Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Will Rogers Downs
Tuesday - April 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

WRD-1   WIN (6/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/3)-(6/2/3)-(6/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/3)-(2/3/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/2/3)-(2/3/4)-(4/7/6/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-2   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(4/7/6/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(4/7/6/1)-(3/1/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-3   WIN (4/7/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/1)-(4/7/6/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/1)-(4/7/6/1)-(4/7/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/6/1)-(3/1/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6/1)-(3/1/2)-(9/5/1/4/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
WRD-4   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(9/5/1/4/8) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(9/5/1/4/8)-(3/2/7/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
WRD-5   WIN (9/5/1/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/5/1/4/8)-(9/5/1/4/8) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (9/5/1/4/8)-(9/5/1/4/8)-(9/5/1/4/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/5/1/4/8)-(3/2/7/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (9/5/1/4/8)-(3/2/7/5)-(1/5/9/2/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
WRD-6   WIN (3/2/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/5)-(3/2/7/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/5)-(3/2/7/5)-(3/2/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/7/5)-(1/5/9/2/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (3/2/7/5)-(1/5/9/2/4)-(3/6/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
WRD-7   WIN (1/5/9/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/9/2/4)-(1/5/9/2/4) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (1/5/9/2/4)-(1/5/9/2/4)-(1/5/9/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/5/9/2/4)-(3/6/5) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (1/5/9/2/4)-(3/6/5)-(7/1/10/6/2) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
WRD-8   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5)-(3/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(7/1/10/6/2) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
WRD-9   WIN (7/1/10/6/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/10/6/2)-(7/1/10/6/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (7/1/10/6/2)-(7/1/10/6/2)-(7/1/10/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
WRD-1   04/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPRINGTIME MOON Apr01 Mar18 Feb14 Jan26 Dec04 (davidson b)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 6.00    
SHEZA SALTY GAL Apr01 Mar07 Sep18 Aug12 Jul23 (dunlap m)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 10.00 17% 4.90    
MIRAGE CODE Mar25 Mar18 Feb14 Jan18 Oct12 (childs russell)SANCHEZ OBED 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
WILD CHEROKEE Apr01 Mar19 Nov14 Sep27 Jun06 (stephens )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 3.00    
SAINT ISABEL Apr01 Mar04 Feb20 Jan31 Jan03 (dixon tim)KIMES C 125 1.80    
TOTAL INSANITY Dec05 Nov25 Nov01 Oct05 Sep06 (young )FLETCHER D 125 2.00 47% 1.10    
 
WRD-2   04/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE LAST MOXY Mar25 Mar18 Mar10 Feb21 Jan31 (silva miguel)RIVERA SANTOS 120 6.00    
DEN'S DYNASTY Mar25 Dec07 Nov16 Sep20 Sep05 (caster boyd)BIRZER E 125 2.50 32% 2.10    
CATALE HURRYCANE Mar25 Dec11 Nov16 Oct25 Sep26 (boone pat)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 2.00 22% 3.60    
I'M ALIVE Mar24 Nov26 Nov14 Oct24 Sep13 (rodriguez mar)LARA EZEQUIEL 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
BUCK LAKE Apr01 Dec07 Oct18 Sep27 Aug16 (offolter j)ERAMIA E 120 3.50    
MR PELOTON Mar25 Mar11 Dec05 Nov16 Nov02 (caldwell )TRIANA JR 125 4.00    
 
WRD-3   04/15/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEE YOU LATER BEBE Mar26 Mar04 Dec12 Oct02 Sep19 (quinonez eloy)QUINONEZ B 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
ATHELAS Mar26 Mar04 Feb02 Jan19 Sep26 (hale ja)GONCALVES R 125 2.00    
FLATTER ME ZEN Mar26 Mar11 Feb14 Feb02 Jan18 (childs russell)SANCHEZ OBED 125 15.00    
ANNA UP Mar26 Mar11 Feb23 Feb14 Feb02 (davidson )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 2.50 26% 2.80    
IMPUDENT Apr07 Mar24 Nov01 Oct09 Sep19 (blatch)FLETCHER D 125 20.00    
WHISKEY DRINKER Mar26 Mar03 Nov14 Nov02 Sep29 (corderman)TRIANA JR 120 4.00 20% 3.90    
SEATTLE WILDCAT Mar26 Mar11 Dec12 Oct30 Oct09 (oberlander j)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 3.00 22% 3.60    
 
WRD-4   04/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RASPBERRY MARTINI Mar31 Mar17 Mar03 Nov23 Nov02 (padilla ju)ERAMIA E 120 5.00 20% 4.00    
LOOKATCHU Mar08 Feb14 Jan18 Nov06 Oct02 (padilla j)TRIANA JR 120 6.00 19% 4.20    
GRACE THE KINGDOM Apr01 Mar19 Mar04 Feb08 Jan30 (dixon tim)KIMES C 125 3.00 25% 3.10    
TAKING IT ALL Apr01 Feb26 Jan31 Jan03 Dec13 (young scott)WETHEY JR 125 1.60    
SHOPPING ACCIDENT Dec12 Nov18 Oct23 Oct02   (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 120 10.00    
SHAWK'S LIL MIA Mar26 Mar04 Dec12 Nov14 Oct31 (pruitt )GONCALVES R 125 4.00    
 
WRD-5   04/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEMON MARMALADE Mar29 Feb22 Feb09 Dec21 Dec05 (dunlap m)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 3.00 5% 19.00    
R TWO R BADFIT Nov29 Nov19       (moreno carlos)RIVERA SANTOS 120 20.00    
LADY FOR THE MONEY Apr02 Mar11 Apr02 Mar20   (hale v)HEBERT LINDSEY 125 12.00    
LADY RASHEN Mar31 Mar18 Mar04 Oct17 Sep26 (padilla j)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
WITCH WAY GRAY Apr09 Mar31 Jul06 Jun08 Apr06 (pruitt m)KIMES C 125 2.00 20% 4.10    
I BILEVE Apr01 Mar18 Dec06 Nov14 Oct31 (swan e)WADE LYNDIE 125 10.00    
WILD SUN FLOWER Mar25 Mar18 Mar04 Feb07   (dixon tim)ROMAN KEVIN 120 20.00    
R TWO R BADBAKER Dec04 Nov19       (moreno carlos)SANCHEZ OBED 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
JOYFUL JOSEPHINE Mar30 Mar14 Sep25 Aug25   (hartman al)ERAMIA E 120 2.50 54% 0.80    
 
WRD-6   04/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I BE A KING Mar21 Feb23 Sep11 Aug24 May15 (caster boyd)KIMES C 125 6.00    
MI SATURDAY Mar04 Dec04       (offolter j)ERAMIA E 120 5.00 21% 3.80    
OUT TO PARTY Mar18 Mar04       (ashford tristan)BIRZER E 120 2.50 31% 2.30    
DETERMINED LOVER Mar18 Aug22 Jul17 Jun26 Jun05 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 125 5.00    
SOCIAL SOONER Apr01 Mar18 Dec11 Nov29 Nov08 (swan e)ROMAN KEVIN 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SMACKZILLA Apr01 Mar18 Mar04 Feb07 Jan03 (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 125 4.50    
BLAME DA STOOPS Apr01 Dec07 Nov25 Oct30   (padilla carl)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 3.00 11% 8.10    
 
WRD-7   04/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEVIOUS DENNIS Dec04 Nov18 Nov01 Oct11 Dec15 (caster boyd)BIRZER E 125 3.00 57% 0.80    
  (by PASS THE BUCK out of BIG CITY WOMAN by THUNDERELLO)
IMA BOXER BOY Mar26 Mar10 Dec13 Oct11   (caster boyd)HEBERT LINDSEY 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MAJESTIC HUSSAR out of BOX OFFICE APPEAL by CATIENUS)
DA CHIEF Dec04         (rufino eusebi)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 12.00    
  (by DA STOOPS out of SHE LOVES ME NOW by CHIEF SEATTLE)
BOBCAT BITE Oct19 Sep27       (swan patr)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KWONTRO out of FACETS OF ICE by ICE BOX)
HILLBILLY UP Apr01 Dec13 Nov13 Sep27   (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 120 3.50 12% 7.20    
  (by REVVED UP out of MINE SEARCH by MINESHAFT)
CODE MANDALORE         (william)GONCALVES R 120 5.00    
  (by CODE WEST out of MYSTICAL MOONLIGHT by BRAHMS)
BAR ROOM BUDDY Mar31 Mar18 Nov01 Oct11 Sep27 (padilla j)TRIANA JR 120 3.50    
  (by DA STOOPS out of LOUNGE LADY by CUVEE)
REDFORK Apr01         (pruitt jod)ERAMIA E 120 20.00    
  (by RAISING THE FLAG out of FAZZLE DAZZLE by BERNARDINI)
ONE BIG HAAS Apr01 Mar18 Nov29 Nov13 Oct23 (swan e)WADE LYNDIE 120 8.00 7% 12.90    
  (by FLAT OUT out of REGO by IN EXCESS (IRE))
 
WRD-8   04/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Highland Ice Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STAGE LEFT Apr02 Mar04 Feb01 Dec05 Nov16 (young e)QUINONEZ B 120 6.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of DIVA DELITE by REPENT)
ORDER OF MERIT Mar04 Nov15 Oct02 Sep14 Aug24 (buehrer mar)WETHEY JR 120 3.00    
  (by HONOR CODE out of SILKY SERENADE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
BLUE LIGHT Mar16 Feb16 Nov30 Sep14 Aug29 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 120 1.80 56% 0.80    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of IN THE MOONLIGHT by TAPIT)
SCR  MORTIFY Mar25 Feb01 Jan10 Dec13 Nov09 (castellanos j)RIVERA SANTOS 120 15.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of DAME FORTUNE by INTO MISCHIEF)
SAMURAI PRINCE Apr04 Mar15 Feb17 Feb01 Jan04 (martin e)BIRZER E 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of BETISES DE CAMBRAI by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
C W PRIZE Mar25 Mar04 Dec13 Nov08 Oct18 (offolter j)ERAMIA E 126 2.00 18% 4.60    
  (by CODE WEST out of M B PRIZE by PURE PRIZE)
 
WRD-9   04/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY KINDA TROUBLE Mar21 Mar02 Sep05 Jul27 Jun23 (dunlap)FLETCHER D 120 8.00 14% 6.30    
GODDESS OF WAR Feb26 Feb01 Jan24 Dec07 Nov03 (johnston )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
STORMY'S REVENGE Mar31 Mar11 Nov25 Oct23 Jun22 (padilla j)TRIANA JR 125 2.50    
BLISTER BUG Mar25 Aug25       (ibarra jose)SANCHEZ OBED 120 15.00    
RAILEY JEAN Apr01 Mar11 Feb19 Jan30 Dec20 (dixon tim)KIMES C 125 3.00    
MOVE IT MARY Mar21 Jul05 Jun17     (dunlap m)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 20.00 8% 11.40    
BUSINESS AS USUAL Apr01 Nov30 Nov14 Oct16 Sep20 (lee mark)BIRZER E 125 4.00 40% 1.50    
SHES A DEVIL WOMAN Mar18 Feb28 Dec05     (stephens jerr)LARA EZEQUIEL 120 15.00    
BREATHTAKING FOLLY Mar19 Sep16 Aug31 Aug03 Jul22 (ibarra )GONCALVES R 125 8.00    
10  OK BY ME Feb28 Feb14 Jan10 Nov01 Oct09 (werneth rober)FUENTES MARIO 120 12.00 10% 8.90    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.