Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Hawthorne
Sunday - April 13, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HAW-1   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(2/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(2/7/5)-(2/4/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-2   WIN (2/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/5)-(2/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/5)-(2/7/5)-(2/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/7/5)-(2/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/7/5)-(2/4/3)-(7/1/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-3   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(7/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(7/1/2)-(3/7/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-4   WIN (7/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/2)-(7/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/1/2)-(7/1/2)-(7/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/1/2)-(3/7/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2)-(3/7/5/6)-(2/6/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-5   WIN (3/7/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/5/6)-(3/7/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/5/6)-(3/7/5/6)-(3/7/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/5/6)-(2/6/1/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/7/5/6)-(2/6/1/7)-(1/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-6   WIN (2/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/1/7)-(2/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/1/7)-(2/6/1/7)-(2/6/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/1/7)-(1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1/7)-(1/7/3)-(5/8/4/9/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
HAW-7   WIN (1/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/3)-(1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/3)-(5/8/4/9/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
HAW-8   WIN (5/8/4/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/8/4/9/10)-(5/8/4/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/8/4/9/10)-(5/8/4/9/10)-(5/8/4/9/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HAW-1   04/13/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUMBLING Oct29 Oct03 Sep15 Aug25   (boyce mic)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 113 6.00 5% 19.00    
ULTIMATE FIGHTER Mar30 Nov02 Oct13 Sep22 Sep01 (villa francisco)REYES FRANK 124 5.00    
IDIOSYNCRASIES Mar28 Feb22 Feb12 Nov04   (watkins j)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 1.60 64% 0.60    
GRAY MIKE Oct31 Oct13 Sep22 Sep01 Aug11 (ramirez c)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
DYNO WAR Mar13 Feb21 Jan30 Oct17   (morey e)FELIX E 118 3.00    
GONNA PICK DOMENIC Mar22 Feb07 Jan24 Dec27 Nov17 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 118 4.50    
 
HAW-2   04/13/2025 5490ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOUVERNATRICE Mar30 Feb16 Jan03 Dec06   (lopez eli)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 113 12.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of LEFT A MESSAGE by MR. GREELEY)
REIMAGINE Mar20 Jan20 Dec15 Sep08 Aug22 (simpson da)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 2.50 33% 2.00    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of HEAVENLY SIS by HARD SPUN)
CLASSIC TIRAMISU Mar12 Feb22 Jan23 Dec26   (estvanko r)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 6.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of SILVER KITTY by NORTHERN AFLEET)
CHEVAL B Mar09 Feb21 Jan31 Jan09 Dec15 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ K 118 3.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of MS SILVER OAK by LEROIDESANIMAUX)
CODE OF CONDUCT Mar29         (clay pat)MOJICA O 124 6.00 18% 4.50    
  (by UNION RAGS out of STRIKING DAMSEL by SMART STRIKE)
HEVEL Mar28         (morey e)FELIX E 118 4.50    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of IMPULSIVE by ANIMAL KINGDOM)
ROSE'S WISH Mar12 Feb05 Jan16 Dec05 Nov11 (rosas rig)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 6.00 21% 3.70    
  (by UNION RAGS out of CHANNEL REGATTA by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
 
HAW-3   04/13/2025 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STORM BACK Dec19 Oct08       (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 118 8.00    
BERKUS (FR) Mar27 Feb17 Feb02     (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 3.00 61% 0.60    
BLACK RUSSIAN Apr06 Sep19 Aug15 Jul21 Jul07 (perez man)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
MY LAST ESCAPADE Mar27 Feb05 Jan16 Nov13 Oct06 (slager mike)LOPEZ A 124 3.50 6% 16.20    
WESTEROS Mar27 Mar02 Feb15 Jan18 Dec04 (candelas b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 4.50    
RAGNOW Mar27 Feb21 Feb01 Jan11 Dec19 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 4.00    
HOLDEN MICHAEL Feb14 Dec19 Sep26 Sep08   (catalano wayne )COHEN DAVID 118 5.00    
 
HAW-4   04/13/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRYSTAL SNOW Mar15 Feb26 Jan24 Jan03 Oct10 (cristel mark)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.00 33% 2.10    
BABAS GAL Oct22 Oct08 Sep01 Aug20 Aug08 (bahena fernando)REYES FRANK 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  THE LAST THRILL Oct29 Oct15 Oct01 Sep12 Aug22 (lopez eli)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 6.00    
SEQUAYA Oct13 Sep22 Sep01 Aug18 Jul25 (rosas rig)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 112 15.00    
MISS SAIPAN Oct06 Sep05 Jul14 Jun20 Jun02 (bahena fe)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 3.50    
FOREVER BLESSED Nov02 Oct13 Sep22 Sep05 May29 (lynch harry)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 8.00    
ANNIE'S HOPE Mar21 Feb27 Nov03 Sep27 Aug29 (morey e)FELIX E 122 1.60 40% 1.50    
 
HAW-5   04/13/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
U S HONOUR NAP Mar30 Dec02 Nov17 Nov02 Oct26 (dizeo dino)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 6.00    
WHERE'D THE DAY GO Mar30 Oct10 Sep15 Sep01 Aug04 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 122 8.00    
GITA'S LAD Mar30 May12 Apr14 Mar24 Jan03 (young terr)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 2.50 44% 1.30    
WILDWOOD'S WARRIOR Oct06 Sep26 Sep15 Sep05 Aug15 (campbell )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 5.00    
PLAIN OR PEANUT Mar30 Nov25 Nov17 Oct20 Oct10 (zawitz jo)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 3.50 10% 9.10    
FLYING SAMURAI Apr03 Nov12 Oct26 Oct10 Sep29 (ryan chri)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 112 10.00 5% 19.00    
LAND MARK DEAL Mar30 Feb27 Feb08 Dec28 Dec02 (meraz antonio)REYES FRANK 122 4.00 21% 3.80    
 
HAW-6   04/13/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOLIE RULER Sep21 Sep05 Jul27 Jul06 Jun16 (martinez a)MOJICA O 122 6.00 7% 12.90    
AWESOME SUNDAY Mar27 Jan25 Dec08 May25 May04 (zawitz jo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 4.50 48% 1.10    
HEAVENLY HASH Mar27 Oct26 Oct13 Sep29 Sep08 (spagnola )ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 112 6.00    
MY LADY SLEW Mar27 Feb01 Jan05 Oct13 Aug22 (rodriguez)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 2.00    
DIXIE PENNY Mar30 Feb16 Jan24 Dec21 Sep24 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 122 8.00    
A REAL HERO Mar15 Dec08 Oct31 Oct05 Sep08 (watkins j)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 2.50 17% 4.70    
SMILE AT THE STORM Oct31 Oct17 Sep21 Jun08 May14 (quinon)ORTEGA JOSEPH 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-7   04/13/2025 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BATTLEOFLEXINGTON Mar16 Feb23 Jul20 Jun07 May02 (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  ONORE Mar22 Feb12 Jan25 Oct28 Sep26 (estvanko richa)COLON H 122 6.00    
BREAKOUT STAR Mar27 Mar11 Jan25 Dec11 Oct28 (wilson l)FELIX E 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
RUNAWAY CHARLIE Mar01 Dec08 Oct06 Sep07 Aug11 (tracy tanner)MOJICA O 122 3.00    
RUNNINGFORCASH Nov30 Nov02 Oct17 Sep28 Aug31 (martinez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 5.00    
CAUGHT OFF GUARD Oct13 Sep29 Sep21 Sep01 Aug18 (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 122 4.50    
COMMISSIONER OSCAR Sep29 Sep12 Sep01 Aug10 Jul11 (berndt joel)COHEN DAVID 122 6.00 16% 5.20    
 
HAW-8   04/13/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO NANNETTE NO Jan24 Dec13 Nov22 Oct10 Sep26 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00    
SCR  GHAALEB'S RANGER Dec19 Oct26 Oct06 Sep12 Aug17 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 4.00    
SIGNATURE STREET Aug11 Jul25 Jul06 Jun23 Jun16 (ryan a)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 30.00    
HOT DAME Jan02 Oct26 Oct08 Sep24 Sep07 (lynch harry)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 4.50 10% 8.90    
PASTA SALAD RHONDA Mar13 Jan05 Dec15 Oct06 Sep25 (robertson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50 40% 1.50    
CAIRO SUMMER Mar27 Oct13 Sep26 Sep15 Sep08 (hughes w)LOPEZ A 122 30.00    
JOCELYN Mar30 Oct24 Sep29 Sep12 Aug22 (perez man)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 112 30.00    
LUCY'S LOOKIN LEFT Mar28 Mar07 Oct10 Sep23 Sep02 (clay pat)MOJICA O 122 6.00 28% 2.60    
WILD TAPIT Mar27 Mar12 Feb05 Nov05 Oct17 (martinez a)FELIX E 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  GOLDEN STORM Mar05 Feb13 Jan29 Dec21 Oct28 (meraz antonio)REYES FRANK 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.