Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Lone Star Park
Friday - April 18, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LS-1   WIN (5/3/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/7/6)-(5/3/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/7/6)-(5/3/7/6)-(5/3/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/7/6)-(3/6/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LS-2   WIN (3/6/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/4/1)-(3/6/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/4/1)-(3/6/4/1)-(3/6/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/4/1)-(5/4/7/8)-(10/5/4/7) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LS-3   WIN (5/4/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/7/8)-(5/4/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/7/8)-(5/4/7/8)-(5/4/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/7/8)-(10/5/4/7)-(3/4/1/2/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LS-4   WIN (10/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/5/4/7)-(10/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/5/4/7)-(10/5/4/7)-(10/5/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-5   WIN (3/4/1/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/2/8)-(3/4/1/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/2/8)-(3/4/1/2/8)-(3/4/1/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-6   WIN (4/2/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/8/1)-(4/2/8/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/2/8/1)-(4/2/8/7/1)-(4/2/8/7/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/2/8/1)-(1/11/6/12/5)-(1/5/3/7/6) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
LS-7   WIN (1/11/6/12/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/11/6/12/5)-(1/11/6/12/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/11/6/12/5)-(1/11/6/12/5)-(1/11/6/12/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/11/6/12/5)-(1/5/3/7/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
LS-8   WIN (1/5/3/7/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/3/7/6)-(1/5/3/7/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/3/7/6)-(1/5/3/7/6)-(1/5/3/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LS-1   04/18/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONTESSA'S SONG Apr05 Mar14 Feb23 Feb14 Jan18 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 124 5.00    
DONT BE SHY SAY HI Mar21 Jan30 Jan09 Dec16   (marr jo)FUENTES T 124 4.50    
MAYBELLY Apr06 Feb01 Sep19 Nov25   (young bob)FUENTES MARIO 124 4.00 30% 2.30    
JUST PLAIN BAD Mar15 Mar04 Jan26 Oct16 Jun22 (padilla a)DIEGO V 124 3.50    
ROYAL LIAISON Feb14 Jan12 Nov26 Oct23 Sep28 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 2.00 40% 1.50    
AUTISM RESILIENCE Mar14 Jan31 Dec06 Sep21 Jul28 (c)JIMENEZ LUIS 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
SAY AS I SAY Mar29 Feb22 Feb09 Jan03 Dec14 (dupuy allen)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
LS-2   04/18/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY GLITTER         (sauceda jesse)FUENTES MARIO 124 20.00 11% 7.80    
MAYPEARL Apr05 Mar14 Feb22     (cravens ronn)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 12.00    
CHICA COMPETITIVA Apr05 Mar08 Jan31     (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 118 4.00 27% 2.70    
SPIRIT OF VETERANS Apr05 Mar15 Feb21 Jan24 Jan03 (pish )MANRRIQUE JOSE 118 8.00 15% 5.50    
CHIP ALTERNATIVE Mar30 Feb14       (silva miguel)RIVERA SANTOS 118 10.00    
EAGLE VISION Mar14 Feb07 Jan17 Jan05 Nov25 (dupuy allen)REYES R 124 8.00 24% 3.20    
KLASSY ROSE CHROME Mar29 Mar15 Feb21 Jan31 Apr21 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 2.50    
SCR  GOLD MIRACLE         (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 20.00    
UPTOWN JIVE Mar29 Mar08 Jan31 Jan05 Dec07 (padilla a)DIEGO V 124 2.00    
 
LS-3   04/18/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CASH FOLLOWS ME Mar13 Jan23 Dec10 Jun14 Mar29 (marr h)CABRERA DAVID 124 8.00    
MY WIFE IS RIGHT Jan25 Jan11 Dec06 Nov08 Oct03 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 6.00    
SCR  UPTOWNEAGLESLANDED Mar23 Sep23 Aug31 Jun17 May21 (padilla carl)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 15.00    
EL MERO MERO Feb23 Jan26 Jan05 Nov14 Oct30 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 2.00 11% 8.40    
JOHN Mar18 Feb28 Jan11 Dec07 Nov13 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 118 3.00 59% 0.70    
CAPTAIN JACK Apr04 Feb28 Feb07 Jan26 Jan04 (durham danele)REYES R 124 15.00    
PAY RAISE Mar31 Mar17 Mar03 Jan03 Dec13 (ashford tristan)DIEGO V 124 4.00 6% 14.60    
TOUCHDOWN OKLAHOMA Dec11 Nov26 Oct24 Oct09 May19 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
LS-4   04/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  OTHERBROTHERDARYL Apr05 Mar08 Feb14     (castellanos j)RIVERA SANTOS 118 20.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of SEVEN VIOLETS by FOUR SEVENS)
SNOWMAGEDDON Apr06 Mar14 May31     (c)JIMENEZ LUIS 124 8.00    
  (by MORO TAP out of SHADIA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  DON'T BACKDOWN Nov09 Oct04 Sep08 Jul13 Jun15 (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 118 2.50    
  (by STREET BOSS out of GEMMIZELL by GEMOLOGIST)
DUSTINS DENILE Mar30 Mar09 Feb22 Jun22   (willis min)ERAMIA E 124 15.00 12% 7.40    
  (by BRADESTER out of CAT IN DE NILE by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
BERRY MISCHIEVOUS Mar09 Feb15 Feb01     (gustafson )CAMACHO VALENTIN 113 5.00 17% 4.70    
  (by TIZ MISCHIEF out of ALPINE STRAWBERRY by FORT LARNED)
SPIDERS REVENGE Apr06 Mar22 Mar01 Feb01 Feb02 (kota)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 30.00    
  (by RONRIDGE WILL out of SHERRYS GAL by NAVARRO)
ROMAN EAGLE Apr05 Mar14 Feb14 Jan24 Jan04 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EAGLE out of GLIDING ON AIR by HONOR GLIDE)
SCR  FLY RED BIRD FLY Apr06 Mar09 Feb22 Feb08 Jan10 (rivera jose )WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 20.00    
  (by EARLY FLYER out of SHEZAPIRANHA by SILVER CITY)
POLLITO TITO Apr06 Mar09 Feb21 Nov25   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 3.00    
  (by LEADEM IN KEN out of SWEET SONNET by SEEKING THE GOLD)
10  OBVIOUS CONCLUSION Apr06 Mar14 Feb21 Feb08 Jan10 (love alan)FUENTES MARIO 124 3.50 37% 1.70    
  (by INCLUDE out of FREDA STORM by HEART OF THE STORM)
 
LS-5   04/18/2025 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GLOBAL HOLIDAY Mar22 Mar01 Jan25 Nov18 Oct09 (davidson b)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 6.00 9% 10.40    
TYPHOON TESSIE Mar15 Feb15       (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
GRACIE'S KITTEN Mar22 Mar02 Feb07 Jan17 Jul14 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 120 1.80 51% 0.90    
MIDSHIPMAN'S LADY Mar23 Feb23 Feb07 Jan25 Nov09 (gourneau jerry)REYES R 122 5.00 11% 8.30    
RON'S LAVENDER Mar28 Mar01 Feb07 Jan17 Sep26 (kotara ronald)FUENTES MARIO 120 30.00    
SALTAMONTES DIVA Mar23 Mar02 Feb07 Jan12 Jul20 (hurley )GONCALVES R 120 12.00    
HOLIDAY PRESENCE Mar23 Feb07 Jan17 Jul14 Jun22 (pish danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 4.50    
ALL AMERICAN LADY Mar23 Feb23 Feb07 May27 May05 (eoff terry)WETHEY JR 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHE'S CANDIFIED Mar01 Feb09 Jan31 Jul06 Jun09 (ashford ray)DIEGO V 124 15.00    
10  WILD STEEL Mar23 Feb23 Feb07 Jan12 Nov15 (cruz eduardo)PEREZ A 118 6.00    
11  KAUSE I'M DEVINE Mar23 Mar02 Feb07 Jan17 Nov13 (k)JIMENEZ LUIS 120 4.00    
SCR  COUNTY SLUGGER Mar21 Jan11 Oct09 Sep11 Aug30 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 122 3.50    
SCR  MIGHTY ENTICING Mar22 Feb23 Jan24     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 20.00    
SCR  UNDO THE RIGHT Apr05 Mar23 Mar16 Jan17 Oct31 (pish)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 12.00    
 
LS-6   04/18/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEVY Mar30 Mar14 Feb23 Feb09 Jan31 (davidson sara)RIVERA SANTOS 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
TEXAS HOLDEM Mar30 Feb21 Jan31 May25 Apr18 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 3.00 7% 12.90    
MORO MAFIA Feb13 Jan10 Dec11 Nov09 Oct16 (bryant georg)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 15.00    
SKI PATROL Jan09 Dec13 Oct24 Sep18 Aug15 (diodoro robert)REYES R 124 2.00 68% 0.50    
HARD GOLD Apr06 Mar07 Feb23 Feb02 Jan18 (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 124 10.00    
MACHO GRANDE Feb23 Feb02 Nov23 Nov09 Oct25 (eoff terry)WETHEY JR 124 15.00    
GO CATS Mar15 Feb14 Dec27 Dec06 Oct29 (rami)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 4.00    
EGO Dec05 Nov01 Sep26 Sep09 Aug24 (ramirez-ro)ERAMIA E 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
TIGERS 'N BEARS Mar30 Mar15 Feb15 Jan04 Dec11 (pish danny)DIEGO V 124 6.00    
 
LS-7   04/18/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMPERADOR Apr04 Mar07 Jan31 Jul14 Jun30 (young scott)WETHEY JR 124 3.50 62% 0.60    
RISK PROFILE Mar01 Jan24 Dec07 May04 Mar22 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 12.00    
PERLIANO Apr04 Mar07 Feb23 Feb08 Jan26 (chacaltana dom)SANCHEZ OBED 124 4.00    
AFFECTIONTO AUTISM Apr04 Mar07 Feb21 Jan24 Nov24 (c)JIMENEZ LUIS 124 12.00    
RECKLESS RED Mar29 Mar08 Feb21 Feb07 Jan12 (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
LARRY'S LEGEND Apr04 Mar14 Jan26 Jan04 Nov23 (rami)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 3.00 8% 11.60    
WEIRD YEAR Mar08 Feb21 Jan24 Nov01 Oct02 (rossi j)DIEGO V 124 15.00    
BARBACOA Apr06 Mar07 Feb21 Feb02 Nov06 (sauceda jesse)FUENTES MARIO 124 30.00    
PLAY RULE Mar08 Jan10 Aug24 Aug11 Jul13 (roubion steve)REYES R 124 15.00    
10  CARBON STRYKER Mar07 Feb14 Jan16 Dec18 Nov16 (bryant georg)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 20.00    
11  MY LITTLE PRINCE Mar30 Mar08 Feb23 Jan31 Nov29 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 4.50 8% 11.30    
12  MALIBU THUNDER Oct11 Jul03 Jun21 Jun09 Apr28 (eoff te)GONCALVES R 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  UNION DATA Apr04 Mar07 Feb23 Jan31 Jan10 (davidson sara)RIVERA SANTOS 124 12.00    
 
LS-8   04/18/2025 4950ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXECUTIVE POWER Mar21 Feb02 Jan19 Dec13 Oct17 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
PRAYFORPEACE Feb22 Feb08 Aug20 Jun26 Jun05 (gourneau jerry)REYES R 120 10.00    
HOLD YOUR APPLAUSE Mar08 Feb09 Jan11 Dec13 Oct22 (kane )MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 3.50 10% 9.10    
CARLEA'S DREAM Mar02 Jan03 Oct23 Jul30 Jun23 (jacks e)DIEGO V 120 6.00    
IMUA KAI Apr06 Mar02 Feb02 Nov30 Nov13 (hebert matt)WETHEY JR 124 4.00 29% 2.50    
BROCK ON BY Mar08 Feb09 Jan03 Nov18 Oct30 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
RISING EMPIRE Jan25 Jan03 Mar23 Feb17 Jan20 (rami)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SILENCE D'ORO Mar22 Feb15 Jan24 Jun23 May10 (willis mindy)CABRERA DAVID 120 12.00    
BROTHER REID Feb01 Jan19 Jan09 Dec16 Nov15 (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 15.00    
10  KENTUCKY DAWN Mar15 Feb22 Jan11 Nov22 Nov06 (eoff terry)ERAMIA E 120 20.00    
SCR  MANOR BORN Feb01 Jan03 Nov15 Oct26 Oct04 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.