Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fresno
Sunday - September 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FNO-1   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(5/2/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(5/2/3)-(3/1/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FNO-2   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(3/1/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(3/1/2)-(2/4/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FNO-3   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(2/4/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(2/4/6)-(6/3/1/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
FNO-4   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/1/6)-(2/4/1/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(6/3/1/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(6/3/1/2)-(5/4/3/9/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
FNO-5   WIN (6/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/2)-(6/3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/2)-(6/3/1/2)-(6/3/1/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/3/1/2)-(5/4/3/9/2) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1/2)-(5/4/3/9/2)-(4/2/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
FNO-6   WIN (5/4/3/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/9/2)-(5/4/3/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/9/2)-(5/4/3/9/2)-(5/4/3/9/2) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (5/4/3/9/2)-(4/2/3) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (5/4/3/9/2)-(4/2/3)-(4/7/8/5/10) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
FNO-7   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(4/7/8/5/10) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
FNO-8   WIN (4/7/8/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/7/8/5/10)-(4/7/8/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/7/8/5/10)-(4/7/8/5/10)-(4/7/8/5/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FNO-1   09/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DESERT RUMBLE Aug17 Jul26 Jun16 May18 Apr21 (tamayo isi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  LUVAHAPPYENDING Aug30 Aug23 Aug10 Aug02 Jul13 (perez sergi)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 5.00    
3  VHAGAR Aug04 Jul20 Jul06 Jun21 Jun02 (bean a)RIVERA SANTOS 122 8.00    
4  SMILE AND PROFILE Aug17 Jul07 Jun16 May27 May05 (mccanna tim)ALVARADO T 125 2.00    
5  CLASSY Sep01 Aug25 Jul26 Jun29 May18 (tamayo isidro)REYES R 125 3.50 16% 5.40    
6  PARCO Aug30 Aug23 Aug10 Jul28 Jul19 (peery debb)AMERICANO MANUEL 118 3.00 57% 0.80    
 
FNO-2   09/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAMANTARI Jul28 Aug27 Jul29 Jul01 Jun11 (bonde jeff)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 121 3.00    
2  ZAZEN Sep06 Aug04 Jul21 Jun28 Jun09 (evans justin)REYES R 123 2.50 25% 3.00    
3  ELEGANT SWAY Aug09 Jul04 Jun14 May11 Mar29 (meier r)HERRERA HUGO 121 6.00 9% 10.20    
4  CRY ME A RUNNER Aug11 Jul20 Jun23 May12 Apr21 (badilla ma)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 5.00    
5  ZAFFERANA Aug17 Aug02 Jul05 Sep23 Aug26 (badi)ANTONGEORGI JR 119 1.60 36% 1.80    
 
FNO-3   09/29/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIGHT THE BEAM Apr20 Mar22 Feb10 Jan12   (t)JIMENEZ LUIS 122 4.00 13% 6.80    
2  UNCLE JUAN Aug17 Jul14 Apr20 Mar10   (ramos jesus)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  PARTY WITH PADDY Aug17 Jul28 Jun08 May11 Apr21 (tamayo isi)AMERICANO MANUEL 115 6.00 57% 0.80    
4  MOMO'S KIDDO Sep13 Mar12 Feb17 Jan13 Nov12 (trujillo vict)RIVERA SANTOS 125 2.00    
SCR  CONEJO MALO Sep21 Sep08 Aug25 Aug18 Jul26 (ramos jesu)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 3.00    
6  CARDINAL TRICK Sep08 Aug25 Jul27 Jul20 Jun09 (hans)ANTONGEORGI JR 123 4.00    
 
FNO-4   09/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 2 ALL PT- 6:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TYPHOON TOMMY Aug10 Jul07       (rondan felix)RIVERA SANTOS 120 4.50 ★    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of HURRICAINE CALLIE by COMIC STRIP)
2  ACCIDENTAL GENIUS Sep15 Aug10       (f)JIMENEZ LUIS 120 2.50 46% 1.20    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of RADISH by SQUARE EDDIE)
3  EL DIAMANTE NEGRO Sep15 Aug10       (calvario sa)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 120 10.00    
  (by G. G. RYDER out of LUCKI LUCY ANNA by LUCKY PULPIT)
4  GOIN' SOUTH Sep01 Aug11       (wrig)ANTONGEORGI JR 120 2.00 26% 2.90    
  (by OM out of CLEVER BIRD by AWESOME AGAIN)
5  JAZZY BULL HORN Jul21 Jun23       (ruvalcaba a)GARCIA EPIFANIO 120 12.00    
  (by IDIOT PROOF out of STRAIT JAZZ by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
6  SURF STAR Sep14 Aug18 Aug09 Jul20 Jul05 (franko dan)AMERICANO MANUEL 110 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SURF CAT out of MADRE LUNA by RAHY)
7  CHOKECHERY SHARI Aug09 Jul05 Jun08     (taylor faith)SANGUINETTI A 117 6.00    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of CHOKECHERYMARY by CAPSIZED)
 
FNO-5   09/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LESSONS OF AUTISM Sep13 Feb27 Feb12 Jan15 Dec30 (greiner )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  COASTAL JAZZ Sep15 Jul28 Jul14 Jun29 Jun16 (evans just)AMERICANO MANUEL 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  PRISONER Sep08 Aug17 Jun23 Jun02 May19 (evans justin)REYES R 121 8.00 22% 3.60    
4  TRINIDAD Sep07 Aug25 Aug11 Jul21 Jun22 (hans)ANTONGEORGI JR 121 12.00    
5  SIR GREYSON Aug10 Jun09 May26 Mar23 Feb23 (sherman st)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 121 1.60    
6  MURPHYS TIGER Jun22 May26 Dec03 Feb26 Feb03 (mccanna tim)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 121 3.50 40% 1.50    
7  WAR GAMES Jun09 Apr13 Mar24 Mar01 Feb10 (delima clifford)DURAN F 119 4.00    
 
FNO-6   09/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FEROCIOUSLY Sep13 Jul06 Jun22 Jun08 Apr27 (evans justin)REYES R 125 5.00    
2  EFFECTIVE GIG Sep02 Aug24 Aug10 Jul14 Jul05 (preciado )HERRERA CRISTOBAL 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  STRETCH RUN Aug25 Aug04 Jun14 Jun02 Nov17 (maravilla jorg)HERRERA HUGO 125 6.00 5% 18.60    
4  TOO MUCH INFO Sep13 Sep02 Aug25 Aug02 Jul04 (greiner gary)RIVERA SANTOS 125 3.50 5% 17.20    
5  ALMANERA (IRE) Sep13 Aug16 Jul28 Jul21 Jun15 (thomas jam)AMERICANO MANUEL 118 4.50 59% 0.70    
6  THUNDER OF ZION Sep13 Aug09 Jul13 Jun23 Jun09 (bonde jeff)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 125 8.00    
7  SAI CON (FR) Sep01 Jul21 Jun30 May25 Apr07 (greiner gary)OROZCO E 125 12.00    
8  WARRENS WORLD Sep08 Aug02 Jul20 Feb09 Jan19 (rodrigue)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 6.00    
9  QUIET CHARM Sep01 Aug24 Aug03 Jul20 Jun30 (perez sergi)GARCIA EPIFANIO 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  CONTINENTAL UNION Sep02 Aug23 Aug16 Jun23 Jun02 (tamayo isidro)ALVARADO T 125 8.00    
 
FNO-7   09/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Harris Farms Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MELANIE'S TIGER Jun08 May12 Apr20 Feb02 Jan14 (badilla man)GOMEZ ALEJANDRO 119 4.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of MELANIE ROSE by GOTHAM CITY)
2  DISKO TRIBUTE Sep08 Aug15 Aug03 Jun23 Jun01 (d)JIMENEZ LUIS 122 3.00 16% 5.20    
  (by TOM'S TRIBUTE out of DISKO DASKO by COUNTRY REEL)
3  SCARY FAST RIDE Sep02 Aug04 Jun15 May05 Mar17 (mccarthy sea)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CLUBHOUSE RIDE out of SCARY FAST by CONGAREE)
4  CLOVISCONNECTION Aug11 Jun29 May26 Apr27 Mar24 (wrig)ANTONGEORGI JR 125 1.60 51% 1.00    
  (by VRONSKY out of LA DARLING by PERFECT MANDATE)
SCR  BOB'S BLUE MOON Sep08 Aug04 Jun30 Jun30 Jun11 (sherman ste)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 10.00    
  (by RICHARD'S KID out of NICOLETTE CHARMANT by GOOD JOURNEY)
6  LMLOOKNFORMISCHIEF Aug09 Jun29 May26 Apr13 Mar23 (taylor fai)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of JUST LOOKN AGAIN by TIZBUD)
 
FNO-8   09/29/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIRSTY THURSDAY Sep21 Aug17 Aug04 Jun28 May24 (sherman steve )ALVARADO T 122 15.00    
2  IT AINT OVER Sep14 Aug18 Jul28 Jun28 Jun07 (rondan felix)RIVERA SANTOS 122 8.00    
3  BESKAR Sep08 Aug24 Aug09 Jul21 Jul06 (c)JIMENEZ LUIS 125 15.00    
4  VILIFIED Sep14 Sep06 Jul21 Jul07 Jun16 (evans justin)REYES R 125 4.50 36% 1.80    
5  ALPHABETICAL ORDER Jul21 Jun14 May10 Apr14 Mar17 (paldaniu)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 5.00 6% 15.90    
6  HOT JOURNEY Aug25 Aug03 Jul04 Apr21 Apr12 (maravilla jorg)HERRERA HUGO 125 10.00    
7  ANNIVERSAIRE D'OR Aug11 May26 May04 Mar10 Feb10 (peery debb)AMERICANO MANUEL 118 3.00 26% 2.90    
8  RUNNIN UTE Sep01 Aug03 Jul20 Jun23 May27 (baker way)GARCIA EPIFANIO 122 8.00 11% 8.40    
9  DR. FLASH DANCER Sep08 Jan05 Dec09 Nov26 Oct29 (taylor faith)SANGUINETTI A 125 6.00    
10  MUAY THAI (IRE) Dec10 Nov19 Oct30 Oct08 Jul23 (trujillo vic)OROZCO E 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.