Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Lone Star Park
Friday - May 02, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LS-1   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(4/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
LS-2   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(5/1/9/2/3)-(8/6/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-3   WIN (5/1/9/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/9/2/3)-(5/1/9/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/1/9/2/3)-(5/1/9/2/3)-(5/1/9/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (5/1/9/2/3)-(8/6/1/3)-(2/7/3/5) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LS-4   WIN (8/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/1/3)-(8/6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/1/3)-(8/6/1/3)-(8/6/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-5   WIN (2/7/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/3/5)-(2/7/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/3/5)-(2/7/3/5)-(2/7/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-6   WIN (7/8/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/4/5)-(7/8/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/4/5)-(7/8/4/5)-(7/8/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/8/4/5)-(9/2/4/3)-(3/6/5/9) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LS-7   WIN (9/2/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/4/3)-(9/2/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/2/4/3)-(9/2/4/3)-(9/2/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/2/4/3)-(3/6/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LS-8   WIN (3/6/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/9)-(3/6/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/9)-(3/6/5/9)-(3/6/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LS-1   05/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCOOTER'S HONOR Oct30 Oct10 Sep04 Jul12 Jun15 (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 124 3.50    
CAYMAN HOT Apr05 Mar23 Mar09 Jan31 Nov13 (morg)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 8.00 9% 9.60    
STIRRING UP DUST Feb07 Jan04 Jul07 Jun01   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 3.00    
SCR  SASSY FLYER Mar16 Feb23 Jan31 Jan05 Oct25 (payne w)SANCHEZ OBED 124 6.00    
FRANNY Apr05 Mar14 Feb14 Jan24 Jan03 (gustafson austin)DIEGO V 118 2.00 34% 2.00    
LIGHT A SHUCK Mar29         (peek kevin)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 4.00 33% 2.00    
 
LS-2   05/02/2025 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($39K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VIEWERS DISCRETION Mar07 May27 Apr27 Mar17 Feb03 (davis h)ELLIOTT S 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
SKY ROCKER Mar22 Mar07 Feb15 Jan24 Oct03 (willis mindy)CABRERA DAVID 121 6.00 13% 6.90    
SCR  BLOOD ORANGE Mar22 Feb28 Feb15 Jan24 Sep14 (hurley tina )WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 3.00    
FLAME MCGOON Mar22 Feb13 Jan15 Dec27 Sep05 (diodoro robert)REYES R 121 8.00 49% 1.00    
SCR  IMALUCKYCHARM Mar22 Mar07 Jan24 Sep29 Sep06 (jack)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 2.50    
DOUDOUDOUWANADANCE Oct18 Sep20 Aug29 Jul14 Jun16 (young s)GONCALVES R 121 3.50    
GEOMETRIQUE Feb28 Feb02 Jan12 Dec04 Nov13 (caldwell r)DIEGO V 121 4.50    
APPROPRIATED FUNDS Apr19 Feb09 Aug30 Jul24 Jul03 (clary rena)DIEGO V 121 3.50    
 
LS-3   05/02/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKIN A BEELINE Mar23 Feb08 Jan11     (clary jaylan )CABRERA DAVID 124 3.00 14% 5.90    
MISS MOTOR MOUTH Mar29 Feb23 Feb07     (gelner j)SANCHEZ OBED 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
CHECKER'S SONG Apr05 Jul07 May25     (davidson brent)ELLIOTT S 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
NO MORO HERE Mar30 Mar08 Feb22 Feb01   (clar)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 10.00    
UPTOWN JIVE Apr18 Mar29 Mar08 Jan31 Jan05 (padilla a)DIEGO V 124 1.20 49% 1.00    
JULIA ANN Feb28 Feb07 Jan03 Oct19 Oct02 (cravens ronnie)REYES R 118 15.00    
CHELL JAE Mar29 Feb08 Dec19     (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 6.00    
LUCKY GLITTER Apr18         (sauceda jesse)FUENTES MARIO 124 20.00    
TRUE CHIEF Mar08         (govea cesar)RIVERA SANTOS 118 15.00 8% 11.20    
 
LS-4   05/02/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEATS HERO Mar22 Mar01 Jan25 Jul12 Jun28 (pish danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 4.50 12% 7.30    
  (by AIKENITE out of SOARING NOW by TIZNOW)
FLYING TEX Mar07 Feb16 Jan31 Jan24   (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 10.00    
  (by CONNECT out of STRANGER TIDES by UNION RAGS)
DRAMA KING Apr19 Jan25 Jan11 Nov06 Oct03 (eoff)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KING ZACHARY out of KATY DRAMA by TALE OF THE CAT)
XANDER S Mar21 Mar02 Feb22 Feb09 Jan11 (padilla carlo)RIVERA SANTOS 124 15.00    
  (by ROMAN GLADIATOR out of DIXIE DUCES by CARSON CITY)
FAIR WEATHER FLYER Mar22 Mar02 Feb09 Jan24 Jan03 (cruz eduardo)FUENTES MARIO 118 20.00    
  (by EARLY FLYER out of PRETTY N FAST TOO by SILENT PICTURE)
BINARY CODE Apr05 Feb21 Feb01     (ashford ray)DIEGO V 118 6.00 18% 4.50    
  (by VEKOMA out of ROCHELLE ROCHELLE by MIZZEN MAST)
IHAVETOOMUCHAIR Apr19 Mar22 Feb09 Jan10 Nov16 (castellanos j)CABRERA DAVID 124 3.00    
  (by GHURAIR out of BETHYL'S ROYALROSE by TOO MUCH BLING)
CURLY'S ONE THING Apr06 Feb21 Nov25     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 1.60 48% 1.10    
  (by LEADEM IN KEN out of STRONG AMERICAN by QUIET AMERICAN)
 
LS-5   05/02/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEAK SOFTLY Mar29 Jan25 Nov16 Oct19 Aug23 (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 121 6.00    
TAKE MY PICTURE Mar22 Mar14 Feb15 Jan17 Sep23 (gelner j)ELLIOTT S 121 1.40 35% 1.80    
RUBY CANTU Mar14 Jul14 Jun22 May26 Apr06 (hebert matt)DIEGO V 121 8.00 6% 14.90    
KAUSE I'M DEVINE Apr18 Mar23 Mar02 Feb07 Jan17 (knox mary)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 15.00    
BLUE HEAVENLY Apr17 Mar29 Mar22 Feb15 Feb05 (govea cesar)RIVERA SANTOS 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
WILBURNSCLASSYLADY Feb22 Jan24 Nov16 Oct05 Aug24 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 3.50    
ATHENA D'ORO Mar23 Mar02 Feb07 Jan17 Mar29 (willis min)ERAMIA E 124 15.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  CAFEZINHO Mar14 Feb21 Jan26 Oct19 Oct03 (willis mindy)JUAREZ J 121 4.50    
 
LS-6   05/02/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRAZY RIDGE Mar30 Mar16 Mar01 Feb02 Jan17 (kotara ronald)BENAVIDES D 124 8.00    
VALDINA DREAMS Mar23 Feb09 Jan26 Sep18 Sep03 (payne w)CABRERA DAVID 124 15.00    
TAKE MY MONEY Apr19 Mar28 Mar07 Feb14 Jan24 (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 2.50    
UPTOWNEAGLESLANDED Mar23 Sep23 Aug31 Jun17 May21 (padilla a)DIEGO V 124 15.00 18% 4.60    
WINGS FOR ENO Mar08 Feb09 Sep10 Aug06 Jun30 (payne w)SANCHEZ OBED 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
RAGS ROYAL PRINZ Mar23 Mar08 Feb09 Jan24 Jan04 (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 118 3.00    
RICH MOUNTAIN Mar28 Mar14 Mar02 Jul06 Jun16 (caldwell j)ERAMIA E 124 4.00 24% 3.10    
TRUE AND READY Mar23 Feb22 Jun02 May18 Nov17 (bryant georg)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 6.00 24% 3.20    
 
LS-7   05/02/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OOH LA DA STOOPS Mar30 Feb07 Jan12 Dec07 Jul12 (schne)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 15.00    
HONEST Apr17 Mar22 Feb23 Jan04 Aug27 (hurley )GONCALVES R 124 3.00 18% 4.70    
SUCCESSFULPATH Mar22 Mar01 Jan05 Jul13 Jun14 (calhoun willi)JUAREZ J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
NAVAL WOMAN Mar29 Feb28 Jan25 Nov19 Oct30 (pish danny)DIEGO V 118 3.50 8% 11.70    
CAJUN DOLL Mar29 Mar01 Feb07 Jan12 Nov14 (dupu)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 15.00    
MOR PEANUTS Apr05 Mar01 Jan31 Jul07 Jun02 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 5.00    
DULCE AMANECER YG Apr19 Mar29 Mar01 Feb02 Jan10 (mendoza edgar)FUENTES MARIO 120 20.00    
SCR  CITY GHOST Apr26 Mar22 Feb28 Jan17 Jul04 (ramirez-rodrig)REYES R 120 10.00    
STILETTOS Sep14 Aug11 Jun29     (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 114 2.00 43% 1.30    
 
LS-8   05/02/2025 3300ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAMOND EMPRESS Mar29 Feb28 Feb15 Dec13 Oct09 (clary jaylan)GONZALEZ ELVIN 114 20.00    
MISS MOZETTI Apr04 Mar09 Feb15 Jan19   (pish danny)DIEGO V 118 15.00    
DR. RAY D. Feb21 Jan19 Dec15 Nov24 Sep27 (diodoro robert)REYES R 122 2.50 35% 1.90    
SCR  PENNY POWERS Mar31 Mar17 Mar03 Nov23 Oct12 (young s)GONCALVES R 118 20.00    
REGAL RUMOR Apr05 Feb15 Feb23 Jan26 Dec03 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 15.00 13% 6.40    
WEC KEAH Dec12 Nov19 Oct05 Jun30 Jun09 (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 120 4.00 29% 2.50    
HONOR AND FIRE Nov19 Oct16 Mar17 Mar03 Jun22 (whitton mark)SANCHEZ OBED 120 20.00    
SCR  BLUEBONNET GIRL Mar22 Mar07 Feb15 Jan12 Dec04 (rami)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 20.00    
CUSTOM SUNSHINE Feb22 Feb08 Jan18 Dec18 Nov27 (bryant george)FUENTES MARIO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DULCIA Mar14 Feb15 Jan05 Dec12 Mar21 (pish danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 12.00    
SCR  WAUNEKA Apr05 Jan25 Dec22 Nov24 Oct04 (willis mindy)JUAREZ J 118 3.00    
SCR  RUBIA Mar14 Nov03 Sep16 Aug21 Jun30 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 5.00    
SCR  ON WING Jan31 Oct05 Jul14 Jun22 May26 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 122 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.