Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Pleasanton
Saturday - November 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PLN-1   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(4/3/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(4/3/5)-(2/1/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PLN-2   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(2/1/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(2/1/3)-(6/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PLN-3   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(6/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(6/2)-(5/1/2/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PLN-4   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/7/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2)-(6/7/3/2)-(6/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    DD (6/2)-(5/1/2/8) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2)-(5/1/2/8)-(3/2/5/6) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
PLN-5   WIN (5/1/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/8)-(5/1/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/8)-(5/1/2/8)-(5/1/2/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (5/1/2/8)-(3/2/5/6) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2/8)-(3/2/5/6)-(9/6/2/3/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PLN-6   WIN (3/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/5/6)-(3/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/5/6)-(3/2/5/6)-(3/2/5/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/2/5/6)-(9/6/2/3/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5/6)-(9/6/2/3/5)-(6/5/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PLN-7   WIN (9/6/2/3/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/6/2/3/5)-(9/6/2/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/6/2/3/5)-(9/6/2/3/5)-(9/6/2/3/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (9/6/2/3/5)-(6/5/1) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (9/6/2/3/5)-(6/5/1)-(7/1/9/8/6) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
PLN-8   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(7/1/9/8/6) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
PLN-9   WIN (7/1/9/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/9/8/6)-(7/1/9/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/9/8/6)-(7/1/9/8/6)-(7/1/9/8/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PLN-1   11/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARA Aug09 Jul05 Jun22 Jun08   (haley glo)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SOUND OF GLORY Nov10 Oct20       (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 123 5.00    
DESTINY'S DIVA         (sherman st)AMERICANO MANUEL 118 2.00    
BEVERLY T Aug18 Jul05       (haley gloria)HERRERA HUGO 123 15.00    
GOOLAWAY Nov10         (wright blain)OROZCO E 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
DAVID N RAYS CANDY Sep28 May10       (thomas j)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 1.20 65% 0.50    
 
PLN-2   11/23/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTHERN ROSE Sep21 Aug03 Jun21 May25 May04 (bautista)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 121 10.00    
SCR  ZELAIA Oct27 Oct11 Aug11 Aug03 May12 (t)JIMENEZ LUIS 121 6.00    
TURA LURA Nov01 Sep21 Aug03 Jun09 May25 (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 123 2.50 36% 1.80    
HOLLYWOOD MISTRESS Nov01 Oct06 Jul28 Jul04 Jun09 (greiner gary)OROZCO E 125 1.20 41% 1.40    
BLUEBERRY MUFFIN Oct25 Oct06 Sep22 Sep08 Aug25 (stortz mar)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
KITTEN'S KID Nov01 Oct25 Aug17 Jul07 Jun23 (trujillo ma)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 121 4.00    
 
PLN-3   11/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS HEKAWI Oct06 Aug18 Jul14 Jun21 Jun07 (mccanna tim)DURAN F 121 6.00 10% 8.60    
TIGER QUEEN Oct06 Sep22 Aug10 Jul28 Jul06 (tamayo isi)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 1.40 67% 0.50    
CANAM GAL Nov10 Oct27 Sep15 Aug16 Jul06 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  A DIME FOR ME Nov03 Oct12 Sep15 Aug10 Jul27 (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 8.00    
PONDERGATING Nov10 Oct25 Sep22 Sep14 Aug17 (r)JIMENEZ LUIS 121 20.00    
TOPANTICIPATION (GB) Nov03 Oct27 Aug23 Aug03 Jul06 (maravilla j)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 123 10.00    
BOBBY'S GENIE Nov10 Oct27 Sep28 Sep07 Aug24 (thomas ruby)OROZCO E 125 1.80    
 
PLN-4   11/23/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($19K) 3 F PT- 4:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROSE OF JERICHO Nov02 Oct05 Aug25 Jul28 Jun21 (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 119 3.50    
CASTAGNA Oct27 Oct04 Aug10 Jul06 Jun02 (o'neill )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
BEAUTY N THE BOLT Oct18 Sep08 Aug23 Jun28 May30 (mcca)ANTONGEORGI JR 121 2.00    
ACCLAIMED PREACHER Oct19 Sep14 Jul28 Jun14 Apr26 (t)JIMENEZ LUIS 119 15.00    
SUPER ELLIE Nov02 Oct04 Sep07 Aug16 Jul28 (stortz marcia)ALVARADO T 121 3.00    
ANISETTE (GB) Nov02 Oct26 Sep07 Aug10 Aug03 (jauregui o )ESPINOZA ASSAEL 119 8.00 73% 0.40    
POKER ALICE Nov01 Sep15 Aug18 Jul28 Jul07 (ruvalcaba )AMERICANO MANUEL 114 4.00    
 
PLN-5   11/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPERSONIC FLYER Oct25 Oct06 Sep15 Sep02 Aug11 (rodriguez f)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 2.00 21% 3.80    
LADY'S SERMON Nov03 Sep15 Aug16 Jul27 Mar10 (specht ste)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 6.00 17% 4.80    
CLAY'S OPAL INDY Nov10 Oct25 Oct12 Sep28 Jun30 (p)JIMENEZ LUIS 125 15.00    
SAHARA SUE Oct27 Sep15 Aug11 Jul20 Jul05 (paldaniu)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 12.00    
BOURBON GLAZE Oct25 Sep15 Aug11 Jul06 May12 (trujillo vi)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 3.00 23% 3.30    
HOLLYWOOD RUMOR Nov03 Oct06 Sep15 Aug11 Jul04 (rodriguez f)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 125 6.00    
ROSES R BLUE Oct25 Oct06 Sep07 Aug24 Aug11 (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 125 5.00    
SWIFT NONNI Sep15 Sep01 Aug09 Jul28 Jul04 (stortz marcia)SANGUINETTI A 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
PLN-6   11/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MINERAL RIGHTS Oct13 Jul13 Jun15 May31 May18 (paldaniu)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 123 4.00    
TOPPER'S CHIEFTESS Oct27 Oct12 Sep22 Apr21 Mar16 (gilmour jim)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 125 5.00 21% 3.80    
DIVINE PASSAGE Nov02 Jul05 May10 Apr07 Mar15 (haley gloria)HERRERA HUGO 125 6.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  CONQUEST SECRET Nov08 Oct27 Oct12 Sep22 Sep14 (perez s)ALVARADO T 123 15.00    
SPARKLE SWEETLY Nov02 Oct04 Aug11 Jul06 Jun15 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 8.00 6% 14.70    
ABOVE THE FOLD Oct11 Sep14 Sep18 Aug28 Aug05 (r)JIMENEZ LUIS 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
LOCHMARA Nov02 Aug04 Jun30 Jun16 May18 (bautista jorg)RIVERA SANTOS 125 8.00    
YOUR ROYAL FLYNESS Oct27 Sep14 Jul07 Jun14 Apr28 (taylor faith)SANGUINETTI A 125 4.50    
SCR  TOM'S TREASURE Nov16 Oct25 Sep15 Jul27 Jul05 (maravilla )AMERICANO MANUEL 118 3.50    
 
PLN-7   11/23/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WESTERN CAPE Nov02 Oct13 Sep28 Aug25 Jul14 (miller q)BAUTISTA L 118 30.00    
BIG BET Nov03 Sep05 Aug17 Aug02 Jun29 (jauregui o)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 3.50 12% 7.20    
UNBRIDLED RHYTHM Nov03 Sep13 Aug17 Aug02 Jul26 (calvario sa)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 123 15.00 9% 9.90    
DEO Nov02 Sep28 Aug17 Jun07 May11 (haley gloria)HERRERA HUGO 125 30.00    
ALOHA CHROME Nov02 Oct05 Sep02 Jul28 May18 (rodriguez f)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
DRINKS AT THE CLUB Nov02 Oct11 Sep13 Aug17 Aug02 (c)JIMENEZ LUIS 123 3.00 21% 3.80    
VERITAS AEQUITAS Nov09 Oct19 Aug04 Jun21 Apr26 (mark)ANTONGEORGI JR 123 8.00    
ELEGANT BOY Nov02 Oct19 Oct11 Sep22 Aug17 (perez ser)HERRERA CRISTOBAL 123 6.00    
CROWN MAGIC Oct26 Aug16 Jul28 Jun30 Jun07 (specht steve)ALVARADO T 123 2.00 35% 1.90    
 
PLN-8   11/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($26K) 2 ALL PT- 6:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZ'S HARBOR Oct27 Sep15       (tamayo isidro)ALVARADO T 122 6.00 13% 6.80    
NIJINSKY HALO Nov09 Sep15 Jul21 Jun23 Jun09 (mcdaniel w)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 8.00    
CHECKERED FLAG Sep15 Sep01 Aug11     (wright blain)OROZCO E 122 3.50    
THIRSTY VISION Sep15 Aug10 Jul07 Jun23   (ramos je)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 10.00    
EL MAGA (IRE) Jun23 May10       (rondan felix)RIVERA SANTOS 122 5.00 32% 2.10    
UNSUSTAINABLE Oct27 Sep22 Sep05 Aug15   (f)JIMENEZ LUIS 122 1.00 33% 2.00    
 
PLN-9   11/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UPLIFT Nov09 Oct19 Oct04 Sep21 Sep06 (ledezma ser)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 123 2.00 14% 6.10    
CANGREJO Oct11 Sep13       (sherman st)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 6.00    
EL GOLOSO May04 Apr12 Feb18     (bautista )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 123 10.00    
MOOLA MAN Nov09 Oct19 Sep22 Dec02 Nov11 (mclean bil)AMERICANO MANUEL 118 30.00    
SEAVER WAY Mar08         (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 123 20.00    
SIBERIAN SLEW Nov03 Oct05       (wright blain)OROZCO E 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
BANG AND A BOOM Nov01 Oct20 Sep14     (mccanna tim)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 123 3.00 47% 1.10    
BOSTON BURGLAR         (t)JIMENEZ LUIS 123 10.00 6% 15.30    
IM GUNNA Nov02 Oct07 Sep08 Sep02 Aug24 (gilmour jim)COUTON JULIEN 123 5.00 11% 8.30    
10  SCIENCE RULES Nov02 Aug16 Aug04 Jun30 Jun09 (ledezma sergio)HERRERA HUGO 123 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.