Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Albuquerque
Saturday - October 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ALB-1   WIN (5/9/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/4/1)-(5/9/3/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/9/4/1)-(5/9/3/4/1)-(5/9/3/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/9/4/1)-(1/4/5/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
ALB-2   WIN (1/4/5/10/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/5/10/3)-(1/4/5/10/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/5/10/3)-(1/4/5/10/3)-(1/4/5/10/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/4/5/10/3)-(5/3/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
ALB-3   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ALB-4   WIN (8/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/7/3)-(8/7/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/7/3)-(8/7/3/1)-(8/7/3/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ALB-1   10/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLD ME ONLY Sep29 Jul26 Feb29 Feb01 Oct18 (cross gary)HEBERT J 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
DECK HUMOR Jul27 Jul19 Feb29 Jan19 Nov14 (lambert c)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 5.00    
MAJORWAYHOME Sep19 Sep06 Aug25 Mar22 Feb29 (c)DE CRUZ 124 4.50    
HOT CHARLIE Sep19 Aug31 Jun16 Apr21 Apr14 (aldavaz hermengi)MEDELLIN A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
WHEREDOESTHECASHGO Oct04 Sep19 May18 Feb22 Feb08 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 2.00 63% 0.60    
ZENFULLY ZESTY Sep29 Sep12 Aug16 Jul19 May18 (singh johnny)CARRENO J 124 20.00    
TSUNAMI GOLD Sep19 Mar29 Mar15 Feb22 Jan19 (mart)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 20.00    
AWESOME STORM Sep29 Sep13 Aug31 Jun09 May05 (rojero c)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 12.00    
MUSICS MY VICE Sep18 Aug24 Jul20 May18 Feb01 (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 3.00 14% 6.30    
 
ALB-2   10/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGH DOLLAR HUSH Aug23 Apr27 Jan26 Nov07 Sep07 (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 3.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  ZAPPIN Sep26 Sep14 Aug17 Jul28 Jun08 (chav)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 15.00    
SMASH AWAY Aug25 Jul29 May13 Apr23 Mar21 (singh johnny)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
ANDREABANANAS Apr27 Feb29 Jan26 Dec11 Dec04 (singh johnny)ROSENDO J 124 4.50 29% 2.50    
SUSSUMS GIRL Sep15 Aug24 May19 Jan26   (amparan a)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 5.00 10% 8.60    
NO BULL DARWIN Sep15 Aug23 Mar14 Feb29 Jan26 (q)DE CRUZ 124 6.00    
CHASENUINMYDREAMS Mar21 Mar01 Dec20 Nov14   (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 122 10.00    
LEAP YEAR NIGHT Nov27 Oct21 Sep02 Aug18 Jun11 (acosta m)CARRENO J 124 20.00    
MYSTIC GOLD Sep15 May04 Apr04 Mar08 Nov14 (olguin ever)TORRES J 122 10.00    
10  CHAMA STORM Sep15 Aug23 May19 Mar28 Mar14 (olguin )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
11  MARKED BY MISCHIEF Aug24 Aug16 May12 Apr28 Apr04 (gomez ste)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 122 20.00    
 
ALB-3   10/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($27.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PANCHO LEFT ME Sep28 Sep11 May19 May05 Apr21 (marq)GOMEZ PORTILLO 119 8.00    
ANTONIOS MARK Apr07 Mar22 Feb23 Feb02 Jan18 (barton dallas)JUAREZ J 119 3.00    
THUNDER DOME Apr07 Mar21 Mar08 Feb02 Nov27 (barton dalla)FUENTES A 119 3.00 19% 4.30    
Z MARKS THE SPOT Aug16 Nov20 Oct06 Sep10 Jul16 (barrios bernade)ROSENDO J 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
SAMBAS MARK Sep02 Mar22 Mar08 Feb09 Dec18 (fincher w)HEBERT J 124 2.00 53% 0.90    
GODDARD Oct02 Dec20 Nov28 Sep04 Jul30 (quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 124 4.50    
 
ALB-4   10/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Manzano Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILLIAMS EMPIRE Sep28 Sep01 Aug15 Jul06   (hone bart)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 118 3.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of KETTLE VALLEY by CITY ZIP)
TONI THE GRRREAT         (pierce )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 115 12.00    
  (by FROSTED out of POLITE SMILE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
KARAOKE HERO Sep14         (glea)GOMEZ PORTILLO 118 8.00 8% 10.90    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of NO TUNES by SONGANDAPRAYER)
MY VINO         (fincher w)VALDEZ S 118 10.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of SPECIFICATION by EMPIRE MAKER)
STREET COLORS         (singh joh)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 115 20.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of OCEAN COLORS by ORIENTATE (GB))
ROADSWITCHER Sep14         (gleason t)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 118 4.50    
  (by BODEXPRESS out of LA STRADA by STREET SENSE)
POWER CONNECTION Aug25 Aug10 Jun30     (fincher w)ROSENDO J 115 2.50 21% 3.70    
  (by AUTHENTIC out of LADY LEFTENNANT by OFFICER)
WEST OF ME Sep14         (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 118 3.50 44% 1.30    
  (by WEST COAST out of BEST OF ME by SUPER SAVER)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.