Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - May 08, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (2/8/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/7/3)-(2/8/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/7/3)-(2/8/7/3)-(2/8/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/7/3)-(5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/7/3)-(5/4/2)-(3/9/7/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(3/9/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(3/9/7/8)-(3/6/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (3/9/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/7/8)-(3/9/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/7/8)-(3/9/7/8)-(3/9/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/9/7/8)-(3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/9/7/8)-(3/6/4)-(8/4/6/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4)-(3/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(8/4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4)-(8/4/6/3)-(3/2/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (8/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/6/3)-(8/4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/6/3)-(8/4/6/3)-(8/4/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/6/3)-(3/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/4/6/3)-(3/2/7)-(4/8/7/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (3/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/7)-(3/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/7)-(3/2/7)-(3/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/7)-(4/8/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7)-(4/8/7/1)-(7/11/5/4/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-7   WIN (4/8/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/7/1)-(4/8/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/7/1)-(4/8/7/1)-(4/8/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/7/1)-(7/11/5/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (7/11/5/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/11/5/4/9)-(7/11/5/4/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/11/5/4/9)-(7/11/5/4/9)-(7/11/5/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   05/08/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRING THOUGHTS Apr23 Apr05 Mar23 Mar02   (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 118 5.00    
2  VANILLA CREAM Apr24 Mar27 Feb13 Jan23 Dec19 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.40 45% 1.20    
3  FUNNY SHE FIRED ME Apr23 Mar06 Feb14 Feb07 Jan16 (haynes er)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  LOUVAR Feb28         (foley )ARAUJO VICENTE 118 15.00    
5  TIA MAYIN Apr23 Mar29 Mar06 Feb21 Feb02 (salaza)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 4.00    
6  BELLAFLEET Jan16 Dec04 Nov07 Aug01 Jan04 (pickett c)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 119 30.00    
7  ATOMIC KISS Feb27 Jan29 Nov08     (shanley tim)CESPEDES JHORMA 108 6.00 8% 11.50    
8  SATURN'S GHOST Apr23 Mar29 Feb26 Jan29 Jan08 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 4.50 20% 3.90    
 
CT-2   05/08/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORRI FELICE Apr03 Mar01 Feb07 Jan10 Nov10 (gazzier kristy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 3.50    
2  KLUVYAMEANANDNASTY Apr19 Mar22 Feb08 Dec13 Nov22 (atkins)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  REZQUIA Mar29 Mar21 Feb26 Feb05 Dec12 (gillespie)BOCACHICA J 120 6.00    
4  THE SKY IS FALLING Mar27 Oct12 Jul11 Jun22 May30 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.00 22% 3.60    
5  SOMESUGARNSPICE Apr18 Nov09 Oct10 Sep21 Sep10 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 124 1.80 36% 1.80    
6  JUBASLILBALLERINA Apr18 Oct12 Aug23 Jul26 Jul11 (sigler g)LARROSA G 124 4.50    
 
CT-3   05/08/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I AM THAT I AM Apr06 Mar21 Mar13 Feb01 Jan11 (jones e)CRUZ ANGEL 122 5.00    
2  WELLING May02 Apr10 Mar21 Feb26 Feb05 (spriggs to)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00    
SCR  SOUPER FORTUNE Mar22 Mar06 Feb11 Jan13 Dec17 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 66% 0.50    
4  BUDDY BUDDY Mar13 Feb28 Feb06 Jan25 Dec14 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 122 3.00    
5  SUBJECT TO CHANGE Apr23 Apr11 Mar21 Mar01 Feb07 (spriggs t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00    
SCR  SMOOTH RICO Apr25 Mar15 Feb21 Jan30 Jan17 (johnson dewayn)CHILO MAXIMO 122 10.00    
7  OVERLY CRITICAL Apr11 Mar22 Mar01 Feb07 Jan17 (jones michae)DIAZ JR 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  CHICO CHARLIE Apr11 Mar21 Feb27 Feb07 Jan04 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  MARK DID IT Apr11 Mar21 Mar01 Jan30 Jan11 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 8% 10.90    
 
CT-4   05/08/2025 2970ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CEDAR RUNS FIBER Apr26 Apr17 Apr03 Mar15 Feb28 (boykins kevin)RODRIGUEZ V 120 30.00    
SCR  HOPPING HENRY Apr19 Mar28 Feb26 Feb05 Jan29 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 1.80    
3  NOID Nov30 Oct25 Oct09 Sep27 Aug24 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 120 3.50 41% 1.40    
4  AIM FOR THE CORK Mar13 Feb22 Jan11 Dec13 Oct19 (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NO LOVE FOR JUBA May01 Apr11 Apr04 Mar13 Feb15 (spriggs tosc)DIAZ JR 120 5.00    
6  GOLDEN KEY Apr19 Mar28 Feb19 Feb05 Sep13 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.00 35% 1.80    
7  ROCKET APPEAL Apr19 Apr10 Mar14 Feb26 Feb19 (spriggs to)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50    
 
CT-5   05/08/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.8K) 3 ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MANNY TOO Apr18 Nov07 Oct04 Sep12 Aug09 (rose j)RODRIGUEZ V 118 15.00    
2  CONNECT THE DOTS Apr18 Mar28 Feb22 Dec06 Nov15 (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 120 8.00    
3  BAIL IS DENIED Apr26 Apr17 Nov23 Nov07 Oct12 (sigler ro)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  JAZMAN CAN Apr26 Apr04 Mar08 Feb21   (sigler g)ACOSTA D 120 3.00 28% 2.60    
5  T REX UNION Mar08 Feb13 Jan11 Dec07 Nov15 (runco j)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 4.00    
6  JOHN'S NOTION Apr26 Apr03 Mar08 Mar01 Jan16 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 3.50 8% 12.30    
7  TOODLESWASMYNAME Apr26 Apr03 Mar07 Jan16 Dec06 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 118 20.00    
8  FLYIN MAYAN Apr26 Mar08 Feb13 Nov07 Oct05 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.50 43% 1.30    
 
CT-6   05/08/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ESROH Apr04 Feb21 Feb02 Jan17 Dec01 (cox m)GOMEZ KEVIN 116 8.00    
2  FOXY SISTA Apr17 Nov30 Nov09 Oct12 Sep20 (jones e)ACOSTA D 124 4.50 18% 4.60    
3  PETTY PERFECT Apr17 Dec12 Nov20 Oct31 Oct12 (petty kristy)THORPE DARIUS 124 2.00 45% 1.20    
4  RUNAWAY BEAUTY Apr17 Mar08 Feb15 Jan29 Jul05 (contreras)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50    
5  JUST A RAINBOW Apr24 Mar27 Mar01 Feb07 Jan18 (knoblauch)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 12.00    
6  RIDE TO REMEMBER Apr17 Apr03 Feb07 Jan25 Jan04 (jackson g)CRUZ ANGEL 116 6.00    
7  XANTHE Apr25 Mar08 Feb15 Jan29 Dec12 (obed-letts ketu)RODRIGUEZ V 124 6.00 5% 18.90    
 
CT-7   05/08/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLAW Apr23 Apr03 Mar06 Jan02 Dec12 (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  OPTIMISTIC NATE Apr23 Mar29 Mar22 Mar06 Feb27 (gillespie)BOCACHICA J 120 20.00    
3  MAXIMILLIONS DREAM Apr18 Mar13 Jan29 Jan11 Jul04 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 120 4.00    
4  STELLARS IN CHARGE Apr23 Mar22 Feb03 Dec12 Nov07 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00 54% 0.90    
5  TIME TO ROCK Apr18 Mar13 Jun08 May11 Apr13 (viands )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 3.50    
SCR  POWERED BY LOVE Apr23 Apr03 Mar15 Mar07 Feb15 (rideout an)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 8.00    
7  ON THE COME UP Apr23 Mar22 Mar06 Nov27 Nov07 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  TALKIN PHAROAH Apr23 Aug21 Jul08 May22 Mar22 (jones e)ACOSTA D 120 2.50 20% 4.00    
 
CT-8   05/08/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPIRIT OF WINDSOR Apr10 Nov27 Nov18 Jul30 Jun19 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 124 6.00    
2  CAYENNE CREEK Apr18 Mar27 Feb22 Feb06 Jan16 (davis r)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 8.00    
3  DON'TCALLTOOEARLY Apr10 Mar13 Feb14 Dec12 Nov27 (atkins)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 15.00    
4  PARK AVE PRINCE Apr10 Mar13 Feb01 Jan02 Dec04 (jones michae)DIAZ JR 122 8.00 7% 14.00    
5  MISSIONARY Apr10 Mar29 Mar07 Feb19 Dec14 (knoblauch)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 4.00 19% 4.20    
6  VALHALLA'S PALACE Mar13 Feb26 Feb05 Jan15 Dec14 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 4.50    
7  AUBURN MILL Apr10 Mar22 Feb22 Feb06 Jan17 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  THE HOUND Apr23 Mar14 Feb28 Jan31 Jan10 (haynes er)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 15.00    
9  RACING HOT LINE Apr10 Feb28 Feb01 Dec07 Nov14 (barber l)REYNOLDS C 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  TOBI WAN KENOBI Apr10 Feb19 Dec11 Dec05 Nov07 (robbins c)BOCACHICA J 120 20.00    
11  BREAK THE CHAINS Apr06 Mar20 Feb15 Jan16 Jul20 (mcmahon)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 2.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  LIEUTENANT BROWN Apr18 Mar07 Feb07 Jan17 Dec21 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.