Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Los Alamitos Tb
Sunday - September 22, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRC-1   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (5/3)-(3/1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(3/1/4)-(2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRC-2   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(2/3)-(4/5/7/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
LRC-3   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (2/3)-(4/5/7/3) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(4/5/7/3)-(8/4/1/7) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
LRC-4   WIN (4/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/7/3)-(4/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/7/3)-(4/5/7/3)-(4/5/7/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (4/5/7/3)-(8/4/1/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7/3)-(8/4/1/7)-(4/5/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
LRC-5   WIN (8/4/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/1/7)-(8/4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/1/7)-(8/4/1/7)-(8/4/1/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (8/4/1/7)-(4/5/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (8/4/1/7)-(4/5/3)-(5/2/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
LRC-6   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(5/2/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(5/2/1)-(6/1/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
LRC-7   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/2/1)-(6/1/2/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(6/1/2/3)-(5/4/3/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
LRC-8   WIN (6/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/2/3)-(6/1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/2/3)-(6/1/2/3)-(6/1/2/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/1/2/3)-(5/4/3/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
LRC-9   WIN (5/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/7)-(5/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/7)-(5/4/3/7)-(5/4/3/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRC-1   09/22/2024 3300ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($12.5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WEGONAHAVAGOODTIME Sep15 Jul07 Mar10 Feb10 Jan15 (vallejo ge)ORANTES R 119 6.00    
SCR  PROJECT LEADER Sep01 Dec10 Sep15 Jul09 Sep16 (crotts james )PAYERAS EDGAR 126 2.50    
3  DEBT MONGER Sep02 Nov05 Sep15 Aug25 Aug20 (aquino m)HARVEY B 126 15.00 15% 5.60    
4  TIZLIGHTNING Mar05 Jan21 Sep10 Aug14 Jun18 (uranga je)RAMIREZ S 124 1.40    
5  LANSDOWNE (GB) Aug16 Jul21 Jul07 May31 Apr27 (hanson ryan)HERRERA A 124 2.00 39% 1.60    
 
LRC-2   09/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON'T HIT ME BASH Sep02 Jul28 May12 Jan13 Nov24 (freeman edw)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 2.00 17% 4.90    
  (by MRAZEK out of OCTOGARIAN by ROCK HARD TEN)
2  BRUNCHANDCRUNCH Aug11         (baltas ric)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 2.50    
  (by RICHARD'S KID out of LAVENDER TOUCH by TOUCH GOLD)
3  MAJESTIC PALISADES Sep02         (pederson de)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 1.60 55% 0.80    
  (by MAJESTIC HARBOR out of PALISADESPRINCESS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
4  WHO IS PAVEL Aug25 Jun30 Nov24 Aug13 Jul30 (freeman edward)CEDILLO ABEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PAVEL out of QUANT SAVANT by SQUARE EDDIE)
5  TROTSKY Sep02 Aug08 Jun30 Jun09 May04 (hernandez jr)FREY KYLE 120 5.00    
  (by EMPIRE WAY out of ALPINE ECHO by SWISS YODELER)
6  MENDELSSOHNSZAPPER Sep01         (galvin brenda)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 20.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of OH ZAP by GHOSTZAPPER)
 
LRC-3   09/22/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VEGAS MOON Jun30 Jun22       (nunez jesus)ORTEGA CESAR 126 15.00    
2  DARK MARCUS Sep06 Jul20 Jun02 May17 Apr11 (miller pete)AGUILAR ARMANDO 126 1.00 67% 0.50    
3  SIPPIN WHISKEY Sep14 Aug16 May04 Apr08 Mar26 (oviedo phil)AYUSO ARMANDO 126 4.00 5% 18.00    
4  SYNTACTIC Sep06 Aug16 Jul05 Jun15 May24 (palma hector )PAYERAS EDGAR 126 1.80    
SCR  HARBOR THUNDER Aug22 Jun30 May25 Mar27 Mar06 (belvoir v)RAMIREZ S 126 8.00    
SCR  WHAT A DUDE Aug16 Aug01 Jun08 May11 Apr07 ( )TBA null      
 
LRC-4   09/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFECTO AMOR Jun08 Dec17 Sep17 Jul04 Jun23 (farias ad)RAMIREZ S 126 4.50    
2  CRYPTO CRAZE Sep06 Aug11 Jul07 Jun22 May27 (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 126 2.00    
3  DIVINE RASCAL May05 Mar15 Jan26 Jan15 Dec08 (vallejo genar)PEREIRA TIAGO 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  SHASHASHAKEMEUP Aug16         (aguirre pau)AGUILAR ARMANDO 126 4.00 54% 0.80    
5  ZIPPY BABY Sep01 Aug09 Nov03 Sep02 Jul29 (aquino ange)HERRERA A 126 8.00 15% 5.90    
6  TAHOE SECRETS Jun30 May04 Apr07 Feb03 Jan07 (harris andr)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 126 5.00    
7  PERFECT D Aug04 Jul07 Dec16 Sep23 Sep15 (castaneda kelly)HARVEY B 126 4.50 9% 10.60    
 
LRC-5   09/22/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($26K) 2 ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROBLEM SOLVER         (dealba cesar)ORTEGA CESAR 120 15.00 22% 3.60    
2  DANCING DILLON Aug09         (damato philip)MALDONADO E 120 3.00    
3  PAX A PUNCH Sep05 Jul07       (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 3.50    
4  MR. THIRSTY         (cerin vladimir)FREY KYLE 120 4.00 24% 3.20    
5  FAR WESTERN Aug30 Jul26       (hanson rya)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 6.00    
6  HE'ZA TEN Sep14         (raudales jo)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 20.00    
7  VALENTINES CANDY Aug30 Jul25 Jul07 Jun23   (mendoza jesus)PAYERAS EDGAR 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  WHISKEYINATEACUP Sep05 Aug15 Jul26 Jun23 May26 (knapp steve)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 120 2.50 31% 2.30    
 
LRC-6   09/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOM'S REGRET Aug25 Jul20 Jun15 Jun02 May11 (miyadi steven)FREY KYLE 126 1.80    
2  GLORIOUS SPRING Nov12 Oct15 Aug25 Jul02 Mar27 (blacker danie)PEREIRA TIAGO 126 10.00    
3  DON'T BRING CRAZY Sep02 Aug04 Feb23 Jan07 Nov18 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  PLEASANT Aug24 Jun16 Mar18     (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 126 1.20 48% 1.10    
5  ROSE MADDOX Aug18 Jun09 May11 Mar17 Feb18 (miyadi stev)AGUILAR ARMANDO 126 3.00 22% 3.60    
 
LRC-7   09/22/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 7:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WILD RULER Mar13 Feb06 Jan14 Dec01   (belvoir v)RAMIREZ S 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  HIGH FLYING GRACIE Sep15 Aug23 Aug01 Jul05 Jun30 (knapp steve)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 6.00 26% 2.90    
3  SPIRIT RULES Sep08 Jan19 Jan01 Dec01 Nov19 (miller peter)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 2.00    
4  MAGIC TIP Sep05 Aug03 Jun14 Jun02 Jun08 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 122 3.50    
5  SEEKING QUALITY Sep15 Aug18 Aug03 Jun23   (belvoir vann)PAYERAS EDGAR 122 6.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  HALLELUJAH HIGH Sep15 Aug29       (miller pete)HERRERA A 122 15.00    
7  QUEEN GIRVIN Aug09 May31 May17 Mar29 Mar08 (gomez ruben)AGUILAR ARMANDO 122 3.00    
 
LRC-8   09/22/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOTET Apr04 Feb17 Jan28 Dec29 Oct28 (gomez ruben)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 3.50 26% 2.90    
2  EBOK'S DREAM GIRL Jul07 Oct20 Sep10 Jul22   (aquino m)HARVEY B 120 8.00 11% 8.00    
3  GUITAR GIRL Sep30 Aug27 May14     (gomez ruben)AGUILAR ARMANDO 126 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  CANDYINTHEMORNING Aug16         (yakteen tim)HERRERA A 126 5.00    
5  SHOP TILL YOU DROP Jan28 Jan01       (baltas ric)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 6.00    
6  SHE'S MUY MUY Aug09 May18 Mar04 Jan28 Dec10 (glatt mark)FREY KYLE 126 1.60 38% 1.60    
7  TAKE CARAMIE Mar01 Jan28 Dec09 Nov12 Oct06 (cassidy james)AYUSO ARMANDO 126 4.00    
8  C'MON LETS SWITCH Aug16 Jul20 Dec17 Dec10 Dec14 (lucas robe)BARRIENTOS LIDIO 126 30.00    
 
LRC-9   09/22/2024 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JARAMA Sep01 Aug04 Nov18 Oct07   (yakteen tim)HERRERA A 120 4.00    
2  MAXIMUM CAPACITY Aug23 Jun14 Apr25 Mar08 Jan20 (mccarthy m)GONZALEZ RICARDO 118 5.00    
3  CUPID'S CRUSADER Aug16 Jun16 Aug26 Apr29 Mar17 (marquez alfre)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  INVINCIBLE Aug24 Jul20 Dec03 Nov11 Oct08 (pederson dean)PEREIRA TIAGO 118 5.00 8% 12.10    
5  HONDO CROUCH Aug22 Mar23 Feb10 Dec30 Nov10 (glatt mark)FREY KYLE 124 1.60 64% 0.60    
6  LITTLEBROTHERJOEY Jun23 Jun03 May13 Apr23 Mar25 (vallejo gen)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 20.00    
7  SMOKEM EZ Sep06 Aug17 Jul07 Jun08 May24 (campuzano l)AGUILAR ARMANDO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  NEW YORK DREAMS (GB) Aug30 Oct09 Sep23 Sep03 Aug10 (knapp steve)CEDILLO ABEL 124 10.00    
9  ELEGANT BOY Aug17 Aug10 Jul26 Jul04 Dec31 (perez sergio )PAYERAS EDGAR 120 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.