Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - February 06, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (2/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/7)-(2/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/7)-(2/1/3/7)-(2/1/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/1/3/7)-(5/6/3/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3/7)-(5/6/3/4)-(4/2/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/6/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/4)-(5/6/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/4)-(5/6/3/4)-(5/6/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/3/4)-(4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3/4)-(4/2/3)-(4/7/1/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-3   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/1/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/1/2/3)-(4/1/2/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(4/7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(4/7/1/2)-(7/1/8/5/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-4   WIN (4/7/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/1/2)-(4/7/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/1/2)-(4/7/1/2)-(4/7/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/1/2)-(7/1/8/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/7/1/2)-(7/1/8/5/9)-(2/3/5/4) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-5   WIN (7/1/8/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/8/5/9)-(7/1/8/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/8/5/9)-(7/1/8/5/9)-(7/1/8/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/1/8/5/9)-(2/3/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/1/8/5/9)-(2/3/5/4)-(9/7/4/3/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-6   WIN (2/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/4)-(2/3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/4)-(2/3/5/4)-(2/3/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/5/4)-(9/7/4/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5/4)-(9/7/4/3/1)-(6/10/1/8/7) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-7   WIN (9/7/4/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/7/4/3/1)-(9/7/4/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/7/4/3/1)-(9/7/4/3/1)-(9/7/4/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/7/4/3/1)-(6/10/1/8/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
CT-8   WIN (6/10/1/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/10/1/8/7)-(6/10/1/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/10/1/8/7)-(6/10/1/8/7)-(6/10/1/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   02/06/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAYNT YOUR WAY Nov20 Oct25 Oct04 Aug09 Jul12 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 122 2.00 24% 3.20    
DREAMING OF AUDREY Jan24 Jan03 Nov21 Oct31 Oct17 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 0.60 37% 1.70    
TIMEISGOLDEN Nov29 Nov09 Sep27 Aug02 Jul06 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 8.00 15% 5.80    
GONE WITH THE WYN Jan10 Dec13 Dec07 Nov29 Nov09 (peltroche vane)RIOS-CONDE A 122 12.00    
SOMEBODY LOVES ME Jan31 Jan10 Dec13 Dec06 Nov13 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 122 20.00    
CANTHO Jan23 Oct30 Oct14 Sep24 Aug28 (fiesman robert)GILBERT KYLE 122 30.00    
MO TRAFFIC Jan24 Jan17 Jan02 Dec18 Dec04 (shanley timo)LEWIS M 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-2   02/06/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOING TO OMBRA Jan24 Jan10 Dec06     (jones e)ACOSTA D 116 20.00    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of PARKAVENUEPRINCESS by ASCOT KNIGHT)
PAINT THE ALLEY Jan17 Jan03       (gomez r)LARROSA G 116 20.00    
  (by LUKES ALLEY out of DEVONSPAINTEDLADY by DEVON DEPUTY)
SHOOK ME ALL NIGHT Jan17 Dec11 Nov20 Sep26 Aug16 (perry lawrence )PELTROCHE F 124 2.50 6% 15.80    
  (by JUBA out of SUZY MOONLIGHT by BLAME)
MEGS GOLDEN BOY Jan23 Jan17 Dec11 Nov16 Nov07 (boykins k)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of MEGSTONE by STROLL)
GHOSTLY LEO Jan17 Nov29 Jul20 Jul06 Jun07 (gazzie)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 1.00 37% 1.70    
  (by GATTOPARDO out of RAYO LASER by GHOSTZAPPER)
ABOLITIONIST         (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 111 3.00 36% 1.70    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of GRACEWOOD by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
THE COLDEST ONE Jan31 Jan10 Dec07     (jones m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 116 30.00    
  (by KOBE'S BACK out of DELIGHTFUL ERIN by ROCK HARD TEN)
 
CT-3   02/06/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLOOD BROTHER Jan25 Dec07 Oct17 Sep19 Aug22 (viands stace)LEWIS M 122 3.00    
WILLIAM'S CAUSE Jan17 Sep20 Sep07 Jun10 Mar29 (jones michael )CHILO MAXIMO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
LET'S EAT Jan23 Nov27 Nov06 Nov01 Oct11 (gillespie ryan)GILBERT KYLE 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
COSTNER May28 Apr28 Apr12 Mar08 Jan26 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 2.50 64% 0.60    
CANDYLAND PHIL Jan24 Jan15 Dec20 Nov22   (knudsen ken)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.00    
BULLRING BULLY Jan02 Dec01 Oct30 Oct05 Sep19 (gazzier)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 4.50    
ORANGE JUICE Jan17 Dec13 Nov16 Oct31 Sep12 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 3.50    
 
CT-4   02/06/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAN SEBASTIAN Jan25 Nov14 Nov02 Oct08 Sep25 (rideout anthony )ACOSTA D 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
GOGO GADGET Jan11 Dec12 Nov27 Nov06 Oct25 (calhoun aman)LEWIS M 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
COURT TUDOR Jan25 Dec12 Nov27 Nov02 Jul13 (kirlew le)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00    
CALLISTO'S BRIGADE Jan25 Dec12 Nov14 Oct26 Jul26 (rose davi)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 1.20 60% 0.70    
MONKEY WRENCH Jan11 Dec12 Nov16 Oct10 Aug10 (barahon)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 8.00    
KVELLION Jan16 Dec06 Oct25 Aug24 Jul29 (gazzier kristy)JORGE JULIO 122 4.50    
ROARK Jan10 Dec06 Nov16 Oct05 Sep04 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 3.50 8% 11.40    
 
CT-5   02/06/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISSIONSNINETYNINE Jan16 Dec11 Nov21 Oct30 Oct10 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 1.80 19% 4.30    
SEXY CHOCOLATTE Jan16 Dec12 Nov21 Nov04 Oct21 (bourne )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 30.00    
AUBURN MILL Jan17 Dec12 Nov21 Oct25 Oct10 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00    
CAYENNE CREEK Jan16 Dec12 Nov21 Nov01 Oct10 (davis r)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 20.00    
SARGENT KOBE Jan16 Dec13 Nov30 Nov07 Oct25 (lane j)STANLEY O 122 5.00 11% 7.70    
GOLDEN APPEAL Jan16 Dec13 Oct25 Oct10 Sep20 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 122 10.00    
DOCTOR PARDO Jan03 Nov29 Nov06 Oct17 Sep20 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 122 3.50 28% 2.50    
REMYS SHOWTIME Jan16 Jan03 Nov21 Nov01 Oct12 (craig armonte)HO WESLEY 122 4.50 13% 6.70    
BUDDY BUDDY Jan25 Dec14 Dec04 Nov21 Nov06 (collins tim)LEWIS M 120 10.00 8% 11.60    
 
CT-6   02/06/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY FRIENDS BEER Jan23 Jan16 Dec14 Oct12 Sep28 (mangual mano)DIAZ JR 124 4.50    
BODYSLAM Jan18 Dec14 Nov23 Nov02 Oct18 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00 31% 2.20    
TIZAFASTBULLET Jan18 Nov27 Nov07 Oct19 Oct03 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 122 8.00 17% 4.80    
BONNIE BILL Jan18 Dec14 Nov23 Nov02 Sep21 (shanley t)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 12.00 10% 8.90    
TOP OF THE MINT Jan17 Dec12 Oct31 Oct10 Aug16 (jones michael )CHILO MAXIMO 122 20.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  KING'S OVATION Jan13 Dec02 Oct27 Sep21 Aug12 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 0.60    
SCR  REBELDE Jan18 Dec13 Nov01 Oct17 Aug16 (jones m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 15.00    
RAGTIME RICHES Jan18 Dec13 Nov14 Nov01 Oct03 (gillespie a)CULLUM W 122 30.00    
BATTLE OF BASTOGNE Jan24 Jan17 Dec12 Nov14 Nov01 (bailon ne)BOCACHICA J 124 15.00    
10  YABBA DABBA DUDE Jan18 Jan03 Nov22 Oct17 Sep26 (heath geo)HERNANDEZ H 120 30.00    
SCR  BRAZILLIONAIRE Jan25 Dec27 Dec08 Nov30 Jun29 (serey m)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 15.00    
 
CT-7   02/06/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUMPIN JACK BRASS Jan18 Dec07 Nov17 Oct12 Sep13 (jones e)ACOSTA D 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FRIENDLY LUCY Dec10 Nov25 Jul15 Jun23 May14 (baird mic)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00    
JUST HAVE FAITH Jan15 Dec14 Dec04 Nov14 Oct05 (boggs j)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
PIPE DREAMIN Jan11 Nov20 Oct24 Oct04 Sep21 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 124 8.00 9% 9.80    
SYMPTOMATIC Dec07 Nov20 Nov09 Oct24 Sep12 (tobin edw)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
SEVEN NATTY PATTY Dec07 Nov20 Oct24 Oct04 Aug22 (venham lyn)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.50    
DREAM LEADER Jan11 Oct24 Oct04 Sep19 Aug22 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 8.00 10% 9.30    
KAALA Jan04 Dec07 Jun23 May30 Feb28 (brown ronney)LEWIS M 120 6.00    
MAMA MARGE Nov09 Oct18 Sep28 Sep13 Aug17 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 1.40 56% 0.80    
10  PALACIO Jan11 Dec07 Nov20 Nov09 Oct24 (tobin )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 30.00    
SCR  MISS ARGENTINA Jan25 Jan03 Nov23 Nov06 Oct24 (gomez a)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 20.00    
 
CT-8   02/06/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KENNY HAD A NOTION Dec13 Nov21 Nov01 Oct10 Jul25 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 8.00 14% 6.00    
SCR  HENDRIX Jan17 Dec10 Nov20 Nov03 Oct02 (fiesman robert)GILBERT KYLE 122 30.00    
SHANGHAI WARRIOR Jan25 Jan11 Dec07 Sep15 Sep07 (brown keith )DIAZ JR 120 30.00    
NOTION TO TAPIT Jan18 Oct17 Oct05 Sep25 Sep14 (serey j)LUGO JR 122 20.00    
READYSEEKGO Jan17 Dec04 Nov20 Nov05 Oct14 (knoblauch)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 20.00    
ADVANCE CASH Jan11 Dec05 Nov21 Oct24 Oct04 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
JACKED Nov22 Oct30 Oct18 Sep10 Aug09 (shanley tim)CESPEDES JHORMA 112 15.00 5% 19.00    
QUALIFLY Jan17 Dec13 May09 Mar15 Mar02 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00 6% 16.40    
VESELSKY Jan25 Dec22 Nov22 Nov09 Sep29 (singh so)RODRIGUEZ L 115 3.00    
10  GABRIEL'S WING Jan11 Dec20 Nov16 Oct26 Oct10 (figgins o)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  STARSTREET Jan09 Dec27 Sep18 Aug15 Jul18 (r)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 122 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.