Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Zia Park
Monday - November 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ZIA-1   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(8/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
ZIA-2   WIN (8/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/2)-(8/3/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/3/2)-(8/3/4/2)-(8/3/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/3/2)-(3/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
ZIA-3   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(5/3/4)-(3/7/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
ZIA-4   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(3/7/6)-(8/3/6/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
ZIA-5   WIN (3/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/6)-(3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6)-(8/3/6/4)-(2/6/10/8/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
ZIA-6   WIN (8/3/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/6/4)-(8/3/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/6/4)-(8/3/6/4)-(8/3/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
ZIA-7   WIN (2/6/10/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/10/8/7)-(2/6/10/8/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/6/10/8/7)-(2/6/10/8/7)-(2/6/10/8/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
ZIA-8   WIN (3/2/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/5/6)-(3/2/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/5/6)-(3/2/5/6)-(3/2/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5/6)-(11/2/6/9/7)-(1/5/9/7/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
ZIA-9   WIN (11/2/6/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/2/6/9/7)-(11/2/6/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/2/6/9/7)-(11/2/6/9/7)-(11/2/6/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/2/6/9/7)-(1/5/9/7/4) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
ZIA-10   WIN (1/5/9/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/5/9/7/4)-(1/5/9/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/5/9/7/4)-(1/5/9/7/4)-(1/5/9/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ZIA-1   11/11/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($64.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEEN HADASSAH Feb15 Jan05 Dec19 Oct08 Sep08 (marlin i)HEBERT J 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
MARKING'S MIRACLE Dec11 Nov20 Oct28 Aug05 Jul14 (wool)GOMEZ PORTILLO 123 20.00    
GENTLE STORM Oct11 Aug05       (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 121 3.50    
RAEGAN'S STORM Sep12 Aug02       (valdez-cabral m)ROSENDO J 121 2.50    
K P SURFNTURF Sep28 Sep12 Aug17     (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 121 5.00 27% 2.60    
LORA LEE WHO Aug05         (marr h)FUENTES A 121 1.20 28% 2.50    
 
ZIA-2   11/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMASS MONEY Sep26 Aug23 Apr07 Mar08 Feb18 (cappellucci)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 4.50    
MARQUEE'S STORM Sep26 Jul19 Mar07 Feb02 Dec04 (sanchez l)CARRENO J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
RESTLESS MOVER Mar28 Mar14 Oct08 Sep07 Aug04 (gonzalez jos)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 4.00 7% 12.60    
CHAMA STORM Oct12 Sep15 Aug23 May19 Mar28 (olguin )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 2.50    
SCR  SMASH AWAY Oct12 Aug25 Jul29 May13 Apr23 (singh johnny)MEDINA ANTHONY 121 20.00    
MARKED BY MISCHIEF Oct12 Aug24 Aug16 May12 Apr28 (gomez steve)ROSENDO J 119 30.00    
JUST KEEP LAUGHIN Aug16 Apr20 Mar29 Mar07 Feb15 (barton dall)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 119 6.00    
SHEZA HAILSTORM Oct20 Oct09 Jul28 Sep07 Jul22 (chavez la)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 121 3.00 69% 0.50    
 
ZIA-3   11/11/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($64.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOODWINKED KATE Sep07 Aug17 Aug02 Jul20 Jun09 (wool)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 3.00    
BOLDLY BELIEVE Oct13 Sep28       (chavez larry)JUAREZ J 121 8.00    
KAYE Aug23 Feb15 Jan12 Aug05 Jul14 (marr jo)FUENTES T 123 1.80 31% 2.20    
MS. POUNDS Nov14         (green greg)MEDELLIN A 121 4.00 28% 2.60    
RUN AWAY BAY Aug23 Jul27 Mar29 Feb09 Jan05 (lambert c)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 2.50    
LEONAS GIRL Dec11 Nov27 Nov07 Sep07 Jul08 (m)DE CRUZ 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
ZIA-4   11/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 2 ALL PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUNSHINE LUTE         (sing)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 10.00    
  (by HOLY LUTE out of RAPPING KAREN by RAPPER S S)
SCR  BYE BYE RUSS         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 120 1.50    
  (by AMERICAN ANTHEM out of TWO STEPPER by ATTILA'S STORM)
SAPELLO RIDDLER Oct23 Sep22       (valdez-cabr)CASTRO M 120 3.50 10% 8.90    
  (by BERNSTER out of MARIA'S OWN by MARIA'S MON)
MY LUCKY Q         (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PROCEED out of MARQUEE AVENUE by AVENUE OF FLAGS)
LIME CHILTON Aug18 Aug02       (zamora chris)MEDELLIN A 120 2.00 60% 0.70    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of LIMEADE by CANNONADE)
SHINY SHORES Oct23 Sep06       (lambert c)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 20.00    
  (by AMERICAN ANTHEM out of NITA BRAVO by EVERYDAY HEROES)
SCR  NOBODY'S PERFECT         (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 8.00    
  (by DELHOMME out of LILLY DALE WHO by QUINTON'S GOLD)
 
ZIA-5   11/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JULIA'S PROMISE Oct23 Sep28 Sep01 Aug02   (armstrong sherry)MEDELLIN A 121 2.50    
SCR  ZAPPIN Oct27 Oct13 Sep26 Sep14 Aug17 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 8.00    
PANDORA WHO Sep28 Sep01 Aug17 Sep30 Jun24 (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 1.60 40% 1.50    
ABSTRACT LILLY Nov13 Aug25 Jul08 Feb26 Jan01 (marr jo)FUENTES T 121 3.50    
SCR  ANDREABANANAS Oct12 Apr27 Feb29 Jan26 Dec11 (singh johnny)ROSENDO J 121 8.00    
JASMINE BABY Sep26 Sep06 Aug24 Aug16 May12 (gonzalez a)CARRENO J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
CANDY TRACK Oct06 Sep15 Sep07 Aug23 Aug02 (eliott ro)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 123 15.00 22% 3.60    
QUICK TRACK Oct23 Oct06 May18 May04 Apr20 (navarro g)TORRES J 119 30.00    
 
ZIA-6   11/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 2 ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN GATO Oct23 Sep14 Sep06     (henry l)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 120 30.00    
  (by METABOSS out of KATIE IT'S FINE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
COLFAX KID Sep22 Sep06       (cross gary)HEBERT J 120 15.00    
  (by LATIGO SHORE out of LIL LAST DANZ by KING BULL)
SHORT ROUND BOUND Oct23 Sep06       (lambert c)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 1.80 27% 2.70    
  (by RUNAWAY GHOST out of JUST KEEP MOVIN by TRAPPE SHOT)
SAPELLO SICARIO Sep22         (vald)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BERNSTER out of WHERE'S SCARLET by IN EXCESS (IRE))
SCR  MY PEACHES Q Sep22         (quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 120 5.00    
  (by TRAIN RIDER BLUES out of BABY LETS ROCK by ATTILA'S STORM)
KING OF COUNTRY         (singh joh)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COMFORT out of BEAUTYS RAP by RAPPER S S)
GAMBLAWAY Oct23 Sep22       (green greg)ROSENDO J 120 8.00    
  (by SWAY AWAY out of GAMBLERS ODYSSEY by EL CORREDOR)
STAND UP GUY Oct13 Sep22 Sep06     (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 1.40 44% 1.30    
  (by AMERICAN ANTHEM out of DIABOLICAL DAME by DIABOLICAL)
 
ZIA-7   11/11/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKY BAR SIX Sep12 May19 Apr28 Jan12 Oct27 (marlin i)HEBERT J 123 2.50    
CYCLONE MESA Sep29 May19 Apr13 Mar07 Jan25 (trujillo jeff)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 3.50 49% 1.10    
TACTICAL ATTACK Aug29 Jul28 Jul14 Jun23 May25 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 123 12.00    
ATTILAS TORNADO Aug24 Jun07 May11 Apr20 Mar08 (g)DE CRUZ 123 6.00    
DIABOLICAL FIRE Aug24 Jul27 Jun08 Jan05 Dec11 (martinez a)CARRENO J 123 8.00    
WEDDING GROOM May19 Mar19 Apr23 Mar14 Jan31 (fincher leroy)JUAREZ J 123 4.50 14% 6.30    
RUNNINGINTHERAIN May19 May05 Jan12 Sep03 May13 (cross gary)GONZALEZ ELVIN 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
JERSEY JOE Oct05 Apr04 Mar22 Dec05 Nov20 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
ARIMONY Oct25 Oct05 Sep06 Aug25 Jul26 (quiroz filibert)ROSENDO J 123 20.00    
10  COYSTER Jul28 Dec05 Nov20 Oct27 Oct13 (lambert cas)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 10.00 11% 8.50    
 
ZIA-8   11/11/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($22.5K) 2 ALL PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL DIEZOCHO Sep22 Sep06       (singh j)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 120 30.00    
CINCO TACO         (valdez-cabral m)ROSENDO J 120 4.00 20% 3.90    
PRO SPECIAL Oct23 Sep22       (cappellucci)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 2.00 50% 1.00    
SCR  MOON CRATER         (cappellucci )MEDINA ANTHONY 117 8.00    
MR FORKYS         (sedillo e)CARRENO J 120 10.00 9% 9.70    
RUNNING BEAR Oct23 Sep06 Aug24     (p)DE CRUZ 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  FEIST         (armstrong she)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 8.00    
CLEVER IT Oct20 Sep14 Jun28 Jun09   (gonzalez jo)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 6.00    
TRACK RUNNER Aug02         (sedillo t)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 20.00    
SCR  CADEN'S GIRL         (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 117 6.00    
 
ZIA-9   11/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($24.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BIG HOPES Oct13 Sep06 Aug08 Jul28 Jun01 (armstrong sherr)ROSENDO J 123 5.00    
LOOKATHERGLIDE Sep26 Sep12 Sep01 Aug01 Jun30 (barrios bernadet)VALDEZ S 121 6.00 17% 4.90    
COMFORTS JAZEL Sep20 Aug30 Aug18 Jul20 Jul03 (gonzalez jos)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 10.00    
STAY BY THE BEACH Oct27 Oct11 Sep18 Aug25 May04 (gonzalez jo)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 15.00    
HOT LIL MESS Aug25 May04 Apr10 Mar25 Mar05 (wheeler travis)MEDELLIN A 121 30.00    
MISS FLUFFY Sep15 Jun16 Mar14 Dec18 Aug25 (marr jo)FUENTES T 123 4.00 14% 6.40    
MIDNIGHT SUSI Oct20 Sep29 Sep05 Aug25 Apr27 (olguin ever)CARRENO J 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  I GET STORMED Oct27 Oct06 Sep18 Aug25 Aug16 (gallegos )BOBROFF JACQUELYN 121 8.00    
BASIC Oct27 Sep13 Sep05 Aug04 May19 (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  AND CHANGE Sep16 Aug28 Jul24 Jul10 Jun18 (lamb)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 10.00    
11  NANG SINGHA Sep05 Aug15 Jun22 Jun02 Apr29 (hone bart)FUENTES A 123 3.00 39% 1.60    
 
ZIA-10   11/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEXY DEXY Sep26 Sep07 Aug25 Jun07 May18 (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 123 3.00 31% 2.20    
MY GOOD GOOD BOY Sep25 Sep08 May11 Apr20 Feb23 (sedillo carlo)JUAREZ J 121 6.00    
SCR  PRAY FOR ME RAY Oct06 Sep15 Sep07 Jun16 May18 (trujillo jeff)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 6.00    
EL CHUMELITO Sep12 Aug24 Jul27 Jun22 Jun01 (wheeler travis)MEDELLIN A 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
SHOTSHELL Oct27 Sep29 Aug12 Jul26 Jul08 (gonzalez jos)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 4.00 22% 3.50    
MENTIROSA Oct25 Oct09 Sep25 Sep06 Aug17 (martinez a)CARRENO J 121 15.00    
DADDY WHAT IF Sep14 Aug04 Jun07 Mar08 Feb23 (cross gary)VALDEZ S 121 10.00 8% 11.90    
OFFENSIVE Oct06 Sep26 Sep07 Aug17 Jul26 (cross gary)HEBERT J 123 15.00    
ANOTHERFORBROOKS Oct25 Oct06 Sep05 Aug25 Jul26 (benavides my)MEDINA ANTHONY 123 8.00 14% 6.20    
10  MIDNIGHT SPLIT Sep26 Aug31 Jun16 Jan01 Dec01 (orona m)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 20.00    
11  FARMER FRED R F Oct13 Oct05 Sep06 Aug17 Jul26 (martinez a)TORRES J 121 50.00    
SCR  HOLLAND Oct02 Sep11 Jun16 Apr28 Apr07 (quir)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.