Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Santa Anita Park
Saturday - October 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SA-1   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(5/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(5/2/1)-(2/1/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SA-2   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(2/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(2/1/4)-(2/6/3/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-3   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(2/6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(2/6/3/5)-(3/2/1/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-4   WIN (2/6/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/3/5)-(2/6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/3/5)-(2/6/3/5)-(2/6/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/3/5)-(3/2/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3/5)-(3/2/1/4)-(3/10/1/7/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
SA-5   WIN (3/2/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/1/4)-(3/2/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/1/4)-(3/2/1/4)-(3/2/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/1/4)-(3/10/1/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1/4)-(3/10/1/7/8)-(5/7/3/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
SA-6   WIN (3/10/1/7/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/10/1/7/8)-(3/10/1/7/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/10/1/7/8)-(3/10/1/7/8)-(3/10/1/7/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/10/1/7/8)-(5/7/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/10/1/7/8)-(5/7/3/8)-(9/2/4/3/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
SA-7   WIN (5/7/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/8)-(5/7/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/8)-(5/7/3/8)-(5/7/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/3/8)-(9/2/4/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3/8)-(9/2/4/3/1)-(1/6/3/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
SA-8   WIN (9/2/4/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/2/4/3/1)-(9/2/4/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/2/4/3/1)-(9/2/4/3/1)-(9/2/4/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/2/4/3/1)-(1/6/3/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
SA-9   WIN (1/6/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/3/8)-(1/6/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/3/8)-(1/6/3/8)-(1/6/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
SA-1   10/19/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($54K) 35 M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCARLET AVENUE Aug29 Nov19       (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of BERNIN MIDNIGHT by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
2  AFFAIR Aug30 Dec26 Nov12     (mandella richard )SMITH E 121 20.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of SCANDAL by BLAME)
3  PHILIPPA Aug29 Aug03 Jun15     (baffert bob)FRESU ANTONIO 121 1.40 30% 2.30    
  (by ARROGATE out of SAHARAN by DESERT PARTY)
4  ACCURACY Aug29 Aug03       (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 1.60    
  (by ARROGATE out of BICKERSONS by SILVER DEPUTY)
5  NAFISA Aug30 Nov12       (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.00 27% 2.60    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of ITHINKISAWAPUDYCAT by BLUEGRASS CAT)
6  TAHITI ITI Aug02 Jun15 Aug13     (shirreffs john)FREY KYLE 121 20.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of TIGALALU by CURLIN)
 
SA-2   10/19/2024 6600ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUBABE Aug23 Aug03 May25 Apr21 Jul30 (baltas richar)FRESU ANTONIO 125 6.00 5% 18.60    
2  FEARLESS SOLDIER Aug22 Nov15 Oct07 Sep03 Jul22 (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 125 2.50 27% 2.80    
3  JOYRIDER Aug31 Jul20 Jun01     (mandella richard )SMITH E 119 3.00    
4  FIREMAN DAN Oct11 Sep01 Aug09 Jul05 May24 (wallace jer)GUTIERREZ MARIO 123 12.00    
5  LOTTERY PICK Sep07 Jul27 Oct08 Aug18 Jul22 (eurton pet)HERNANDEZ J 123 2.00 30% 2.40    
6  BRITISH ISLES Sep01 Jul21 Jun16 May04 Apr07 (baltas rich)HERRERA A 119 4.50    
 
SA-3   10/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HAYWOOD Aug31 Aug23 Aug03 Jul07 Jun08 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  RIVERWALK Aug07 Jun30 May18 Apr26 Mar27 (dollase craig)FREY KYLE 121 2.50 69% 0.50    
3  TEQUILA TALKIN Sep08 Aug02 Jun30 Jun01   (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 121 2.00    
4  CODY BOY Sep21 Sep01 Aug08 Jun30 Jun01 (kruljac ian)HERRERA A 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  SIMPLEXITY (IRE) Oct06 Sep01 Jul20     (blacker danie)FRESU ANTONIO 121 3.50    
6  SOUTHERN SLANG Aug31 Aug10       (glatt mark)BAZE C 121 4.00    
 
SA-4   10/19/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($54K) 2 F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MRAZEK'S OLD DREAM Sep15 Aug08       (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 15.00    
  (by MRAZEK out of WALKINGONADREAM by TAPIT)
2  RENATUS Aug30 Aug11       (garcia)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 1.00 33% 2.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of IT'S VENGEANCE by CURLIN)
3  HEY JESSIE         (mccarthy sean)FREY KYLE 120 10.00 8% 11.30    
  (by GRAZEN out of BEA'S CEE by CEE'S TIZZY)
4  CHILLY PHILLY Aug30 Jul20       (yakteen tim)CARMONA SERAFIN 115 12.00    
  (by FROSTED out of ESTELLE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
5  ONLY AFTER MIDNITE Sep28         (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 120 8.00 8% 11.50    
  (by MIDNIGHT STORM out of KHAIRIYA by TWIRLING CANDY)
6  GRAZEN GATOR Aug30 Aug08       (miller pete)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 5.00 28% 2.60    
  (by GRAZEN out of FAST GATOR by DIABOLICAL)
7  HOW ABOUT PAVEL Aug30 Aug01 Jun15 May03   (o'neill do)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.00    
  (by PAVEL out of HOW ABOUT ZERO by SQUARE EDDIE)
 
SA-5   10/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAISHAN Sep13 Aug18 Jul20 Jun29 Jun16 (baltas rich)CARMONA SERAFIN 118 4.00 18% 4.40    
2  JOINT VENTURE Oct04 Sep05 Jun23 May23 Apr18 (damato phi)GONZALEZ RICARDO 125 1.60 19% 4.20    
3  ZIMBA WARRIOR Sep05 Aug17 Jul25 Jun01 Apr19 (hess b)MALDONADO E 123 2.00 21% 3.80    
4  LANSDOWNE (GB) Sep22 Aug16 Jul21 Jul07 May31 (hanson ryan)BAZE C 123 10.00 11% 7.80    
5  STOP AND A TRES Sep08 Aug17 Jul20 Jul07 Jun01 (saavedra anth)FRESU ANTONIO 123 6.00    
6  VANZZY Sep27 Sep02 Aug25 Aug04 Jun07 (glatt mark)CEDILLO ABEL 123 12.00    
7  TOM AND JAZZY Aug29 Aug09 Jul26 May31 May10 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 123 20.00    
 
SA-6   10/19/2024 3960ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($30K) 35 ALL PT- 6:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CARIBBEAN KING Aug25 Aug10 May27 Apr27 Mar16 (miller peter)FRESU ANTONIO 124 8.00 24% 3.20    
2  PHOENIX FLYING         (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 121 12.00    
3  QUALITY WINS Aug25 Jul25 Jun15 May24 Jun18 (glatt mark)FREY KYLE 124 3.50 28% 2.50    
4  LEGITIMATE TARGET (GB) Aug25 Aug03 Jun14 May19   (damato philip)ESPINOZA V 123 20.00    
5  TOMORROWNEVERCOMES Sep21 Sep15 Sep02     (periban jorge)BAZE C 120 20.00    
6  JETFIRE Jan13 Nov17       (garcia franci)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 20.00    
7  ANDTHEOMOFTHEBRAVE         (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  DANZING WILD CAT Aug11         (galvin brendan)CEDILLO ABEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  CRAZY CAVALIER Aug31 Aug11 May24     (baltas rich)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 6.00    
10  PROSPER Sep29 Jul26 Jun08 Apr26 Mar09 (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 2.50 27% 2.70    
11  OSAGE CREEK Aug23 Jul26 Jun08 Aug03 Jun18 (hanson ryan)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 121 10.00    
 
SA-7   10/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($22K) 2 F PT- 7:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEARTS FANTASY Sep21 Sep02 Aug10     (moger j)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 4.00    
2  PEBBLES B AWESOME Sep13 Aug16 Jul26     (knapp steve)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 120 3.50    
3  AINTAFRAIDTODREAM         (stevens satchell)MATIAS J 120 20.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  NALA         (jauregui o )CARMONA SERAFIN 115 10.00    
5  MY KATHRYN ROSE         (marquez alfredo)MALDONADO E 120 6.00 25% 3.10    
6  MUJER DE ORO Sep21         (periban jorge)BAZE C 120 3.00    
7  VENICE VIBE Sep20         (baltas ric)ORANTES R 115 2.50 25% 3.10    
8  TAIL ON FIRE Sep13         (gomez ruben)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
SA-8   10/19/2024 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Lure Purse ($80K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MI HERMANO RAMON Aug29 Jun11 May07 Apr07 Mar05 (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of SASSY SUANCES by SUANCES (GB))
2  MAN O ROSE Sep14 Aug02 Jun16 May12 Apr20 (mullins jeff)MALDONADO E 126 2.50 28% 2.60    
  (by STANFORD out of KATHLEEN ROSE by GOOD JOURNEY)
3  FLASHIEST Aug31 Jul21 May26 Apr28 Oct28 (powell leonar)AYUSO ARMANDO 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MIZZEN MAST out of NOTHING TO WEAR by MALIBU MOON)
4  SUMTER Aug29 Jul21 Apr27 Apr04 Mar09 (mandella richard )SMITH E 126 5.00 20% 4.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of A LITTLE BIT SASSY by MORE THAN READY)
5  EXAULTED Aug31 Jul21 Jun29 Sep02 May29 (eurton pet)HERNANDEZ J 126 4.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of GILDED MIRACLE by GILDED TIME)
6  SARWAR (FR) Aug17 Jul21 Oct01 Jul22 Jun03 (powell leon)HERRERA A 124 12.00    
  (by PEDRO THE GREAT out of SNOW JASMINE by EXCEED AND EXCEL (AUS))
7  EL POTENTE Jun08 Aug19 Apr29 Mar11 Jan29 (blacke)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 12.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of CHARMSIL by SILVER CHARM)
8  WAR AT SEA Jul21 Jun16 May27 May04 Apr04 (ellis ronald )VALDIVIA JR 126 20.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of SERENE MELODY by STREET CRY (IRE))
9  SEAL TEAM (GB) Nov04 Oct08 Sep09 Aug19 Nov19 (mandella ri)RISPOLI UMBERTO 126 3.50 29% 2.50    
  (by WAR FRONT out of MRS MCDOUGAL by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
SA-9   10/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($31K) 2 F PT- 8:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON'T TELL TAMMO Aug25         (aguirre pa)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00 31% 2.30    
2  MUSICAL NUMBER Sep21         (pederson dean)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 4.50    
3  CIOPPINA PASADINA Sep13         (treece charle)PAYERAS EDGAR 122 12.00 17% 4.80    
4  THIRSTY DESTINY Sep13 Aug17 Aug03 Jul06 Jun15 (alvarez edw)AGUILAR ARMANDO 122 15.00    
5  PRINCESS DADDY Oct04 Aug29 Aug16     (palma hector )FRESU ANTONIO 122 4.00    
6  ICONIC MEMORY Sep20         (kruljac ian)HERRERA A 122 2.50 30% 2.30    
7  PROMISE ME KAT Aug29 Jul26 Jul05 Jun22   (dollase craig)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 12.00    
8  FAITHFUL TRUTH Aug29 Jul05 Jun15     (knapp steve)CEDILLO ABEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.