Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Monday - March 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(5/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(4/3/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SA-2   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(4/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(4/3/1)-(5/3/2/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-3   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(5/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(5/3/2/6)-(3/2/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-4   WIN (5/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/2/6)-(5/3/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/2/6)-(5/3/2/6)-(5/3/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/2/6)-(3/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2/6)-(3/2/1)-(6/1/7/9/12) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SA-5   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(6/1/7/9/12) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(6/1/7/9/12)-(5/2/3) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
SA-6   WIN (6/1/7/9/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/7/9/12)-(6/1/7/9/12) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/7/9/12)-(6/1/7/9/12)-(6/1/7/9/12) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/1/7/9/12)-(5/2/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/1/7/9/12)-(5/2/3)-(7/5/6/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SA-7   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(7/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(7/5/6/4)-(5/4/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-8   WIN (7/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/6/4)-(7/5/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/6/4)-(7/5/6/4)-(7/5/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/6/4)-(5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
SA-9   WIN (5/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/7)-(5/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/7)-(5/4/7)-(5/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   03/17/2025 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 45 ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS JO'S CURLIN Feb09 Nov16 Oct04 Sep02 Jul28 (galvin bre)HERNANDEZ J 124 1.40    
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of MISS JO'S COMMAND by FOREST COMMAND)
2  CANANI Feb09 Jan16 Dec28 Oct04   (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 124 2.00 16% 5.40    
  (by PAVEL out of BAS by FLOWER ALLEY)
3  RAZEN THE STAKES Sep05 Aug08 Jul28 Jun30   (saavedra antho)LEZCANO ABEL 124 30.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of MARGIE BLACKJACK by STORMY JACK)
4  JUST A GRAZE Feb09 Nov16 Jun09 Apr20   (puype )BERRIOS ISAAC 124 3.00 55% 0.80    
  (by GRAZEN out of FEEL FREELY by BOLD WARRIOR)
5  SPECTACULAR TIGER         (mathis andy)AGUILAR ARMANDO 124 5.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of ERICA'S SMILE by WILLIAMSTOWN)
6  PAPA LOVE'S VEGAS Feb07         (brinkerhoff val)MALDONADO E 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of LETSGOTOVEGAS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
SA-2   03/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($24K) 3 ALL PT- 4:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EL MAGA (IRE) Feb07 Jan19 Dec07 Nov23 Jun23 (rondan feli)CARMONA SERAFIN 119 2.00    
2  TIZ'S HARBOR Feb07 Dec07 Nov23 Oct27 Sep15 (tamayo isidro)FREY KYLE 124 5.00 14% 6.30    
3  A KITTEN FOR SUE Feb17 Jan20 Oct26 Oct05   (ledezma serg)OROZCO E 119 3.00    
4  EL DIAMANTE NEGRO Feb15 Dec06 Oct26 Sep29 Sep15 (calvario samu)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 10.00    
5  SWIFT STEPHAN Feb07 Dec07 Nov17 Oct27 Oct06 (wrig)ANTONGEORGI JR 124 1.80 61% 0.60    
6  CAPTAIN WILLIS Feb28 Jan18 Dec06 Nov15 Oct06 (ledezma s)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
SA-3   03/17/2025 3960ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($39K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAI HO Feb28 Jan16 Dec14 Nov17 Oct25 (nehf jay)BAZE C 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  HEADED FOR OM Feb16 Aug01 Jun13 May03 Apr07 (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 124 4.00    
3  ACTIVATED (IRE) Nov17         (hess b)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 4.50 28% 2.60    
4  YELLOW SUN DRESS May10 Apr20 Apr28     (glatt mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.40 34% 2.00    
5  CERTITUDE (FR) Feb08 Dec27 Nov23 Oct25 Aug02 (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 1.80    
6  PRINCESS MIDNIGHT Jan20 Nov17 Oct18 Sep05 Aug02 (herrick joe)HERRERA A 124 15.00    
 
SA-4   03/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($28K) 3 F PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAPALUA RIDE Feb14 Jan04       (garcia anto)HERRERA A 122 5.00    
2  LUCKY NEA Feb28 Jan26 Dec28 Nov15 Oct14 (alvarez edwin )LEZCANO ABEL 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  SIEMPRE NAMAN         (bonde jeff)AGUILAR ARMANDO 122 4.50 19% 4.20    
4  RENATUS Feb22 Jan23 Nov16 Nov01 Oct19 (garcia antoni)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 2.50    
5  TROPICAL RAIN DAY Feb22 Jan25 Jan04 Nov16 Oct13 (garcia vict)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 1.40 52% 0.90    
6  SAINT SHELIA Jan25 Jan04       (rondan f)BAUTISTA L 115 30.00 5% 19.00    
7  DIXIE ALLURE Feb22 Jan23       (palma hector )PEREIRA TIAGO 122 6.00    
 
SA-5   03/17/2025 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POKER ALICE Feb17 Dec07 Nov23 Nov01 Sep15 (ruvalcaba)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 12.00 6% 16.40    
2  SMILING LADY Feb07 Jan17 Nov30 Nov17 Aug29 (calvario samu)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 3.00 19% 4.20    
3  J AND M EXPRESS Jan20 Dec07 Nov17 Aug17 Jul07 (puentes jo)ORANTES R 117 1.50 35% 1.90    
4  SHANGHAI MIST Feb23 Jan26 Dec07 Nov01 Aug03 (taylor faith)OROZCO E 122 15.00    
5  SUPER ELLIE Feb23 Jan26 Jan01 Nov23 Nov02 (sherman steve )ALVARADO T 122 2.00    
6  CHAMAVILLE Feb14 Jan20 May31 May03 Mar31 (papaprodromou geor)BAZE C 122 6.00    
 
SA-6   03/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS HEKAWI Feb17 Jan26 Dec15 Nov23 Oct06 (mcca)ANTONGEORGI JR 122 5.00 28% 2.60    
2  TOPANTICIPATION (GB) Jan20 Nov23 Nov03 Oct27 Aug23 (maravilla jorge)FREY KYLE 122 30.00    
3  IRISH PRANCER Dec08 Nov16 Oct25 Oct05 Sep14 (stortz marcia)ALVARADO T 122 20.00    
4  YOUR ROYAL FLYNESS Feb08 Jan17 Dec18 Nov23 Oct27 (taylor fai)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 30.00    
SCR  STARSHIP DEFIANT Aug11 Aug03 Jul14 May12 Apr14 (dutrow richard )MALDONADO E 122 1.50    
6  LADY'S SERMON Feb08 Jan19 Nov23 Nov03 Sep15 (pederson de)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 5.00 34% 2.00    
7  HONORABLE GAL Feb14 Jan19 Nov30 Oct25 Aug16 (trujillo vi)AGUILAR ARMANDO 122 8.00 7% 13.60    
8  LA POPIS Feb16 Dec07 Nov30 Nov10 Oct25 (medin)CAMACHO-FLORES LEONEL 122 30.00    
9  LION'S LAIR Dec08 Oct25 Sep22 Aug10 Jul06 (torres arnold )HERRERA HUGO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  A CROWN FOR KITTEN Dec18 Nov16 Oct27 Oct06 Aug23 (maravilla)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 122 30.00    
11  CRYSTAL PROOF Jan20 Nov30 Sep30 Jul30 Jun24 (thomas ruby)OROZCO E 122 6.00    
12  PERFECT IN GRAY Feb08 Jan24 Dec28 Dec08 Nov10 (garcia antoni)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
SA-7   03/17/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($69K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DO IT DIVI Jul13 May22 Mar23     (thomas jonathan)FREY KYLE 122 6.00    
2  SAREEHA (IRE) Feb01 Jan05 Nov29 Nov09 Sep27 (glatt mark)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 1.80 32% 2.20    
3  KITTY KITANA (GB) Jan23 Dec13 Oct04 Aug11 Jun14 (sadler w)LEZCANO ABEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  SAKURA BLOSSOM Feb09 Oct25 Sep11 Aug17 Jul20 (powell leo)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50    
5  RAW ABILITY (IRE) Sep02         (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
6  SUN OF HILL (BRZ) Feb09 Nov02 Aug16 Jul21   (damato phil)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 4.00    
 
SA-8   03/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($22K) 3 F PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARE FOR AUTISM Feb17 Jan23 Dec06 Nov03 Sep14 (sher)ANTONGEORGI JR 122 6.00    
2  RYTHEM GIRL Feb17 Jan20 Sep28 Aug16   (mcl)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 20.00    
3  ROSIE TINKERBELL Nov09 Sep07       (ruvalcaba)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 120 5.00    
SCR  SENSATIONAL Z Z Jan23 Dec06 Nov17 Jul07 May10 (rodriguez f)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  ROBIN'S TOUGH LOVE Feb17 Jan31       (periban jor)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 2.00 27% 2.70    
6  AUTISM INSPIRATION Feb17 Jan23 Nov17 Oct26 Sep21 (tamayo isidro)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 4.50 22% 3.50    
7  FULL MOON GRAZEN Feb17 Jan23 Dec13 Nov08 Oct25 (sherman m)FREY KYLE 122 2.00 29% 2.50    
 
SA-9   03/17/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($37K) 4UP M/F PT- 8:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED DIAMOND Feb21 Jan20 Nov15 Sep27 Jan12 (mcanally rona)VALDIVIA JR 122 10.00    
2  HIGHLANDS Feb07 Dec27 Nov09 Sep27 Sep02 (lopez geor)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 15.00    
SCR  MADEIRA WINE Jan28 Nov27 Oct05 Aug09 Dec10 (badilla man)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 8.00    
4  BIG MAMA SUE Feb15 Jan25 Dec27 Nov09 Oct20 (miyadi steven)FRESU ANTONIO 122 1.60 19% 4.10    
5  KATERINI Feb21 Feb02 Jan04 Nov17 Feb18 (miller)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 2.50 33% 2.10    
6  TIERGARTEN Feb21 Feb07 Dec27 Dec08 Nov09 (papaprodro)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50    
7  BEAU SOLEIL Feb15 Dec15 Nov24 Aug25 Jul28 (hess b)BAZE C 122 10.00 15% 5.90    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.