Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Will Rogers Downs
Tuesday - March 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WRD-1   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(1/2)-(5/2/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
WRD-2   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/2)-(5/2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(5/2/6)-(4/1/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
WRD-3   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/6)-(5/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/6)-(4/1/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6)-(4/1/5)-(1/5/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
WRD-4   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(1/5/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(1/5/2)-(4/2/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
WRD-5   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(4/2/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/6/9) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-6   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/1)-(4/2/6/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/2/1)-(4/2/6/9)-(9/2/5/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
WRD-7   WIN (4/2/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/6/9)-(4/2/5/6/9) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    TRI (4/2/6/9)-(4/2/5/6/9)-(4/2/5/6/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/2/6/9)-(9/2/5/8) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
WRD-8   WIN (9/2/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/5/8)-(9/2/5/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (9/2/5/8)-(9/2/5/8)-(9/2/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WRD-1   03/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HARD CANDY Feb16 Jan18 Dec13 Nov29 Nov13 (villafranco )GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 3.00    
2  HERO TIME Jan31 Jan10 Nov26 Nov14 Oct17 (davidson )TRIANA JR 122 3.50 20% 3.90    
3  JUST A IRISH LAD Dec05 Nov22 Nov13 Oct17 Apr29 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 122 15.00    
4  FLASHING ANGELBABY Feb14 Jan28 Jul27 Jun20 May30 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 122 12.00 9% 9.90    
5  STARBURST Feb05 Dec13 Nov29 Nov13 Nov02 (dixon tim)KIMES C 122 5.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  TIGER DAD Dec21 Nov26 Nov02 Oct09 Sep14 (rufino eusebi)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 1.40    
7  ONCE UPON A DREAM Dec05 Nov15 Oct16 Sep26 Aug31 (buehrer w)DIAZ RENE 122 15.00    
 
WRD-2   03/04/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY ZEPHYR Feb14 Jun20 May04 Apr01 Mar18 (mcdaniel bri)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 2.50 58% 0.70    
2  EURO KOUNTRY GIRL Dec05 Nov15 Nov01 Oct17   (padilla ju)ERAMIA E 125 8.00 9% 9.80    
3  AFRAID IM NOTCENTS Feb16 Oct31 Apr23 Apr03 Mar18 (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 125 3.00    
4  OKIE MAGIC Dec13 Nov23 Oct23 Sep27 Sep12 (padilla j)TRIANA JR 125 2.00    
5  SHAWK'S LIL MIA Dec12 Nov14 Oct31 Oct10 Sep13 (pruitt m)ROMAN KEVIN 125 3.00 ★    
 
WRD-3   03/04/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEE YOU LATER BEBE Dec12 Oct02 Sep19     (quinonez eloy)QUINONEZ B 120 12.00    
2  MIZ RITHYM Feb14 Jan26 Jan04 Nov29 Nov13 (young scott)WETHEY JR 125 1.40 28% 2.50    
3  K O AMERICAN PIE Nov15 Oct30 Oct09 Sep04 May07 (offolter j)ERAMIA E 125 3.00    
4  SAINT ISABEL Feb20 Jan31 Jan03 Oct11 Sep18 (dixon tim)KIMES C 125 10.00    
5  INVENTING ANNA Feb08 Jan18 Dec27 Dec06 Oct31 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 125 2.00 48% 1.10    
6  SPUNOUTOFCONTROL Nov18 Oct23 Oct02 Sep07 Aug21 (cravens ronnie )WADE LYNDIE 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
WRD-4   03/04/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAYLON'S GUITAR Feb16 Dec07 Oct11 Sep27 Aug31 (ashford)GONCALVES R 120 3.50 17% 4.90    
2  SIMMERON Dec07 Oct18 May14     (buehrer w)DIAZ RENE 120 12.00    
SCR  BLAME DA STOOPS Dec07 Nov25 Oct30     (padilla a)DIEGO V 125 3.00    
4  MI SATURDAY Dec04         (offolter j)ERAMIA E 120 2.50 60% 0.70    
5  LINCOLNS BRISKET Sep07 Aug16 Apr30 Apr09   (buehrer w)KIMES C 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BUCK LAKE Dec07 Oct18 Sep27 Aug16   (offolter s)ROMAN KEVIN 120 10.00    
7  SMACKZILLA Feb07 Jan03 Dec07 Nov19 Jun03 (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 125 3.00    
 
WRD-5   03/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  C W PRIZE Dec13 Nov08 Oct18 Sep18 Aug23 (offolter j)ERAMIA E 125 1.00 36% 1.80    
2  TOMMYHAWK Sep18 Aug23 Jul18 Jun27 Jun13 (swango randy)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  ORDER OF MERIT Nov15 Oct02 Sep14 Aug24 Nov14 (buehrer w)DIAZ RENE 122 3.00    
4  STAGE LEFT Feb01 Dec05 Nov16 Oct09 Sep19 (young scott)WETHEY JR 125 4.00    
5  OUR CORNERSTONE Dec11 Nov18 Oct18 Sep18 Aug23 (stephens )TRIANA JR 122 3.50 27% 2.80    
 
WRD-6   03/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOCSBOW Dec13 Dec04 Sep27     (lee mark)QUINONEZ B 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OXBOW out of CACTUS ROSE by BRICKTOWN CAT)
2  KITTY CODE         (offolter j)ERAMIA E 120 6.00 15% 5.70    
  (by CODE WEST out of BLUSHING KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
3  MIDNIGHT TALKER Feb15 Dec11       (padilla a)DIEGO V 125 4.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT CROONER out of FLEET TALK'N MISS by NORTHERN AFLEET)
4  STRAIGHT AHEAD Mar19 Mar05       (hartma)GUTIERREZ RAMOS 120 2.00 41% 1.40    
  (by HOPPERTUNITY out of CANDID CATHY by RIMROD)
5  COMPUTING CHAMP Feb01 Jan17 Dec13 Nov29 Nov13 (valdivia )CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 120 2.50    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of VALID ENCHANTMENT by TIZNOW)
6  OUT TO PARTY         (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 5.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of MY PARTY GIRL by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
WRD-7   03/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRACE THE KINGDOM Feb08 Jan30 Dec07 Apr02 Mar18 (dixon tim)KIMES C 125 15.00    
2  PAT'S RIDE Dec11 Nov13 Oct23 Sep12 Jun24 (offolter j)ERAMIA E 125 3.50 22% 3.50    
3  SMART OKIE Dec05 Nov25 Oct18 Oct03 Sep21 (padilla j)TRIANA JR 125 4.00    
4  WE'LL DO IT LIVE Jan05 Nov04 Oct16 Aug25 Jul28 (diodoro rob)WETHEY JR 125 3.00 50% 1.00    
5  CATALE WINEMIXER Nov29 Nov13 Oct18 Sep20 Aug24 (swango randy)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 3.50 ★    
6  CUECA Jan18 Nov23 May15 Apr23 Apr01 (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  GYPSY ROSE Dec12 Nov26 Nov02 Oct09 Jun26 (lee mark)BIRZER E 125 12.00    
8  PREDICTING Nov30 Oct12 Sep27 Sep12 Jun26 (stephens jer)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 15.00    
9  NEUTRALIZE Jan05 Dec05 Oct10 Aug31 Jun30 (lee mark)QUINONEZ B 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
WRD-8   03/04/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATHELAS Feb02 Jan19 Sep26 Sep03   (hale ja)GONCALVES R 125 8.00    
2  MYSTICAL CODE Dec07 Nov22 Oct25 Oct05 Sep04 (offolter j)ERAMIA E 125 2.50 15% 5.50    
3  LADY RASHEN Oct17 Sep26 Sep07 Aug23 Jul18 (padilla juan)LARA EZEQUIEL 125 8.00    
4  GOSPEL STUNNING Feb22 Jan26 Dec07 Nov22 Nov13 (williams ste)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 12.00    
5  KARSON KAY Feb14 Jan26 Jan05 Dec22 Nov23 (dunlap m)BIRZER E 125 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  THUNDERS SONG Sep26 Sep01 Aug04 Jun23 Mar14 (diodoro robert)SANCHEZ OBED 125 15.00    
7  SHELLEY'S ROSE Feb20 Feb08 Jan28 Aug21 Jul30 (dixon tim)KIMES C 125 12.00    
8  WILD SUN FLOWER Feb07         (dixon tim)HUCKABY RONNIE 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
9  JUST PLAIN BAD Jan26 Oct16 Jun22 Jun08 Mar15 (padilla a)DIEGO V 125 2.00 59% 0.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.