Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Emerald Downs
Sunday - April 27, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

EMD-1   WIN (5/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/3)-(5/4/3)-(5/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/3)-(2/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3)-(2/5/4)-(5/4/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-2   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(5/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(5/4/2)-(2/3/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-3   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(2/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(2/3/5)-(3/5/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-4   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(3/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(3/5/1)-(4/3/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-5   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(4/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(4/3/2)-(6/2/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
EMD-6   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(6/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
EMD-7   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
EMD-1   04/27/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SURPRISE FASHION Mar31 Mar20 Mar10 Feb19 Jan30 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 125 1.80    
PARK ROAD COWBOY Mar23 Mar09 Aug24 Jul20 Jul04 (greiner ga)CASTILLO E 120 4.00    
TRIBUNAL LOVE Mar10 Jan30 Jan14 Dec04 Nov14 (baze robert)RODRIGUEZ JOSE 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
QUIET CHARM Feb23 Dec13 Nov24 Nov08 Oct20 (perez serg)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 2.50 20% 3.90    
SUMMANUS Nov30 Nov15 Nov01 Oct19 Oct05 (perez se)AMADOR RUIZ 125 3.50 43% 1.30    
 
EMD-2   04/27/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEKUDYLAN Mar19 Feb26 Jan29 Dec05 Nov19 (birdwell tena)MATIAS J 122 4.50    
BLAZING PEME Mar02 Sep13 Jul26 Jul04   (mccanna ti)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 1.60 64% 0.60    
MR. EXECUTIVE Sep08 Aug24 Aug02 Jul13 Jun29 (wright blaine)DURAN F 122 2.50    
DON'T HAVE ANOTHER Apr03 Mar24 Mar12 Feb15 Jan19 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
BOLD ENCOUNTER Nov24 Nov15 Sep21 Aug18 Jun22 (maravill)AMADOR RUIZ 122 3.50 10% 8.80    
 
EMD-3   04/27/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMANOFMYSTATURE Dec18 Nov29 Nov08 Oct11 Oct04 (lenzini michael)CRUZ M 122 3.00    
FANTASTIC DREAM Mar02 Feb02 Jan05 Dec07 Dec01 (puentes jo)CASTILLO E 117 5.00 5% 19.00    
J T'S WATCH Mar09 Nov20 Nov12 Sep15 Aug17 (maravill)AMADOR RUIZ 122 3.50    
COOPERKLIMT Feb15 Dec18 Dec06 Nov17 Oct04 (trujillo v)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 4.00 25% 3.00    
COASTAL WATERS Mar27 Mar12 Mar03 Feb19 Jan30 (garcia ser)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 1.80 46% 1.20    
 
EMD-4   04/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOPANTICIPATION (GB) Mar17 Jan20 Nov23 Nov03 Oct27 (maravilla )MONROY FRANCISCO 122 4.00    
RIVER OF AMBITION Apr08 Mar19 Feb13 Dec06 Nov10 (perez serg)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 2.50 28% 2.60    
LA POPIS Mar17 Feb16 Dec07 Nov30 Nov10 (puentes jose)COUTON JULIEN 122 3.50 27% 2.70    
DIAMOND DEE Mar27 Mar18 Feb25 Feb06 Jan25 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 125 3.00    
YODERANDO Nov03 Oct14 Sep30 Sep07 Jul13 (greiner gary)RODRIGUEZ JOSE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
CLAY'S OPAL INDY Dec18 Nov30 Nov23 Nov10 Oct25 (perez se)AMADOR RUIZ 122 6.00    
 
EMD-5   04/27/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16K) 3 F PT- 6:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARMY KNIFE Jul07         (carlson a)KRIGGER K 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
BELLA CIAO CIAO Aug18 Jun22       (patino fausti)COUTON JULIEN 121 3.50    
ORTING MIST         (markle dan)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 5.00 26% 2.90    
CHOKECHERY SHARI Mar30 Feb23 Nov16 Oct26 Sep29 (mccanna tim)DURAN F 121 2.00    
SWEETLING         (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 121 4.50 26% 2.90    
ABOVE THE ORDINARY Mar02         (thomas j)AMADOR RUIZ 121 4.00    
 
EMD-6   04/27/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DON'T TELL HYDEE Apr01 Feb25 Feb05 Jan07 Dec18 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 125 3.00    
GREATFUL ATTITUDE Feb16 Jan20 Dec08 Nov29 Nov03 (trujillo vic)OROZCO E 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
READY TO GIG Mar19 Feb14 Jan01 Dec18 Dec01 (thomas jamey)DURAN F 122 3.50 18% 4.60    
CHROME'S BEST COPY Feb17 Feb03 Jan16 Dec11 Nov27 (birdwell tena)KRIGGER K 122 5.00 43% 1.30    
CRYSTAL PROOF Mar17 Jan20 Nov30 Sep30 Jul30 (thomas r)AMADOR RUIZ 122 2.50    
POKER ALICE Apr10 Mar31 Mar17 Feb17 Dec07 (perez serg)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 8.00    
 
EMD-7   04/27/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($10K) 3 ALL PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GRAN SENOR DEL ORO Mar24 Feb26 Jan03     (tubbs scott)KRIGGER K 122 1.80    
CAP IT DADDY         (thomas jamey)DURAN F 122 4.50 19% 4.40    
KIKO BOY Feb28         (puentes jo)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 15.00    
CSIKOM         (peery debbie)COUTON JULIEN 119 8.00 16% 5.40    
WILLIAM PORTER Jul13         (gibson vince)OROZCO E 122 8.00    
LUCKY'S SNIPER Feb28         (tamayo isi)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 2.50 31% 2.20    
DOMINATE         (essex charles)CRUZ M 122 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.