Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Sunday - October 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SA-1   WIN (4/7/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/1)-(4/7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/1)-(4/7/6/1)-(4/7/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/6/1)-(3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6/1)-(3/5/4)-(2/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-2   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(2/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(2/1/3)-(5/1/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SA-3   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3/7)-(2/1/3/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(5/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(5/1/4)-(1/5/4/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-4   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(1/5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4)-(1/5/4/6)-(6/1/8/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SA-5   WIN (1/5/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/4/6)-(1/5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/4/6)-(1/5/4/6)-(1/5/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/4/6)-(6/1/8/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4/6)-(6/1/8/7)-(8/1) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
SA-6   WIN (6/1/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/8/7)-(6/1/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/8/7)-(6/1/8/7)-(6/1/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/8/7)-(8/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/1/8/7)-(8/1)-(5/3/6/1) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
SA-7   WIN (8/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/1)-(8/1/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/1)-(8/1/7/4)-(8/1/7/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (8/1)-(5/3/6/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
SA-8   WIN (5/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/6/1)-(5/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/6/1)-(5/3/6/1)-(5/3/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/6/1)-(7/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6/1)-(7/1/4)-(6/7/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-9   WIN (7/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/4)-(7/1/9/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/4)-(7/1/9/4/2)-(7/1/9/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/1/4)-(6/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
SA-10   WIN (6/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/5)-(6/7/1/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/5)-(6/7/1/8/5)-(6/7/1/8/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   10/06/2024 4290ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLUE DOG May05 Jun18 Apr30 Apr07 Feb20 (headley karen)CEDILLO ABEL 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
GYPSY TEARS Aug10 Jul20 Jun16 May27 Mar23 (brinkerhoff v)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 15.00    
SIMPLEXITY (IRE) Sep01 Jul20       (blacker danie)FRESU ANTONIO 121 15.00    
OSCAR JOY Sep08 Aug23 Jul25 Jun08   (miller pete)RISPOLI UMBERTO 119 3.00 25% 3.10    
I DON'T GET IT Sep13 Aug16 Jul20 May27 Apr27 (dollase craig)FREY KYLE 122 3.50    
IRISH ROYALTY Sep08 Aug25 Aug04 Jun13 Jun17 (glatt mark)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 5.00 21% 3.80    
NEWS AT TEN (GB) Sep07 Aug17 May27     (sadler john )KIMURA KAZUSHI 122 4.50 22% 3.50    
CENTRAL DISPATCH Sep07 Oct22 Aug17 Jul21 Jun25 (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50    
 
SA-2   10/06/2024 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHEEKIEST Aug09 Jun07 May10 Jun04 May12 (garcia franci)AYUSO ARMANDO 125 6.00    
SWEET VENGEANCE Aug30 Aug08 Jul02 May26 Nov06 (mccarthy sean)FREY KYLE 125 4.50    
SEPTEMBER MAGIC Aug23 Aug09       (hanson rya)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.50 40% 1.50    
MARINAS TINA (IRE) Aug30 Aug02 Jun07 May24 Apr26 (kruljac ian)FRESU ANTONIO 125 6.00 9% 10.20    
MATURITY DATE Jul17 Jun27 Jun21 Apr21 Mar10 (dollase cra)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 3.00 15% 5.50    
NANCI GRIFFITH Sep20 Aug30 Aug23 Aug01 Jun29 (miyadi steven)MALDONADO E 121 2.50    
SCR  GOLDEN TEMPER Sep06 Aug09 Aug11 May26 Mar31 (gaines carla)BAZE C 125 20.00    
 
SA-3   10/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($54K) 2 F PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAWU         (baffert bob)FRESU ANTONIO 120 2.50 17% 4.80    
  (by BLAME out of SOUL SINGER by FLATTER)
CASH CALL Sep08         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.40 42% 1.40    
  (by MCKINZIE out of D'FASHION by D'WILDCAT)
AUNT MO Sep08         (eurton)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 3.00 15% 5.70    
  (by UNCLE MO out of KALLIO by SCAT DADDY)
MAXIMUN GOLD         (gomez ruben)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 30.00    
  (by MAXIMUM SECURITY out of HONEST GOLD by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
JUST AS FANCY         (mccarthy mic)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 15.00    
  (by VOLATILE out of CLARENDON FANCY by MALIBU MOON)
ROSE A         (fincher todd )AYUSO ARMANDO 120 12.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ROSE'S DESERT by DESERT GOD)
PURA VIDA PRINCESA Sep08         (o'neill doug)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 6.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of BETYAR by UNCLE MO)
 
SA-4   10/06/2024 5280ft TURF RC12 FIRM Surfer Girl Purse ($100K) 2 F PT- 5:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JACK'S MAGIC GIRL Sep07 Aug03       (jauregui o )RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 4.50 26% 2.90    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of STARGIRL by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
CASALU Sep07 Aug10 Jul21     (baffert bob)KIMURA KAZUSHI 120 6.00    
  (by CARACARO out of KEY D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
TIGERISH Sep08 Jun24       (baltas ric)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of LERICI by WOODMAN)
CE LA VI CHARLI Sep06         (papaprodromou geo)FREY KYLE 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of BOBBIN' ROBIN by INDIAN CHARLIE)
THOUGHT PROCESS Sep07 Aug17 Jul27     (damato)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 0.40 51% 1.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of CREATIVE THINKING by CREATIVE CAUSE)
TEQUILAANDTHERAPY Aug30 Aug22 Jul27 Jun26   (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 122 15.00    
  (by MRAZEK out of CHEXCESS by IN EXCESS (IRE))
 
SA-5   10/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($31K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WIND NINETY NINE Jun25 Jun17 May25 Apr18 Feb24 (dollase craig)FREY KYLE 123 1.80 45% 1.20    
LOW EXPECTATIONS Sep13 Aug01 Jul04 May27 May03 (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 123 3.50    
EASTSIDE COOL Apr14 Feb15 Jan20 Nov24 Oct14 (williams s)HERNANDEZ J 123 4.50    
MOODY JIM (IRE) Sep01 Aug25 Aug04 Jun07 May19 (moger jr)PEREIRA TIAGO 123 12.00 9% 9.80    
SAQEEL Jun29 May26 Apr20 Mar21 Jan06 (cerin vladimi)AYUSO ARMANDO 123 5.00 14% 6.10    
MAN FRIDAY Sep01 Aug04 Jun07 Apr25 Apr05 (cerin vladimi)FRESU ANTONIO 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
NAUVOO Sep13 Aug18 Aug01 Jun29 May03 (knapp steve)BAZE C 123 5.00    
 
SA-6   10/06/2024 3960ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($54K) 35 M/F PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOT A SINNER (GB) Aug10 May27 Apr28 Apr04 Feb25 (callaghan si)KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 2.50 26% 2.90    
  (by LAND FORCE out of GOLDEN AMBER by GEMOLOGIST)
SCR  SWEET GEM Sep07 Aug03 Jun23 May26 Apr27 (papaprodromou ge)ESPINOZA V 121 30.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of MISS CATOMINE by BERNARDINI)
ASHLEY Sep08 Jul27 May26 Apr04 Jan01 (shirre)BERRIOS ISAAC 121 3.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of GOIABA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
CAILIN DANA Aug10 Jun08 Oct14 Sep09 Aug04 (drysdale neil)MALDONADO E 121 8.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of ENTRECHAT by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
IRISH ROSE Sep08 Jul05 Jun09 Apr27 Apr05 (drysdale neil)SMITH E 124 12.00    
  (by IRISH SURF out of LILIES AND ROSES by SUPER SAVER)
CYPRUS MOON Sep08 Aug11 Sep01     (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 3.50 29% 2.40    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of HOLY FASHION by HOLY BULL)
STEP IT OUT (IRE) Sep08 Jul27       (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INNS OF COURT out of BEST STEPS by ACCLAMATION)
BLISSTERINTHESUN Aug10 Jun23 Dec01 Nov02 Sep10 (damato phi)GONZALEZ RICARDO 121 4.50 15% 5.80    
  (by MITOLE out of SAM'S BLISS by WAR FRONT)
 
SA-7   10/06/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($55K) 2 ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHEA BRENNAN Sep06 Jul26       (damato philip)FREY KYLE 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
BINGING Sep14 Aug11 Jul07     (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 12.00    
IT'S A FACTOR Aug22 Jul21 Jun09 May26   (garcia antoni)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 20.00    
STYLE CAT Sep06 Aug10 Jul21 Jun16   (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.00    
PANUCO Sep08 Jul04 Jun13 May26   (periban jor)CARMONA SERAFIN 117 20.00    
JUST TRUST ME Aug15 Jul25 Jun16 Apr25   (bainum kelly)BAZE C 122 15.00    
POKERKNIGHTATVEES Sep20         (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 122 3.50    
I'M A BAD BOY Aug31 Aug09 Jul21 May26   (mendez lui)GONZALEZ RICARDO 122 2.00 43% 1.30    
 
SA-8   10/06/2024 5280ft TURF RC12 FIRM Zuma Beach Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IVAN THE GREAT Sep08 Aug18 Jun30 May12   (o'neill doug)FREY KYLE 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of I'M MOM'S FAVORITE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
KALE'S ANGEL Aug23 Aug02       (miller peter)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 8.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of LOVE AFFAIR by KNIGHT)
IRON MAN CAL Sep07 Aug02       (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 122 3.00 29% 2.40    
  (by COLLECTED out of JOYFUL DREAMS by KITTEN'S JOY)
SABERTOOTH Sep08 Aug18 Jul27     (yakteen tim)KIMURA KAZUSHI 118 4.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of HARD TO RESIST by JOHANNESBURG)
ARTISLAS Sep08 Aug02       (mullins jef)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 3.50 32% 2.10    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of MOMS PRIDE by INTO MISCHIEF)
R HEISMAN Sep08 Aug09 Jul07 May31 May03 (miller pete)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 4.50 12% 7.70    
  (by FAR FROM OVER out of PARISIENNE by GOOD AND TOUGH)
UNCLE EVCO Aug30 Aug09       (mccart)BERRIOS ISAAC 118 12.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of SIQUEIRA by CURLIN)
CALI CAT Aug30 Jul21       (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of READY FOR ROMANCE by MORE THAN READY)
 
SA-9   10/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HONEYMOON SUITE Sep07 Apr07 Mar17 Feb18 Jan29 (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 2.00 33% 2.00    
ROGUE SON Sep05 Aug08 Jun01 May04 Mar15 (lewis craig )KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 8.00    
ALWAYS ON CAY Sep20 Aug23 Jul27 May04 Mar10 (knapp steve)FREY KYLE 121 12.00    
THREEBROTHERS Apr27 Mar30 Mar09 Feb02 Jan01 (marquez alfre)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
DES DOIGTS Sep21 Aug30 Aug10 Jul06 May10 (deleon rafa)AGUILAR ARMANDO 121 20.00    
EREBUS Sep15 Sep01 Aug11 Jul07 Jun23 (lopez l)BAZE C 122 20.00    
TOUCHDOWN BROWN Sep07 Aug18 Jul21 Mar26 Feb21 (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 124 2.50 42% 1.40    
CAROL'S COMIC Aug31 Aug10 Jul21 Jun16 May27 (brinkerhoff va)CEDILLO ABEL 122 20.00    
DEVIL AMONG US Sep14 Aug30 Aug10 Jul21 Jun09 (williams s)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00    
 
SA-10   10/06/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUANTUM INNERGY Aug24 Jul26 Jul06 May31 Apr21 (garcia)BERRIOS ISAAC 119 6.00    
SATELLITE HEART Sep14 Aug15 Jul28 Jun09 May11 (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 119 8.00    
LADY MONCLAIRE Sep06 Aug04 Jan26 Jan14 Nov23 (baltas richar)FRESU ANTONIO 119 10.00    
SMART MONIQUE Aug24 Jul28 Jun14 Feb12 Jan13 (dunham daniel)FREY KYLE 123 20.00    
ASHLEYS SANDCASTLE Jul28 Jun14 May18 Apr21 Mar01 (damato philip)PEREIRA TIAGO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
RUNAMILEINMYSHOES Aug29 Jul28 Jun15 May18 Apr21 (mullins je)HERNANDEZ J 121 1.80 50% 1.00    
ONLY REPUTATION Aug29         (hanson ryan)KIMURA KAZUSHI 119 8.00 28% 2.50    
SONG OF FIRE Sep03 Jul30 Jun10 Sep05 Aug06 (baltas richar)AYUSO ARMANDO 123 5.00    
SHEZMISBEHAVING May25 Apr28 Jan12 Nov10 Oct14 (gutierrez jorge)BAZE C 123 8.00    
10  LOVE OUR FAMILY Sep20 Aug24 Aug15 Jul28 Jul05 (knapp steve)AGUILAR ARMANDO 123 12.00    
SCR  ULTIMATE HY Aug18 Jul21 Oct14 Aug25 Jul29 (gaines carl)RISPOLI UMBERTO 125 6.00    
SCR  BIG MAMA SUE Sep20 Aug23 Jul26 Jun01 May17 (miyadi steven)CEDILLO ABEL 125 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.