 Dec18 Oct17 Aug10 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 3.00 57% 0.80    
7  AMERICAN DOLLARS Apr17 Mar21 Feb23 Feb02 Jan11 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 117 20.00    
8  RANCH WATER Apr17 Feb13 Jan25 Dec19 Nov27 (landry allen)MAGNON H 117 6.00    
9  HEZA PICKLE Apr17 Feb23 Feb01 Nov23 Nov05 (larrosa jua)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-2   05/17/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLAY MASTER Apr23 Apr09 Mar03 Feb15 Jan16 (escobar alison)ARANA KELVIN 119 12.00    
2  MY PAL SWEET Mar18 Feb16 Feb05 Dec20 Dec07 (thomas )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 4.00    
3  STEEL ARGUMENT Apr12 Mar07 Feb20 Jan25 Dec12 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 124 6.00 24% 3.10    
4  ALLER VITE Apr19 Apr04 Feb22 Nov14 Oct26 (richard russell)POMPELL L 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  SLICK AND FAST Mar20 Mar07 Feb16 Feb02 Dec20 (david b)THORNTON G 124 1.60    
6  JACKSON D Apr30 Mar03 Jan17 Dec14 Nov23 (ducoing sturges )FUSILIER C 120 2.50 26% 2.80    
SCR  APRIORITY ROCKET May01 Mar07 Feb14 Feb02 Jan04 (thomas lee)PEREZ CARLOS 119 15.00    
SCR  MY DAD'S GUITAR Apr11 Feb14 Jan25 Nov20 Oct16 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 5.00    
 
EVD-3   05/17/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAINT CECILE Jan30 Nov29 Oct26 Sep25 Aug21 (vincent jarvis)FUSILIER C 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  WICKED SAILOR Apr24 Apr10 Mar14 Feb22 Feb05 (lorefice matt)SINGH R 118 4.00 10% 8.60    
3  LORD HARMONY Apr25 Mar19 Feb21 Feb06 Dec28 (cano mu)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 1.80 30% 2.30    
SCR  RADIANT REBEL Apr25 Apr16 Mar14 Feb21 Feb06 (silva walter)PEREZ CARLOS 116 2.00 33% 2.00    
5  SELECTIVELY SWEET Apr18 Mar08 Feb07 Jan17 Nov24 (gonzale)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 6.00    
6  GOOD BY FAITH Apr18 Feb06 Jan03 Dec19 Nov16 (escobar ali)SANTIAGO EDWARD 124 12.00    
7  TALKABOUT Apr23 Apr04 Mar04 Feb20 Jan12 (broussard jarmon)ROSIER R 121 20.00    
 
EVD-4   05/17/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FORTUITY Jan19 Dec16 Nov24 Oct25 Aug02 (breaux sa)HERNANDEZ J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  DEER CROSSING May01 Jan30 Jan01 Jul11 Jun22 (delhomme jeff)THORNTON G 117 2.00 45% 1.20    
3  SEVEN CHANNELS Apr17 Mar23 Mar12 Feb17 Feb01 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 120 5.00    
4  CLARESTOWN Apr17 Feb21 Nov30 Oct16 Oct03 (schwandt emi)BARRERA J 120 8.00    
5  FRENCH COMPOSER May01 Apr09 Feb28 Dec14 Nov21 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 124 3.00    
6  READY TO PURRFORM Apr09 Feb13 Jan03 Dec14 Nov24 (noel dane)VARGAS P 120 2.50 23% 3.30    
SCR  GET THEM JUSTIN Dec18 Nov02 Jul11 Jun14 Apr27 (segura kearn)BARRERA J 117 4.00    
SCR  MOTAWAAFEQ Apr12 Dec11 Nov22 Nov02 Jul13 (escobar ali)SANTIAGO EDWARD 120 12.00    
 
EVD-5   05/17/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEWCLAW Apr24 Feb06 Jan08 Dec12 Nov22 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 121 2.00 62% 0.60    
2  I NITA WARRIOR Apr30 Sep16 Aug23 Aug02 Jul05 (bernard john)PEREZ CARLOS 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  FLAMINGTHUNDERBIRD May03 Apr24 Apr05 Jan31 Jan10 (duhon paul)FUSILIER C 124 3.50    
4  HOUSTONS EAGLE Apr24 Apr05 Feb12 Jan24 Dec18 (larrosa)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 8.00 ★    
5  RAISE THE BET Apr10 Feb19       (walker phillip)FLORIAN JOSE 116 20.00    
6  BABY ZONG May08 Apr24 Feb21 Feb07 Jan25 (dison philli)MAGNON H 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  BEAUDEAN May03 Apr11 Mar21 Mar06 Feb21 (granger randa)VARGAS P 124 6.00 15% 5.80    
8  NOT LIKELY Apr24 Mar06 Feb12 Jan03 Jul02 (richard russel)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 20.00    
9  MO COURAGE May01 Feb14       (romero alvin )RENGIFO JOHAN 124 12.00    
10  ANALITICO May08 Apr24 Feb14 Jan31 Nov20 (dison phillip )ARANA KELVIN 119 4.50    
 
EVD-6   05/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUINQUELA Apr25 Mar21 Mar02 Jan25 Jul13 (west henry)ALBERT S 121 1.80    
2  SOLAR BURST Apr25 Feb19 Feb07 Nov16 Oct05 (landry allen)MAGNON H 117 4.00 19% 4.40    
3  IZE SMILING Feb24 Jan21 Dec21 Nov30 May01 (delahoussaye br)MCMAHON J 124 10.00    
4  QUITE THE CATCH Apr18 Apr04 Feb01 Nov08 Oct11 (latour nichola)PEREZ CARLOS 113 12.00 6% 14.80    
5  MISS MAXIMUS Apr24 Mar08 Feb13 Jan09 Aug23 (ducoing sturge)THORNTON G 124 1.60 38% 1.70    
6  ROGUE DIAMOND Feb27 Jan29 Dec05 Oct19 Aug22 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 6.00    
 
EVD-7   05/17/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FINAL HALF Mar19 Mar03 Jan27 Jan02 Dec08 (david b)THORNTON G 121 2.50    
2  COATTAILS Apr26 Feb01 Jan09 Dec08 Oct26 (duhon paul)PEREZ CARLOS 116 10.00 14% 6.40    
3  GABBYS BLING Mar18 Feb21 Feb06 Jan24 Dec13 (cangemi dani)BARRERA J 121 12.00    
4  DADDY'S GIFT Feb20 Aug15       (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 121 4.00 17% 4.80    
5  HARD LINE Apr18 Mar07 Feb16 Jan18 Dec14 (bourgeois k)MELANCON JANSEN 121 2.00    
6  MO SOPO Apr24 Feb07 Jan25 Oct11 Jun06 (richard rus)SANTIAGO EDWARD 124 15.00    
7  GRAY DANE Apr26 Mar19 Oct26 Jul06 Jun14 (journet albert)ARANA KELVIN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  KING'S LUTE Jan18 Dec30 Dec02 Feb04 Dec31 (woodley j)FUSILIER C 124 5.00 38% 1.60    
 
EVD-8   05/17/2025 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BIZZEE CHANNEL Apr06 Feb02 Jan16 Nov16 Sep19 (gelner j)MCMAHON J 120 2.00    
2  OPTIMUS KAT Mar18 Feb21 Jan30 Jan09 Dec16 (gelner j)THORNTON G 120 2.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  AUTISM COMMUNITY Mar18 Jan19 Dec21 Nov08 Aug27 (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 115 3.50    
4  MR MCGREGOR May03 Apr09 Mar13 Jan25 Jan10 (cano mu)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 5.00 21% 3.90    
5  HOUSE BOURBON Apr30 Apr12 Mar21 Jan30 Jan11 (govea c)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 12.00    
6  TIWANAKU May03 Mar30 Mar15 Feb24 Feb01 (cano muno)ARANA KELVIN 115 15.00 13% 6.40    
7  RUNNIN MUNNIN May02 Apr09 Mar14 Feb14 Jan11 (faul jaso)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
 
EVD-9   05/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COCO BELLA BLUE Apr17 Feb12 Dec27     (breaux samuel)VARGAS P 121 5.00    
2  A WICKED NUMBER Apr09 Mar14 Feb17 Jan18 Dec12 (ducoing sturge)THORNTON G 118 1.60 52% 0.90    
SCR  BET ON KYLIE         (schwandt emile)PEREZ CARLOS 113 3.50    
4  CACTUS CAT         (west henry)RAMIREZ JR 119 12.00 21% 3.70    
5  CHILEAN WIND Apr18 Feb12       (silva walter)POMPELL L 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  SURPRISE SUNRISE May03 Feb22 Jan24 Jan11 Dec07 (dison ma)FUSILIER C 124 2.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.